market update: first quarter 2016 san diego county current market...

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www.ApartmentRealtyGroup.com THE APARTMENT MARKET SPECIALISTS (858) 952-1031 | [email protected] www.ApartmentRealtyGroup.com Apartment Realty Group, Inc. | BRE#: 01863733 2251 San Diego Avenue South Suite 157 San Diego, CA 92110 MARKET UPDATE: First Quarter 2016 SAN DIEGO COUNTY SAN DIEGO COUNTY APARTMENT MARKET: March 2016 2016 is off to a strong start for the San Diego County rental market. Vacancy rates are steadily hovering just under three percent county wide as the demand for rental housing increases due in part to the high price of home ownership. The low vacancy rates will cause rents to continue to rise at a rate of three to five percent in most sub-markets. Another factor is the completion of fewer new apartment units scheduled for delivery in 2016 than in 2015. Going forward, the demand for quality assets will remain high allowing sellers to remain firmly in control, receiving multiple offers on properties that are marketed properly and priced reasonably. The buyer pool is still vibrant with plenty of investors looking for opportunities, especially properties that are in need of stabilization or have a value-add component. Local and regional lenders continue to have an appetite for loans secured by multi-family assets, but are requiring larger down payments - upwards of forty percent or higher - to offset diminishing debt coverage ratios as the price of apartment buildings continue to increase and returns continue to shrink. CURRENT MARKET CONDITIONS: UNEMPLOYMENT: San Diego County unemployment rate is 4.7% RENT: Rents are expected to rise county-wide by 3% - 4% in 2016 VACANCY: Currently 2.6% down from 4.1% in the Spring of 2015 VACANCY RATES BY REGION: NORTH COUNTY - 2.4 percent CITY OF SAN DIEGO - 2.8 percent EAST COUNTY - 2.4 percent SOUTH BAY - 2.5 percent AVG CAP AVG GRM # of Sales AVG $/Unit AVG $/SF NORTH COASTAL: 3.97% 13.57 18 $208,513 $276 NORTH INLAND: 5.29% 11.56 40 $148,081 $174 CENTRAL COASTAL: 4.12% 15.41 42 $236,391 $374 CENTRAL SAN DIEGO: 4.84% 12.86 170 $176,098 $245 EAST COUNTY: 5.12% 11.77 47 $148,483 $180 SOUTH BAY: 5.21% 12.16 36 $165,552 $193 SAN DIEGO COUNTY SALES STATS (5 - 50 Units) January 1, 2015 – December 31, 2015: VACANCY DATA IS COLLECTED FROM THE SAN DIEGO COUNTY APARTMENT ASSOCIATION (SDCAA) FALL 2015 San Diego Vacancy & Rental Rate Survey.' SALES DATA STATISTICS ARE PROVIDED VIA COSTAR COMPS: 5-50 UNITS FROM 1/1/2015 – 12/31/2015. UNEMPLOYMENT SOURCE: CA EDD March 4, 2016). This information is for discussion purposes only and we believe to be reliable however, we make no representations or warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy of the information. References to square footage or age are approximate. Principals must verify the information and bears all risk for any inaccuracies. Apartment Realty Group (ARG) and/or any affiliate and/or agent(s) is not qualified to provide, and have not been contracted to provide, legal, financial, or tax advice, and that any such advice regarding any investment by the recipients must be obtained from the recipients’ attorney, accountant, or tax professional.

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Page 1: MARKET UPDATE: First Quarter 2016 SAN DIEGO COUNTY CURRENT MARKET …apartmentrealtygroup.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/2016... · 2016-03-28 · San Diego, CA 92102 TYPE: Multi-S

w w w . A p a r t m e n t R e a l t y G r o u p . c o mTHE APARTMENT MARKET SPECIALISTS (858) 952-1031 | [email protected]

Ap ar tm en t Rea lt y Gr o u p , In c . | B R E #: 0 186 37 3 3225 1 S an D ie go A ven u e So u th Su i te 15 7 S an D i ego , CA 92 110

MARKET UPDATE:First Quarter 2016

SAN DIEGO COUNTY

SAN DIEGO COUNTY APARTMENT MARKET: March 2016

2016 is off to a strong start for the San Diego County rental market. Vacancy rates are steadily hovering just under threepercent county wide as the demand for rental housing increases due in part to the high price of home ownership. The lowvacancy rates will cause rents to continue to rise at a rate of three to five percent in most sub-markets. Another factor is thecompletion of fewer new apartment units scheduled for delivery in 2016 than in 2015. Going forward, the demand for qualityassets will remain high allowing sellers to remain firmly in control, receiving multiple offers on properties that are marketedproperly and priced reasonably.

The buyer pool is still vibrant with plenty of investors looking for opportunities, especially properties that are in needof stabilization or have a value-add component. Local and regional lenders continue to have an appetite for loans secured bymulti-family assets, but are requiring larger down payments - upwards of forty percent or higher - to offset diminishing debtcoverage ratios as the price of apartment buildings continue to increase and returns continue to shrink.

CURRENT MARKET CONDITIONS:

↘UNEMPLOYMENT: San Diego County unemployment rate is 4.7%

↗RENT: Rents are expected to rise county-wide by 3% - 4% in 2016

↘VACANCY: Currently 2.6% down from 4.1% in the Spring of 2015

VACANCY RATES BY REGION:

NORTH COUNTY - 2.4 percent

CITY OF SAN DIEGO - 2.8 percent

EAST COUNTY - 2.4 percent

SOUTH BAY - 2.5 percent

AVG CAP AVG GRM # of Sales AVG $/Unit AVG $/SFNORTH COASTAL: 3.97% 13.57 18 $208,513 $276

NORTH INLAND: 5.29% 11.56 40 $148,081 $174

CENTRAL COASTAL: 4.12% 15.41 42 $236,391 $374

CENTRAL SAN DIEGO: 4.84% 12.86 170 $176,098 $245

EAST COUNTY: 5.12% 11.77 47 $148,483 $180

SOUTH BAY: 5.21% 12.16 36 $165,552 $193

SAN DIEGO COUNTY SALES STATS (5 - 50 Units) January 1, 2015 – December 31, 2015:

VACANCY DATA IS COLLECTED FROM THE SAN DIEGO COUNTY APARTMENT ASSOCIATION (SDCAA) FALL 2015 San Diego Vacancy & Rental Rate Survey.' SALES DATA STATISTICS AREPROVIDED VIA COSTAR COMPS: 5-50 UNITS FROM 1/1/2015 – 12/31/2015. UNEMPLOYMENT SOURCE: CA EDD March 4, 2016). This information is for discussion purposes only and we believe to bereliable however, we make no representations or warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy of the information. References to square footage or age are approximate. Principals must verify theinformation and bears all risk for any inaccuracies. Apartment Realty Group (ARG) and/or any affiliate and/or agent(s) is not qualified to provide, and have not been contracted to provide, legal, financial, or taxadvice, and that any such advice regarding any investment by the recipients must be obtained from the recipients’ attorney, accountant, or tax professional.

Page 2: MARKET UPDATE: First Quarter 2016 SAN DIEGO COUNTY CURRENT MARKET …apartmentrealtygroup.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/2016... · 2016-03-28 · San Diego, CA 92102 TYPE: Multi-S

www.Apa r tmen tRea l t yG roup . com

B e l o w i s a S a m p l e o f R e c e n t S o l d T r a n s a c t i o n s

4325 Marlborough AvenueSan Diego, CA 92105TYPE: Multi-FamilySIZE: 8 UnitsPRICE: $1,315,000

4812 70th StreetSan Diego, CA 92115TYPE: Multi-FamilySIZE: 25 UnitsPRICE: $3,600,000

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6033-41 Brooklyn AvenueSan Diego, CA 92114TYPE: Multi-FamilySIZE: 20 UnitsPRICE: $2,025,000

4149 Central AvenueSan Diego, CA 92105TYPE: Multi-FamilySIZE: 14 UnitsPRICE: $1,975,000

SOLD by ARGSOLD by ARGSOLD by ARG

SOLD by ARG

368-370 Roosevelt StreetChula Vista, CA 91910TYPE: Multi-FamilySIZE: 8 UnitsPRICE: $1,625,000

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3029 J StreetSan Diego, CA 92102TYPE: Multi-FamilySIZE: 4 UnitsPRICE: $615,000

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381 Millar AvenueEl Cajon, CA 92020TYPE: Multi-FamilySIZE: 9 UnitsPRICE: $1,305,500

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925 Hoover AvenueNational City, CA 91950TYPE: Multi-FamilySIZE: 10 UnitsPRICE: $1,300,000

SOLD by ARG SOLD by ARG