market update: first quarter 2016 san diego county current market...
TRANSCRIPT
w w w . A p a r t m e n t R e a l t y G r o u p . c o mTHE APARTMENT MARKET SPECIALISTS (858) 952-1031 | [email protected]
Ap ar tm en t Rea lt y Gr o u p , In c . | B R E #: 0 186 37 3 3225 1 S an D ie go A ven u e So u th Su i te 15 7 S an D i ego , CA 92 110
MARKET UPDATE:First Quarter 2016
SAN DIEGO COUNTY
SAN DIEGO COUNTY APARTMENT MARKET: March 2016
2016 is off to a strong start for the San Diego County rental market. Vacancy rates are steadily hovering just under threepercent county wide as the demand for rental housing increases due in part to the high price of home ownership. The lowvacancy rates will cause rents to continue to rise at a rate of three to five percent in most sub-markets. Another factor is thecompletion of fewer new apartment units scheduled for delivery in 2016 than in 2015. Going forward, the demand for qualityassets will remain high allowing sellers to remain firmly in control, receiving multiple offers on properties that are marketedproperly and priced reasonably.
The buyer pool is still vibrant with plenty of investors looking for opportunities, especially properties that are in needof stabilization or have a value-add component. Local and regional lenders continue to have an appetite for loans secured bymulti-family assets, but are requiring larger down payments - upwards of forty percent or higher - to offset diminishing debtcoverage ratios as the price of apartment buildings continue to increase and returns continue to shrink.
CURRENT MARKET CONDITIONS:
↘UNEMPLOYMENT: San Diego County unemployment rate is 4.7%
↗RENT: Rents are expected to rise county-wide by 3% - 4% in 2016
↘VACANCY: Currently 2.6% down from 4.1% in the Spring of 2015
VACANCY RATES BY REGION:
NORTH COUNTY - 2.4 percent
CITY OF SAN DIEGO - 2.8 percent
EAST COUNTY - 2.4 percent
SOUTH BAY - 2.5 percent
AVG CAP AVG GRM # of Sales AVG $/Unit AVG $/SFNORTH COASTAL: 3.97% 13.57 18 $208,513 $276
NORTH INLAND: 5.29% 11.56 40 $148,081 $174
CENTRAL COASTAL: 4.12% 15.41 42 $236,391 $374
CENTRAL SAN DIEGO: 4.84% 12.86 170 $176,098 $245
EAST COUNTY: 5.12% 11.77 47 $148,483 $180
SOUTH BAY: 5.21% 12.16 36 $165,552 $193
SAN DIEGO COUNTY SALES STATS (5 - 50 Units) January 1, 2015 – December 31, 2015:
VACANCY DATA IS COLLECTED FROM THE SAN DIEGO COUNTY APARTMENT ASSOCIATION (SDCAA) FALL 2015 San Diego Vacancy & Rental Rate Survey.' SALES DATA STATISTICS AREPROVIDED VIA COSTAR COMPS: 5-50 UNITS FROM 1/1/2015 – 12/31/2015. UNEMPLOYMENT SOURCE: CA EDD March 4, 2016). This information is for discussion purposes only and we believe to bereliable however, we make no representations or warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy of the information. References to square footage or age are approximate. Principals must verify theinformation and bears all risk for any inaccuracies. Apartment Realty Group (ARG) and/or any affiliate and/or agent(s) is not qualified to provide, and have not been contracted to provide, legal, financial, or taxadvice, and that any such advice regarding any investment by the recipients must be obtained from the recipients’ attorney, accountant, or tax professional.
www.Apa r tmen tRea l t yG roup . com
B e l o w i s a S a m p l e o f R e c e n t S o l d T r a n s a c t i o n s
4325 Marlborough AvenueSan Diego, CA 92105TYPE: Multi-FamilySIZE: 8 UnitsPRICE: $1,315,000
4812 70th StreetSan Diego, CA 92115TYPE: Multi-FamilySIZE: 25 UnitsPRICE: $3,600,000
4345 32nd StreetSan Diego, CA 92116TYPE: Multi-FamilySIZE: 5 UnitsPRICE: $1,065,000
SOLD by ARG SOLD by ARG
4502 40th StreetSan Diego, CA 92116TYPE: Multi-FamilySIZE: 6 UnitsPRICE: $1,150,000
6033-41 Brooklyn AvenueSan Diego, CA 92114TYPE: Multi-FamilySIZE: 20 UnitsPRICE: $2,025,000
4149 Central AvenueSan Diego, CA 92105TYPE: Multi-FamilySIZE: 14 UnitsPRICE: $1,975,000
SOLD by ARGSOLD by ARGSOLD by ARG
SOLD by ARG
368-370 Roosevelt StreetChula Vista, CA 91910TYPE: Multi-FamilySIZE: 8 UnitsPRICE: $1,625,000
SOLD by ARG SOLD by ARG
3029 J StreetSan Diego, CA 92102TYPE: Multi-FamilySIZE: 4 UnitsPRICE: $615,000
4044 Texas StreetSan Diego, CA 92104TYPE: Multi-FamilySIZE: 8 UnitsPRICE: $1,350,000
SOLD by ARG
SOLD by ARG
381 Millar AvenueEl Cajon, CA 92020TYPE: Multi-FamilySIZE: 9 UnitsPRICE: $1,305,500
422 Avocado AvenueEl Cajon, CA 92021TYPE: Multi-FamilySIZE: 4 UnitsPRICE: $764,000
925 Hoover AvenueNational City, CA 91950TYPE: Multi-FamilySIZE: 10 UnitsPRICE: $1,300,000
SOLD by ARG SOLD by ARG