market & technology trends · 2019. 5. 14. · gsm/umts 2.85 billion 87% 3.29 billion cellular...

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Torbjörn Nilsson 2008-02-05 1 Telecom Market & Technology Trends Javier Camargo Director Regional Latino América © Copyright Ericsson. All rights reserved Javier Camargo 2008-03-05 2 Harmonization is good for competition and market growth 1980 1990 2000 2010 1G - NMT 1G - TACS 1G - CNET 1G- AMPS Europe USA Slower market growth Stronger market growth GSM/WCDMA has more competition, suppliers and service innovators 3G - WCDMA 2G - GSM 3G - WCDMA 3G – cdma2000 2G – CDMA 2G - GSM 2G - TDMA Stronger market growth Slower market growth

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Page 1: Market & Technology Trends · 2019. 5. 14. · GSM/UMTS 2.85 Billion 87% 3.29 Billion Cellular Subscriptions Worldwide Others* 60 Million 1.8% *Others includes TDMA, iDENand PDC CDMA

Torbjörn Nilsson 2008-02-05

1

Telecom

Market &

Technology

Trends

Javier Camargo

Director Regional Latino América

© Copyright Ericsson. All rights reserved Javier Camargo 2008-03-052

Harmonization is good for

competition and market growth

1980 1990 2000 2010

1G - NMT

1G - TACS

1G - CNET

1G- AMPS

Europe

USA

Slower market growth

Stronger market growth

GSM/WCDMA has more competition, suppliers and service innovators

3G - WCDMA2G - GSM

3G - WCDMA

3G – cdma20002G – CDMA

2G - GSM

2G - TDMA

Stronger market growth

Slower market growth

Page 2: Market & Technology Trends · 2019. 5. 14. · GSM/UMTS 2.85 Billion 87% 3.29 Billion Cellular Subscriptions Worldwide Others* 60 Million 1.8% *Others includes TDMA, iDENand PDC CDMA

Torbjörn Nilsson 2008-02-05

2

© Copyright Ericsson. All rights reserved Javier Camargo 2008-03-053

LTE-A

Wireless standards

LTE

WiMAX 802.16e

HSPA

IMT-Advanced

4G

802.16m

GSM

CDMA2000

TD-SCDMA

© Copyright Ericsson. All rights reserved Javier Camargo 2008-03-054

3G Technology Capabilities

Source: EDGE, HSPA & LTE, RysavyResearch

Page 3: Market & Technology Trends · 2019. 5. 14. · GSM/UMTS 2.85 Billion 87% 3.29 Billion Cellular Subscriptions Worldwide Others* 60 Million 1.8% *Others includes TDMA, iDENand PDC CDMA

Torbjörn Nilsson 2008-02-05

3

© Copyright Ericsson. All rights reserved Javier Camargo 2008-03-055

The World Wireless Market

GSM/UMTS

2.85 Billion

87%

3.29 Billion Cellular Subscriptions Worldwide

Others*

60 Million

1.8%

*Others includes TDMA, iDEN and PDC

CDMA

381 Million

11.6%

Subscriptions by Technology Dec 2007

Source: Informa WCIS, Dec 07 Estimates

© Copyright Ericsson. All rights reserved Javier Camargo 2008-03-056

Wireless Technologies in Latin America

Dec 2006Dec 2006 Dec 2007Dec 2007

GSM GSMGSM

CDMA

Other

CDMAOther

Source: Informa Telecoms & Media, WCIS, Jan 2008

More than 300 million GSM users in the region at the end of 2007; same as

US population

Page 4: Market & Technology Trends · 2019. 5. 14. · GSM/UMTS 2.85 Billion 87% 3.29 Billion Cellular Subscriptions Worldwide Others* 60 Million 1.8% *Others includes TDMA, iDENand PDC CDMA

Torbjörn Nilsson 2008-02-05

4

© Copyright Ericsson. All rights reserved Javier Camargo 2008-03-057

Mobile phones,

media players,

camera

PC, PC cards,

USB modems

Wireless routers40%

50%

10%

Source: GSA (Global mobile Suppliers Association) Oct 2007

161 PC with embedded HSPA,

PC cards, USB modems

203 HSPA phones,

media players, camera

39 wireless routers

5 times more devices and 3 times more suppliers in one year

>400 HSPA enabled devicesEcosystem supporting broadband at home/work and on the

move

© Copyright Ericsson. All rights reserved Javier Camargo 2008-03-058

Banda ancha beneficia al usuario

With WCDMA 384 Kbps

With HSPA 3.6 Mbps

With HSPA 7.2 Mbps

With WCDMA 384 Kbps

With HSPA 3.6 Mbps

With HSPA 7.2 Mbps

With WCDMA 384 Kbps

With HSPA 3.6 Mbps

With HSPA 7.2 Mbps

Para descargar una canción de 3MB

Para descargar un video clip de 5MB

Para descarga de presentación de 10MB

4.3 min

27.8 sec

13.9 sec

2.2 min

13.9 sec

6.9 sec

1.3 min

8.3 sec

4.2 sec

Page 5: Market & Technology Trends · 2019. 5. 14. · GSM/UMTS 2.85 Billion 87% 3.29 Billion Cellular Subscriptions Worldwide Others* 60 Million 1.8% *Others includes TDMA, iDENand PDC CDMA

Torbjörn Nilsson 2008-02-05

5

© Copyright Ericsson. All rights reserved Javier Camargo 2008-03-059

Broadband benefits societyIndividuals, public services and enterprises

Social cohesion

involvement

Industrial/GDP growthjob creation/retention

New business

opportunities

Personal efficiency

Sustainable societypositive impact

on environment

Universal need for services & efficiency gain

Increased

enterprise and

government

efficiencies

Improved education

and health systems

Entertainment

and user generated

content

Improved delivery

of public services

© Copyright Ericsson. All rights reserved Javier Camargo 2008-03-0510

Relative CAPEX for infrastructure investment

(Propagation based)(TDD mode typically add 50-120 % more sites)

BBC R&D

Page 6: Market & Technology Trends · 2019. 5. 14. · GSM/UMTS 2.85 Billion 87% 3.29 Billion Cellular Subscriptions Worldwide Others* 60 Million 1.8% *Others includes TDMA, iDENand PDC CDMA

Torbjörn Nilsson 2008-02-05

6

© Copyright Ericsson. All rights reserved Javier Camargo 2008-03-0511

Summary

Wireless network will be lead by the one who offer more benefits

– Worldwide coverage.

– Seamless services.

– Always connected.

– Major terminals diversity.

Enough Harmonized Frequencies will help to develop BBS:

– Economies of scale;

– Cheaper terminal devices;

– Same applications worldwide

– Faster evolution and innovations (technologies / standards)

© Copyright Ericsson. All rights reserved Javier Camargo 2008-03-0512