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1
Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Productschap Wijn 2009(Dutch Wine Board)Market research 25 March 2010
Marco van den Berk Key account manager GfK Panel Services Benelux
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Content
Key facts Food development Total Netherlands & supermarkets
Total wines
sparkling wines
P-S-V segments
still wines price segments colour formats provinces (NL) district land buyer profiles
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Total Netherlands:In 2009 the situation differs compared to the situation in 2003/2004, because is 2009 there is (so far) no decline in Nett incomes. BUT: in year 2010 there is a decline predicted.
Development buying power
Financial crisisSeptember 2008
No/limited growth in 2010!Rising unemployment
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Around September 2008 (beginning of the financial crisis) consumer confidence achieved lowest point, but during the second part of 2009 level increased slowly. However, the negative emotion is still in the lead.
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Assortiment
Brands
Shop
Trading down related to shop, assortment and brand
BRAND LEADERS – A-BRANDS – PRIVATE LABELS – BUDGET BRANDS
STEAK– CHOP – MINCED MEAT– SAUSAGE - EGG
OUT OF HOME – SPECIAL SHOP – SUPERMARKET - DISCOUNTER?
CONSUMER
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Total Food market 2009 Food market
2008:€ 55.9 mld2009: € 55.4 mld
Food Service/OOH2008:€ 18.7 mld2009: € 17.8 mld
Supermarkets Food2008: € 25.6 mld2009: €26.5 mld
Speciaal shop/ market2008: € 11.6 mld2009: €11.1 mld
Drug/ non food2008: € 4.4 mld2009: € 4.6 mld
TOTAL SUPERMARKET SALES 2009: € 31.1 mld (+3.4%)*
-1.0%
+3.5% -4.0%
+3.5%Drug stores
Shopping mallset cetera
-5.0%
* Based on 52 weeks
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Relativenot valuable
Relative high
service
Relative low
service
Relativevaluable
Jumbo 2009
Plus 2009
Super de Boer 2009
Aldi 2009
Lidl 2009
C1000 2009
Dirk v.d. Broek 2009
Jumbo 2003
AH 2009
C1000 2003
Plus 2003
AH 2003
Dirk v.d. Broek 2003
Super de Boer 2003
Lidl 2003
Aldi 2003
All kind of supermarkets are more and more moving up to the middle. Nowadays, retailers try to distinguish themselves by price promotional activities.
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Promotional activities of A-brands and PL increased during the year 2009 within total supermarkets. In general, promotion rate is higher compared to 2008, what influence the pressure on (e.g.) special shops.
% Promotion Supermarkets Base: weekly periods
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52
A-Brands 2009
Private Label 2009
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Supermarkets realized a growth due to increased shopping trips. Special shops lose sales because of less visitors, who also visit less frequent. The performance of other stores (inclusive drug stores) slightly improved.
Total NLAll stores
Turn over index
Buyers index(% buying HH)
Trips index(# in visits)
Spending per trip index
(till roll)
Total Supermarkets
103 100 103 100
Total special shops 98 98 97 102
Other outlets/stores
101 100 99 102
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
2
60
38
Consumer expectations 2010: lot of consumers expect to spent less money to food at special shops and/or out of home. Next, in 2010 (for the first time!) consumers indicate that they are going to spent less to food at supermarkets.
Supermarkets Special shops Out of home
4
89
7
7
86
7
-3 0
2010 2009
3
76
20
5
76
19
-17 -14
2010 2009
3
61
36
-36 -33
2010 2009
Less
Same
More
More / same / less spending at specific outlets/stores?
Source: GfK Consumer Jury, 2008: measuring in September/October, 2009
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
2009: +2.6% 2008: +5.5%2009: +2.6% 2008: +5.5%
2009: +1.6% 2008: +0.5%2009: +1.6% 2008: +0.5%
2009: +0.6% 2008: +0.6%2009: +0.6% 2008: +0.6%
2009: +3.4% 2008: +6.2%2009: +3.4% 2008: +6.2%
2009: +1.0% 2008: +5.0%2009: +1.0% 2008: +5.0%
2009: -1.6% 2008: -0.6%2009: -1.6% 2008: -0.6%
2009: +3.2% 2008: +1.1%2009: +3.2% 2008: +1.1%
2009: 14.5% 2008: 11.6%2009: 14.5% 2008: 11.6%
Promo pressure14.9%
Source N=6000 GfK NL ConsumerScan, , (Attention: 2009 excl 53 week effect +1,6%)
GfK Forecast 2010: Total Supermarket turn overLimited growth of 1.5% with an increasing promotion pressure
Total value growth
Value growth per household
Growth number of households
Volume growth per household
Inflation growth
Volume decline per shopping trip
Growth number of trips
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
GfK Wine market What is reported?
Consumer purchases done by household to category wines, bought Consumer purchases done by household to category wines, bought in supermarket or elsewhere (e.g. specialty stores, department in supermarket or elsewhere (e.g. specialty stores, department stores or other stores). stores or other stores).
Not reported Not reported are wine purchases for business related use, informal are wine purchases for business related use, informal meetings, presents or purchases done abroad, et cetera. meetings, presents or purchases done abroad, et cetera.
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Which week periods are exactly reported?
Year 2007: week 1 till 52 2007. Year 2008: week 2 2008 till week 1 2009. Year 2009: week 2 till week 53 2009.
all periods are 52 weeks and only once New Years Eve is included.
WHY? because shifted New Year Eve over years boundaries.
GfK: Optimal correct trends regarding consumer behaviour.
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Total wines experiences an increasing development due to more buying households (+130.000).Turnover increases even faster because of a higher average price level.
NL households
* growth-% versus year ago
Value growth in supermarkets in 2008: + 6.2%. Value growth in supermarkets in 2009: + 3.4%.
Market shares of category wines increased in total food supermarkets to (almost) 3%.
Year 2007 Year 2008 Year 2009
Volume-growth * +1% +2% +2%
Value growth * +1% +7% +4%
Penetration 78.1% 78.1% 79.9%
Price per 0.75 ltr € 2,63 € 2,77 € 2,83
Development Wines in Netherlands
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
€ 2,72 per 0.75 ltr 2008 + € 0,07 vs 2008
€ 3,84 per 0.75 ltr 2009
+ € 0,22 vs 2008
€ 3,36 per 0.75 ltr 2009
+ € 0,04 vs 2008
Total Wines:2009:
Volume 102Value 104
Penetration: 79.9%
2008: Volume 102Value 107
Penetration: 78.1%
Total Still Wine2009:
Volume 101Value 104
Penetration: 72.7%
2008: Volume 103Value 108
Penetration: 71.9%
Total sparkling Wine2009:
Volume 133Value 141
Penetration: 26.1%
2008: Volume 105Value 116
Penetration: 21.9%
Total P-S-V segment2009:
Volume 92Omzet 93
Penetratie: 32.8%
2008: Volume 94
Value 103Penetration: 33.4%
€ 2,83 per 0.75 ltr 2009
€ 2,77 per 0.75 ltr 2008
NL householdsIndices versus year ago
Value share (%) YEAR 2009
Total wines 100.0 Still wines 78.7
Sparkling wines 5.2 P-S-V segment 14.6
Development total wines by type
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Totaal Mousserend:
index 163
17
13
14
942
4
37
16
19
12
743
4
35
14
29
1054
23
34
Lambrusco
Prosecco
Champagne
Overig Frans
Cava
Sekt
Asti spumante
Ov. mousserendewijn
Value share total sparkling winesPenetration = 21.2%
Penetration = 21.9%
Penetration = 26.1%
Total Sparkling wines 2007 2009:Prosecco developped positively in terms of value shares within segment sparkling wines since 2007. Also Lambrusco, Cava, Asti Spumante and Champagne developped well since 2007. Next, Asti frizzante is gaining volume within other sparkling wines.
2007 2008 2009
index absolute value 2009
versus 2007
Lambrusco 121 Prosecco 356 Champagne 107 Other French 84 Cava 151 Sekt 100 Asti Spumante 119
Other sparkling wines 136
Total sparkling Index 163
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
% buying households
Value share within total wines based on age housewife
PERIOD: MAT Q4 2009
Total sparkling wines and Prosecco are more popular among the younger households under 40 years old Lambrusco is bought by older households, where housewife (or man) is between 40-65 years.
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Value shares within strong sparkling wines based on age housewife
PERIOD: average of last 3 years.
Especially Asti Spumante and (in less extend) Cava have a younger buyer profile compared with Champagne and Other French wines. Buyer profile of Sekt is the oldest profile of all strong sparkling wines.
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Development of Segment fruitwines/cider is positively influenced thought the introduction of two new brands in the market during YEAR 2009.
0
100
200
300
400
500
p1 p3 p5 p7 p9 p11
p13 p2 p4 p6 p8 p1
0p1
2 p1 p3 p5 p7 p9 p11
p13
0
2
4
6
8
Bought litres x 1000 % buying households
INTRO2009:
Volume 194Value 218
Penetration: 14.0%
2008: Volume 89Value 100
Penetration: 6.0%
Value share: 1.4%
€ 2,24 per 0.75 ltr 2009+ € 0,25 versus 2008
2007 2008 2009
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Total P-S-V:
2009:Volume 92Value 93
Penetration: 32.8%
2008: Volume 94Value 103
Penetration: 33.4%
Port
2009:Volume 93Value 94
Penetration: 20.2%
2008:Volume 105Value 112
Penetration: 20.4%
Sherry
2009:Volume 95Value 96
Penetration: 8.4%
2008: Volume 86Value 93
Penetration: 10.1%
Vermouth
2009:Volume 72Value 74
Penetration: 5.3%
2008: Volume 94
Value 101 Penetration: 6.2%
€ 3,36 per 0.75 ltr 2009
€ 3,32 per 0.75 ltr 2008
excluding other vermouth look-a-likes wines
Value shares (%)JAAR 2009
P-S-V 100.0 Port 49.1Sherry 35.3
Vermouth and others 15.6 Vermouth 9.4
€ 3,95 per 0.75 ltr 2009+ € 0,05 versus 2008
€ 3,45 per 0.75 ltr 2009
+ € 0,07 versus 2008
€ 2,99 per 0.75 ltr 2009
+ € 0,05 vs 2008
Development P-S-V segment per segment
NL householdsIndices versus year ago
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Total Still Wines ex Perl:
2009:Volume 101Value 104
Penetration: 72.7%
2008: Volume 103Value 108
Penetration: 71.9%
Totaal Rode stille wijn:
2009:Volume 102Omzet 103
Penetratie: 56.0%
2008: Volume 104Omzet 108
Penetratie: 56.4%
Totaal Witte stille wijn:
2009:Volume 101Omzet 105
Penetratie: 54.4%
2008: Volume 104Omzet 109
Penetratie: 53.0%
Totaal Rosé stille wijn:
2009:Volume 101Omzet 103
Penetratie: 36.5%
2008: Volume 101Omzet 105
Penetratie: 35.5%
€ 2,72 per 0.75 ltr 2009
€ 2,65 per 0.75 ltr 2008
€ 2,24 per 0.75 ltr 2009+ € 0,25 versus 2008
€ 2,65 per 0.75 ltr 2009+ € 0,10 versus 2008
€ 2,58 per 0.75 ltr 2009+ € 0,05 versus 2008
€ 2,79 per 0.75 ltr 2009+ € 0,04 versus 2008
Vruchtenwijnen:
2009:Volume 194Omzet 218
Penetratie: 14.0%
2008: Volume 89
Omzet 100Penetratie: 6.0%
Development Still wines segment
NL householdsIndices versus year ago
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 2 5 8 11 14 17 20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44 47 50 53
Poly. (average price) Poly. (Volume) Poly. (% buying HH) Poly. (Value)
Value sales
% buying households
Volume (litres)
Average price per 0.75 ltr
2007 2008 2009
The value growth of Still wines is slightly decreasing during 2009. Same applies for buying households, which (also) influence the volume growth. The driver of value growth is the increasing price level per bottle (0.75 ltr).
Trends based on individual week
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Based on value Still wines (excl. Perl)
% buying households
+
--
+++
----
108
112
132
128
106
115
102
99
132
97
Index absolute LTRS (base: 2007)
Price per 0,75 ltr
Since 2008 a shift can be detected from the lowest wine price segment (less than €2,50) to the price level just above. Also the performance of still wines above €4,50 per 0.75 ltr has improved. Segment €3.50-4.50 Euro per 0.75 ltr shows a more stable trend.
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
In the northern provinces and Limburg the average spendings per household are the lowest. Also in these regions spendings declined compared to last year.
€105
€95
€102
€63
€94
€71
€71
€83€81
€60
€64
Period 1: Year 2008 Period 2: Year 2009
Average Netherlan
ds€83,- (index 104)
per households(household usage)
€78
Still wines (excl. perl)
Northern provinces
Value index 99
South-east provinces
Value index 103
West & MiddleProvinces
Value index 105
Consumer Tracking Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
23 March 2010
Double Income, No Kids
- 2 persons in household
- no children
- Working both fulltime ( 25 hours a week)
Young Singles
- 1 person in household
- no children
- Age: < 40
Households with children, low income
- 2 persons in household
- Household with children (incl. 18+)
- Net Income < € 2300,-
Households with children, high income
- 2 persons in household
- Household with children (incl. 18+)
- Net Income > € 2300,-
Singles (40-65 year)
- 1 person in household
- No children
- Age: 40 – 65
Wage earners (2p)
- 2 persons in household
- No children
- Max. 1 person works fulltime
Pensioners, low income
- 1 or 2 persons in household
- Head of household is retired
AOW/VUT benefit
- Net Income < € 1700,-
Pensioners, high income
- 1 or 2 persons in household
- Head of household is retired
AOW/VUT benefit
- Net Income > € 1700,-
Definitions GfK-Life-Cycle
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Limited volume growth among profile type young/older singles for still wines. A more positive trend (in litres) among ‘’wage earners families’’ (empty nests) en pensioners. Among DINK’s and HH with kids a decline in volume per household can be detected.
Litres per average household per lifecycle
YEAR 2007
YEAR 2009
Index (litre) 2009
vs 2007
difference in litres per HH
in 2009 vs 2007
Total Netherlands 22,05 22,80 104 + 0.75ltr
Young singles < 40 years 6,11 7,09 116 + 0.98 ltr
Double income, no kids 20,24 17,33 86 - 2.91 ltr
HH with kids, low income 19,86 18,82 95 - 1.04 ltr
HH with kids, high income 26,00 24,81 95 - 1.19ltr
Wage earners (2p.) 32,68 34,57 106 +1.89 ltr
Singles 40-65 years 22,27 22,41 101 + 0.14 ltr
Pensioners, low income 19,46 22,26 114 +2.80 ltr
Pensioners, high income 35,27 37,47 106 + 2,20 ltr
Development volume per average households for total Still wines ( in litres).
*total still wines excluding perl
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
15.0
63.1
30.7
17.615.8
63.0
30.8
18.017.0
64.1
30.5
18.2
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Bottle < 0.75 ltr Bottle 0.75 ltr Bottle > 0.75 ltr Otherpackages
Year 2007 Year 2008 Year 2009
Smaller bottles and other packages (e.g. bag-in-box) gained to a limited extend extra buyers. In terms of value shares both segments are still rather small. The 0.75 ltr bottles are still the standard and even show an increase in buyers in 2009.
Still wines excl. perl Development %
buying HH and volume shares
Volume share 2008 2009 1.0 % 1.2%
Volume share 2008 2009 61.8% 61.7%
Volume share 2008 2009 23.4 23.4%
Volume share 2008 2009 13.8 13.7%
Volume in ltr Value n €
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
% buying households
Smaller bottle formats are especially popular among DINK’s and Wage earners (2p.). Large bottles and other packages are more popular among pensioners, less income.
Period: Year 2009
Value share within total still wines ex. perl based on GfK life cycle
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Total Still Wines ex perl:
2009:Volume 101Value 104
Penetration: 72.7%
2008: Volume 103Value 108
Penetration: 71.9%
Total Red wijn:
2009:Volume 102Value 103
Penetration: 56.0%
2008: Volume 104Value 108
Penetration: 56.4%
Total White wines:
2009:Volume 101Value 105
Penetration: 54.4%
2008: Volume 104Value 109
Penetration: 53.0%
Total Rosé wines:
2009:Volume 101Value 103
Penetration: 36.5%
2008: Volume 101Value 105
Penetration: 35.5%
€ 2,72 per 0.75 ltr 2009
€ 2,65 per 0.75 ltr 2008
NL householdsIndices versus year ago
Development Still wines by sort and colour
€ 2,65 per 0.75 ltr 2009
+ € 0,10 versus 2008
€ 2,58 per 0.75 ltr 2009
+ € 0,05 versus 2008
€ 2,79 per 0.75 ltr 2009
+ € 0,04 versus 2008
Value share (%)JAAR 2009
Still wines (ex perl) 100.0 Red 55.3
White 31.3 Rosé 13.5
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Relativehighservice
Relativelow
service
Supermarkets position matrix in NL (consumer perception)(Hard) Discount, Middle and Service
Relativeinexpensive
Relativeexpensive
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Total Still Winesexcluding perl:
2009:Volume 101Value 104
Penetration: 72.7%
2008: Volume 103Value 108
Penetration: 71.9%
Service Supermarkets:
2009:Volume 111Value 110
Penetration: 42.4%%
2008: Volume 102Value 108
Penetration: 41.7%
Middle Supermarkets:
2009:Volume 101Value 100
Penetration: 32.9%
2008: Volume 94Value 101
Penetration: 32.7%
Hard Discounters
2009:Volume 94Value 98
Penetration: 40.4%
2008: Volume 112Value 118
Penetration: 39.3%
Totaal Rosé stille wijn:
2009:Volume 101Omzet 103
Penetratie: 36.5%
2008: Volume 101Omzet 105
Penetratie: 35.5%
€ 2,65 per 0.75 ltr 2009
€ 2,72 per 0.75 ltr 2008
Totaal Rosé stille wijn:
2009:Volume 101Omzet 103
Penetratie: 36.5%
2008: Volume 101Omzet 105
Penetratie: 35.5%
Totaal Slijterijen:
2009:Volume 93
Omzet 100Penetratie: 9.7%
2008: Volume 93Omzet 94
Penetratie: 9.8%
Liquor stores
2009:Volume 93Value 100
Penetration: 9.0%
2008: Volume 92Value 93
Penetration: 9.2%
Development still wines by outlet / store type
€ 2,99 per 0.75 ltr 2009
- € 0,01 versus 2008
€ 2,26 per 0.75 ltr 2009
+ € 0,09 versus 2008
€ 4,51 per 0.75 ltr 2009
+ € 0,31 versus 2008
€ 2,56 per 0.75 ltr 2009
- € 0,03 versus 2008
NL householdsIndices versus year ago
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
After a strong decrease in 2008, no growth of discounters in 2009. Service/middle supermarkets experience a growth up to 60% market share. Liquor stores stabilize their current market share in value in consumer spendings..
NL households
Indices versus year ago
Value shares2008 2009
Total Netherlands 100 100Service/Middle supermarkets 58 60
Hard discount supermarkets 30 28Liquor stores 6 6Other stores 6 6
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
‘’Still French wines’’ are losing ground within each outlet! On the other hand South African wines perform better. Next to this, German wines perform well ( but mainly) at hard discounters.
Still wines total (excl. Perl) 2007 2009 Development value shares countries to outlets
2007 2009 2007 2009 2007 2009 2007 2009
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Total
2009:Volume 101Value 104
Penetration: 72.7%
European:
2009:Volume 95Value 97
Penetration: 65.5%
Not European:
2009:Volume 112Value 113
Penetration: 50.5%
Frankrijk:
2009:Volume 94Omzet 95
Penetratie: 54.5%
Duitsland
2009:Volume 101Omzet 109
Penetratie: 22.6%
Spanje:
2009:Volume 96Omzet 96
Penetratie: 24.3%
Spanje:
2009:Volume 93
Omzet 101Penetratie: 15.7%
€ 2,72 per 0.75 ltr 2009+ € 0,07 versus 2008
€ 2,56 per 0.75 ltr 2009+ € 0,05 versus 2008
€ 2,95 per 0.75 ltr 2009+ € 0,02 versus 2008
Overig Europees:
2009:Volume 93Omzet 97
Penetratie: 7.9%
€ 1,97 per 0.75 ltr 2009€ 0,07 versus 2008
€ 2,66 per 0.75 ltr 2009€ 0,04 versus 2008
€ 1,78 per 0.75 ltr 2009€ 0,13 versus 2008
€ 2,97 per 0.75 ltr 2009- € 0,01 versus 2008
€ 3,55 per 0.75 ltr 2009€ 0,28 versus 2008
Still Wines ex. Perl by region & country
NL householdsIndices versus year ago
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Total Still wines (ex. perl)
2009:Volume 101Value 104
Penetration: 72.7%
European:
2009:Volume 95Value 97
Penetration: 65.5%
Not European:
2009:Volume 112Value 113
Penetration: 50.5%
France
2009:Volume 94Value 95
Penetration: 54.5%
Germany
2009:Volume 101Value 109
Penetration: 22.6%
Spain
2009:Volume 96Value 96
Penetration: 24.3%
Italy
2009:Volume 93Value 101
Penetration: 15.7%
€ 2,72 per 0.75 ltr 2009+ € 0,07 versus 2008
€ 2,56 per 0.75 ltr 2009+ € 0,05 versus 2008
€ 2,95 per 0.75 ltr 2009+ € 0,02 versus 2008
Other European
2009:Volume 93Value 97
Penetration: 7.9%
€ 1,97 per 0.75 ltr 2009+ € 0,07 versus 2008
€ 2,66 per 0.75 ltr 2009+ € 0,04 versus 2008
€ 1,78 per 0.75 ltr 2009+ € 0,13 versus 2008
€ 2,97 per 0.75 ltr 2009- € 0,01 versus 2008
€ 3,55 per 0.75 ltr 2009+ € 0,28 versus 2008
Still Wines ex. Perl by region & country
NL householdsIndices versus year ago
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
France is losing share within Still wines excl. perl (66% 61%). German wines profit, because of the good performance at hard discounters. Spanish and Italian wines are stabilizing in share within European wines.
Value index 2008 vs 2007
103
Value index 2009 vs 2008
97
Most important European countries based on price per 0.75 litre Still wines (excl. Perl)
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
French Still wines
2009:Volume 94Value 95
Penetration: 54.5%
Quality wines
2009:Volume 83Value 88
Penetration: 30.0%
Table wines
2009:Volume 105Value 103
Penetration: 17.1%
Land wines
2009:Volume 97Value 98
Penetration: 40.7%
€ 2,62 per 0.75 ltr 2009€ 2,66 per 0.75 ltr 2008
Total French still wines excl. perl
€ 3,33 per 0.75 ltr 2009+ € 0,20 versus 2008
€ 2,46 per 0.75 ltr 2009+ € 0,01 versus 2008
€ 2,27 per 0.75 ltr 2009+ € 0,05 versus 2008
NL householdsIndices versus year ago
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
% buying households
Value shares wines qualities French Still wines (ex.
Perl)
Total penetration of French wines did not further decline in 2009. Nevertheless, value sales are going down because the average buyer bought less liters per household (-6%, index 94). Especially French quality wines lost marketshare.
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
% buying households
Within French stil wines no large profile differences are found. Only quality wine is more popular among families with kids and pensioners high income and DINK’s.
Value share Still French wines excl. perl by stage of family cycle
Period: Year 2009
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Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
30
9
5
5
3
8
3
10
8
French
Bordeaux
Bourgogne
Loire
Elzas
Rhone
Zuid-west
Zuid-oost
Other French
Value share 2009
15
27
4
14
6
8
8
18
100
81
Abs. value index 2009
versus 2008
96
99
81
79
88
74
98
86
French Still Quality wines
Total NL
None French wine region develops positively! Bourgogne, Rhone and quality wines of south-east Franch are just slightly going down.
% buying households 2009
52
Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Total Still wines ex. perl
2009:Volume 101Value 104
Penetration: 72.7%
Not European:
2009:Volume 112Value 113
Penetration: 50.5%
European:
2009:Volume 95Value 97
Penetration: 65.5%
Zuid-Afrika:
2009:Volume 116Omzet 116
Penetratie: 38.5%
Australië:
2009:Volume 114Omzet 119
Penetratie: 17.8%
Chili:
2009:Volume 117Omzet 115
Penetratie: 22.7%
Argentinië:
2009:Volume 96Omzet 99
Penetratie: 10.0%
€ 2,72 per 0.75 ltr 2009+ € 0,07 versus 2008
€ 2,56 per 0.75 ltr 2009+ € 0,05 versus 2008
€ 2,95 per 0.75 ltr 2009+ € 0,02 versus 2008
Overig NWW-landen:
2009:Volume 89Omzet 98
Penetratie: 12.3%
€ 3,30 per 0.75 ltr 2009€ 0,30 versus 2008
€ 2,61 per 0.75 ltr 2009- € 0,01 versus 2008
€ 3,78 per 0.75 ltr 2009€ 0,14 versus 2008
€ 3,11 per 0.75 ltr 2009- € 0,06 versus 2008
€ 3,28 per 0.75 ltr 2009€ 0,12 versus 2008
Still Wines ex. Perl by region & country
NL householdsIndices versus year ago
53
Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Total Still wines ex. perl
2009:Volume 101Value 104
Penetration: 72.7%
Not European
2009:Volume 112Value 113
Penetration: 50.5%
European:
2009:Volume 95Value 97
Penetration: 65.5%
South Africa
2009:Volume 116Value 116
Penetration: 38.5%
Australia
2009:Volume 114Value 119
Penetration: 17.8%
Chile
2009:Volume 117Value 115
Penetration: 22.7%
Argentina
2009:Volume 96Value 99
Penetration: 10.0%
€ 2,72 per 0.75 ltr 2009+ € 0,07 versus 2008
€ 2,56 per 0.75 ltr 2009+ € 0,05 versus 2008
€ 2,95 per 0.75 ltr 2009+ € 0,02 versus 2008
Other NWW countries:
2009:Volume 89Value 98
Penetration: 12.3%
€ 3,30 per 0.75 ltr 2009+ € 0,30 versus 2008
NL householdsIndices versus year ago
€ 2,61 per 0.75 ltr 2009- € 0,01 versus 2008
€ 3,78 per 0.75 ltr 2009+ € 0,14 versus 2008
€ 3,11 per 0.75 ltr 2009- € 0,06 versus 2008
€ 3,28 per 0.75 ltr 2009+ € 0,12 versus 2008
Still Wines ex. Perl by region & country
54
Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Share of South African wines has risen up to (nearly) 50% within non- European countries. Importance of runner-up Chile has increased (1/5 of the market). Also Australian wines have expanded their share in NWW.
+
Value index 2009 vs 2008:
113
Value index 2008 vs 2007:
116
+
+
Most important New World Wine countries based on value sales Still wines (excl. Perl)
55
Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Most important New World Wine countries based on price per 0.75 ltr Still wines (excl. Perl)
+
Value index 2009 vs 2008:
113
Value index 2008 vs 2007:
116
€2,54
€3,25
€3,30
€3,33€3,78€3,64
€2,61€2,62
€3,30€2,99 €3,00
€3,16
€3,17
€3,28
€3,11
Growth South African wine is perhaps related to lower price level and not by a declining price setting per bottle.
56
Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Thank you for your attention !
GOOD LUCK SELLING YOUR WINES
57
Market research Productschap Wijn 2009 GfK ConsumerScan Panel
Consumer Tracking 25 March 2010
Productschap Wijn 2009(Dutch Wine Board)Market research 25 March 2010
Marco van den Berk Key account manager GfK Panel Services Benelux