market report on the letting of · parx, which is constructing around 100,000 sqm of logistics...
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Greater Hamburg area for 2018
MARKET REPORT ON THE LETTING OF LOGISTICS PROPERTIES AND INDUSTRIAL SPACES
Market report on the letting of logistics properties and industrial spaces in the Greater Hamburg area* for 2018
>> Take-up of logistic property and industrial space in the greater Hamburg area
MARKET REPORT ON THE LETTING OF LOGISTICS PROPERTIES AND INDUSTRIAL SPACES // Greater Hamburg area for 2018
n Hamburg logistics market sees volume growth
of 9 %
n Hamburg South the region with the highest
take-up at 49 %
n Five top deals in excess of 20,000 sqm
n Still no logistics boxes available in the size cate-
gory of 50,000 sqm and larger
n Prime rents approach the EUR 6.00/sqm
threshold
n Port of Hamburg almost fully let
n Forecast for 2019: Take-up could decline due to
shortage in supply (up to 18 %)
As forecasted by Realogis after the first half of
2018, the Hamburg logistics market* could out-
perform previous year’s results. Take-up by all
market participants amounted to 490,000 sqm in
2018, an increase of 9 % compared with 2017
(450,000 sqm). This represents the third-highest
figure in the past five years after the record fig-
ures registered in 2016 (610,000 sqm) and 2015
(540,000 sqm) and is just below the five-year av-
erage (512,000 sqm).
“Total take-up would have been considerably
higher if there had been more available space,”
commented Jörg Lojewski, Managing Director of
the market-leading logistics expert Realogis Im-
mobilien Hamburg GmbH, which itself brokered
around 100,000 sqm or one-fifth of the total
take-up in 2018.“ Unfortunately, the extremely
high level of demand – particularly for logistics
properties with high suitability for third-party use
– cannot be met due to the lack of product avail-
ability. Furthermore, there are very few plots still
in stock for development.
Hamburg South defended its leading position
in terms of take-up also in 2018, accounting
for an impressive 49 % of the overall figure
(240,100 sqm) at the end the year. Four of the
five biggest deals were concluded in the re-
gion around the Port of Hamburg and Harburg.
The East region took second place at 34 %
(166,600 sqm).
In 2018, the Hamburg logistics market was
particularly characterised by deals in the size
category of 10,000 sqm and above (34 %,
166,600 sqm). While no deals in excess of
20,000 sqm were concluded in 2017, Realogis
registered no fewer than five top deals last year.
Smaller units up to 3,000 sqm were well repre-
sented once again, accounting for 30 % of take-
up (147,000 sqm). Despite high demand, limited
availability in the medium size categories result-
ed in take-up of 16 % (3,001 to 5,000 sqm) and
20 % (5,001 to 10,000 sqm) respectively.
Take-up by size
Take-up by region
>> Take-up of logistic property and industrial space by regions in the greater Hamburg area 2018
>> Take-up of logistic property and industrial space by size in the greater Hamburg area 2018
2015 20162014 20182017
800,000 sqm700,000 sqm600,000 sqm500,000 sqm400,000 sqm300,000 sqm200,000 sqm100,000 sqm
0 sqm
Region East166,600 sqm
34 %
Region South240,100 sqm49 %
Region West44,100 sqm 9 %
Region North39,200 sqm
8 %
≥ 10,001 sqm 5,001 - 10,000 sqm 3,001 - 5,000 sqm ≤ 3,000 sqm
MARKET REPORT ON THE LETTING OF LOGISTICS PROPERTIES AND INDUSTRIAL SPACES // Greater Hamburg area for 2018
Logistics has been the leading sector in terms
of take-up for a number of years. In 2018, it
accounted for no less than 294,000 sqm or 60 %
of total take-up. This represents growth of 17 %,
signifying a record year for the Hamburg logistics
market. As many companies still want to be close
to the container terminals, Realogis expects logis-
tics to remain the sector with the highest take-up
in 2019.
Although retail defended its second place, it
accounted for just 24 % (117,600 sqm) of total
take-up, a quarter less than in the previous year
(157,500 sqm). Production companies saw lower
take-up of just 9 % (44,100 sqm) in 2018 com-
pared with between 14 % and 16 % in the past
four years.
Space in the size category of 50,000 sqm and
above, which is interesting for e-commerce in the
northernmost of Germany’s top seven logistics
markets in particular, remains unavailable. There
are no existing or planned logistics boxes of this
size.
Having remained stable at EUR 5.70/sqm for the
past four years, prime rents on the Hamburg
logistics market rose to EUR 5.90/sqm in 2018
(+3.5 %), thereby approaching the EUR 6.00/sqm
threshold in 2018 for the first time. Average rents
have also increased since 2016 and now amount
to EUR 4.80/sqm (+4 %).
No new development activity is possible in the
Port of Hamburg due to the lack of available
sites. This market segment will also be fully let for
the first time in Q2/2019. Where the Hamburg
logistics market does still have sites available for
development, new logistics space will also be
realised as multi-storey buildings in the future.
One example is provided by the developer Four
Parx, which is constructing around 100,000 sqm
of logistics space near the Port in the Hamburg
district of Wilhelmsburg; this will be the first fa-
cility of its kind to stretch over two floors.
Given this scenario, it is no surprise that prime
rents will exceed EUR 6.00/sqm for the first time
in 2019.
As the deepening of the Elbe River has finally
been approved following years of court proceed-
ings, the latest generation of container ships will
also be able to access the Port of Hamburg in the
future, leading to growth in container turnover.
Demand will remain high in 2019. However, the
low availability of space means we expect total
take-up to decline to between 400,000 and
430,000 sqm. This would represent a reduction
of between 12 % and 18 % compared with
2018.
>> Take-up of logistic property and industrial space by industry in the greater Hamburg area 2018 Take-up by industry
Relevant deals in 2018
Rising rents
1. nord logistic
in the Hamburg district of Altenwerder/Port,
29,000 sqm (Expansion)
2. BOR Handelslogistik
in the Hamburg district of Waltershof/Port,
29,000 sqm (Expansion)
3. IN tIME Express Logistik
in Buchholz i.d.N./Hamburg South,
28,000 sqm (Owner-occupier expansion)
4. Getriebebau Nord
in Bargteheide/Hamburg East,
27,000 sqm (Expansion)
5. Kühne + Nagel
in the Hamburg district of Moorburg/Port,
22,000 sqm (Expansion)
>> Prime and average rents of logistics property and industrial space in Hamburg
Outlook for 2019
Manufacturing9 %
Supply/Others7 %
Logistics/Distribution60 %
Retail/Wholesale
24 %
6.50 €/sqm
6.00 €/sqm
5.50 €/sqm
5.00 €/sqm
4.50 €/sqm
4.00 €/sqm2015 20162014 20182017
4.55 4.55 4.60 4.654.80
5.70 5.70 5.70 5.705.90
prime rents average rents
MARKET REPORT ON THE LETTING OF LOGISTICS PROPERTIES AND INDUSTRIAL SPACES // Greater Hamburg area for 2018
* Greater Hamburg market area
Realogis defines as a sub-market the relevant, available warehouse, logistics and production space in the Hamburg region and along the A1 motorway
(Lübeck – Bremen), the A7 (Hanover – Flensburg) and the A39 from “Maschener Kreuz” within a radius of approx. 50 km.
Logistics Property Market Hamburg: Rental Prices 2019 (EUR/sqm)
Lübeck
ItzehoeKellinghusen
261
23
2321
20
20
24
24
1
1
1
7
7
7
39
FintelDahlenburg
Hitzacker
Vellahn
Wittenburg
Gadebusch
Kalkhorst
Amt Neuhaus
Bremervörde
Sittensen
Scheeßel
Lamstedt
Tarmstedt
Hemmoor
BadSchwartau
Brunsbüttel
BurgWacken
Quickborn
Ratzeburg
Barsbüttel
Ahrensburg
Norderstedt Bargteheide
Kaltenkirchen
Elmshom
Jork
Geesthacht
Lünesburg
Salzhausen
Hanstedt
Tostedt
Büchen
Trittau
Roseburg
LauenburgWinsen
Seevetal
Buxtehude
Fredenbeck
Apensen
BadOldesloe
BadBramstedt
BadSegeberg
Stade
Pinneberg
Barmstedt
Hamburg
Region North3.80 - 5.50
Region East3.90 - 5.50
South5.70 - 5.90
West5.00 - 6.80
Nord5.50 - 6.50
East4.80 - 5.90
Region South4.30 - 4.70
Region West4.50 - 5.50
Sandesneben
MARKET REPORT ON THE LETTING OF LOGISTICS PROPERTIES AND INDUSTRIAL SPACES // Greater Hamburg area for 2018
REALOGISImmobilien
HamburgGmbH
Gotenstraße 21
20097 Hamburg
phone: +49 (0)40 - 54 80 857 - 0
fax: +49 (0)40 - 54 80 857 - 29
email: [email protected]
www.realogis.de
Contact:
Jörg Lojewski (Managing director)
phone: +49 (0)40 - 54 80 857 - 0
fax: +49 (0)40 - 54 80 857 - 29
email: [email protected]
Contact:
Stefan Imken (Managing director)
phone: +49 (0)40 - 54 80 857 - 0
fax: +49 (0)40 - 54 80 857 - 29
email: [email protected]
Contact:
Irina Lysenko (Research Analyst)
phone: +49 (0)89 - 51 55 69 - 287
fax: +49 (0)89 - 51 55 69 - 29
email: [email protected]
REALOGIS –
Pioneers in Logistics since 2005
When Realogis was first established in 2005, we
had an ambitious goal: to become the market
leader for property lettings in the “industrial and
logistics” segment. The concentration and poo-
ling of our know-how into this niche market has
proved successful: in 2015 we again gained
market leadership in Germany for space take-up
in industrial properties, warehouses and logistics
properties. What’s more, we have also continued
to expand our share of the European market.
Today, the owner-managed Realogis group, which
is headquartered in Munich and also has offices in
Berlin, Dusseldorf, Frankfurt, Hamburg and Stutt-
gart, not only offers lettings and consultancy ser-
vices but is also a sought-after partner of investors
and institutional investors, to whom we offer our
comprehensive experience and in-depth regional,
national and international market knowledge.
Extensive consultancy services in the areas of
logistics and fulfilment round off our range of
services. With a team of highly motivated and
well-trained professionals, we continually strive
to provide long-term support to our customers
and enable them to benefit from our position as
market leader.
Our services
n Preparation of a detailed and individual requi-
rements profile
n Targeted offers
n Development of possible alternatives
(leasing, purchase)
n Integrated Realogis logistics consultancy to
define the optimal location and implement
internal processes in an existing property
REALOGIS –
Available to you directly on-site in Hamburg
We are your point of contact for the letting of in-
dustrial and logistics property as well as business
parks in the Hamburg region, and have been the
market leader in this segment since 2012. You’re
looking for a certain type of property? We will
define the precise details of your requirements,
enhance your search profile and provide you with
exact property matches. Maybe you are looking
for a new tenant for your property. In that case we
will assist you in valuing your property and setting
the optimal rental price. We handle the professio-
nal presentation of your property to the public and
ensure a prompt letting.
Both tenant and landlord benefit from the many
years of specialist market knowledge of our ap-
proximately five-strong consultancy team in the
region, as well as our market proximity and valu-
able contacts. We only employ well educated and
experienced property consultants, and also offer
access to an in-house department that can sup-
port your built-to-suit solutions across Germany.
Please contact us about any decisions relating to
industrial and logistics property.
n Sound and realistic valuation of your property /
land
n Individual marketing concept
n Advice on optimising property
n Strategy consulting to minimise the risk of
vacancies and defaults
n Extensive regional, national and international
contact network of potential tenants