market outlook, 24-07-2013
TRANSCRIPT
-
7/27/2019 Market Outlook, 24-07-2013
1/17
www.angelbroking.com
Market OutlookJuly 24, 2013
Dealers Diary
Indian markets are expected to open in the red today tracking a weak opening in
SGX Nifty, which is down by 0.7%. The RBI has imposed some more measures to
tighten liquidity to stabilize INR which could result in a decline in the markets today.
Most of the Asian markets too are trading in the negative territory.
US markets fluctuated over the course of the trading session on Tuesday after
failing to sustain an early upside move. The major indices ended the day in
opposite directions. While the Dow edged up 0.1% to a new record closing high,
the Nasdaq dropped 0.6%. S&P 500 too fell by 0.2% during the day. The initial
strength on Wall Street was partly due to a positive reaction to the latest batch of
earnings news, although buying interest reduced soon after the opening trade. The
majority of the European market ended Tuesday's session in negative territory. The
markets which witnessed early strength due to statements by Chinese Premier Li
Keqiang that the nation will not let GDP growth go below 7% this year; fell in late
trade.
Meanwhile the Indian markets rose higher on Tuesday after the RBI announced
further steps to control gold import.
Markets Today
The trend deciding level for the day is 20,301/ 6,077 levels. If NIFTY trades above
this level during the first half-an-hour of trade then we may witness a further rally
up to 20,352 20,402 / 6,094 6,110 levels. However, if NIFTY trades below
20,301 / 6,077 levels for the first half-an-hour of trade then it may correct up to
20,251 20,200 / 6,062 6,045 levels.
Indices S2 S1 PIVOT R1 R2SENSEX 20,200 20,251 20,301 20,352 20,402
NIFTY 6,045 6,062 6,077 6,094 6,110
News Analysis
RBI takes additional steps to check INR volatility Result Review: KPIT Cummins Result Preview: Cairn India, Hero MotoCorp, Ambuja Cements, Dabur India,
Yes Bank, Central BankRefer detailed news analysis on the following page
Net Inflows (July 22, 2013)
` cr Purch Sales Net MTD YTDFII 1,763 2,144 (381) (5,986) 65,320
MFs 521 593 (72) (1,105) (13,283)
FII Derivatives (July 23, 2013)
` cr Purch Sales Net Open InterestIndex Futures 6,868 5,837 1,031 18,849
Stock Futures 8,350 8,433 (83) 30,615
Gainers / Losers
Gainers LosersCompany Price (`) chg (%) Company Price (`) chg (%)Financial Tech 635 7.4 Gitanjali Gems 99 (5.0)
Titan Inds 275 5.9 Berger Paints 241 (3.7)
BOB 618 5.3 Coromandel Intl 174 (3.0)
Reliance Cap 394 4.6 Reliance Comm 137 (2.9)
HDIL 41 4.3 Asian Paints 4,939 (2.7)
Domestic Indices Chg (%) (Pts) (Close)BSE Sensex 0.7 143 20,302
Nifty 0.8 46 6,078
MID CAP 0.1 3 5,999
SMALL CAP (0.1) (6) 5,682
BSE HC 0.2 16 9,341
BSE PSU 0.9 53 5,961
BANKEX 1.3 163 12,830
AUTO 0.3 37 10,838
METAL 0.8 59 7,518
OIL & GAS 0.5 49 9,059
BSE IT 0.4 32 7,181
Global Indices Chg (%) (Pts) (Close)Dow Jones 0.1 22 15,568NASDAQ (0.6) (21) 3,579
FTSE (0.4) (26) 6,597
Nikkei 0.8 120 14,779
Hang Sang 2.3 499 21,915
Straits Times 0.6 19 3,254
Shanghai Com 2.0 39 2,044
Indian ADR Chg (%) (Pts) (Close)INFY (0.6) (0.3) $48.7
WIT (0.9) (0.1) $8.1IBN (1.7) (0.6) $35.5
HDB (2.2) (0.8) $37.1
Advances / Declines BSE NSEAdvances 1,139 659
Declines 1,166 650
Unchanged 167 105
Volumes (` cr)BSE 1,632
NSE 9,740
-
7/27/2019 Market Outlook, 24-07-2013
2/17
www.angelbroking.com
Market OutlookJuly 24, 2013
RBI takes additional steps to check INR volatility
After taking measures to tighten monetary policy through stealth, the Reserve Bank
went a step forward late yesterday evening to check exchange rate volatility. It has
capped the total quantum of funds available under LAF to 0.5% of individual
banks NDTL, which would be effective from July 24, 2013. The earlier imposedcap on overall allocation of funds at `75,000cr under LAP stands withdrawn. It has
also increased the requirement of minimum daily CRR maintenance to 99% from
70%, which would be effective from first day of fortnight beginning July 27, 2013.
Earlier, last week the RBI had raised the MSF rate the emergency liquidity facility
used by banks - by 200bp to 10.25%, restricted borrowing under LAF up to
`75,000cr (now withdrawn) and announced open market bond sales for `12,000
cr (of which it raised only`2,532 cr). The RBI observed that these measures have
had a restraining effect on volatility with a concomitant stabilizing effect on the
exchange rate. These measures are aimed at tightening liquidity in the system and
push bond yields higher thus attracting capital flows in the bond market andcontaining depreciation of the INR. In June 2013, FII investors net sold more than
USD5bn of Indian debt. As these measures would further tighten the domestic
liquidity, it would effectively tantamount to raising interest rates, which is negative
for economic and banking sector outlook. We believe that the RBI is likely to
maintain status quo on the repo rate in its July 30, 2013 policy meet and any
meaningful easing can be ruled out in the near-term.
In addition, on Monday the RBI also tightened norms for import of gold with a view
to contain the trade deficit. Under the new policy, the nominated banks/ agencies
will ensure that at least 20% of every lot of import of gold is exclusively made
available for the purpose of export. The 20% imported quantity would be retainedin the customs bonded warehouses and fresh imports of gold can take place only
post exports to the extent of at least 75% of gold remaining in the customs bonded
warehouse.
Result Review
KPIT (CMP: `134 / TP: Under review/ Upside: -)
KPIT Cummins Infosystems (KPIT) reported its 1QFY2014 results which were
broadly in-line with our estimates on revenue as well as on the bottomline front but
disappointed on the operating margin front. The dollar revenues came in at
US$109mn, up 3.1% qoq. In INR terms, revenues came in at Rs.613cr, up 7.6%
qoq. EBITDA margin of the company declined by 197bp qoq to 15.8% due to
negative impact of wage hikes given during the quarter. PAT came in at Rs.60cr,
up 17% qoq, aided by other income of Rs.6cr as against loss of Rs.9cr in
4QFY2013.
For FY2014, management has maintained its USD revenue growth guidance of
1416%, which is encouraging and higher than Nasscoms industry growth
estimate of 12-14%. KPIT has reiterated its positive tone and does not witness any
delay in decision making. We continue to remain positive on the stock with target
price currently under review.
-
7/27/2019 Market Outlook, 24-07-2013
3/17
www.angelbroking.com
Market OutlookJuly 24, 2013
Y/E Sales OPM PAT EPS ROE P/E P/BV EV/EBITDA EV/SalesMarch (` cr) (%) (` cr) (`) (%) (x) (x) (x) (x)FY2014E 2,614 17.2 242 13.2 18.5 10.2 1.8 5.0 0.9
FY2015E 2,923 16.7 265 14.4 16.7 9.3 1.5 4.1 0.7
Result Preview
Cairn India (CMP: `310/ TP: `345 / Upside: 11%)
Cairn India is slated to report its 1QFY2014 results today. Cairn India's net sales
are expected to decrease by 4.7% yoy to `4,232cr mainly due to lower
realizations. Its operating margin is expected to decline by 147bps yoy to 77.2%
whereas its bottom line is expected to decrease by 3.5% yoy to `2,857cr in line
with decrease in top-line. We recommend Accumulate rating on the stock with atarget price of `345.Y/E Sales OPM PAT EPS ROE P/E P/BV EV/EBITDA EV/SalesMarch (` cr) (%) (` cr) (`) (%) (x) (x) (x) (x)FY2014E 16,482 72.0 10,168 53.2 19.6 5.8 1.1 3.5 2.6
FY2015E 16,228 69.4 9,454 49.5 15.8 6.3 0.9 3.2 2.2
Hero MotoCorp (CMP: `1,785/ TP: -/ Upside: -)
Hero MotoCorp (HMCL) is slated to announce its 1QFY2014 results today. We
expect HMCL to post a marginal growth of ~1% yoy in its top-line to `6,290cr,
aided by ~6% yoy growth in net average realization, driven by favorable product-mix and price increases. Total volumes though posted a decline of ~5% yoy due to
the slowdown in domestic motorcycle demand. On the operating front, we expect
EBITDA margins (adjusted for royalty payments) to report a marginal increase of
25bp yoy to 11.2% as increase in power, freight and transportation costs and
higher marketing spends are likely to be mitigated by easing of commodity prices
and favorable currency movement. However, the bottom-line is expected to decline
by ~8% yoy to `568cr as the tax benefits at the Haridwar plant expired in FY2013.
At `1,785, the stock is trading at 12.8x its FY2015E earnings. Currently, we havea Neutral rating on the stock.Y/E Sales OPM PAT EPS ROE P/E P/BV EV/EBITDA EV/SalesMarch (` cr) (%) (` cr) (`) (%) (x) (x) (x) (x)FY2014E 25,298 14.1 2,202 110.3 39.9 16.2 5.9 8.4 1.2
FY2015E 27,665 13.7 2,795 140.0 40.7 12.8 4.6 7.6 1.0
Ambuja Cements (CMP: `196/TP:-/Upside:-)
Ambuja Cements is expected to declare its 2QCY2013 results today. We expect
the top-line to decline by 5.2% yoy to `2,434cr on account of lower volumes and
realization. OPM is expected to decline by 561bp yoy to 23.0% due to lower
realization and higher costs. Bottom-line is expected to decline by 23.3% yoy to`359cr. We maintain our neutral rating on the stock.
-
7/27/2019 Market Outlook, 24-07-2013
4/17
www.angelbroking.com
Market OutlookJuly 24, 2013
Y/E Sales OPM PAT EPS ROE P/E P/BV EV/EBITDA EV/tonne*March (` cr) (%) (` cr) (`) (%) (x) (x) (x) (US $)CY2013E 10,082 23.5 1,573 10.2 17.1 19.2 3.1 10.5 154
CY2014E 11,653 24.6 1,881 12.2 18.7 16.1 2.9 8.3 -
Note: Computed on TTM basis
Dabur India (CMP: `171/TP:-/Upside:-)
Dabur is expected to declare its 1QFY2014 results today. We expect the
consolidated top-line to grow by 13.0% yoy to `1,652cr aided by higher volumes.
OPM is expected to increase by 120bp yoy to 15.3%. Bottom-line is expected to
increase by 26.1% yoy to `188cr. We maintain our Neutral recommendation onthe stock.Y/E Sales OPM PAT EPS ROE P/E P/BV EV/EBITDA EV/salesMarch (` cr) (%) (` cr) (`) (%) (x) (x) (x) (x)FY2014E 7,183 16.8 935 5.3 39.2 31.9 11.2 25.2 4.2
FY2015E 8,340 16.8 1,094 6.3 36.6 27.3 8.9 21.5 3.6
Yes Bank (CMP: `439 / TP: -/ Upside:- )
Yes Bank is slated to announce its 1QFY2014 results today. We expect the bank to
report a strong NII growth of 42.0% yoy to `670cr, primarily on back of strong
advances growth of 26% yoy. Non-interest income is also expected to grow
strongly by 32.9% yoy to `383cr. Operating expenses are expected to increase by
31.1% yoy to `394cr. Provisioning expenses are expected to be higher at `87cr as
compared to `30cr reported in 1QFY2013. Hence, we expect the bank to report
strong PAT growth of 30.2% yoy during the quarter to `378cr. At the CMP, the
stock is trading at 1.8x FY2015E ABV. We recommend a Neutral rating on thestock.Y/E Op. Inc NIM PAT EPS ABV ROA ROE P/E P/ABVMarch (` cr) (%) (` cr) (`) (%) (x) (x) (x) (x)FY2014E 4,451 2.8 1,543 43.0 197.4 1.4 23.9 9.9 2.1
FY2015E 5,526 2.8 1,784 49.7 238.5 1.3 22.8 8.5 1.8
Central Bank- (CMP: `65 / TP: - / Upside: -)
Central Bank is scheduled to announce its 1QFY2014 results today. We expect the
bank to report a healthy NII growth of 17.7% yoy to `1,621cr. Non-interest
income is also expected to grow at a robust pace of 19.1% yoy to `384cr.
Operating expenses are expected to increase by 16.4% yoy to `1,056cr which
would result in healthy operating profit growth of 19.7% on a yoy basis at `949cr.
Provisioning expenses are expected to decline by 2.4% yoy, and would aid
earnings growth of 33.2% yoy to `447cr. At the CMP, the stock trades at
valuations of 0.6x FY2015E ABV. We maintain our Neutral recommendation onthe stock.
-
7/27/2019 Market Outlook, 24-07-2013
5/17
www.angelbroking.com
Market OutlookJuly 24, 2013
Y/E Op. Inc NIM PAT EPS ABV ROA ROE P/E P/ABVMarch (` cr) (%) (` cr) (`) (%) (x) (x) (x) (x)FY2014E 8,406 2.5 1,462 12.6 100.7 0.5 10.6 5.1 0.6
FY2015E 9,546 2.5 2,107 18.7 114.7 0.6 14.3 3.4 0.6
Quarterly Bloomberg Consensus Estimate
Ambuja Cement (24/07/2013)Particulars (` cr) 2QCY13E 2QCY12 y-o-y (%) 1QCY13 q-o-q (%)Net sales 2,428 2,566 (5.4) 2,545 (4.6)
EBITDA 529 735 (28.0) 553 (4.3)
EBITDA margin (%) 21.8 28.6 21.7
Net profit 343 469 (26.9) 488 (29.7)
Dabur India Consolidated (24/07/2013)Particulars (` cr) 1QFY14E 1QFY13 y-o-y (%) 4QFY13 q-o-q (%)Net sales 1,660 1,462 13.5 1,531 8.4
EBITDA 252 216 17.0 273 (7.5)
EBITDA margin (%) 15.2 14.8 17.8
Net profit 187 149 25.0 201 (6.9)
Hero Moto Corp (24/07/2013)Particulars (` cr) 1QFY14E 1QFY13 y-o-y (%) 4QFY13 q-o-q (%)Net sales 6,270 6,208 1.0 6,073 3.3
EBITDA 823 937 (12.1) 850 (3.1)
EBITDA margin (%) 13.1 15.1 14.0
Net profit 551 616 (10.6) 574 (4.1)
United Phosphorous Consolidated (24/07/2013)Particulars (` cr) 1QFY14E 1QFY13 y-o-y (%) 4QFY13 q-o-q (%)Net sales 2,537 2,180 16.4 2,773 (8.5)
EBITDA 452 386 17.0 537 (15.9)
EBITDA margin (%) 17.8 17.7 19.4
Net profit 221 203 8.7 278 (20.8)
Yes Bank Ltd (24/07/2013)Particulars (` cr) 1QFY14E 1QFY13 y-o-y (%) 4QFY13 q-o-q (%)Net profit 372 290 28.3 362 2.8
ACC (25/07/2013)Particulars (` cr) 2QCY13E 2QCY12 y-o-y (%) 1QCY13 q-o-q (%)Net sales 2,795 2,778 0.6 2,911 (4.0)
EBITDA 432 688 (37.3) 492 (12.2)
EBITDA margin (%) 15.5 24.8 16.9
Net profit 270 418 (35.5) 438 (38.4)
-
7/27/2019 Market Outlook, 24-07-2013
6/17
www.angelbroking.com
Market OutlookJuly 24, 2013
Gail (25/07/2013)Particulars (` cr) 1QFY14E 1QFY13 y-o-y (%) 4QFY13 q-o-q (%)Net sales 12,439 11,089 12.2 12,409 0.2
EBITDA 1,682 1,923 (12.5) 1,468 14.6
EBITDA margin (%) 13.5 17.3 11.8
Net profit 953 1,134 (15.9) 618 54.2
ITC (25/07/2013)Particulars (` cr) 1QFY14E 1QFY13 y-o-y (%) 4QFY13 q-o-q (%)Net sales 7,843 6,652 17.9 8,180 (4.1)
EBITDA 2,771 2,368 17.0 2,706 2.4
EBITDA margin (%) 35.3 35.6 33.1
Net profit 1,897 1,602 18.4 1,928 (1.6)
Maruti Suzuki (25/07/2013)Particulars (` cr) 1QFY14E 1QFY13 y-o-y (%) 4QFY13 q-o-q (%)Net sales 10,331 10,529 (1.9) 14,718 (29.8)
EBITDA 1,200 786 52.6 2,399 (50.0)
EBITDA margin (%) 11.6 7.5 16.3
Net profit 644 424 52.0 1,240 (48.0)
Sterlite Industries Consolidated (25/07/2013)Particulars (` cr) 1QFY14E 1QFY13 y-o-y (%) 4QFY13 q-o-q (%)Net sales 7,121 10,591 (32.8) 12,609 (43.5)
EBITDA 2,121 2,308 (8.1) 4,065 (47.8)
EBITDA margin (%) 29.8 21.8 32.2Net profit 1,000 1,202 (16.8) 2,027 (50.7)
Zee Entertainment Consolidated (25/07/2013)Particulars (` cr) 1QFY14E 1QFY13 y-o-y (%) 4QFY13 q-o-q (%)Net sales 979 843 16.1 934 4.8
EBITDA 258 233 10.7 242 6.6
EBITDA margin (%) 26.4 27.7 25.9
Net profit 190 158 20.1 180 5.8
Bank of India (26/07/2013)Particulars (` cr) 1QFY14E 1QFY13 y-o-y (%) 4QFY13 q-o-q (%)Net profit 784 888 (11.6) 757 3.6
-
7/27/2019 Market Outlook, 24-07-2013
7/17
www.angelbroking.com
Market OutlookJuly 24, 2013
Nestle India (26/07/2013)Particulars (` cr) 2QCY13E 2QCY12 y-o-y (%) 1QCY13 q-o-q (%)Net sales 2,209 1,987 11.2 2,248 (1.7)
EBITDA 491 440 11.5 540 (9.1)
EBITDA margin (%) 22.2 22.2 24.0
Net profit 278 246 12.8 279 (0.5)
Punjab National Bank (26/07/2013)Particulars (` cr) 1QFY14E 1QFY13 y-o-y (%) 4QFY13 q-o-q (%)Net profit 1,204 1,246 (3.4) 1,131 6.4
Wipro Consolidated (26/07/2013)Particulars (` cr) 1QFY14E 1QFY13 y-o-y (%) 4QFY13 q-o-q (%)Net sales 9,939 10,620 (6.4) 9,613 3.4
EBITDA 1,994 1,973 1.1 1,974 1.0
EBITDA margin (%) 20.1 18.6 20.5Net profit 1,630 1,580 3.1 1,729 (5.7)
Hindustan Unilever (26/07/2013)Particulars (` cr) 1QFY14E 1QFY13 y-o-y (%) 4QFY13 q-o-q (%)Net sales 7,000 6,250 12.0 6,367 9.9
EBITDA 1,080 977 10.5 972 11.1
EBITDA margin (%) 15.4 15.6 15.3
Net profit 870 729 19.4 787 10.5
Economic and Political News
Poverty rate down to 22%: Plan panel India, China hold talks to resolve border dispute Moily rules out reconsidering gas pricing policy Spectrum sale: TRAI begins consultation for auction round III
Corporate News
BHEL bags 2 contracts from NTPC for setting up solar plants SAIL to raise capacity to 50 MT with `1.2 lakh-cr investment CoalMin, CIL unions meet on disinvestment remains inconclusive HUL enhances offering in water purifier segment L&T seeks shareholders' nod to raise $600 mn
Source: Economic Times, Business Standard, Business Line, Financial Express, Mint
-
7/27/2019 Market Outlook, 24-07-2013
8/17
Date Company
July 24, 2013 Cairn India, Hero Motocorp, Ambuja Cements, Dabur India, Yes Bank, United Phosphorus, Central Bank
July 25, 2013 ITC, GAIL, Sterlite Inds, Maruti, ACC, IOB, Thermax, FAG Bearings, MRF, TTK Healthcare
July 26, 2013 Wipro, Nestle, Punjab Natl.Bank, Tata Comm, CESC
July 27, 2013 Corporation Bank, Force Motors
July 28, 2013
July 29, 2013 UltraTech Cement, IDFC, Colgate, Godrej Consumer, Madras Cements, Subros, Vesuvius India
July 30, 2013 NTPC, Dr Reddy's, Petronet LNG, Syndicate Bank, Ipca labs, Indoco Remedies
July 31, 2013 Bharti Airtel, ICICI Bank, NHPC, JSW Steel , Dishman Pharma
August 01, 2013 Idea Cellular, Mundra Port, Adani Power, GlaxoSmith Con
August 02, 2013 Siemens
August 03, 2013 Coal India, PTC India
August 04, 2013
August 05, 2013 Tata Chemicals, LMW, GIPCL
August 06, 2013 Tata Power Co.
August 07, 2013 Ranbaxy, Apollo Tyres
August 08, 2013 Adani Enterp., Rural Elec.Corp.
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
Result Calendar
Global economic events release calendar
Date Time Country Event Description Unit Period Bloomberg Data
Last Reported Estimated
July 24, 2013 1:00PM Germany PMI Services Value Jul A 50.40 --
1:00PM Germany PMI Manufacturing Value Jul A 48.60 --
7:30PM US New home sales Thousands Jun 476.00 484.00
July 25, 2013 2:00PM UK GDP (YoY) % Change 2Q A 0.30 --July 30, 2013 11:00AM India RBI Repo rate % Jul 30 7.25 --
11:00AM India RBI Cash Reserve ratio % Jul 30 4.00 --
11:00AM India RBI Reverse Repo rate % Jul 30 6.25 --
7:30PM US Consumer Confidence S.A./ 1985=100 Jul 81.40 --
July 31, 2013 1:25PM Germany Unemployment change (000's) Thousands Jul (12.00) --
6:00PM US GDP Qoq (Annualised) % Change 2Q A 1.80 --
11:30PM US FOMC rate decision % Jul 31 0.25 --
August 1, 2013 6:30AM China PMI Manufacturing Value Jul 50.10 --
2:00PM UK PMI Manufacturing Value Jul 52.50 --
4:30PM UK BOE Announces rates % Ratio Aug 1 0.50 0.50
5:15PM Euro Zone ECB announces interest rates % Aug 1 0.50 --
August 2, 2013 6:00PM US Change in Nonfarm payrolls Thousands Jul 195.00 --
6:00PM US Unnemployment rate % Jul 7.60 --
August 6, 2013 2:00PM UK Industrial Production (YoY) % Change Jun (2.30) --
August 8, 2013 4:29PM China Exports YoY% % Change Jul (3.10) --
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
July 24, 2013
Market Outlook
-
7/27/2019 Market Outlook, 24-07-2013
9/17
Market OutlookJuly 24, 2013
www.angelbroking.com
Macro watch
Exhibit 1:Quarterly GDP trends
Source: CSO, Angel Research
Exhibit 2:IIP trends
Source: MOSPI, Angel Research
Exhibit 3:Monthly WPI inflation trends
Source: MOSPI, Angel Research
Exhibit 4:Manufacturing and services PMI
Source: Market, Angel Research; Note: Level above 50 indicates expansion
Exhibit 5:Exports and imports growth trends
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
Exhibit 6:Key policy rates
Source: RBI, Angel Research
9.3
7.7
11.4
9.5
8.69.2
9.9
7.5
6.56.0
5.1 5.4 5.24.7 4.8
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
11.0
12.0
2QFY10
3QFY10
4QFY10
1QFY11
2QFY11
3QFY11
4QFY11
1QFY12
2QFY12
3QFY12
4QFY12
1QFY13
2QFY13
3QFY13
4QFY13
(%)
(2.0)
(0.1)
2.0
(0.7)
8.4
(1.0) (0.6)
2.5
0.6
3.4
1.9
(1.6)(4.0)
(2.0)
-
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
Jun-1
2
Ju
l-12
Aug-1
2
Sep-1
2
Oc
t-12
Nov-1
2
Dec-1
2
Jan-1
3
Fe
b-1
3
Mar-
13
Apr-
13
May-1
3
(%)
8.0 8.17.3 7.2 7.3 7.3 7.3
5.7
4.8 4.7 4.9
0.0
1.02.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
Aug-1
2
Sep-1
2
Oc
t-12
Nov-1
2
Dec-1
2
Jan-1
3
Fe
b-1
3
Mar-
13
Apr-
13
May-1
3
Jun-1
3
(%)
48.0
50.0
52.0
54.0
56.0
58.0
Mar-
12
Apr-
12
May-1
2
Jun-1
2
Ju
l-12
Aug-1
2
Sep-1
2
Oc
t-12
Nov-1
2
Dec-1
2
Jan-1
3
Fe
b-1
3
Mar-
13
Apr-
13
May-1
3
Mfg. PMI Services PMI
(15.0)
0.0
15.0
Ju
l-12
Aug-1
2
Sep-1
2
Oc
t-12
Nov-1
2
Dec-1
2
Jan-1
3
Fe
b-1
3
Mar-
13
Apr-
13
May-1
3
Jun-1
3
Exports yoy growth Imports yoy growth(%)
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
Aug-1
2
Sep-1
2
Oct-12
Nov-1
2
Dec-1
2
Jan-1
3
Feb-1
3
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-1
3
Jun-1
3
Jul-13
Repo rate Reverse Repo rate CRR (%)
-
7/27/2019 Market Outlook, 24-07-2013
10/17
-
7/27/2019 Market Outlook, 24-07-2013
11/17
Company Name Reco CMP Target Mkt Cap Sales ( cr ) OPM(%) EPS () PER(x) P/BV(x) RoE(%) EV/Sales(x)
( ) Price ( ) ( cr ) FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E
Cement
Ambuja Cements Neutral 197 - 30,401 10,171 11,762 23.5 24.6 10.2 12.2 19.3 16.1 3.2 2.9 17.1 18.7 2.5 2.0
India Cements Neutral 56 - 1,728 4,929 5,434 17.4 17.1 8.9 10.9 6.3 5.2 0.5 0.5 7.7 9.1 0.7 0.6
J K Lakshmi Cement Buy 76 143 888 2,247 2,742 21.0 23.1 17.8 21.8 4.2 3.5 0.6 0.5 15.5 16.4 0.3 0.8
Madras Cements Neutral 191 - 4,539 4,234 4,788 23.9 24.0 18.5 22.8 10.3 8.4 1.7 1.4 17.2 18.2 1.4 1.1
Shree Cement^ Neutral 4,535 - 15,798 6,607 7,520 27.5 26.7 322.8 374.3 14.1 12.1 3.5 2.8 27.8 25.6 1.7 1.3
UltraTech Cement Neutral 1,905 - 52,239 21,947 25,049 23.8 23.8 106.1 119.8 18.0 15.9 3.0 2.6 17.7 17.3 2.5 2.1
ConstructionAshoka Buildcon Buy 52 84 822 1,928 2,234 21.0 21.5 6.0 7.4 8.7 7.0 0.8 0.8 10.5 10.8 1.8 1.8
Consolidated Co Neutral 9 - 160 1,715 1,824 2.4 6.2 (2.9) (0.4) (3.0) (24.0) 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5
IRB Infra Buy 93 157 3,081 3,997 4,312 45.5 46.4 15.7 16.6 5.9 5.6 0.9 0.8 15.2 14.5 3.2 3.5
ITNL Buy 144 230 2,789 7,444 8,041 27.4 28.9 29.8 32.1 4.8 4.5 0.7 0.6 14.9 14.2 2.5 2.5
IVRCL Infra Buy 15 29 456 5,673 5,892 8.1 8.4 1.4 1.8 10.3 8.1 0.2 0.2 2.0 2.6 0.5 0.5
Jaiprakash Asso. Buy 50 90 11,129 14,850 15,631 24.9 25.1 2.5 2.9 19.8 17.6 0.8 0.8 4.2 4.7 2.6 2.5
Larsen & Toubro Buy 903 1,180 83,475 68,946 78,040 10.5 10.5 51.7 58.6 17.5 15.4 2.6 2.3 15.5 15.6 1.3 1.2
Nagarjuna Const. Buy 26 42 657 6,167 6,945 8.0 8.2 2.7 3.6 9.6 7.0 0.3 0.3 2.7 3.6 0.5 0.4
Punj Lloyd Neutral 31 - 1,020 12,954 14,740 9.9 9.9 0.5 0.9 60.5 32.9 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.1 0.5 0.5
Sadbhav Engg. Buy 86 139 1,303 2,462 2,731 10.6 10.6 5.9 6.7 14.7 13.0 1.4 1.3 10.2 10.5 0.8 0.8
Simplex Infra Buy 70 131 346 6,308 7,033 9.5 9.6 11.9 18.7 5.9 3.7 0.3 0.2 4.5 6.7 0.5 0.5
Unity Infra Buy 24 41 176 2,146 2,339 13.7 13.8 11.0 11.5 2.2 2.1 0.2 0.2 9.3 9.0 0.6 0.6
Financials
Allahabad Bank Accumulate 85 95 4,253 6,705 7,535 2.5 2.5 27.6 33.2 3.1 2.6 0.4 0.4 12.5 13.6 - -
Andhra Bank Neutral 79 - 4,418 5,180 5,815 2.7 2.7 19.0 22.9 4.2 3.5 0.6 0.5 12.0 13.2 - -
Axis Bank Buy 1,201 1,441 56,340 19,280 22,886 3.3 3.3 130.7 157.1 9.2 7.7 1.5 1.3 17.3 18.1 - -Bank of Baroda Neutral 618 - 26,040 16,287 18,707 2.2 2.3 120.6 144.6 5.1 4.3 0.7 0.7 15.0 16.0 - -
Bank of India Accumulate 216 236 12,842 14,459 16,176 2.3 2.2 55.2 68.2 3.9 3.2 0.6 0.5 13.7 15.1 - -
Bank of Maharashtra A ccumulate 49 54 3,268 4,291 4,724 3.0 3.0 12.1 12.9 4.1 3.8 0.6 0.6 16.2 15.3 - -
Canara Bank Neutral 325 - 14,386 12,045 13,495 2.1 2.2 76.7 86.4 4.2 3.8 0.6 0.5 14.1 14.2 - -
Central Bank Neutral 65 - 6,738 8,406 9,546 2.5 2.5 12.6 18.7 5.1 3.4 0.6 0.6 10.6 14.3 - -
Corporation Bank Accumulate 332 360 5,069 5,554 6,156 2.0 2.0 94.9 104.9 3.5 3.2 0.5 0.4 14.3 14.2 - -
Dena Bank Neutral 68 - 2,368 3,255 3,623 2.3 2.4 22.0 24.9 3.1 2.7 0.4 0.4 14.7 14.7 - -
Federal Bank Neutral 379 - 6,480 2,802 3,275 2.9 2.9 49.8 56.6 7.6 6.7 0.9 0.8 12.7 13.1 - -
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
Stock Watch
July 24, 2013
-
7/27/2019 Market Outlook, 24-07-2013
12/17
Company Name Reco CMP Target Mkt Cap Sales ( cr ) OPM(%) EPS () PER(x) P/BV(x) RoE(%) EV/Sales(x)
( ) Price ( ) ( cr ) FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E
Financials
HDFC Neutral 827 - 128,526 8,679 10,350 3.6 3.6 37.5 44.7 22.0 18.5 4.6 4.1 30.1 30.7 - -
HDFC Bank Accumulate 683 745 163,234 27,392 33,264 4.6 4.6 36.3 45.1 18.8 15.2 3.8 3.2 21.9 22.8 - -
ICICI Bank Buy 990 1,160 114,240 26,119 30,474 3.1 3.2 86.2 99.5 11.5 10.0 1.6 1.4 15.7 16.2 - -
IDBI Bank Neutral 73 - 9,736 9,518 10,468 2.0 2.0 15.5 22.1 4.7 3.3 0.5 0.4 10.2 13.3 - -
Indian Bank Accumulate 106 113 4,566 6,077 6,845 2.9 3.0 35.2 41.0 3.0 2.6 0.4 0.4 14.1 14.8 - -
IOB Neutral 49 - 4,523 8,028 9,204 2.4 2.6 12.5 19.7 3.9 2.5 0.4 0.3 9.1 13.1 - -
J & K Bank Neutral 1,247 - 6,047 3,101 3,427 3.6 3.6 215.5 210.3 5.8 5.9 1.1 1.0 19.9 16.9 - -LIC Housing Finance Neutral 215 - 10,858 2,180 2,732 2.4 2.5 26.3 32.1 8.2 6.7 1.5 1.3 19.0 19.9 - -
Oriental Bank Buy 176 203 5,132 6,790 7,676 2.6 2.7 55.7 62.3 3.2 2.8 0.4 0.4 12.8 12.9 - -
Punjab Natl.Bank Accumulate 662 718 23,398 20,914 23,879 3.3 3.4 152.4 176.2 4.3 3.8 0.7 0.6 16.2 16.5 - -
South Ind.Bank Neutral 23 - 3,076 1,800 2,023 2.7 2.7 3.7 4.2 6.2 5.5 1.0 0.9 16.2 16.2 - -
St Bk of India Accumulate 1,861 2,077 127,306 66,417 76,734 3.0 3.0 227.4 284.8 8.2 6.5 1.2 1.0 15.4 17.1 - -
Syndicate Bank Accumulate 113 121 6,799 7,125 8,188 2.6 2.6 27.4 27.9 4.1 4.1 0.6 0.6 16.2 14.6 - -
UCO Bank Reduce 69 63 5,182 6,545 6,859 2.7 2.6 14.8 15.7 4.7 4.4 0.9 0.7 14.4 13.6 - -
Union Bank Buy 155 178 9,235 11,101 12,543 2.6 2.6 39.3 47.4 3.9 3.3 0.6 0.5 14.1 15.2 - -
United Bank Neutral 45 - 1,696 3,386 3,884 2.3 2.5 12.4 20.0 3.6 2.3 0.4 0.3 10.0 14.7 - -
Vijaya Bank Accumulate 45 47 2,220 2,714 3,046 1.9 2.0 9.2 10.8 4.9 4.1 0.5 0.5 10.7 11.5 - -
Yes Bank Neutral 439 - 15,783 4,451 5,526 2.8 2.8 43.0 49.7 10.2 8.8 2.2 1.8 23.9 22.8 - -
FMCG
Asian Paints Neutral 4,939 - 47,378 12,332 14,524 16.3 16.1 138.9 160.4 35.6 30.8 11.3 9.0 35.2 32.5 3.7 3.1
Britannia Neutral 726 - 8,695 6,417 7,502 6.1 6.3 21.3 25.5 34.2 28.5 11.1 8.9 35.7 34.6 1.3 1.1
Colgate Neutral 1,487 - 20,217 3,588 4,130 20.5 20.9 44.2 51.8 33.6 28.7 32.8 23.9 108.6 96.2 5.5 4.7
Dabur India Neutral 171 - 29,790 7,183 8,340 16.8 16.8 5.4 6.3 31.8 27.2 12.4 9.6 41.5 40.1 4.1 3.5
GlaxoSmith Con* Neutral 5,123 - 21,546 3,617 4,259 16.1 16.4 122.2 148.7 41.9 34.5 13.0 10.5 34.1 33.7 5.5 4.6
Godrej Consumer Neutral 909 - 30,936 7,801 9,017 16.2 15.9 25.1 29.7 36.2 30.6 7.8 6.5 24.9 24.2 4.1 3.5
HUL Neutral 719 - 155,460 29,167 33,164 13.6 13.7 17.1 18.4 42.1 39.1 40.5 29.3 113.4 87.0 5.2 4.6
ITC Neutral 376 - 296,988 34,294 39,991 36.8 37.0 11.3 13.3 33.3 28.2 11.0 8.9 36.1 34.9 8.3 7.1
Marico Neutral 215 - 13,848 5,273 6,044 14.8 14.9 7.3 8.7 29.6 24.8 5.8 4.8 21.4 21.0 2.7 2.3
Nestle* Neutral 5,661 - 54,585 9,447 10,968 22.1 22.3 127.5 154.1 44.4 36.7 22.2 16.1 57.7 50.7 5.8 4.9
Tata Global Neutral 155 - 9,570 8,069 8,957 9.8 9.7 7.8 8.6 19.8 18.0 2.4 2.3 9.5 9.7 1.2 1.0
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
Stock Watch
July 24, 2013
-
7/27/2019 Market Outlook, 24-07-2013
13/17
Company Name Reco CMP Target Mkt Cap Sales ( cr ) OPM(%) EPS () PER(x) P/BV(x) RoE(%) EV/Sales(x)
( ) Price ( ) ( cr ) FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E
IT
HCL Tech^ Neutral 900 - 62,701 29,424 32,837 22.6 22.0 59.5 63.3 15.1 14.2 3.7 3.0 24.6 21.7 2.0 1.7
Hexaware* Accumulate 110 123 3,277 2,213 2,479 21.5 20.5 12.1 12.9 9.1 8.5 2.2 1.9 25.4 23.5 1.3 1.1
Infosys Neutral 2,901 - 166,577 47,001 51,196 26.2 26.4 171.3 189.4 16.9 15.3 3.5 3.0 20.4 19.3 2.9 2.5
Infotech Enterprises Neutral 182 - 2,027 2,052 2,263 17.2 17.6 20.7 22.5 8.8 8.1 1.3 1.1 14.9 14.0 0.6 0.5
KPIT Cummins Accumulate 134 144 2,582 2,614 2,923 17.2 16.8 13.2 14.4 10.2 9.3 1.8 1.5 18.5 16.7 0.9 0.8
Mindtree Sell 959 135 3,983 8,590 9,324 20.9 20.6 10.9 11.7 88.2 82.2 20.8 16.6 23.7 20.3 0.1 (0.1)
Mphasis& Buy 410 1,050 8,615 2,768 3,006 19.7 19.9 103.1 105.3 4.0 3.9 1.0 0.8 24.8 20.3 2.8 2.5NIIT Buy 17 400 282 6,372 6,852 18.0 18.2 38.0 43.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 14.3 14.2 (0.5) (0.5)
Persistent Sell 541 30 2,163 1,144 1,267 9.0 9.1 4.3 5.4 125.9 100.5 13.0 12.0 10.3 12.0 1.7 1.5
TCS Sell 1,750 595 342,475 1,505 1,677 25.9 26.2 53.6 59.7 32.6 29.3 5.8 4.9 17.7 16.7 227.2 203.7
Tech Mahindra Accumulate 1,179 1,305 27,383 77,480 88,131 29.4 29.1 86.0 95.1 13.7 12.4 4.2 3.5 30.9 27.8 0.1 -
Wipro Buy 384 1,250 94,676 8,102 8,709 19.7 19.2 107.5 117.0 3.6 3.3 0.8 0.6 21.2 18.9 11.7 10.8
Media
D B Corp Accumulate 274 302 5,027 1,783 1,968 25.2 26.8 14.6 17.2 18.8 15.9 4.9 4.2 23.9 24.2 2.7 2.4
HT Media Buy 95 117 2,233 2,205 2,380 15.1 15.6 8.3 9.3 11.4 10.3 1.4 1.3 11.6 11.6 0.7 0.5
Jagran Prakashan Buy 91 107 3,019 1,664 1,825 20.9 23.0 6.4 7.8 14.2 11.7 2.9 2.6 21.0 23.1 1.9 1.7
PVR Neutral 331 - 1,312 1,359 1,540 17.3 17.4 17.2 21.6 19.2 15.4 1.9 1.8 10.3 12.0 1.4 1.2
Sun TV Network Neutral 411 - 16,183 2,287 2,551 69.7 70.5 20.0 23.3 20.5 17.6 5.1 4.5 26.4 27.3 6.7 5.9
Metals & Mining
Bhushan Steel Neutral 463 - 10,484 13,794 17,088 30.9 33.5 49.3 66.6 9.4 7.0 1.0 0.9 11.3 13.5 2.4 1.9
Coal India Buy 298 345 188,417 72,174 76,311 33.3 28.4 28.4 30.9 10.5 9.7 2.9 2.5 37.6 36.2 1.8 1.6
Electrosteel Castings Buy 12 18 397 1,976 2,017 11.8 12.7 1.3 2.6 9.6 4.7 0.1 0.1 2.6 5.2 0.5 0.1
GMDC Buy 103 155 3,263 1,920 2,239 53.2 52.9 21.6 25.0 4.8 4.1 1.1 0.9 25.1 23.8 1.2 0.8Hind. Zinc Buy 105 145 44,493 12,358 13,659 51.4 51.6 16.0 17.6 6.6 6.0 1.2 1.0 19.4 18.4 1.3 0.8
Hindalco Neutral 105 - 20,132 89,352 93,672 8.8 9.2 13.4 15.0 7.9 7.0 0.6 0.5 7.3 7.6 0.6 0.5
JSW Steel Neutral 581 - 14,032 47,613 48,385 17.4 18.8 81.8 109.6 7.1 5.3 0.8 0.7 11.1 13.4 0.6 0.5
MOIL Buy 196 248 3,299 1,010 1,046 46.5 47.6 26.8 28.8 7.3 6.8 1.1 1.0 15.4 14.7 0.9 0.6
Monnet Ispat Buy 118 193 749 2,326 2,709 21.4 23.1 33.3 43.1 3.5 2.7 0.3 0.3 8.3 9.9 1.3 1.0
Nalco Neutral 30 - 7,757 7,656 7,988 13.1 13.5 2.6 2.6 11.8 11.5 0.6 0.6 5.5 5.5 0.5 0.5
NMDC Buy 109 140 43,394 10,610 11,400 66.3 64.2 15.6 16.1 7.0 6.8 1.4 1.3 21.3 19.9 2.0 1.8
SAIL Neutral 44 - 18,358 44,060 54,786 9.4 11.5 5.2 7.2 8.5 6.2 0.5 0.4 5.2 6.8 0.7 0.6
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
Stock Watch
July 24, 2013
-
7/27/2019 Market Outlook, 24-07-2013
14/17
Company Name Reco CMP Target Mkt Cap Sales ( cr ) OPM(%) EPS () PER(x) P/BV(x) RoE(%) EV/Sales(x)
( ) Price ( ) ( cr ) FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E
Metals & Mining
Sesa Goa Accumulate 148 166 12,841 3,742 4,426 32.9 32.8 30.0 29.8 4.9 5.0 0.7 0.6 14.3 12.5 4.2 3.5
Sterlite Inds Buy 85 100 28,448 44,462 45,568 23.2 24.7 18.1 20.2 4.7 4.2 0.5 0.5 11.3 11.4 0.6 0.5
Tata Steel Buy 235 378 22,775 140,917 151,537 9.7 10.8 30.9 47.6 7.6 4.9 0.7 0.6 9.6 13.4 0.5 0.5
Sarda Buy 92 153 331 1,494 1,568 19.1 20.3 31.3 36.5 3.0 2.5 0.3 0.3 11.8 12.4 0.6 0.5
Prakash Industries Buy 32 40 426 2,615 2,776 12.1 12.0 9.8 10.4 3.2 3.1 0.2 0.2 6.5 6.5 0.4 0.4
Godawari Power andIspat
Buy 75 102 244 2,344 2,509 14.9 15.4 38.7 47.0 1.9 1.6 0.2 0.2 12.3 12.9 0.5 0.4
Oil & Gas
Cairn India Accumulate 310 345 59,182 16,482 16,228 69.4 53.3 53.3 49.6 5.8 6.3 0.9 0.8 16.5 13.6 2.2 1.9
GAIL Neutral 332 - 42,145 52,102 52,876 15.7 16.1 34.1 35.7 9.8 9.3 1.5 1.3 16.4 15.3 0.3 0.2
ONGC Buy 312 387 266,760 170,063 198,461 36.3 38.3 34.7 41.9 9.0 7.4 1.6 1.4 18.3 19.5 1.3 1.0
Reliance Industries Neutral 909 - 293,599 397,546 421,695 9.4 8.6 75.0 76.4 12.1 11.9 1.3 1.2 12.4 11.4 0.7 0.6
Gujarat Gas* Neutral 207 - 2,653 3,707 3,850 11.7 12.4 23.7 25.7 8.7 8.1 2.4 2.1 29.6 28.2 0.6 0.5
Indraprastha Gas Neutral 287 - 4,022 3,700 4,218 23.4 22.8 26.7 30.4 10.8 9.4 2.3 1.9 22.7 21.8 1.2 0.9
Petronet LNG Buy 125 167 9,405 40,356 40,872 5.8 6.4 15.0 16.7 8.4 7.5 1.8 1.5 23.0 21.5 0.3 0.3
Gujarat State PetronetLtd.
Neutral 55 - 3,089 1,171 1,287 91.9 91.9 10.1 11.3 5.4 4.9 0.9 0.8 17.3 16.8 - -
Pharmaceuticals
Alembic Pharma Neutral 159 - 3,002 1,736 2,008 17.1 18.9 10.7 13.9 14.9 11.5 4.7 3.5 35.0 34.7 1.8 1.5
Aurobindo Pharma Buy 176 271 5,112 6,641 7,637 15.9 15.9 17.3 20.6 10.2 8.5 1.6 1.4 19.5 18.9 1.2 1.0
Aventis* Neutral 2,431 - 5,600 1,682 1,917 16.6 16.6 92.4 99.1 26.3 24.5 3.7 3.7 15.7 14.8 3.0 2.4
Cadila Healthcare Buy 749 929 15,333 7,280 8,640 15.5 15.7 38.3 46.5 19.6 16.1 4.2 3.5 23.5 23.5 2.4 2.0
Cipla Buy 409 477 32,799 9,274 10,796 23.1 23.1 21.0 23.8 19.5 17.2 3.1 2.7 17.2 16.8 3.3 2.7
Dr Reddy's Accumulate 2,360 2,535 40,123 13,377 15,350 20.4 20.1 112.3 126.8 21.0 18.6 4.5 3.7 23.5 21.8 3.1 2.7
Dishman Pharma Buy 59 168 473 1,394 1,534 22.5 22.4 15.0 16.8 3.9 3.5 0.4 0.4 11.0 11.2 1.0 0.8
GSK Pharma* Neutral 2,483 - 21,032 2,854 3,145 28.6 28.6 76.6 83.3 32.4 29.8 9.7 8.8 31.1 31.0 6.5 5.8
Indoco Remedies Accumulate 70 78 646 760 922 15.3 15.3 6.1 7.8 11.5 9.0 1.4 1.3 12.9 14.7 1.1 0.9
Ipca labs Neutral 637 - 8,036 3,243 3,826 20.5 21.5 36.0 44.4 17.7 14.4 4.1 3.3 26.0 25.4 2.6 2.2
Lupin Neutral 882 - 39,486 11,641 13,933 21.3 21.3 34.8 41.8 25.3 21.1 5.9 4.7 26.2 24.8 3.4 2.8
Ranbaxy* Buy 322 384 13,616 11,400 12,060 10.5 12.5 17.5 22.5 18.4 14.3 3.0 2.6 17.0 19.1 1.1 1.0
Sun Pharma Neutral 1,107 - 114,472 13,509 15,846 41.0 41.0 33.0 39.8 33.6 27.8 6.8 5.6 22.0 22.0 7.9 6.6
Power
GIPCL Buy 63 78 957 1,444 1,482 33.4 33.0 13.7 14.8 4.6 4.3 0.5 0.5 12.3 12.0 0.7 0.5
NTPC Accumulate 143 163 118,075 76,734 86,680 24.5 24.3 13.4 14.5 10.7 9.9 1.3 1.2 12.8 12.7 2.2 2.1
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
Stock Watch
July 24, 2013
-
7/27/2019 Market Outlook, 24-07-2013
15/17
Company Name Reco CMP Target Mkt Cap Sales ( cr ) OPM(%) EPS () PER(x) P/BV(x) RoE(%) EV/Sales(x)
( ) Price ( ) ( cr ) FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E
Real Estate
DLF Buy 175 236 31,066 8,293 9,622 36.5 36.1 5.7 6.7 30.6 25.9 1.1 1.1 3.7 4.1 5.8 4.9
MLIFE Neutral 457 - 1,867 888 1,002 30.6 30.6 38.8 43.4 11.8 10.5 1.3 1.2 11.2 11.4 2.7 2.4
Telecom
Bharti Airtel Neutral 330 - 131,954 85,489 94,229 31.9 31.9 10.2 14.6 32.3 22.6 2.3 2.1 7.2 9.4 2.2 1.9
Idea Cellular Neutral 148 - 49,137 25,640 28,459 26.9 27.2 4.0 4.9 37.0 30.0 3.1 2.8 8.4 9.4 2.3 2.0
Rcom Neutral 137 - 28,318 22,751 24,628 30.9 31.3 3.4 5.3 40.0 26.1 0.8 0.8 2.1 3.1 2.8 2.5
OthersAbbott India* Accumulate 1,451 1,659 3,083 1,863 2,081 11.8 12.4 71.2 83.0 20.4 17.5 4.1 3.5 21.6 21.5 1.4 1.1
Bajaj Electricals Buy 176 237 1,751 3,885 4,472 5.4 7.2 11.0 19.7 16.0 8.9 2.2 1.8 13.5 20.3 0.5 0.4
Cera Sanitaryware Buy 513 613 650 631 797 14.5 13.7 42.6 51.1 12.1 10.1 2.9 2.3 26.5 25.3 1.0 0.8
Cravatex Buy 249 459 64 248 284 6.5 7.3 27.2 38.2 9.2 6.5 1.4 1.2 15.7 18.5 0.4 0.4
Finolex Cables Accumulate 64 68 980 2,563 2,899 9.8 9.8 10.1 11.3 6.4 5.7 0.9 0.8 14.3 13.8 0.3 0.3
Force Motors Buy 249 437 325 2,304 2,649 3.1 3.6 28.0 43.7 8.9 5.7 0.3 0.3 3.1 4.7 0.1 0.1
Goodyear India* Accumulate 313 345 722 1,458 1,542 8.3 9.0 32.3 37.0 9.7 8.4 1.8 1.5 19.5 19.3 0.3 0.3
Hitachi Buy 121 177 328 1,053 1,169 6.3 7.1 13.8 17.7 8.8 6.8 1.2 1.1 15.0 16.7 0.3 0.3
Honeywell Automation* Neutral 2,489 - 2,200 1,842 2,131 7.7 7.8 112.4 132.4 22.1 18.8 2.8 2.4 13.3 13.8 1.1 0.9
IFB Agro Buy 136 198 122 495 651 12.7 12.9 29.3 39.5 4.6 3.4 0.7 0.6 15.4 17.6 0.4 0.3
ITD Cementation Buy 158 234 182 1,430 1,573 11.1 11.0 19.1 26.9 8.3 5.9 0.4 0.4 5.4 7.1 0.5 0.5
Jyothy Laboratories Accumulate 178 199 2,959 1,220 1,476 13.3 13.6 5.5 9.0 32.3 19.7 3.7 3.3 12.1 17.7 2.8 2.2
MRF Neutral 14,392 - 6,104 11,799 12,587 14.1 13.5 1,792.4 1,802.0 8.0 8.0 1.7 1.4 23.5 19.2 0.6 0.6
Page Industries Accumulate 4,351 4,611 4,853 1,057 1,282 19.4 19.6 124.8 153.7 34.9 28.3 17.3 12.7 56.3 51.8 4.7 3.9
Relaxo Footwears Accumulate 705 791 846 1,146 1,333 10.9 11.4 45.9 60.9 15.4 11.6 3.2 2.6 23.0 24.6 0.9 0.8
Siyaram Silk Mills Buy 235 343 220 1,158 1,322 11.9 11.9 72.9 85.7 3.2 2.8 0.6 0.5 19.9 19.6 0.4 0.4Styrolution ABS India* Buy 410 617 721 1,068 1,223 9.6 9.6 38.1 44.1 10.8 9.3 1.5 1.3 14.5 14.7 0.7 0.6
TAJ GVK Buy 58 108 366 300 319 35.8 36.2 7.9 9.1 7.4 6.4 1.0 0.9 13.9 14.4 1.5 1.3
Tata Sponge Iron Buy 270 371 416 814 849 17.0 17.6 64.6 69.2 4.2 3.9 0.6 0.5 14.5 13.8 0.1 (0.1)
TTK Healthcare Buy 552 686 428 435 516 6.2 7.1 24.3 33.3 22.7 16.6 3.7 3.2 17.6 20.8 0.8 0.7
Tree House Neutral 292 - 1,051 153 194 53.0 52.8 12.4 15.6 23.6 18.7 2.8 2.5 11.8 13.1 7.1 5.4
TVS Srichakra Buy 173 230 132 1,591 1,720 6.1 6.4 24.5 38.3 7.1 4.5 0.8 0.7 10.9 15.9 0.3 0.3
United Spirits Neutral 2,711 - 39,403 12,294 14,162 12.0 12.0 42.1 67.7 64.4 40.1 4.5 4.1 9.1 10.7 3.5 3.1
Vesuvius India* Buy 375 439 760 600 638 20.1 19.4 35.7 36.6 10.5 10.3 1.9 1.6 19.4 17.1 1.1 0.9
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
Stock Watch
July 24, 2013
-
7/27/2019 Market Outlook, 24-07-2013
16/17
Company Name Reco CMP Target Mkt Cap Sales ( cr ) OPM(%) EPS () PER(x) P/BV(x) RoE(%) EV/Sales(x)
( ) Price ( ) ( cr ) FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E
Others
HSIL Buy 88 117 578 2,042 2,363 14.6 14.8 12.3 16.5 7.1 5.3 0.5 0.5 7.6 9.4 0.7 0.7
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: *December year end; #September year end; &October year end; Price as on July 23, 2013
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
Stock Watch
July 24, 2013
-
7/27/2019 Market Outlook, 24-07-2013
17/17
Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357800 E-mail: [email protected] Website: www.angelbroking.com
DISCLAIMERThis document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment
decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should makesuch investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companiesreferred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits andrisks of such an investment.
Angel Broking Pvt. Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, makeinvestment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in thisdocument are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within.Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions andtrading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company'sfundamentals.
The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sourcesbelieved to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is forgeneral guidance only. Angel Broking Pvt. Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for anyloss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel Broking Pvt.Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make anyrepresentation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel BrokingPvt. Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance,or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced,redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly.
Angel Broking Pvt. Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking orother advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or inthe past.
Neither Angel Broking Pvt. Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from orin connection with the use of this information.
Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please refer to thelatest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Pvt. Limited and its affiliates may haveinvestment positions in the stocks recommended in this report.
Market OutlookJuly 24, 2013