market operations presentation
DESCRIPTION
Market Operations Presentation. Note: New Slide #6. It shows Settlement & Billing Performance Measures. These measures tie to the ERCOT Protocols and the Corporate Goals and Objectives. Agenda and Commentary. Retail Activity - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
January 15, 2008Board of Director's Meeting
Market Operations Presentation
Note: New Slide #6. It shows Settlement & Billing Performance Measures. These measures tie to the ERCOT Protocols and the Corporate Goals and Objectives.
2ERCOT Public -
Board of Director's Meeting - 2January 15, 2008
Agenda and Commentary
Retail Activity• Overall Activity – switching activity is down 13% compared to last year. Move In/Move Out activity
is comparable to last year.
• Migration From Native AREPs – no significant change from last month.
• Transaction Performance Measures – excellent performance in November.
Wholesale Activity• Settlements & Billing Performance Measures – system issues in November significantly
impacted posting deadlines for statements & invoices. Performance in prior months of 2007 exceeded 99.99%.
• Energy Services – increase in November volume versus last year due to colder weather. The colder weather this fall has increased volumes which offset the lower volumes experienced during the summer. As a result, year-to-date 2007 volumes are comparable to levels seen in 2006. Balancing activity is as expected given ERCOT load.
• Summary Hub Price Data – prices were lower in November than October which corresponded with a decrease in the natural gas price index.
• REPs and QSEs Added/Deleted– 3 new REPs
– 3 new QSEs
3ERCOT Public -
Board of Director's Meeting - 3January 15, 2008
Overall Activity
Transaction Type
Switches 669,678
Move - Ins 2,169,913
Move Out
CSA 325,883
Drop to AREP 853
Total 4,389,180
Since June 1, 2001 25,945,168
Retail Transactions Summary
11/30/2007
768,015
2,235,584
276,076
11,406
4,582,904
11/30/2006
49,346
182,093
102,362
19,854
2
353,657
2007
57,775
185,297
112,701
25,893
836
382,502
2006
YTD November
1,222,853 1,291,823
4ERCOT Public -
Board of Director's Meeting - 4January 15, 2008
Residential
Small Non-Residential
Large Non-Residential
ESI IDs and Load served by providers other than Affiliate REP
% of ESI IDs
36%
37%
72%
41%
44%
71%
45%
66%
70%
% of Load 1
at11-30-07
at11-30-07
at11-30-06
1 - % of Deregulated (Non-NOIE) Peak Demand on 08-17-06
5ERCOT Public -
Board of Director's Meeting - 5January 15, 2008
Retail Performance Measures – November 2007
SwitchesEnrollment and Meter Read Scheduling
Request Reject to TDSP Schedule to New CR to Old CR from Old CR52,895 2,806 50,084 50,976 50,772 21,281 35,886
% in Protocol n/a 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 99.1%
Historical Usage (H) and Initial (I) Meter Read DeliveriesH to ERCOT H to CR I to ERCOT I to CR
46,987 46,931 48,994 46,915% in Protocol 100.0% 100.0% n/a 100.0%
Move In / Move OutEnrollment and Meter Read Scheduling
Request Reject to TDSP Schedule to New CR to Old CR from Old CR198,230 3,421 194,518 192,947 191,817 71,325 78,713
% in Protocol n/a 98.6% 99.9% 100.0% 100.0% 99.8% 98.4%
Historical Usage (H) and Initial (I) Meter Read DeliveriesH to ERCOT H to CR I to ERCOT I to CR
113,901 113,741 183,152 183,091% in Protocol 99.6% 100.0% n/a 100.0%
6ERCOT Public -
Board of Director's Meeting - 6January 15, 2008
Settlements & Billing Performance Measures – November 2007
11/30/07 11/30/06 2007 2006
Settlement Statements:Total 110,731 94,116 11,245 9,017Late 634 346 632 -Balance 110,097 93,770 10,613 9,017% Within Protocol 99.43% 99.63% 94.38% 100.00%
Invoices:Total 6,023 5,327 669 599Late 134 - 134 -Balance 5,889 5,327 535 599% Within Protocol 97.78% 100.00% 79.97% 100.00%
Grand Total:Total 116,754 99,443 11,914 9,616Late 768 346 766 -Balance 115,986 99,097 11,148 9,616% Within Protocol 99.34% 99.65% 93.57% 100.00%
YTD November
7ERCOT Public -
Board of Director's Meeting - 7January 15, 2008
Energy Services
11/30/07 11/30/06 2007 2006• Market Perspective:
Approximate Retail Market (at $.10/kWh PTB) $28,338.1 28,450.9 2,236.9 2,105.4Volume (GWh) 283,381 284,509 22,369 21,054% Increase -0.4% 6.2%Natural Gas Price Index ($/MMBTU) 6.6 6.3 6.2 6.7% Increase 4.8% -7.5%
• Balancing Energy:
Balancing Energy - Up $618.8 $656.1 $44.4 $36.6% Increase -5.7% 21.3%Up (GWh) 8,695.0 9,246.7 683.9 633.8% Increase -6.0% 7.9%% of Market 3.1% 3.3% 3.1% 3.0%
Balancing Energy - Down -$388.4 -$294.8 -$14.1 -$28.5% Increase 31.8% -50.5%Down (GWh) -9,311.0 -7,888.9 -553.3 -792.2% Increase 18.0% -30.2%% of Market 3.3% 2.8% 2.5% 3.8%
YTD($'s in millions)
November ($'s in millions)
8ERCOT Public -
Board of Director's Meeting - 8January 15, 2008
Hub Summary Data
• ERCOT Hubs
Balancing Energy Weighted Average Price ($/MWH)
HUBNov2007
Oct2007
Sep2007
Aug2007
July2007
June2007
May2007
Apr2007
Mar2007
Feb2007
Jan2007
Dec2006
South $53.03 $45.36 $63.41 $59.13 $50.85 $59.54 $59.53 $56.64 $55.75 $53.41 $54.71 $53.80North $40.10 $48.04 $68.73 $60.38 $50.57 $54.70 $51.68 $51.63 $55.53 $51.48 $52.59 $53.86Houston $55.99 $52.94 $65.73 $63.38 $49.83 $56.88 $64.23 $65.36 $58.72 $56.30 $55.11 $60.84West $32.54 $46.23 $80.17 $59.86 $58.44 $75.18 $58.92 $70.75 $63.86 $63.95 $56.86 $56.91ERCOT Hub $47.42 $48.12 $67.44 $60.60 $51.33 $58.99 $57.21 $56.78 $57.39 $53.65 $54.33 $55.55ERCOT Bus $47.32 $48.37 $67.44 $60.69 $51.14 $58.70 $57.12 $56.84 $57.41 $53.57 $54.06 $55.63% Change -28.3% -28.3% 11.1% 18.7% -12.9% 2.8% 0.5% -1.0% 7.2% -0.9% -2.8% 22.0%NGPI % Change -7.5% 11.7% -1.6% 3.4% -19.2% -2.7% 2.7% 10.6% -9.6% 15.9% -3.1% -3.0%
HUBNov2006
Oct2006
Sept2006
Aug2006
July2006
June2006
May2006
Apr2006
Mar2006
Feb2006
Jan2006
Dec2005
South $40.95 $44.54 $40.81 $71.99 $55.08 $53.66 $58.30 $63.14 $57.19 $55.16 $58.79 $89.00North $46.29 $41.08 $38.09 $65.01 $65.89 $55.31 $58.27 $66.04 $54.87 $55.19 $50.59 $96.26Houston $48.05 $40.35 $40.46 $70.69 $61.17 $56.52 $60.27 $68.50 $54.92 $51.77 $52.18 $86.11West $52.06 $45.04 $44.57 $73.06 $66.29 $64.50 $81.01 $92.11 $59.41 $58.20 $54.06 $93.14ERCOT Hub $46.06 $42.23 $39.72 $68.51 $62.41 $56.30 $60.08 $67.35 $55.89 $55.30 $53.37 $91.70ERCOT Bus $45.60 $42.03 $39.68 $68.16 $63.02 $56.07 $60.38 $67.81 $55.91 $55.04 $53.35 $92.16% Change 8.5% 5.9% -41.8% 8.2% 12.4% -7.1% -11.0% 21.3% 1.6% 3.2% -42.1%NGPI % Change 24.1% 12.5% -31.4% 20.7% -4.9% 1.7% -13.0% 6.2% -9.7% -5.3% -32.1%
9ERCOT Public -
Board of Director's Meeting - 9January 15, 2008
REPs and QSEs Added/Deleted – December 2007
• Added Reps • Added QSEs Airtricity QSE Southwest, LLC Prier Energy, Inc. Juice Energy, Inc.
Chain Lakes Power, LP HWY 3 MHP, LLC d/b/a Etricity Juice Energy, Inc.
• Deleted Reps • Deleted QSEs None None