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Market For Property Disposition at Year 15 and Earlier November 20, 2007 Robert L. Sheppard Senior Vice President of Investments Tax Credit Group of Marcus & Millichap

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Page 1: Market For Property Disposition at Year 15 and Earlier November 20, 2007 Robert L. Sheppard Senior Vice President of Investments Tax Credit Group of Marcus

Market For Property Disposition at Year 15 and Earlier

November 20, 2007

Robert L. SheppardSenior Vice President of Investments

Tax Credit Group of Marcus & Millichap

Page 2: Market For Property Disposition at Year 15 and Earlier November 20, 2007 Robert L. Sheppard Senior Vice President of Investments Tax Credit Group of Marcus

State of Today’s Sales Market

• Deals Are Getting Done

– Yield buyers carry the day.

– Resyndications are exceptions.

– 100% partnership purchases account for “resyndication” pipeline.

• LIHTC property prices have decreased but not as much as the media is

conveying about market rate values.

– What you see is what you get UW, no Proforma.

• Surety bond is gone, but is it?

– Sellers still want / need protection.

• “Run & Gun” is over, now it is “Grind it Out”.

Page 3: Market For Property Disposition at Year 15 and Earlier November 20, 2007 Robert L. Sheppard Senior Vice President of Investments Tax Credit Group of Marcus

What is the Size of the Market?

Huge opportunity within existing portfolio for both sellers and

buyers.

2009: 652,000 Units Out of the 15th Year. (447,000 w/

Extended Use)

Page 4: Market For Property Disposition at Year 15 and Earlier November 20, 2007 Robert L. Sheppard Senior Vice President of Investments Tax Credit Group of Marcus

What Deals Are Getting Done?

• 80/20 Rule – there are exceptions

• GP sales years 7-10 .

• Fee simple cash flow sales years 10+.

• 100% partnership sales years 10-14.

– Preserve 10 year ownership.

– Wait for credit market to return or 9% execution.

– Keeps options open.

Page 5: Market For Property Disposition at Year 15 and Earlier November 20, 2007 Robert L. Sheppard Senior Vice President of Investments Tax Credit Group of Marcus

What Are Prices?

Tax Credit Group Assignment National Cap Rate Averages for “Current Income”

2008 2007 2006

Exit / Terminal 7.75% 7.93% 8.07%

Closed 6.99% 6.95% 5.46%

Escrow 7.73% - -

Listed 7.77% - -

Represents only Tax Credit Group of Marcus & Millichap activity:•50,000 units over 220 transactions•Almost $2 billion in LIHTC sales

Page 6: Market For Property Disposition at Year 15 and Earlier November 20, 2007 Robert L. Sheppard Senior Vice President of Investments Tax Credit Group of Marcus

Crystal Ball

• Believe pricing has stabilized, assuming some other shoe doesn’t drop.

• Price is debt dependant – negative change will move prices up but not down.

• Need Credit Price to increase for resyndication to be competitive with yield

buyers in markets without prevalent soft money.

• LIHTC product makes up approximately 22% of the multi-family rental stock

in the United States.

– Approximately 50% of rental production in the last 4 years.

• Institutional equity will start to focus on this market segment for yield

purchases.

• Secondary property sales market will be forced to become more efficient

over time.

– LIHTC will become a “traded deal type.

Page 7: Market For Property Disposition at Year 15 and Earlier November 20, 2007 Robert L. Sheppard Senior Vice President of Investments Tax Credit Group of Marcus

Market For Property Disposition at Year 15 and Earlier

Robert L. SheppardSenior Vice President of Investments

Tax Credit Group of Marcus & Millichap

Additional information available at: www.tcg-mm.com