market activity for the coastal carolinas association of ... · june 2019, reflecting pent-up...
TRANSCRIPT
June 2020 Quick Facts
Change in Change inClosed Sales All Properties
Closed SalesSingle-Family Only
23456789
10111213
Current as of July 10, 2020. All data comes from the Coastal Carolinas Association of REALTORS® Multiple Listing Service. Provided by South Carolina REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime.
Condo Market Overview
Percent of List Price ReceivedHousing Affordability IndexInventory of Homes for SaleMonths Supply of Inventory
New ListingsPending SalesClosed SalesDays on Market Until SaleMedian Sales PriceAverage Sales Price
Monthly Indicators
+ 6.7% + 9.3% + 2.5%While much of the country was working on a phased reopening of the economy in June, real estate activity continued to strengthen as well. Nationally, June showing activity as tracked by ShowingTime was up notably from the COVID-19 depressed levels in recent months but was also up from June 2019, reflecting pent-up demand by prospective home buyers.
Closed Sales increased 9.3 percent for single-family homes and 2.5 percent for condos. Pending Sales increased 45.7 percent for single-family homes and 44.3 percent for condos. Inventory decreased 20.8 percent for single-family homes and 4.3 percent for condos.
The Median Sales Price was down 0.4 percent to $242,995 for single-family homes but increased 3.6 percent to $145,000 for condos. Days on Market increased 7.0 percent for single-family homes and 12.2 percent for condos. Supply decreased 27.3 percent for single-family homes and 5.7 percent for condos.
While buyer activity continues to be robust, seller activity continues to be a bit softer, with fewer homes being listed for sale than a year ago. Many housing experts believe sellers remain reluctant to list their homes due to continued concerns over COVID-19, which was beginning to see a resurgence in June. Until sellers regain confidence, housing inventory will continue to be constrained during what is expected to be an active summer selling season.
A research tool provided by the Coastal Carolinas Association of REALTORS®. Percent changes are calculated using rounded figures.
Single-Family Market Overview
Change inClosed SalesCondo Only
Single-Family Market Overview
Key Metrics Historical Sparkbars 6-2019 6-2020 Percent Change YTD 2019 YTD 2020 Percent Change
--
Months Supply 5.5 4.0 - 27.3% -- -- --
4,066 3,220 - 20.8% -- --
Current as of July 10, 2020. All data comes from the Coastal Carolinas Association of REALTORS® Multiple Listing Service. Provided by South Carolina REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime. | 2
0.0%
Affordability Index 97 97 0.0% 100 97 - 3.0%
Pct. of List Price Received 97.7% 97.3% - 0.4% 97.3% 97.3%
Homes for Sale
+ 2.8%
Avg. Sales Price $274,341 $295,159 + 7.6% $273,393 $286,098 + 4.6%
Median Sales Price $244,080 $242,995 - 0.4% $238,000 $244,690
+ 1.1%
Days on Market 128 137 + 7.0% 139 146 + 5.0%
Closed Sales 875 956 + 9.3% 4,493 4,541
6,369 - 9.0%
Pending Sales 818 1,192 + 45.7% 4,949 5,191 + 4.9%
7,001
Key metrics by report month and for year-to-date (YTD) starting from the first of the year. Single-family homes only.
New Listings 1,128 1,132 + 0.4%
6-2017 6-2018 6-2019 6-2020
6-2017 6-2018 6-2019 6-2020
6-2017 6-2018 6-2019 6-2020
6-2017 6-2018 6-2019 6-2020
6-2017 6-2018 6-2019 6-2020
6-2017 6-2018 6-2019 6-2020
6-2017 6-2018 6-2019 6-2020
6-2017 6-2018 6-2019 6-2020
6-2017 6-2018 6-2019 6-2020
6-2017 6-2018 6-2019 6-2020
Condo Market Overview
Key Metrics Historical Sparkbars 6-2019 6-2020 Percent Change YTD 2019 YTD 2020 Percent Change
--
Months Supply 5.3 5.0 - 5.7% -- -- --
Key metrics by report month and for year-to-date (YTD) starting from the first of the year. Condo properties only.
New Listings 608 703 + 15.6% 4,054 - 5.7%
Pending Sales 540 779 + 44.3% 3,337 3,032 - 9.1%
4,301
Closed Sales 519 532 + 2.5% 3,086 2,554 - 17.2%
+ 0.8%
$144,000 + 5.9%
Days on Market 115 129 + 12.2% 126 127
Median Sales Price $140,000 $145,000 + 3.6% $136,000
+ 4.3%
Pct. of List Price Received 96.0% 96.0% 0.0% 96.0% 96.0% 0.0%
Avg. Sales Price $162,969 $172,314 + 5.7% $160,501 $167,438
Current as of July 10, 2020. All data comes from the Coastal Carolinas Association of REALTORS® Multiple Listing Service. Provided by South Carolina REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime. | 3
- 5.7%Affordability Index 169 163 - 3.6% 174 164
Homes for Sale 2,529 2,419 - 4.3% -- --
6-2017 6-2018 6-2019 6-2020
6-2017 6-2018 6-2019 6-2020
6-2017 6-2018 6-2019 6-2020
6-2017 6-2018 6-2019 6-2020
6-2017 6-2018 6-2019 6-2020
6-2017 6-2018 6-2019 6-2020
6-2017 6-2018 6-2019 6-2020
6-2017 6-2018 6-2019 6-2020
6-2017 6-2018 6-2019 6-2020
6-2017 6-2018 6-2019 6-2020
New Listings
New Listings Single-FamilyYear-Over-Year
Change CondoYear-Over-Year
Change
Jul-2019 1,221 +19.2% 728 +16.1%
Aug-2019 1,159 -0.8% 665 -12.2%
Sep-2019 933 +44.7% 622 +47.0%
Oct-2019 1,124 +5.1% 670 +1.8%
Nov-2019 884 -0.3% 536 -3.2%
Dec-2019 706 +4.9% 422 +13.4%
Jan-2020 1,114 -7.8% 807 +1.8%
Feb-2020 1,151 +9.7% 730 +6.4%
Mar-2020 1,137 -5.6% 737 +4.7%
Apr-2020 852 -30.7% 410 -47.7%
May-2020 983 -16.9% 667 -8.1%
Jun-2020 1,132 +0.4% 703 +15.6%
12-Month Avg 1,033 -0.6% 641 +0.1%
Historical New Listings by Month
Current as of July 10, 2020. All data comes from the Coastal Carolinas Association of REALTORS® Multiple Listing Service. Provided by South Carolina REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime. | 4
A count of the properties that have been newly listed on the market in a given month.
1,039
622
1,128
608
1,132
703
Single-Family Condo
June
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017 1-2018 1-2019 1-2020
Single-Family Condo
6,667
4,176
7,001
4,301
6,369
4,054
Single-Family Condo
Year to Date
2018 2019 2020
+ 15.6%- 2.3%+ 0.4%+ 8.6% + 3.0%- 9.0%+ 5.0% - 5.7%
2018 2019 2020 2018 2019 2020 2018 2019 2020
- 15.5% - 5.5% - 5.5%+ 2.3%
Pending Sales
Pending Sales Single-FamilyYear-Over-Year
Change CondoYear-Over-Year
Change
Jul-2019 881 +4.4% 570 +10.5%
Aug-2019 900 +3.3% 545 +9.4%
Sep-2019 675 +34.7% 402 +34.0%
Oct-2019 849 +25.8% 469 +7.6%
Nov-2019 716 +10.0% 436 +9.0%
Dec-2019 536 +22.4% 329 +13.4%
Jan-2020 763 +3.5% 506 -3.6%
Feb-2020 785 +5.1% 527 +5.0%
Mar-2020 810 -6.7% 355 -40.5%
Apr-2020 642 -28.3% 263 -56.2%
May-2020 999 +13.0% 602 +5.1%
Jun-2020 1,192 +45.7% 779 +44.3%
12-Month Avg* 744 +9.2% 481 +0.1%
Historical Pending Sales by Month
Current as of July 10, 2020. All data comes from the Coastal Carolinas Association of REALTORS® Multiple Listing Service. Provided by South Carolina REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime. | 5
A count of the properties on which offers have been accepted in a given month.
855
549
818
540
1,192
779
Single-Family Condo
June
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017 1-2018 1-2019 1-2020
Single-Family Condo
4,901
3,306
4,949
3,337
5,191
3,032
Single-Family Condo
Year to Date
2018 2019 2020
+ 44.3%- 1.6%+ 45.7%- 4.3% + 0.9%+ 4.9%+ 1.0% - 9.1%
2018 2019 2020 2018 2019 2020 2018 2019 2020
+ 1.3% + 4.4% + 3.3%+ 6.6%
Closed Sales
Closed Sales Single-FamilyYear-Over-Year
Change CondoYear-Over-Year
Change
Jul-2019 894 +11.2% 536 -0.4%
Aug-2019 859 -6.6% 598 +0.8%
Sep-2019 858 +74.4% 482 +42.2%
Oct-2019 775 -14.5% 454 -8.5%
Nov-2019 749 +12.6% 440 +8.6%
Dec-2019 775 +21.7% 468 +20.9%
Jan-2020 651 +12.2% 393 +8.0%
Feb-2020 643 +7.0% 451 +1.8%
Mar-2020 855 +5.7% 497 -9.1%
Apr-2020 763 -3.4% 348 -39.7%
May-2020 673 -19.7% 333 -47.6%
Jun-2020 956 +9.3% 532 +2.5%
12-Month Avg* 743 +6.0% 487 -5.3%
Historical Closed Sales by Month
Current as of July 10, 2020. All data comes from the Coastal Carolinas Association of REALTORS® Multiple Listing Service. Provided by South Carolina REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime. | 6
A count of the actual sales that closed in a given month.
902
557
875
519
956
532
Single-Family Condo
June
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017 1-2018 1-2019 1-2020
Single-Family Condo
4,508
3,036
4,493
3,086
4,541
2,554
Single-Family Condo
Year to Date
2018 2019 2020
+ 2.5%- 6.8%+ 9.3%- 3.0% + 1.6%+ 1.1%- 0.3% - 17.2%
2018 2019 2020 2018 2019 2020 2018 2019 2020
+ 5.4% + 6.5% + 1.8%- 8.2%
Days on Market Until Sale
Days on Market Single-FamilyYear-Over-Year
Change CondoYear-Over-Year
Change
Jul-2019 133 +1.5% 118 -6.3%
Aug-2019 129 -7.9% 128 -0.8%
Sep-2019 133 -8.9% 120 +0.8%
Oct-2019 137 -8.7% 132 -10.8%
Nov-2019 126 -13.1% 137 +13.2%
Dec-2019 131 -9.7% 120 -3.2%
Jan-2020 146 +2.8% 131 +5.6%
Feb-2020 146 -0.7% 128 -3.8%
Mar-2020 148 +2.8% 122 -12.2%
Apr-2020 153 +7.0% 113 -12.4%
May-2020 147 +8.1% 137 +17.1%
Jun-2020 137 +7.0% 129 +12.2%
12-Month Avg* 141 -1.8% 127 -1.0%
Historical Days on Market Until Sale by Month* Days on Market for all properties from July 2019 through June 2020. This is not the average of the individual figures above.
Current as of July 10, 2020. All data comes from the Coastal Carolinas Association of REALTORS® Multiple Listing Service. Provided by South Carolina REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime. | 7
Average number of days between when a property is listed and when an offer is accepted in a given month.
130120
128115
137129
Single-Family Condo
June
0
50
100
150
200
250
1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017 1-2018 1-2019 1-2020
Single-Family Condo
142
126139
126
146
127
Single-Family Condo
Year to Date
2018 2019 2020
+ 12.2%- 4.2%+ 7.0%- 1.5% 0.0%+ 5.0%- 2.1% + 0.8%
2018 2019 2020 2018 2019 2020 2018 2019 2020
- 6.5% - 0.7% - 14.9%- 16.7%
Median Sales Price
Median Sales Price Single-FamilyYear-Over-Year
Change CondoYear-Over-Year
Change
Jul-2019 $235,685 +7.6% $142,250 +8.4%
Aug-2019 $237,500 +3.9% $148,250 +6.2%
Sep-2019 $249,900 -0.0% $142,700 +1.9%
Oct-2019 $234,000 +1.7% $146,350 +2.9%
Nov-2019 $240,000 +1.7% $145,000 +7.4%
Dec-2019 $249,500 +4.0% $140,000 +0.5%
Jan-2020 $240,000 +5.2% $147,500 +10.1%
Feb-2020 $247,000 +5.8% $138,000 +6.6%
Mar-2020 $245,000 +2.1% $145,000 +7.4%
Apr-2020 $252,450 +4.8% $146,000 +9.9%
May-2020 $236,900 +1.7% $141,000 +0.8%
Jun-2020 $242,995 -0.4% $145,000 +3.6%
12-Month Avg* $235,000 +3.1% $137,000 +5.5%
Historical Median Sales Price by Month* Median Sales Price for all properties from July 2019 through June 2020. This is not the average of the individual figures above.
Current as of July 10, 2020. All data comes from the Coastal Carolinas Association of REALTORS® Multiple Listing Service. Provided by South Carolina REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime. | 8
Point at which half of the sales sold for more and half sold for less, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.
$237,070
$135,000
$244,080
$140,000
$242,995
$145,000
Single-Family Condo
June
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
$300,000
1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017 1-2018 1-2019 1-2020
Single-Family Condo
$223,560
$130,000
$238,000
$136,000
$244,690
$144,000
Single-Family Condo
Year to Date
2018 2019 2020
+ 3.6%+ 3.7%- 0.4%+ 3.0% + 4.6%+ 2.8%+ 6.5% + 5.9%
2018 2019 2020 2018 2019 2020 2018 2019 2020
+ 5.4% + 7.5% + 3.2%+ 5.9%
Average Sales Price
Avg. Sales Price Single-FamilyYear-Over-Year
Change CondoYear-Over-Year
Change
Jul-2019 $272,747 +5.7% $168,216 +9.2%
Aug-2019 $274,472 -0.4% $170,807 +2.5%
Sep-2019 $278,213 -3.0% $168,339 +0.3%
Oct-2019 $271,044 -0.9% $177,461 +10.4%
Nov-2019 $276,006 +4.8% $172,471 +7.4%
Dec-2019 $272,368 -5.6% $172,947 +8.7%
Jan-2020 $296,365 +14.4% $174,005 +6.5%
Feb-2020 $281,583 +2.1% $161,655 +9.5%
Mar-2020 $282,414 +2.6% $165,441 +7.3%
Apr-2020 $281,221 -1.6% $168,070 +6.9%
May-2020 $277,795 +3.9% $162,049 -6.9%
Jun-2020 $295,159 +7.6% $172,314 +5.7%
12-Month Avg $279,949 +2.4% $169,481 +5.4%
Historical Average Sales Price by Month* Avg. Sales Price for all properties from July 2019 through June 2020. This is not the average of the individual figures above.
Current as of July 10, 2020. All data comes from the Coastal Carolinas Association of REALTORS® Multiple Listing Service. Provided by South Carolina REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime. | 9
Average sales price for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.
$268,818
$161,530
$274,341
$162,969
$295,159
$172,314
Single-Family Condo
June
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
$300,000
$350,000
$400,000
1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017 1-2018 1-2019 1-2020
Single-Family Condo
$255,489
155,436
$273,393
$160,501
$286,098
$167,438
Single-Family Condo
Year to Date
2018 2019 2020
+ 5.7%+ 0.9%+ 7.6%+ 2.1% + 3.3%+ 4.6%+ 7.0% + 4.3%
2018 2019 2020 2018 2019 2020 2018 2019 2020
+ 1.6% + 1.5% + 3.1%+ 5.6%
Percent of List Price Received
Pct. of List Price Received Single-Family
Year-Over-YearChange Condo
Year-Over-YearChange
Jul-2019 97.3% -0.2% 96.0% -0.2%
Aug-2019 97.3% -0.3% 96.3% 0.0%
Sep-2019 97.7% +0.5% 96.1% -0.2%
Oct-2019 97.3% -0.4% 96.0% -0.4%
Nov-2019 97.6% +0.3% 96.3% +0.5%
Dec-2019 97.5% 0.0% 96.1% +0.7%
Jan-2020 97.0% -0.1% 95.9% +0.2%
Feb-2020 97.1% -0.2% 95.9% +0.3%
Mar-2020 97.6% +0.4% 96.3% +0.2%
Apr-2020 97.4% +0.3% 96.2% +0.3%
May-2020 97.4% +0.3% 95.8% -0.5%
Jun-2020 97.3% -0.4% 96.0% 0.0%
12-Month Avg 97.4% +0.0% 96.1% +0.0%
Historical Percent of List Price Received by Month* Pct. of List Price Received for all properties from July 2019 through June 2020. This is not the average of the individual figures above.
Current as of July 10, 2020. All data comes from the Coastal Carolinas Association of REALTORS® Multiple Listing Service. Provided by South Carolina REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime. | 10
Percentage found when dividing a property’s sales price by its most recent list price, then taking the average for all properties sold in a given month, not accounting for seller concessions.
97.7% 96.0%97.7% 96.0%97.3% 96.0%
Single-Family Condo
June
88.0%
90.0%
92.0%
94.0%
96.0%
98.0%
100.0%
1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017 1-2018 1-2019 1-2020
Single-Family Condo
97.4% 95.9%97.3% 96.0%97.3% 96.0%
Single-Family Condo
Year to Date
2018 2019 2020
0.0%0.0%- 0.4%0.0% + 0.1%0.0%- 0.1% 0.0%
2018 2019 2020 2018 2019 2020 2018 2019 2020
+ 0.7% + 0.4% + 0.3%+ 0.3%
Housing Affordability Index
Affordability Index Single-FamilyYear-Over-Year
Change CondoYear-Over-Year
Change
Jul-2019 100 -7.4% 167 -7.2%
Aug-2019 100 -3.8% 160 -5.9%
Sep-2019 95 0.0% 166 -1.8%
Oct-2019 101 -1.9% 162 -2.4%
Nov-2019 99 -1.0% 163 -6.9%
Dec-2019 95 -4.0% 169 -0.6%
Jan-2020 99 -4.8% 161 -9.0%
Feb-2020 96 -5.0% 172 -6.0%
Mar-2020 97 -2.0% 163 -6.9%
Apr-2020 94 -4.1% 162 -9.0%
May-2020 100 -2.0% 168 -0.6%
Jun-2020 97 0.0% 163 -3.6%
12-Month Avg 98 -3.0% 165 -5.0%
Historical Housing Affordability Index by Month
Current as of July 10, 2020. All data comes from the Coastal Carolinas Association of REALTORS® Multiple Listing Service. Provided by South Carolina REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime. | 11
This index measures housing affordability for the region. For example, an index of 120 means the median household income is 120% of what is necessary to qualify for the median-priced home under prevailing interest rates. A higher number means greater affordability.
100
175
97
169
97
163
Single-Family Condo
June
50
100
150
200
250
300
1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017 1-2018 1-2019 1-2020
Single-Family Condo
106
182
100
174
97
164
Single-Family Condo
Year to Date
2018 2019 2020
- 3.6%- 3.4%0.0%- 3.0% - 4.4%- 3.0%- 5.7% - 5.7%
2018 2019 2020 2018 2019 2020 2018 2019 2020
- 4.8% - 7.0% - 3.2%- 5.9%
Inventory of Homes for Sale
Homes for Sale Single-FamilyYear-Over-Year
Change CondoYear-Over-Year
Change
Jul-2019 4,082 +5.5% 2,508 +6.4%
Aug-2019 3,994 +4.1% 2,443 -1.5%
Sep-2019 3,943 +6.3% 2,510 +1.5%
Oct-2019 3,913 +1.9% 2,536 -0.1%
Nov-2019 3,843 +3.7% 2,481 -2.9%
Dec-2019 3,687 +2.3% 2,370 -3.1%
Jan-2020 3,741 0.0% 2,492 -2.0%
Feb-2020 3,890 +1.6% 2,551 -2.4%
Mar-2020 3,919 +0.2% 2,775 +8.1%
Apr-2020 3,823 -3.8% 2,755 +6.4%
May-2020 3,552 -11.1% 2,654 +2.9%
Jun-2020 3,220 -20.8% 2,419 -4.3%
12-Month Avg* 3,841 -1.0% 2,523 +0.7%
Historical Inventory of Homes for Sale by Month
Current as of July 10, 2020. All data comes from the Coastal Carolinas Association of REALTORS® Multiple Listing Service. Provided by South Carolina REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime. | 12
The number of properties available for sale in active status at the end of a given month.
3,921
2,362
4,066
2,529
3,220
2,419
Single-Family Condo
June
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017 1-2018 1-2019 1-2020
Single-Family Condo
2018
- 4.3%+ 7.1%- 20.8%+ 3.7%- 0.0% - 15.0%2019 2020 2018 2019 2020
Months Supply of Inventory
Months Supply Single-FamilyYear-Over-Year
Change CondoYear-Over-Year
Change
Jul-2019 5.5 +5.8% 5.2 +8.3%
Aug-2019 5.3 +3.9% 5.0 0.0%
Sep-2019 5.2 +4.0% 5.0 -2.0%
Oct-2019 5.0 -3.8% 5.1 -3.8%
Nov-2019 4.9 -2.0% 4.9 -7.5%
Dec-2019 4.7 -4.1% 4.7 -7.8%
Jan-2020 4.7 -6.0% 4.9 -7.5%
Feb-2020 4.9 -5.8% 5.0 -7.4%
Mar-2020 4.9 -7.5% 5.7 +7.5%
Apr-2020 5.0 -7.4% 6.0 +11.1%
May-2020 4.5 -15.1% 5.7 +7.5%
Jun-2020 4.0 -27.3% 5.0 -5.7%
12-Month Avg* 5.2 -5.4% 5.2 -0.5%
Historical Months Supply of Inventory by Month* Months Supply for all properties from July 2019 through June 2020. This is not the average of the individual figures above.
Current as of July 10, 2020. All data comes from the Coastal Carolinas Association of REALTORS® Multiple Listing Service. Provided by South Carolina REALTORS®. Report © 2020 ShowingTime. | 13
The inventory of homes for sale at the end of a given month, divided by the average monthly pending sales from the last 12 months.
5.34.8
5.5 5.3
4.0
5.0
Single-Family Condo
June
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017 1-2018 1-2019 1-2020
Single-Family Condo
- 5.7%+ 10.4%- 27.3%+ 3.8%- 7.0% - 21.3%2018 2019 2020 2018 2019 2020