march newsletter

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Patty Lance * Coldwell Banker Previews International * 949 933 4742 * DRE Lic: 01386734 4 San Joaquin Plaza, Suite 260 * Newport Beach, CA 92660 [email protected] * www.pattylance.com Friends of Oasis Senior Center Day Trips Barona Casino March 23 The fabulous Palm Springs Follies April 8 Harrah’s Rincom Casino- Valley Center April 13 Virginia Robinson Estate & Gardens April 19 Palomar Observatory May 12 For details and more trips, call 949 718 1810 Inside this issue: 7% Increase in Foreclosure.. Page 1 Calendar of Events Page 1 Which way will the wind blow? Page 2 2011 Wild Cards & 2011 Forecast Page 2 2011 CA Housing Outlook Page 3 Patty Speaks Page 3 What has sold Page 4 A quarterly report designed to keep you informed of the real estate market and how to protect your wealth Harbor View News brought to you by Patty Lance March 2011 7% Increase in Foreclosure Starts in January… California saw a nearly 7 percent increase in foreclosure starts in January compared to December, 2010, while notice of trustee sales dropped almost 14 percent from the prior month, the latest report from ForeclosureRadar.com shows. The rise in notice of default filings reverses a four-month trend of declines. Year-over-year changes were much smaller, with defaults down 3.32 percent and notices of trustee sales down 1.38 percent from January, 2010. There was a big increase in sales at foreclosure auctions in January: Properties that reverted to lenders went up 51.5%, and those purchased by investors rose 52.8 percent. From Sean O’Toole, founder and CEO of Foreclosure Radar: “January brought significant increases in foreclosure sales throughout our coverage area, returning volumes to pre robo-signing levels …While the increase is significant, we’ve seen larger surges after moratoriums or delays have played out in the past. For example in (California) after the delays caused by Senate Bill 1137 we saw a surge in notice of default filings that far eclipsed any prior period. That is not the case here. “Despite months of slow sales, we’ve simply returned to prior levels, which to me indicates banks remain re- luctant to aggressively foreclose despite the time it takes to foreclose being at or near record levels, and large inventories of properties still scheduled for foreclosure sale.” To read the entire articlevisit www.pattylance.com How does Harbor View compare? Did you know? In 2010 15% of the homes sold were distressed In 2011 33% of the homes sold so far this year were distressed Currently there are 9 Harbor View homes either in Pre-foreclosure or in Foreclosure

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Patty Lance * Coldwell Banker Previews International * 949 933 4742 * DRE Lic: 01386734

4 San Joaquin Plaza, Suite 260 * Newport Beach, CA 92660

[email protected] * www.pattylance.com

Friends of Oasis Senior

Center Day Trips

Barona Casino March 23

The fabulous Palm Springs Follies April 8

Harrah’s Rincom Casino-Valley Center April 13

Virginia Robinson Estate & Gardens April 19

Palomar Observatory

May 12

For details and more trips, call

949 718 1810

Inside this issue: 7% Increase in Foreclosure.. Page 1

Calendar of Events Page 1

Which way will the wind blow? Page 2

2011 Wild Cards & 2011 Forecast Page 2

2011 CA Housing Outlook Page 3

Patty Speaks Page 3

What has sold Page 4

A quarterly report designed to keep you informed of the real estate market and

how to protect your wealth

Harbor View News– brought to you by Patty Lance

March 2011

7% Increase in Foreclosure Starts in January…

California saw a nearly 7 percent increase in foreclosure starts in

January compared to December, 2010, while notice of trustee sales

dropped almost 14 percent from the prior month, the latest report

from ForeclosureRadar.com shows.

The rise in notice of default filings reverses a four-month trend of

declines. Year-over-year changes were much smaller, with defaults

down 3.32 percent and notices of trustee sales down 1.38 percent

from January, 2010.

There was a big increase in sales at foreclosure auctions in January: Properties that reverted to lenders went

up 51.5%, and those purchased by investors rose 52.8 percent.

From Sean O’Toole, founder and CEO of Foreclosure Radar:

“January brought significant increases in foreclosure sales throughout our coverage area, returning volumes

to pre robo-signing levels …While the increase is significant, we’ve seen larger surges after moratoriums or

delays have played out in the past. For example in (California) after the delays caused by Senate Bill 1137 we

saw a surge in notice of default filings that far eclipsed any prior period. That is not the case here.

“Despite months of slow sales, we’ve simply returned to prior levels, which to me indicates banks remain re-

luctant to aggressively foreclose despite the time it takes to foreclose being at or near record levels, and large

inventories of properties still scheduled for foreclosure sale.”

To read the entire article—visit www.pattylance.com

How does Harbor View compare? Did you know? In 2010 15% of the homes sold were distressed

In 2011 33% of the homes sold so far this year were distressed

Currently there are 9 Harbor View homes either in Pre-foreclosure or in Foreclosure

Page 2 Harbor View News

Which way will the wind blow in 2011? Here is the breakdown of recent activity by key category; included is

how the latest results compare to the average monthly sales pace

from 1988 through 2010

Patty Lance * Coldwell Banker Previews International * 949 933 4742 * DRE Lic: 01386734

4 San Joaquin Plaza, Suite 260 * Newport Beach, CA 92660

[email protected] * www.pattylance.com

$410,000 median selling price is 36% below June 2007′s peak of $645,000.

Current price is 8.9% below 2010′s peak (May and July) of $450,000.

The most recent median is 11% above the cyclical low hit in January 2009 at

$370,000 — so the median has recouped 15% of the $275,000 price drop from the peak.

Compared to cyclical low, single-family house median is 11% higher ($418,250 in

January 2009); condo median is 17% higher ($252,000 in March 2009.) Builder prices for new homes are 34% above June 2009′s $424,000 bottom.

The median selling price of a single-family home is 37% less than their peak pricing

(June ’07). Condos sell 37% below their peak in March 2006. Builder prices for new homes are 34% below their February ’05 top.

Single-family homes were 58% more expensive than condos in this period vs. 61% a

year ago. From 1988-2010, the average house/condo gap was 57%.

Builder’s new homes sales were 7% of all residences sold in the period vs. 5% a year

ago. From 1988-2010, builders did 14% of the Orange County homeselling

Slice Price Price vs. year

ago Sales

Sales vs.

year ago

Sales vs.

’88-’10 avg.

Houses $465,000 -3.7% 1,286 -10.4% -43.0%

Condos $294,500 -1.7% 660 -6.0% -23.3%

New $568,500 +4.0% 128 +20.8% -75.7%

All O.C. $410,000 -2.2% 1,929 -7.5% -47.1%

Page 3 March 2011

Patty Lance * Coldwell Banker Previews International * 949 933 4742 * DRE Lic: 01386734

4 San Joaquin Plaza, Suite 260 * Newport Beach, CA 92660

[email protected] * www.pattylance.com

This is my first newsletter for 2011 and I wish you a healthy, happy New

Year. I strive to bring you the most current real estate information to help you

manage the most important asset you own. Though the experts are predicting

the recession has ended, many of us are wondering if that is true. I do believe

that we have hit bottom and are now bouncing along the bottom line. The

forecast for this year calls for a modest 2% increase in the real estate market.

However, this depends on the 2011 Wild Cards.

How does this translate to the Port Streets? Actually, it is favorable. Last year was a banner year for

sales. With over 50 homes sold, we saw demand pretty much across the board. This year, the greatest

demand is for those homes priced in the low $1M range.

The biggest challenge buyers are faced with today is securing favorable terms and conditions for a

mortgage. The lenders still are guarding their “purse strings”. This is most obvious for buyers securing

construction loans. I am happy to say, if you drive thru the neighborhood you will see new homes under

construction. This is good news!

If you are interested in me researching a special topic, please email me with your request and I will be

happy to include the article in the next quarterly edition.

Patty Speaks: Visit: HarborViewRealEstateNews.com for the latest Harbor View news.

4 San Joaquin Plaza

Suite 260

Newport Beach, CA 92660

Patty Lance

949 933 4742

[email protected]

www.pattylance.com

HarborViewRealEstateNews.com

Harbor View Homes Sold in 2011 visit www.HarborViewRealEstateNews.com for a complete listing of homes sold in 2010

2312 Port Lerwick $ 1,180,000

2312 Port Bristol $ 1,190,000

1723 Port Sheffield $1,500,000

Coldwell Banker is #1 in Southern CA

Patty Lance * Coldwell Banker Previews International * 949 933 4742 * DRE Lic: 01386734

4 San Joaquin Plaza, Suite 260 * Newport Beach, CA 92660

[email protected] * www.pattylance.com

Coldwell Banker continues to be the largest broker not only in Orange County but globally. There are a total of 97,000 agents thru out the world, 2700 offices in the United States and 900 offices interna-tionally with representation in 49 countries and territories.