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    Gang of Four

    Mao Zedong

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    Deng Xiaoping

    Hua Guofeng

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    China

    *The 1970s: A Decade ofEvents and New HopeIn 1976 the "Gang of Four" was toppled, and atremendous change took place in Chinese society. In1978 Deng Xiaoping initiated the reform and opening-uppolicy, ushering China onto a new track of development.

    Deaths of State Leaders

    The year 1976 saw the deaths of three revered state

    leaders. The death of Mao Zedong in particular plungedthe whole country into grief.

    The atmosphere in Tian An Men Square was solemn andreverent. A huge black streamer running across the

    rostrum on Tian An Men carried the words in white:"Mass Memorial Meeting for the Great Leader and

    Teacher Chairman Mao Zedong."

    ......

    The national flag in the square flew at half mast. The people of the capital and Party,government and army cadres stood in orderly formation in the square and along the five

    kilometers of Changan Avenue which passes through the square. They had converged on thesquare from factories, mines, enterprises, stores, rural people's communes, army quarters,

    offices, schools and homes.

    ......

    At 3 p.m. sharp the memorial meeting began. The million mourners stood at attention and

    observed three minutes of silence as a 500-man military band played solemn funeral music. Livetransmissions over radio and television carried the meeting to innumerable homes. As the

    funeral music reached every corner of the land, 800 million people stood in silent tribute withtears in their eyes and at the same time sirens and whistles were sounded all across the country,

    in factories and mines, from moving trains, ships and naval vessels.

    (From "One Million People in Peking at Solemn Mass Memorial Meeting for Chairman MaoTsetung," November-December 1976.)

    Millions of people in Beijing attendedthe funeral ceremony mourning thedeath of Chairman Mao.

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    In 1981, the death of Soong Ching Ling deprived China of a great state leader, the world of agreat woman, and China Reconstructs of its founder. To commemorate this great woman of the20th century, this magazine published a memorial issue, which included reminiscences fromrevered state leaders and noted personages. At the beginning of the issue was a commemorativearticle by Deng Yingchao, wife of late premier Zhou Enlai and a long-time friend of Soong

    Ching Ling.

    I remember the winter of 1924 when you accompanied Dr. Sun Yat-sen to Tianjin on your

    journey to the north. You came up on the ship's deck to face the welcoming throng. I, standingamong them, saw Dr. Sun, the great revolutionary forerunner and ceaseless fighter for the

    overthrow of the Qing dynasty monarchy and for independence, freedom and democracy inChina, standing straight and firm, although age and illness already marked his face, warmly

    acknowledging the acclamations of the people. And on his right, Isaw you -- erect, slim,graceful, young, beautiful, dignified, tranquil, inspired by revolutionary ideals. As an image of a

    young woman revolutionary, you remained clearly in my mind from then on.

    In Beijing in 1925 you walked, dressed in mourning, in the funeral procession for Dr. Sun.Through your black veilIsaw that you were not in tears but firmer than ever, full of inner

    strength. You passed the test of dire sorrow.

    ......

    From your youth you devoted yourself to the revolution. With regard to your marriage, you did

    not give way to the opposition of your whole family. Living in semi-feudal, semi-colonial oldChina, surrounded by such kin, exposed for long years to hostility and threats from the

    degenerated Kuomintang, you were able to fight on your own at the forefront of the battle. Yourunyielding will, your unbreakable strength, your noble quality of remaining unsoiled amid the

    mire, has made you a true heroine of the people, a true heroine among women. Greatrevolutionary fighter! You are purer than the lotus, stronger than the pine. Comrade Zhou Enlai

    called you "the gem of the nation," and he was right.

    (From "Salute to Comrade Soong Ching Ling" by Deng Yingchao, August 1981.)

    Tangshan Earthquake

    The year 1976 was indeed eventful. In July an earthquake sundered Tangshan into debris anddeprived China of 240,000 lives. Tremors from this huge earthquake were also felt strongly inneighboring areas, including Beijing and Tianjin. The Chinese people suppressed their sorrowand worked tirelessly to rescue, help and comfort the survivors of this dreadful natural disaster.This magazine sent reporters to the ruins of Tangshan and reported what they saw to the world.

    The violent 7.5 earthquake that hit the Tangshan-Fengnan area in Hebei province, North China,

    at 3:42 a.m. last July 28, caused great losses in life and property. Strong shocks were felt inTianjin and Beijing.

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    ......On July 30 a delegation of Central Committee and State Council leaders went to the areasseparately in three subdivisions. With the direct concern of Chairman Mao and the Party

    Central Committee, and with prompt assistance from the people of the entire country, theinhabitants of the disaster areas fought the results of the quake and began relief and

    rehabilitation work.

    ......

    Destruction was the greatest in the million-population city of Tangshan. The Tangshanprefectural and city Party committees and local army units immediately set up a command post

    for relief work. Leaders and workers of the area's factories and mines, including the KailuanCoal Mines, Tangshan Iron and Steel Company, and Tangshan Power Plant rescued workers

    and their families and braved continued tremors to check installations and buildings. The greatmajority of the miners on night shift in the Kailuan Coal Mines under the city returned to the

    surface safely. Aid flowed in from all directions.

    ......

    In Beijing, a hundred miles away, the shock was lighter and damage slight. The municipal Party

    committee directed what relief and further precautionary measures were needed. The entirepopulation quickly erected temporary shelters in the open. Water, electricity, coal and gas

    supplies were maintained without interruption. Communications and transport were kept open.People were able to buy food and daily necessities as usual.

    (From "First Days After the Earthquake," October 1976.)

    "First Love"

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    Reform and opening up came quietly to China with thespring rain of 1978, foretelling the arrival of a newdevelopment period. This spring rain not only moistenedthe dry soil but also revitalized the thirsty hearts andhumanity of the Chinese people. This magazine is one of

    the first few periodicals that reported on love after the"cultural revolution."

    On July 26 last year the Peking Daily published a reportentitled "Two Minds with the Same Ideals."It was a true

    story about Zhang Lihan and Wang Chengkuang, bothworkers in a parts factory. Response from readers both in

    and out of Beijing was immediate.

    Communist Youth League members in the ElectricalAppliances Factory in Peking asked Zhang Lihan to tell

    them more about her story......

    Last autumn "The Position of Love," a short story by Liu

    Xinwu, published in the literary monthly October, dreweven stronger reactions throughout the country.

    ......

    Young men and women all over the country wrote the papers and authors what they thought

    about the questions the story and Zhang Lihan's article raised. Below are excerpts from some ofthese letters:

    Liu Shumin of the Peking Post and Telegraph Bureau wrote: "I read about love in stories when Iwas a child. I didn't understand much butI had a feeling it was something noble that brought

    happiness. But laterI was told that love was something vulgar. One should never fall in love.Chang Li-han's story showed me what real love is."

    ......

    Chen Chieh-fang, an army man of the military sub-command in southern Gansu province:

    "Zhang Lihan and Wang Chengkuang's story tells us that love doesn't at all prevent youngpeople from working well, but helps them mature properly. As Gorky once wrote, 'Without love,

    there will be no happiness. True love elevates the spirit and inspires people to work and livebetter.'"

    ......

    Recently, stories and plays about love have appeared one after another in Chinese newspapers,magazines, radio and television programs. They have received wide acclaim, especially from the

    young people. They demand that this should continue, in order to help restore love's proper

    China Today has recorded thechanges in Chinese people's attitudetowards marriage and personalrelationships.

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    place in people's minds and lives. Such favorable responses have naturally penetrated theCommunist Youth League.

    (From "Reevaluating Attitudes on Love" by Yu Yuwen, January 1979.)

    The Four Modernizations

    Although the Four Modernizations are associated with Deng Xiaoping this program wasarticulated by Zhou Enlai in 1975. The Communist Party from Lenin was committed toindustrialization but Maoism took a different attitude, that modernization was a "road tocapitalistic restoration." Zhou Enlai was suffering from cancer and was politically too weak toconfront Mao's wife, Jiang Qing, on this issue. But Deng Xiaoping was more combative. In thefall of 1975 he published three documents which were to be the basis for the FourModernizations. The Gang of Four labeled these documents "Three Poisonous Weeds" and madeDeng the target of the "Antirightist Deviationist Wind Campaign." In his New Year's Message of1976 Mao warned against emphasizing material progress. By April Deng had been dismissed for

    all his official posts.

    By October of 1976 Mao was dead and the Gang of Four under arrest. Deng was rehabilitatedand the Four Modernizations promoted. By August 1977 Deng was reinstated and he delivered aspeech to the Eleventh Party Congrees stressing the Four Modernizations of :

    y Agricuturey Industryy Science and Technologyy National Defense

    In practical terms this meant "electricity in the rural areas, industrial automation, a neweconomic outlook, and greatly enhanced defense strength."

    The Ten Year Plan

    In February of 1978 Chairman Hua Guofeng revealed a ten year plan for the period 1976-1985.The Plan involved 120 projects consisting of:

    The Ten Year Plan

    Sector Plan

    Iron and Steel 10 complexes

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    Nonferrous Metals 9 complexes

    Oil and Gas 10 fields

    Coal 8 mines

    Electricity 30 power stations

    Railroad 7 trunk lines

    Water Transportation 5 harbors

    The turmoil that Mao and the Maoists imposed upon China can be seen reflected in the statisticson iron and steel production. In 1960 steel production was almost 19 million tons, up from 1.35tons in 1952. But the Great Leap Forward caused production to fall back to 8 million tons in1961. After recovering and reaching a peak of 25.5 million tons in 1973, leadership of the Gangof Four during the Cultural Revolution brought a fall to 21 million tons in 1976, a net gain ofonly 10 percent over the 1960 figure.

    The Ten-Year Plan called for an increase in steel production to 60 million tons per year by 1985

    and to 180 million by 1999. The leadership didn't expect to achieve such gains by homegrowndevelopment, instead they entered into a $14 billion contract with a German steel company tobuild a major steel complex in eastern Hebei province and a $2 billion contract with a Japanesefirm to build another on the outskirts of Shanghai. Other plants were also to be built.

    Major petroleum discoveries were made in the 1960s and the Ten-Year Plan called for investing$60 billion in ten new oil and gas fields. China relies very heavily on coal for energy and theTen-Year Plan called for doubling coal production to 900 million tons per year through thecreation of eight new mines. China at the time of the formulation of the Ten-Year P;an wasrelatively weak in the use of electrical power. The Ten-Year P;an called for the development of20 hydoelectric power plants and 10 other types of power plants.

    In 1977 China was still a predominantly agricultureal economy but the government had notsupported institutional and technological measures to increase productivity and, as aconsequence, per capita production of grains had remained at 1955 levels. The Ten-Year Plancalled for a $33 billion investment in the mechanization of agriculture and improvement ofirrigation. One important side-effect of this program is that if it worked there would be 100million workers who would be released from farming and for whom the government would haveto make proviisions for in other sectors. The institutional structure was modified to encourage

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    higher production through individual initiative and more flexible production arrangements.Commune farmers were encouraged to pursue sidelines of production on small plots.

    The Ten-Year Plan called for the modernization of its military but with China already spending 7to 10 percent of its GDP on the military in 1978 a modernization called for in the Plan would

    cost an enormous $300 billion.

    Capital was definitely scarce at the beginning of the Ten-Year Plan. It was estimated that theTen-Year Plan goals would cost between $350 billion and $630 billion in 1978 prices. Thegovernment had been relying very heavily upon the revenue it gained by requiring the sale ofagricultural products to the Stae at artificially low prices and selling them at a higher price. Butthis policy did not encourage productivity in agriculture and agricultural development stagnated.The percapita output of grains, as stated previously, was not any higher in 1977 than it was in1955. The State Enterprises, instead of being a source of profit for the State, required largesubsidies necessitating the milking of agriculture.

    For the Ten-Year Plan the government sought other sources of revenues. One source it tried todevelop was tourism. Hotels and other tourist facilities were built and there was some success,but notably the vast majority of the tourists were overseas Chinese.

    In desperation China turned to encouraging foreign investment as a way of financing thedevelopment projects. German and Japanese companies provided the capital for major projects inreturn for a share of the benefits.

    China also reversed its policy concerning foreign loans. In December of 1978 China arranged a$1.2 billion loan from a consortium of British banks and by mid-April China had received orarranged for $10 billion in foreign loans.

    China in 1978 had a serious shortage of technical personnel. The Cultural Revolution haddisrupted the system of higher education for about twelve years. Estimates of the total size of thetechnical and scientific workforce in China in the 1970's were in the neighborhood of sixtythousand. For a nation of one billion people sixty thousand is a miniscule amount. By the early1980's the scientific and technical workforce had grown to about 400,000, a substantial increasebut still a quite small amount for a nation of over one billion people. There is even more of ashortage of middle level technicians and skilled workers.

    Problems of Implementation of the Ten-Year Plan

    In the first year of the Ten-Year Plan the government began 100,000 projects which would costin total $40 billion. The total investment the government committed itself to in 1978 was about36 percent of China's GDP. It was not possible to sustain this level of investment financially ortechnically.

    The $2 billion steel complex that a Japanese company was to built in the vicinity of Shanghai raninto major difficulties. The site chosen by the Chinese government planners was in swamp landon the edge of the Chang Jiang (Yangtze River). The swampy character of the land required

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    hundreds of thousands of steel pilings be driven into the ground before the steel complex couldbe built. After construction started in 1979 it was discovered that the electrical power supply inthe area was inadequate for the steel plant and the site was not accessible by the ships that wereto bring iron ore from Australia and Brazil. The first stage of the projected $2 billion complexcost $5 billion. The government stopped construction on the second stage leaving the Japanese

    firm which had agreed to build the steel plant in financial difficulty.

    The bigger ($14 billion) steel complex the Chinese government contracted to be built in Hebeiby a German company was also in difficulty. The site was found to be at risk for earthquakes.Another planned development was located in the city of Wuhan. It was to process raw steel intoa higher quality steel but it was found to require so much electricity that if it operated therewould be no power left for anything else in the province. But even if there had been adequatepower the area could not supply an adequate amount of the raw steel for its operation.

    Revision/Retrenchment of the Ten Year Plan

    By 1979 even official government sources like the newspaperRenmin Ribao (People's Daily)acknowledged that the initial phase of the Ten Year Plan was seriously flawed by lack of properpreparation which led to enormous wastes. Hua Guofeng announced in June of 1979 a period ofadjustment, reconstruction, consolidation and improvement for the economy. Priorities wereshifted, away from heavy industry toward agriculture and light industry. Planned investment inagriculture was increased from $26 billion to $59 billion. The Ten-Year Plan target for steelproduction was cut from 60 million tons to 45 million. Light manufacturing industries,particularly those that could earn foreign currency, were to be encouraged. Construction as wellas heavy industry was cut back. But the cuts were not uniform, across-the-board cuts. Theproduction goals for several key sectors were as follows:

    The Ten Year Plan Revisions

    Sector Output 1985 Targets

    1979 Original Revised

    Steel(million tons) 34.5 60 45

    Coal(million tons)

    635 900 800

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    Petroleum(million tons)

    106 500 300

    Cement(million tons)

    74 100 100

    Altogether 348 major projects in heavy industry were halted, including specifically projects insteel, machine production and chemicals. Over four thousand smaller such projects were alsostopped. China's shortage of investment capital was worsened by the high cost of its 1979invasion of Viet Nam.

    Institutional and Structural Reorganization

    Generally the 1980's brought a relaxation of control by the Communist Party. Communes andenterprises were allowed to sell over-quota production at prices above the government-set prices.Workers were allowed more freedom in making decisions concerning their own welfare.Enterprises were allowed to borrow funds and in special area seek foreign joint-venture partners.Five Special Economic Zones (Guangdong and Fujian in the south and Beijin, Tianjin in thenorth, and Shanghai) with power to negotiate arrangements with foreign businesses.were createdChina tried to model this institutional change on the Yugoslavian and Romanian experienceswhich were thought to have successfully melded socialist and capitalist systems.

    With a new awareness of the productivity of capital rates of return became a concern. Thefigures differed considerably among industries. The profit margin is not the same as the rate of

    return on capital but profit margins give some indication of the variation among industries. Inpetroleum the profit margin was 40 percent while in coal minimig it was only one percent.

    With relaxed control more internal migration has developed and China began to experience anovert unemployment problem. Previously any surplus labor in the cities was forced to go to thecountryside. This may have solved the problem of people being without a job but to put people inunproductive or underproductive jobs may simply have hidden the unemployment.

    *June 3-4, 1989: Carnage in Tiananmen Square

    After crackdown, change comes slowly to China

    By Greg BotelhoCNNFriday, June 4, 2004 Posted: 7:27 AM EDT (1127 GMT)

    (CNN) -- One man, alone and unarmed, boldly shuffles to

    confront a column of tanks, climbs atop one, then berates its

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    occupants. For many, this image defined the tumultuous 1989 clash between Chinese armed forces and

    anti-government protesters.

    Yet this scene, broadcast to millions worldwide, ran counter to what transpired in Beijing thatbloody week. Whereas that still unidentified man walked away unscathed, hundreds of fellowdemonstrators did not, killed as troops tore through the city. Ultimately, the military showedlittle restraint, and protesters could claim few victories.

    When the massive Tiananmen Square rally ended, so did many Chinese hopes for immediate,drastic political reform. Much like after similar student-led protests in 1919, 1976 and 1986,quiet quickly displaced pro-democracy chants, industriousness took the place of rebellion in thecapital and throughout the country.

    "They had come close to the edge of chaos and looked over, and they didn't like what they saw,"UCLA Professor Richard Baum said of the millions of Chinese, including many of his friends,who had backed the students. "Now they were saying that China needs time to heal its wounds,that we'll have gradual change instead."

    But outside China, the reverberations were far more pronounced. Unlike at the earlier, large-scale protests, the global media -- having flocked to Beijing to cover Soviet leader MikhailGorbachev's summit with China's Deng Xiaoping -- witnessed the huge demonstrations and sterncrackdown.

    "The students in the square rained on Deng's parade," noted Baum, calling the incident a "publicrelations disaster" for China's leadership. "The world press turned their cameras on the moreinteresting show... Internationally, China suffered a huge amount of damage."

    Leaders worldwide swiftly and strongly condemned China's leadership. Many subsequentsanctions, including U.S. and EU bans of arms and certain technical sales, remain in place to thisday, as China plays an increasingly vital role in the global economy.

    "China was viewed as a pariah state -- it was catastrophic," said University of PennsylvaniaProfessor Avery Goldstein. "It catalyzed the redefinition of the American view of China" frombeing a useful ally to being a close-minded, authoritarian nation without respect for humanrights.

    A Communist exception

    Most everywhere else, state communism -- like one of its preeminent symbols, the Berlin Wall --crumbled in the late 1980s.

    The ruling Communist regime

    acted militantly after the number

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    In 1988, Gorbachev announced massive military cuts andpulled forces from Afghanistan, while Soviet citizens voted

    in legislative members three years ahead of the regime's fall.

    The next year, the Solidarity movement swept out the ruling Communist party in Poland, long-

    time dissident Vaclav Havel became Czechoslovakia's first freely elected leader, and Romania'sarmy joined its citizenry to evict then execute strongman Nicolae Ceaucescu.

    The wave seemed set to hit China, the world's most populous Communist state, in spring 1989.

    A once modest demonstration marking the death of Hu Yaobang, a party leader ousted two yearsearlier for being soft on student protesters, had swelled in two months. Not only had Chineseleaders refused to listen to the 1989 protesters' demands, but Deng blasted them as unpatriotic --actions that fueled popular discontent.

    "The government [claimed] this was turning into massive civil unrest," said Goldstein. "In fact,

    that was not the case. There was some turmoil, but these were peaceful demonstrations."

    By early June, hundreds of thousands had gathered in Tiananmen Square urging not just anti-corruption measures, but democracy and an end to Communist rule. Demonstrations took placethroughout China, particularly fervent in major northern and eastern cities.

    "In every city, the majority of the citizens supported the students and what they were doing," saidBaum, who spent much of May 1989 in China and observed huge rallies in Shanghai andNanjing.

    "They shared the grievance that the government wasn't paying attention to ordinary people, that

    it was time to respond to the negative byproducts of economic reform. They considered thegovernment to be arrogant, haughty and unresponsive."

    In early June, government leaders toughened their stance, ordering soldiers to break up thedemonstrations in Beijing. Troops began rolling through the streets late June 3, firing ondissenters. The following morning, protesters ceded to regime demands and departed TiananmenSquare.

    Although exact fatality figures are unknown, estimates range from 300 to several thousand dead.The government, to date, has resisted calls for an open inquiry into that week's events, includinga full account of victims.

    "There was a sense of disbelief after June 4," recalled Baum. "People in China, even liberalintellectuals, were sobered by the crackdown and its ferocity."

    New age

    of activists topped 1 million.

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    Twentieth century China has seen many examples of thestate's heavy-handed approach to dissent, particularly underthe rule of Communist leader and icon Mao Zedong.

    But after the bloody Cultural Revolution and Mao's 1976

    death, China inched toward a "more open, more pluralistic,more tolerant society" in the 1980s, said Baum.

    Chinese authorities initially pushed economic and politicalreforms simultaneously, before deciding to accelerate theformer while stunting the latter -- learning from whathappened in Poland, where the ruling Communists cessionon small issues to Solidarity leaders had opened thefloodgates for regime change.

    After Tiananmen, China's leadership continued to resist

    major political reforms in favor of promoting financial development -- ironically, making many1989 demonstrators wealthy in the process.

    "They wonder if the authoritarian order may have facilitated economic growth," Goldstein said,referring to the mixed feelings many student protesters and their supporters now feel. "Theyrealize that political stability made it easier to carry out reforms and attract foreign investment."

    Still, Goldstein said the poor health of Zhao Ziyang -- the former Communist party secretaryexiled for his conciliatory views in 1989 -- may now worry Chinese leaders, fearful the largedemonstrations might erupt should he die.

    "If they're helping defray his medical expenses, they're making sure he lives well past June," saidGoldstein.

    But he adds that a repeat of the 1989 Tiananmen Square events -- both in terms of matching thenumber of demonstrators, or the prospect of a heavy-handed response from the Chinesegovernment -- is unlikely, given the strength of China's economy.

    Economic globalization has opened the country up to new information, new ideas and newpersonal and national aspirations. Today, there are 280 million cell phones, 120,000 lawyers, 42million satellite dishes, 60 percent home ownership and an "enormous middle class" in China,according to Baum.

    While a total political overhaul -- such as open national elections, an end to one-party rule or afull accounting of what happened in 1989 -- may be decades away, Baum said Chinese "are freernow than ever before."

    "Leaders at the top may still cling to power but, in the meantime, bubbling up is a healthy,vibrant society," he said.

    The demonstrations built up

    gradually, spreading their

    message to an international

    audience.

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    "For the first time, I hear more and more Chinese say in open forums that they understand Chinawill [become] more open," seconded Goldstein. "They recognize that eventually tight controlwill no longer be viable, but they want an orderly process."

    By the late 1980s, when perestroika had reached a very advanced stage, the Communist Party of

    the Soviet Union had become an open core of anti-communism. For those that went to the SovietUnion at that time it was very hard to talk to medium and high ranking cadres of the CPSU. Inthe late '80s the leadership of what became the movement in 1992-93 began to organize, formingvarious groups like the CommunistInitiative, and some other groups that later formed communistparties that are well known abroad. In 1989 and 1990 this movement came out into the streets insmall groups in Moscow, Leningrad and other places, exposing Gorbachev as being openly anti-communist and anti-Soviet, who would lead to the collapse of the Soviet Union. And this is whathappened.

    At that time, the ideological shape of the movement was very different; it was a small movementthat raised basic questions such as the unity of the Soviet Union. Some people in that movement

    had already come to the position that the dictatorship of the proletariat had been dismantled byKhrushchev, some already talked about Stalin at that time. It was militant, but it was anelementary way of approaching the situation. The ideological shape, both in theory and practice,has changed a great deal since then.

    In August 1991 the events in Moscow took place. The CPSU was banned and the Soviet Unionwas formally dismantled in late '91. These new parties began to arise on the political scene andenlisted many honest communists who were still faithful to the CPSU as well as working classpeople who had been critical of the CPSU in the last decades and never joined it. Theyreorganized and tried to form a communist movement. It was in 1991 that the All-UnionCommunist Party (Bolshevik) (AUCP(B)) of Nina Andreeva was formed, and later the Russian

    Communist Workers Party (RCWP) that included Victor Tiulkin and Victor Anpilov wasformed. In 1992 Labor Russia, the mass movement of the RCWP, was built. In 1992 thismovement grew large by catching up with the popular protests against the Yeltsin regime whichwas cutting social guarantees, wages, all the things that raised the mass movement. In February1992, Labor Russia became a very big organization. It held a huge demonstration in Moscowwith over a hundred thousand people, while in '91 they could not gather more than severalhundreds. So this was a big leap forward in the formation of the mass movement.

    In 1993 the bloody events took place, beginning with Luzhkov's provocation in Moscow duringthe May Day demonstration when he blocked the road and forced the demonstrators to fight thepolice. One policeman was killed and Viktor Anpilov was kidnapped shortly after. It clearlyshowed that Yeltsin's regime was willing to crush the movement. May 9th was a bigdemonstration of the communist opposition, in which large crowds came out into the streets andthis forced Yeltsin's regime to release Viktor Anpilov. He came out in bad shape but alive.

    Then came the October events. The regime did not expect such a large popular response. Atsome point it lost control of the city, the demonstrators took over and the police withdrew. For24 hours, the situation was not clear, and Yeltsin had to use the military force of the units overwhich he still had control. They confronted unarmed demonstrators. About 1,000 people were

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    killed or disappeared, both Muscovites and many people who came from the regions to supportthe mass movement that existed at that time.

    The period after 1993 was a very hard, dark one for the opposition. All the leaders of the militantopposition formed during 1992-93 were in jail for about half a year. They were brainwashed, if

    one can use that term. They all came out under an amnesty of theD

    uma that had been electedthanks to the participation of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (CPRF) led byZyuganov which, despite the deaths and the fascist repression, participated in the election inorder to support the regime and the peaceful transition to open forms of capitalism that we haveright now in Russia.

    First, let me discuss the positive elements of this movement of the early '90s. We all know thatthe 1980s saw the dismantling of the regime that had been created by Khrushchev and Brezhnev.In the Soviet Union it was forbidden to talk about the dictatorship of the proletariat, aboutworkers' power and workers' control. It was forbidden to talk about Stalin, about what we knowto be Marxism-Leninism. So the positive thing that the movement had brought, despite the

    terrible historical experience that the Soviet people had gone through, especially afterperestroika, was that many popular and working class forces came to the surface. People broughtout portraits of Stalin, they discussed the elementary basics of Marxism-Leninism, thedictatorship of the proletariat. These basic revolutionary theses of Marxism-Leninism arosespontaneously from many rank and file communists, most of whom were not members of theCPSU. They brought out the historical line of the revolutionary traditions of Lenin and Stalin, ofthe times in history when the Soviet Union was building socialism and communism, when therevolution was progressing. Those times had remained in the historical memory of many peopleand came to the surface at that time. The restoration of the figure of Stalin that took place in theearly '90s was something great. The majority of the communist movement agrees on the positiverole played by Stalin.

    On the other hand, this movement, and Labor Russia, led by Anpilov, as the most militant trendof this movement, never went beyond the level of a mass, popular movement. Basically theybelieved that socialism with all its problems existed until 1991, and since it collapsed only ashort time ago, all that they had to do was to organize the Soviet masses on a large scale. Theydid not talk about classes, they spoke of the Soviet people in general, that would unite theworking class, the peasantry and the intelligentsia. They wanted to raise those masses in apopular struggle that would wipe away the bureaucrats in power, the Yeltsinites, etc. Theybrought out the famous thesis of the organization of an All-Russia general strike that would bethe culmination of the struggle to wipe away the counter-revolutionaries and the stronghold ofcapitalist repression. Needless to say, this was wrong, and the 1993 events showed what theresult of that thesis was. This was a very strong blow to the movement in 1993, and since it wasnot rooted in the working class but in a popular movement that was not consistent, it wasbasically defeated very easily. So, the negative part of this movement was that it denied the workin the factories, with the working class, the classical Bolshevik work based on the traditions ofLenin and Stalin. It concentrated on work in the streets, to build the mass movement that itbelieved would restore the Soviet Union and eventually socialism.

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    Today, we are seeing the day-by-day shrinkage of this movement since it is not rooted in theworking class. This is a big paradox, since Russia is now going through a pre-revolutionarysituation, especially in the regions excluding Moscow and Leningrad. Not a single day goes bywithout a strike, without a hunger strike, there is not a single factory without a strike committee,where the working class is not organized. So even in these conditions, when the anti-communist

    hysteria that affected large layers of the working class in 1990 and '91 has basically faded away,when it is much easier to go to the factories and organize the working class into revolutionarystruggle, when the working class is now more receptive than ever to Marxism-Leninism and thehammer and sickle, this movement is shrinking.

    Marxist-Leninists are trying to organize on the basis of Marxism-Leninism, on the basis of workin the factories with the working class, on the organization of the revolutionary struggle of theworking class for the overthrow of capitalism and the construction of socialism. These basicfeatures of Marxism-Leninism have not been put forward in any of the programs that exist nowand the question of the violent overthrow of the bourgeoisie was basically ignored by thismovement. This is the basis for the reorganization of the Marxist-Leninist forces in Russia today.

    There are two basic and fundamental questions that I would like to discuss today, a theoreticalquestion and a question with direct practical significance. The first question that is underdiscussion among Marxist-Leninists in Russia today is the contributions of Stalin to theory: whatis Marxism-Leninism today? The second question, which follows from the first one, is: "What issocialism?," "What are we fighting for, are we capable of constructing socialism?" "What do wehave to tell the working class in the factories that socialism is, whether the working class iscapable of fighting against capitalism and building a new state?" "What happened in 1991, wasthis the collapse of socialism or the collapse of something else?" We have to clarify this to theworking class; without this the formation of a party and the accomplishment of a revolution isbasically impossible.

    For the first question, I will give some quotations to show the basics of Stalin's contributions toMarxism-Leninism as a higher stage in the development of theory and Leninism. We think this isa fundamental question for communists today.

    *Communism's convulsions. (political changes in both China and the Soviet Union)

    Communism's convulsions

    The people are unhappy in both China and Russia. The party stands between them and what theywant

    IN CHINA it is student-power, in Russia it is voter-power. In the past month communists in bothcountries who had never before questioned their right to rule have been humbled by the peopleon whose behalf they claim that right.

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    In Beijing not only did 100,000 students pack Tiananmen Square last weekend in defiance ofparty instructions, but several thousand had already had the cheek to shout their defiance rightoutside the party bosses' compound. China's once remote and all-powerful leaders suddenlylooked simply remote as the mood in China turned sour (see page 62). Meanwhile in Moscowthis week the party elders gathered to ponder the recent parliamentary election in which voters

    had their first chance in 70 years to swipe at some candidates and watch them tumble.Communism's two great experiments in reform have taken different paths, yet both have nowcome up against, not popular rejoicing, but popular discontent.

    Blame it on unbalanced reform

    Ten years ago Deng Xiaoping had the people behind him as he led the dash for economicgrowth. Communists had the reforming ideas, and hardly anybody questioned their right to lead.But in the past two years inflation has overtaken them. Clamps on credit and prices threatenfarmers and small businesses and have already thrown many people out of work. Privilegedstudents demonstrating for political freedom used to have little in common with China's toiling

    masses. But now public sympathy for the students suggests that people who have enjoyed thenew economic freedoms have little faith that the party will defend them.

    In Russia Mr Gorbachev has the Deng problem in reverse. He has made bold strides towardspolitical reform, partly because economic reform still does not work and partly to chivvy partyfoot-draggers who realise that their powers will be threatened if it ever does. The recent slightlyfree election was an effort to take the argument to the people over the heads of party blockers.But glasnost has raised expectations that perestroika still cannot meet. How long can thespectacle of a few fallen communists--even the 100 or so "dead souls" cleared out of the CentralCommittee this week (see page 29)--make up for emptier shelves and longer queues?

    Their problems are different, yet Russia and China have much in common. MrD

    eng's fourmodernisations (of industry, agriculture, science and defence) and Mr Gorbachev's perestroikaare huge undertakings, on the scale of the industrial revolution in nineteenth-century Europe. Itwould be a miracle if the inevitable dislocation of people, jobs and even whole industrieshappened tidily and peacefully. But the task is all the greater since, by official order, the changeshave to be managed within a straitjacket of single-party rule.

    Some of the old restraints have gone. In both countries communists have realised that Stalin waswrong: that state ownership of factories and farms gives power, not to entrepreneurs who woulduse it to produce things people want, but to bureaucrats who serve only their own interests. Bothparties are trying out new sorts of ownership: a bit of private enterprise, co-operatives, and leasesthat turn over land and factories to those who can make good use of them.

    But ditching Stalin in favour of a touch of economic pluralism is one thing, ditching Lenin--andthe party's claim to power--is another. When bold Mr Gorbachev talks of "socialist pluralism", hemeans encouraging debate within the Communist party, not allowing its authority to bechallenged by other parties. As China's students are complaining, MrDeng cannot bring himselfto go even that far. Which is why, when the problems pile up, the know-it-all parties find theirauthority challenged on the streets and the picket lines.

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    China's leaders are facing their challenge fresh out of ideas. In Russia ideas are all Mr Gorbachevhas to his credit. His chances of survival would be better than MrDeng's if he could turn hisideas into more food in the shops. If not, then Russians, too, may soon be out on the streetsprotesting at one-party perestroika. How awful for communists who claim to speak for thepeople to be talked back at so rudely.

    *Although the Cultural Revolution largely bypassed the vast majority of the people, who lived inrural areas, it had highly serious consequences for the Chinese system as a whole. In the shortrun, of course, the political instability and the zigzags in economic policy produced slowereconomic growth and a decline in the capacity of the government to deliver goods and services.Officials at all levels of thepolitical system had learned that future shifts in policy wouldjeopardize those who had aggressively implemented previous policy. The result was bureaucratictimidity. In addition, with the death of Mao and the end of the Cultural Revolution, nearly threemillion CCP members and other citizens awaited reinstatement after having been wrongfullypurged.

    Bold actions in the late 1970s went far toward coping with those immediate problems, but theCultural Revolution also left more-serious, longer-term legacies. First, a severe generation gaphad been created in which young adults had been denied an education and had been taught toredress grievances by taking to the streets. Second, corruption grew within the CCP and thegovernment, as the terror and accompanying scarcities of goods during the Cultural Revolutionhad forced people to fall back on traditional personal relationships and on extortion in order toget things done. Third, the CCP leadership and the system itself suffered a loss of legitimacywhen millions of urban Chinese became disillusioned by the obvious power plays that took placein the name of political principle in the early and mid-1970s. And fourth, bitter factionalism wasrampant, as members of rival Cultural Revolution factions shared the same work unit, each stilllooking for ways to undermine the power of the other.

    *RUSSIA'S struggle to understand its past is taking new directions. Some 35,000 Muscoviteshave just seized a rare chance to see an exhibition devoted to victims of Stalinism. Theunprecedented show was the talk of Moscow in the eight days it ran at the end of November.

    A group called "Memorial" mounted the project with active support from Moscow News andOgonyok, two pro-perestroika publications, and more distant backing from a party commissionstudying the repressions of the 1930s and 1940s. This commission is to consider proposals for a"lasting memorial" to victims of the terror.

    The exhibition was housed in a salmon-pink theatre serving as the cultural centre of the MoscowElectric Bulb Plant. In the hall was a map of the Soviet

    Union on which visitors had chalked names of camps. By the end of the week, some $80,000 inrubles had been tossed into a wheelbarrow as part of a collection for the permanent memorial.Visitors crowded into the room with the Memorial bulletin board: a wall of victims' photographs,identity papers, or letters. A large red book was available for families to record details ofrelatives lost in the purges. For many this may have been the first time to confront the past insuch a public, yet personal, way.

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    On an upper floor were plans for a monument, many by amateurs. There were recreations ofprison camps, great neo-classical tombs of the sort that mark military graveyards across theworld, broken and bloody Soviet symbols or, more simply, large sculptures of single, unknownvictims.

    In a special supplement on Memorial Week, Moscow News published letters from dissentingreaders who hoped it would also be remembered that Stalin was Russia's victorious wartimeleader. It published, too, a letter from an East German communist who lost his father in the1930s, calling for a museum of the terror. Many Russian historians and writers would go further.They want a library and archive devoted to the purges. Their idea is to gather, where possible,the documents of the period, so that history once recorded cannot easily be reburied.

    *Union have understandably captured the attention of Western observers assessing the prospectsof perestroika and glasnost. But Mikhail S. Gorbachev's revolution from above has spawned noless significant developments that have gone virtually unnoticed: The intellectual foundations ofthe Soviet political order are eroding under the relentless pressure of increasingIy radical assaults

    against the basic dogmas of Communism.

    The regime's creed, moreover, is being undermined in an atmosphere of foreboding. A poll of thereaders of Literaturnaya Gazeta, taken last March, found that 8 5 per cent of the respondentsbelieve a catastrophe will strike the USSR. A succession of train disasters and shipwrecks, andthe revelation of far higher levels of radiation contamination from the Chernobyl accident thanwere initially predicted, have only fueled the spreading angst. The feeling is that "things flyapart, the center cannot hold."

    Apocalyptic fears have been accompanied by a deepening polarization of Soviet society. Therock band DDT, appearing on one of the USSR's most popular television shows, wails to an

    audience of millions about" a boiling presentiment of civil war."A well-known Moscow writer,Benedikt Sarnov, referring to the divisions within the intelligentsia, also speaks of civil war.Rumors are even heard of an impending military putsch, and Defense MinisterDmitri Yazovmerely exacerbates the situation when he insists that a coup would be both "impossible" and"very difficult to carry out."

    The editor of a Moscow publishing house, who asks to remain anonymous, describes Soviet lifeat the moment as "a feast in the midst of the plague. A carnival of masks, terrifying bleachedwhite faces on the eve of the end of the world . . . . We live in an atmosphere of hate. The animusexplodes in stores, on public transportation, wherever one must stand in tightly compressedgroups. . . .

    There has indeed been an astonishing surge in violence. In the first five months of 1989, thenumber of crimes in Moscow involving firearms more than tripled over the same period a yearago. "On the face of it we have a crime crisis," says a high official in the Internal AffairsMinistry, "Such is the grim reality."

    Th "contradictions of Communism" wracking the economy are a major catalyst for theenveloping sense of doom. Conditions in the industrial city of Kirov are typical. Soap is rationed

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    at one bar per person every three months; the norm for bologna that, according to one newspaper," a cat wouldn't eat,"is set at slightly more than one pound per person per month; theallotment of scarce sugar, now called "white caviar," has been reduced by a fourth.

    Amid the gloom there is a seemingly unquenchable thirst for fundamental explanations. As the

    official crimes and blunders of the past are progressively revealed by the dialectic of glasnost,the Soviet people grapple with the riddle inside the enigma that has exercised Western Marxistsfor the last half century: Was Stalinism an aberration or a logical extension of Marxism-Leninism? Aleksandr Yakovlev, Gorbachev's Pontburo confidant, asserts that "Today we aretortured by confusion about how the country and the Leninist Party could have accepted thedictatorship of mediocrity and tolerated the Stalin years and rivers of innocent blood."

    Until recently, the accepted answer heaped blame on Stalin and the "cult of personality" for all ormost of the "mistakes" of his regime and its legacy. This Manichean explanation was reflected inAnatoly Rybakov's bestseller, Children of the Arbat. Its depiction of a scheming Stalincontending with a kindly Sergei Kirov was as accessible to the common man as it was

    serviceable to the architects of the new thaw. The anti-Stalinist orthodoxy was furtherconsolidated with the translation of Stephen Cohen's biography of Nikolai Bukharin, in whichthe Princeton political scientist vigorously argues that there were Bolshevik alternatives toStalin's program of forceddraft industrialization.

    BUT BY THE fall of 1988 facile denunciations of Stalin were beginning to prove too confiningfor Russian intellectuals. A series of searching inquiries appeared in the mass circulation presswith titles Eke, "The Sources of Stalinism," "One Shouldn't Be Afraid of the Truth, "On Zonesthat Are Dosed to Thought," and "'My Is It Difficult to Speak the Truth? Aleksandr Tsipko, IgorKlyamkin and other critics attempted to locate the roots of Stalinism not in Stallin but in theMarxist-Leninist soil that nurtured him. Millions of reprints of their officially sanctioned yet

    subversive articles were put on sale and quickly bought.

    What was at that time the most farreaching excavation of previously forbidden ground wascarried out by Tsipko, an ideological consultant to the Party's Central Committee. His critique, afervent indictment of the Party's guiding ideas, was forged of an improbable meld of the ideas ofEdmund Burke, Leszek Kolakowski, Friedrich Hayek, and Lenin. Tsipko dismissed revolutionsbecause "by themselves, they create nothing." In his words, "only the constructive Labor ofculture, art, thought, and the development of religious feeling can create a personality." Hetraced his country's Ms to a utopian strain in Marxism that fused, to disastrous effect, withRussian messianism in the late 19th century. The "idolatry of the future, or of some sort ofexalted idea," he asserted, "is not a weakness, a romantic enthusiasm, but a great sin beforehumanity, before one's own people. "

    Marx, Tsipko went on, drew an irremediably flawed blueprint of a marketless society with "realcommodity exchange and absolute direct planning from above." A current in Bolshevism thatTsipko called "Left-wing radicalism" attempted to realize this "demagogic fantasy," a proletarianKingdom of Heaven on earth in a country of peasants, at the price of millions of lives. In hisview Stalinism was decidedly not, as the traditional apologia maintained, a "deformation" ofMarxism; it was, rather, testimony to the impossibility of constructing a "democratic Socialism"

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    on the foundation of a nomnarket economy. "Why in all cases," Tsipko asked, "in all countries,without exception . . . does the absence of free money-commodity "change lead toauthoritarianism, to the strangulation of the rights and values of the individual, and theomnipotence of the bureaucratic apparatus?"

    The very pillar of Marxism, the class analysis of politics, was overturned in Tsipko's analysis. Asthe Bolsheviks themselves proudly proclaimed, he observed, "the class approach 'does not knowthe so-called laws of war, the laws of humanity, and does not show mercy to the old or to theyoung, to women arid children. "' In a country where 80 per cent of the population wereconsidered "obstacles on the path to the idea," the result of the "class approach" duringtheCivilWarandcoflectivizationwasa level of "brutality" unprecedented in European history.

    For all that Tsipko's analysis repudiated the core ideas of Soviet Socialism, though, it includedold justifications that stood out in bald contrast to his iconoclasm. He skirted the whole questionof the Party's responsibility, for example, by blaming "the administrative system," "thebureaucratic system" and "command methods. "Similarly, while he claimed that Stalin's

    conception of Socialism did not differ significantly from that of other Marxists of hisdayimplying that liability for the Soviet Union's tragedy could not therefore rest with him alone-he also flirted with the "if only Lenin had lived" school of thought. "A confluence of manycircumstances, in particular, the death of V. I. Lenin," he argued, "explains the victory of Stalinin 1929."

    At the close of 1988, to attack Lenin apparently still meant to attack the very legitimacy of theRevolution, and Tsipko's stature notwithstanding, that was something he would not do. Norwould the dissident Marxist historian Roy Medvedev, who declared at the time that AleksandrSolzhenitsyn's Gulag Archipelago, in which Lenin is featured as the Gulag's founding father, is"fined with slander" and its publication would be "impermissible" without the deletion of its

    "mendacious fragments."

    On the other hand, even as Tsipko and Uke-minded writers danced a jig around Lenin's tombthey seemed fully aware of the lacunae in their position. Almost in the same breath that theyinveighed against the existing order as a "carcass" and a "collapsing structure, "commentators ofa year ago were already noting the fragility of the intellectual edifice being erected in its place. Infact, Klyamkin warned that the descent into lying is inevitable "if the sources of the lies are alive.And they do five." Tsipko spoke in a corresponding vein: "In many cases, the debunking of oneeasily exposable myth leads to the affirmation and propagation of other more plausible andtherefore more dangerous myths."

    SINCE THIS SPRING, however, a new and more radical wave of criticism has been galvanizingthe in

    telligentsia. Tsipko has come to appear almost timid in comparison with some of the enrageswho are displacing him. Several have publicly targeted Lenin, labeling him Stalin's tutor incrime.

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    In the pages of Literatunaya Gazeta, Sarnov has held Lenin responsible for the atrocitiescommitted under his rule: "We should not pretend that everything that happened was donewithout Lenin's knowledge, despite his will." At the end of June, in the 21 million circulationSoviet weekly, ArgumentyiFakty, a front page article recalled that in 1917 the "father of RussianMarxism," Georgi V. Plekhanov, diagnosed Lenin as "raving" and termed his program of

    introducing Socialism to backward Russia "utopian"-the ulitimate insult to a fellow Marxist. AndSolzhenitsyn's Gulag, it has recently been announced, will be published after aB this fall.

    Voices have begun to clamor for a multiparty system, too. One Soviet newspaper has mockinglyreported that candidates in the USSR's latest elections were often asked their views about such areform and were simply unable to answer, because they did not have "the slightest possibility ofrunning to thetelephone for supplementary instructions."

    To protect the Party from the swelling tide of discontent, its senior ideologists have borrowed anold formulation from an old Repent and ye shall be saved." Nevertheless, the most authoritativeParty organ, Kommunist, has said in an editorial: "[Our] critical analysis of the mistakes of the

    distant and recent past has been first and foremost honest and penetrating self-criticism. Butrepentance does not at all mean that we renounce our ideas arid programmatic goals." Theintroduction of a multiparty system "as the so-Wed chief guarantee of democracy" is notnecessary, Kommunist concludes. That the Party embarked on perestroika is proof that it "is sdUcapable of a lot," and that its "healthy foundation" has not been undermined.

    Many of the Soviet intellectuals peering beneath the freshly varnished superstructure o"democratization" have grown bitter and fatalistic. Some believe that neither a scrupulouslyhonest reckoning with the past, nor the establishment of the most beneficent parliamentaryinstitutions could save the Soviet Union from what they see as its tragic destiny.

    L.V. Krushinski, a correspondent member of the Soviet Academy of Science, ponders "thegenetic consequences of the October Revolution and the Civil War . . . and collectivization." Sodoes Vladiniir Shubkin, one of Russia's preeminent social analysts. Writing in Novy Mir, hereasons that repeated cycles of war, terror, famine, and emigration have left their ineradicablestamp. When th "most healthy, active, vigorous" segments of the population are "systematicallyeliminated from the gene pool over the course of sucha relatively short historical period, thismust have an im pact on the quality of the composition of the population," Shubkin says. He thengoes on to contend that "the experiences of the October Revolution represent not only ademographic but a genetic catastrophe. We and our descendants will be compelled to reckonwith its consequences for many decades, and perhaps hundreds of years." In other words,totalitarianism may be reversible, but its legacy is not.

    Undeterred, the Soviet leadership is bolting forward with reform at an accelerating pace. Exactlywhere the changes are leading remains unclear, perhaps even to those orchestrating them.Simultaneously-or possibly as a result-the whirlwind of increasingly radical voices gnawingaway at the ideological underpinnings of the existing order is gaining in intensity and remindingeveryone, "all that is solid melts into air, all that is holy is profaned."

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    Can a political system that only a few years ago rested on the most rigid control of politicalthought remain standing when its brace is kicked out from under it? The Chinese Communitstleadership has answered this question in one way. What the response will be in the Soviet Unionmay shortly become apparent.

    *Can radical reforms from above prevent a revolution, an upheaval from below? This classicalquestion must now be applied to the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe as a whole. And it must beanswered within a historical context. I ask the reader's forgiveness in advance if my summaries,definitions, and propositions, aimed simply at starting a debate, sound and really areoversimplified.

    One can't discuss this subject without stating one's own position first. (Indeed, the fashionablequestion in Paris in the 1960s was "Where are speaking you from?") I am a socialist for whom1917, the attempt by the workers to seize power, is an epoch-making event, whatever happenedafterwards; a date on a par with 1789 in the saga of humankind's struggle for mastery over itsown fate.

    Secondly, I greeted perestroika with tremendous relief I am one of those who never accepted theidea that history comes to a stop, that neo-Stalinism is eternal in the East anymore thancapitalism is in the West. Even so, the Brezhnev interlude had lasted so long that one could beginto have doubts. The sweep and scope of the Gorbachev reforms were, therefore, extremelywelcome. My pleasure was increased by the troubles the changes brought to our pundits andpropagandists, who could no longer proclaim that the "empire of evil" is frozen forever. Ienjoyed seeing all the Kirkpatricks eat their words.

    But, in all fairness, it must be said that they have since more than recovered. The things that arebeing done, said, and written, not just in Poland and Hungary but also in the Soviet Union, have

    enabled them to produce an even more convenient message: Socialism is a dead end; the marketis the only guarantee of prosperity and freedom. Of course, it is quite easy to respond to thearguments coming from both the Left and the Right that socialism is being dismantled in theSoviet bloc with the obvious reply that it is not possible to dismantle something that does notexist. This argument is perfectly true, but it is not enough. For this reason, we cannot dispensewith a little bit of history.

    One issue now being argued is whether the Soviet Union would have been better off, in materialterms, without the revolution. Personally, I don't think so, but in fact the question itself isirrelevant. Revolutions don't happen because of neat calculations that changing the system willincrease the rate of growth by so many percentage points. They happen because an oppressivesystem has become unbearable and people are ready and able to bring it down. Personally, I amnot shocked by the current revival of arguments, echoing Kautsky and the Mensheviks, thatRussia in 1917 was only ripe for a bourgeois revolution. After all, that's what the Bolsheviksbelieved until 1917. Then they found themselves with power in their hands and the hope that therevolution would spread westward to the advanced capitalist countries for which it had originallybeen designed. But it falled to spread. The Bolsheviks could either give up power or preside overthe industrial revolution of backward Mother Russia. "Primitive socialist accumulation"-thecontradictory definition invented by Preobrazhensky-sums up this Marxist tragedy. We shall

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    leave the question of whether Stalinism was the inevitable outcome of this attempt to "drivebarbarism out of Russia by barbarian means" to historians for the time being.

    The actual pace of pre-Second World War development was fairly rapid. The combination ofcrude central planning, large production units, and coercion from above did work. The industrial

    revolution was carried out at breakneck speed. By the time war broke out, the Soviet Union hadthe economic potential to stand up to the Nazis. This is something we should never forget.(Indeed, if it were not for the resistance of the Red Army, I would not now be writing thesewords.)

    This said, I must add at once that Stalinism as a system had nothing to do with socialism. Thepeasants did not join the kolkhozy because they were attracted by their superior efficiency or thevirtues of cooperation: They were driven into them. Neither were the workers the masters of thenationalized factories. Planning had nothing to do with democratic control and a great deal withimposing discipline on uprooted peasants. This mechanism of command from above could not beequated with Marx's conception of the associated producers attempting to gain mastery over their

    labor and their fate; but it was described as socialism.

    The price that was paid then was very high, and we still continue to pay it. It involved a bloodyprocess of collectivization, the creation of concentration camps, a Byzantine cult and system ofgovernment. It also involved economic costs. Stalinism contained the seeds of its owndestruction. As the economy became more complex and people became more educated, thesystem designed for illiterate muzhiks became clearly obsolete, an obstacle to furtherdevelopment. Stalin's successors knew this. The first attempt to reform the system, the attemptassociated with the name of Nikita Khrushchev-the halfpeasant, half-towndweller whopersonally symbolized a Soviet Union in transition-failed because he tried to implement it withthe party apparatus as his constituency. What the apparatchiki and all the privileged wanted was

    Stalinism plus security of tenure. Even Khrushchev's half-measures were too much for them. Thesecret of the unexpectedly long reign of Leonid Brezhnev lay in his pledge to the privileged to donothing that might threaten or undermine their privileges. The price paid for this long reign wasimmobility, stagnation, and a slackening of the pace of growth.

    But while the economy was slowing down, society kept on changing. New generations weregrowing incomparably more educated and less frightened than their predecessors. The removalofthe neo-Stalinist straitjacket was becoming inevitable. How reluctant the bureaucracy was tobring it about was illustrated by the appointment of the decrepit, discarded Chernenko ("the manwho sharpened pencils for Leonid Brezhnev") . But by then the situation had become intolerable,and the selection of a reformer, of somebody like Gorbachev, had become an imperative.

    Let us now sum up crudely the situation on the eve of this succession. Firstly, the economy wasgrinding to a halt as returns on investment were diminishing and it was no longer possible to relyon migration from country to town to compensate the declining gains in productivity. Secondly,while society was changing in terms of education, it was no longer offering scope for massivesocial advancement. Stagnation meant stratification, consolidation of privileges, and discontentamong people whose positions did not correspond to their qualifications. Thirdly, class interestsbegan to crystallize, although they did not yet express themselves openly. Privileges had not

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    been fewer under Stalin, but their beneficiaries were threatened by the permanent purge. Thiswas no longer true, but the different social groups had not yet found their own voice. Fourthly,while the party kept on ruling, cleavages appeared within its leadership between the faithful andthe doers, the apparatchiks and the managers; the pressures and ambitions of the professionalintelligentsia had also become a factor. Fifthly, Brezhnev was not only reassuring the privileged.

    To keep things quiet, he had to extend the compromise to the working class (don't meddle inpolitics and we won't increase the pace of assembly lines, leaving you time and energy to earnsomething on the side). But with the growing deficit and rising defense budget, the regime couldno longer afford such a compromise.

    Against this background, we can examine the four years of Gorbachev in office, dividing oursubject roughly into glasnost, conceived here as the extension of the frontiers of freedom, andperestroika, seen as the still unaccomplished economic reform.

    Glasnost itself has several aspects. First there is the reduction of censorship. Previously shelvedfilms, forbidden plays, and manuscripts kept in the drawer were given a new life. Soviets can

    now read Akhmatova and Pasternak, or Vassili Grossman's Life and Fate. They can, if theychoose, read Orwell or Koestler'sDarkness at Noon. Then, there is the new role of the press.Reading Soviet papers was once a boring but easy enterprise. Now it is fascinating but takes agreat deal of time. You have papers converted to liberalism like the Moscow News underYakovlev or Ogonyok under Korotich, and on the other side you have, say Sovietskaya Rossiya.You also have the fat monthlies and their passionate controversies. Indeed, this battle of themagazines is, to some extent, a substitute for an open controversy within the leadership.

    Thirdly, glasnost is the nation's vital struggle to recover its memory. This aspect is crucial,because a country is paralyzed by amnesia just as an individual is. The past is now catching upwith the present. If one can revive, say, the passionate debate between Bukharin and

    Preobrazhensky, why should there be no open debate on the nature of perestroika between, say,Alexandr Yakovlev and Igor Ligachev? The past is being perceived through the prism of thepresent. The boosting of Bukharin is not accidental, nor is the new description of Trotsky,changed from being an "enemy of the people" to another Stalin, if not worse. Uri Afanasyev, achampion in this struggle for historical truth, still has plenty to do, but there is no denying themagnitude of what has been achieved these past four years.

    If glasnost has quite a record, perestroika must still be judged by the project rather than theachievement. True, several things have been done. There is a new law governing enterprises, andcooperatives have been granted greater powers. The number of compulsory norms has been cutdown. So has the number of ministries and of employees within them. But wholesale trade ininvestment goods is still to be introduced. And the new mechanism of management will onlyfunction, in the best of cases, in the next five-year plan, from 1991-1995. And even this is notcertain, since the crucial price reform has been put off for two to three years. The toughestpredicament for perestroika is the absence of tangible economic progress. (How can you have"socialism with a human face," ask Moscow wits, when you don't have any soap?)

    The project is to move rapidly from a system of extensive to one of intensive production throughthe use of the market to apportion resources, through still undefined changes in property relations

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    and through increased incentives coupled with greater wage differentiation. I am not heresyhunting or crying over the dismantling of socialism. But I must confess that the vision ofthe"socialist market" that is being painted is not very vivid. It is not clear to what extent the market,as opposed to some form of democratic planning, is to shape investment policy. Indeed, some ofGorbachev's economic advisers who have "discovered America" seem to be so dazzled by the

    market as to perceive only its virtues and not its vices, missing the link between the two andunderestimating the problems that will face an economy with lower productivity whenconfronted with the full blast of international competititon. I am not pleading here against the useof the market or against the undoubted advantages of an international division of labor. A mixedeconomy is inevitable in the period of transition. I am simply asking where this economy isheading and what its project is. Some of Gorbachev's advisers are giving the impression ofpeople who dive first and. discover whether they can swim afterward.

    Before concluding, I want to warn against two temptations. One is to say that the development ofthis Byzantine empire has nothing to do with socialism. But we cannot ignore the origins of theSoviet Union, its vocabulary, its professed ambitions. We cannot ignore the dream and get rid of

    our heritage so easily. But there is another temptation. It is to take Gorbachev's word as a newgospel, thrilled by the fact that the Soviet Union is breathing again and speaking with a newvoice. It is to say amen when Gorbachev and his companions seem to reduce socialism toinequality and Marxism to the principle "from each according to his labor."

    What we should try to do, in my opinion, is to look at the Soviet Union through Marxist eyes as asociety in which the productive forces are clashing with the existing institutions and, therefore,imposing reforms. The would-be reformers represent, within the party, the dynamic sections ofthe massproduced technical and professional intelligentsia which are tiying to replace the rule ofthe nomenklatura of faithful apparatchiks by what they would like to describe as a meritocracy.Politically, in terms of glasnost, their role is positive. They are opposed by Stalinist diehardsallied to nationalists ofthe worst kind, like the reactionaries of Pamyat. In economics, thealignments are more complicated.

    Mikhall Gorbachev, more aware of the political realities than his advisers, knows that economicreform, which hurts the immediate interests of the workers, must have some backing from them.He knows that the resistance of the bureaucracy will not be broken without pressure from below.Hence his early promise to give workers more power on the shopfloor, including the right toelect their managers; but little has been done so far to extend this basic democracy. Hence hisrevival of the slogan, "All power to the soviets," but with the provision that local soviets shouldbe headed by local party secretaries. Hence the elections to the Supreme Soviet with more thanone candidate for a seat, but with safeguards and without a real debate over programs.

    To sum up, the Gorbachev regime is implementing within the existing institutions a substitute forthe unaccomplished bourgeois revolution. But he is doing so in a country where private propertyhad been largely uprooted. Sooner rather than later, the problem of the ownership of the meansof production will be at the heart ofthe struggle. One can imagine the Soviet experiment as ahistorical interlude unless the country manages in the near future to invent new forms of socialproperty and of socialist democracy, the two being intimately connected.

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    Let me mention three crucial aspects. There is the field of international relations, alteredaltogether by the initiatives of Mikhail Gorbachev, revealing incidentally how much was due tothe clumsiness of Brezhnev and his associates. Here the unanswered questions are whetherMoscow is still principally interested in making a deal with the nuclear giant, and how far it isready to enter the international capitalist market.

    Secondly, there is the national question-not just 'in Armenia or the Baltic states, but in theUkraine and in Russia itself-a national question revealed but not provoked by perestroika.

    Finally, there is the impact ofthe changes in the center on the periphery, and here the case ofPoland should enable me to express both my fears and my hopes. Poland, for all its peculiarities,is interesting because in the last twenty years the pace of reform from above was dictated by amovement from below. During the recent negotiations there over a historical compromusebetween government and opposition, one could sometimes be forgiven if one thought that theywere talks between Margaret Thatcher and Professor Friedman, so great was the emphasis on thevirtues of the market and the vices of public property. But when it came to brass tacks, the

    spokespeople for Solidarity had to remember that they were the representatives of a labormovement, without which they were nothing. Therefore they had to ask for wages to be indexedon prices, not just proportionately but with higher increases for the lower paid. They had to talkof workers' control, self-management, and other heresies so hated by our liberal pundits. Youhave only to read The Wall Street journal or The Economist to perceive that our financialestablishment is no longer happy with Lech Walesa and the Polish opposition. It is on such socialrealities, rather than the benevolence of rulers, that I pin my moderate hopes. And this providesalso the answer to my original questions: Whatever the importance of the reforms from above, asocialist transformation, by definition, cannot take place without a movement from below.

    *CURRENT developments in Russia can perhaps best be seen through the prism of three rather

    unconventional assertions dealing, in turn, with the nature of Soviet society, the structure of theSoviet economy, and the posture of Soviet Communist Party General Secretary Mikhail S.Gorbachev. They are (1) that the society's ruling class has adopted a profoundly religiouscharacter; (2) that economic planners here use much the same analytic tools as Americancorporate managers; and (3) that Gorbachev's basic drives are in many respects quite similar tothose seeming to motivate Ronald Reagan.

    A visit to Moscow in the midst of a Party congress--an event normally held once every fiveyears, which this year also marked the first anniversary of Gorbachev's ascent to the Party's highpriesthood--allows one to view close up all the votive rites of Leninism. Opening day of the 27thCongress of the CPSU, Gorbachev addressed some 5,000 Party delegates and another 1,000foreign guests. With several breaks for rest and refreshment, he spoke from 10 o'clock in themorning until well after five o'clock in the afternoon. It was a speech that, on paper, weighed twofull pounds. Nearly every page, homage was paid to Vladimir Ilyich Lenin. Gorbachev's frequentcitations of chapter and verse, parenthetically bracketed into his text, dogmatically treated thesecular sayings of Lenin in much the same manner that Pope John Paul II, in his Vaticanhomilies, treats the biblical gospel of Jesus Christ.

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    At the outset, for example, the Secretary characteristically called upon the Party faithful--afterthinking broadly, "in Lenin's style,' about our times-- to fashion a plan that will "organicallyblend the grandeur of our aims with the realism of our capabilities.' Many hours later, heconcluded his verbal marathon by once more exhorting his presumably benumbed, if stillfaithful, flock to pull up their collective Socialist socks, because that is "the only way to carry out

    the great Lenin's behest to move forward with united vigor and resolve.' As Gorbachev spoke,the television camera occasionally panned a 35-foot-high poster of a determined Lenin hangingbehind the rostrum, the sole stage prop for the gathering. Just about everybody present, followingGorbachev, wore red-and-gold bas relief Lenin pins in their lapels.

    Leninism was thus fully enshrined at this congress as the official established religion of theSoviet Union, a process that did not in any respect require the assent of the country' 280 millioncitizens. To be sure, the Russian Orthodox Church continues to have its adherents here. It evenqualifies for a modicum of State subsidies through its bedrock support for present domesticarrangements and for the USSR's "peace' campaign abroad. Islamic values are said to be thrivingwithin Soviet Asia, too, and in the Baltic republics Roman Catholicism is under going a revival.

    For his part, Gorbachev castigated these trends as "localism' and urged the true believers in themodern Kremlin palace to stamp them out beneath their Leninist banners.

    By accident or design--in Russia an outsider is rarely able to make such distinctions-- Gorbachevspoke 30 years to the day after Nikita S. Khrushchev's secret speech before the same body,condemning his longtime predecessor, Joseph Stalin, as a mass murderer of the people he ruled,including many veteran Communist Party members. In 1961, at the next congress, Khrushchevshocked his listeners anew by demanding that the dictator's remains be removed from the granitemausoleum on Red Square he was sharing in death with Lenin, and that Stalin's name be blastedoff the tomb.

    GORBACHEV dismissed all who had stood in his place after Lenin died in 1924. He mentionednone of them by name as he spoke of their failed prophecies. It was left to an ambitiouslieutenant, Boris N. Yeltsin, the new Moscow Party boss, to connect the dots on his chief'soutline. At the previous congress in 1981, presided over by an enfeebled Leonid I. Brezhnev,Yeltsin had talked about the problems of logging in Sverdlovsk. This time, he felled taller trees.

    "Why do we raise the same old problems at one congress after another?' Yeltsin inquired. "Whyhave we brought this alien word "stagnation' into use? Why for so many years have we beenunable to root up bureaucratism, social injustice and other abuses? Why do demands for radicalreform get stuck in the sluggish layer of time-servers with Party cards?'

    His was a daring oratorical flight to the limits of Socialist protocol. But it kept faith with theconfessional nature of the proceedings. The congress was, in that sense, a religious conclavewhere secular penitents enumerated their sins-- mainly sloth, greed and pride of place-- whileexposing the sins of living and dead Leninist divines. This brought absolution from the new HolyFather of Leninism. In forgiving, Gorbachev reduced internal anxieties, at least for the moment,by magnanimously insisting that a top-to-bottom Party purge was not necessary. Naturally, hesuggested, in a few instances the worst of the old lot must be surgically extracted and replaced byyounger, bolder, more courageous, innovative Gorbachev men-- men such as Yeltsin.

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    And just how did Yeltsin answer the disquieting questions he had raised? The key, he told thedelegates, lay in the sad fact that prior Soviet leaders (unlike, of course, the venerated Mikhail,son of Sergei, the onetime secular bishop of Stavropol) lacked the guts to "tell the bitter truth'about what had gone amiss. Gorbachev, however, since coming up to Moscow from Stavropol,had shown he was made of the right stuff. That, presumably, would make the difference in

    Russia.

    (What Gorbachev had said was: "When the subject of publicity comes up, calls are sometimesmade for exercising greater caution when speaking about shortcomings, omissions anddifficulties that are inevitable in any ongoing effort. There can be only one answer to this, aLeninist answer: Communists want the truth, always and under all circumstances.')

    Standing before the delegates, Yeltsin had also asked: "How often can we present certain Partyheads as miracle workers?' One wonders how prudent that question will sound if it is repeated atthe next congress in 1991. In contrast to most of his predecessors, it should be noted, Gorbachevappears to be in no hurry to canonize himself. Although he acts as if he plans to stay in charge

    forever, a la Jimmy Carter, circa 1977, he has trimmed some of the usual trappings of the topKremlin post. He sent an early signal of his style by naming Andrei A. Gromyko the Soviet headof state, a post Khrushchev and Brezhnev had eagerly assumed.

    In allowing Gromyko to become President, in return for his support in the only Soviet electionthat ever amounts to anything, Gorbachev ensured the aging Foreign Minister that he willultimately be interred in Soviet soil, rather than cremated and shoved into the Kremlin wall--thefinal fate that awaits run-of-the-mill Politburo members. Being buried in the earth after a fullState funeral is the highest accolade the Leninist order can bestow on one of its chief disciples.

    As Khrushchev recounted Stalin's horrible crimes at the secret session of the 1956 congress--

    held, incidentally, in the dead of night--someone shouted from the back of the hall: "Where wereyou, dear comrade, while all this was going on?' Khrushchev demanded that the speaker rise andidentify himself. His demand was met by a frosty, queasy silence. Khrushchev then pounded hisfist on the lectern and said: "You see, comrades. That's where I was!'

    In the politically calmer daytime atmosphere mosphere of 1986, no one had the temerity of 1986,no one had the temerity his criticisms back in 1981, when Brezhnev was tottering but stillaround. Yeltsin told the delegates anyway: "I probably lacked the courage and politicalexperience at that time.'

    LIKE ANY mature religion, modern Leninism regularly favors certain incantations and eschewsothers. In particular, the phrase "radical reforms' has long been taboo, because Brezhnev onceheld that all the necessary basic radical reforms were carried out in 1965 and henceforthCommunists should simply implement them.

    So why did Gorbachev stress the need for radikalnaia reforma? He was, it appears, sending asignal to the Communist elite that a debate on Russia's economic future was in order. Where thatdebate might lead is more difficult to gauge. No one here, inside or outside the establishment,believes the new Kremlin crew is prepared to go as far as China or Hungary or even East

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    Germany in altering the certrial system. "For one thing, Gorbachev doesn't see anything wrongwith the system,' Arthur A. Hartman, the astute American ambassador, told me. "He has made itwork for him and he thinks he knows how it can be made to work for others,' Gorbachev, forinstance, wants to plop more high-tech dumplings into the Socialist stew. It is doubtful whetherthese computers will have any appreciable impact, though, without a parallel shift in attitude

    both within and toward a society that has long been purposefully starved of information.

    The tinkering with the Soviet economic model, in a bid to extract more juice from the orange,bears a striking resemblance to those what-if spreadsheet formulas that are an integral feature ofAmerican corporate life. The essential difference, besides the obvious one of scale, is that Russiaremains a monopolistic corporation which deals, often in multiple roles, with millions ofmanagers, workers, pensioners, dependents, and would-be customers.

    Under the Soviet setup, Gosplan (State planning) managers compare columns of resources withrows of demands. Top priority might go to, say, the care and feeding of the Politburo or a newspace station or huge nuclear rockets poised to strike the United States. It is a fairly safe bet that

    there are sufficient resources at hand to accomplish any of these tasks.

    But what happens when the consumer economy shows up way down on the list? What occurswhen the planners are told the price of bread, last raised in 1962, cannot be touched becausebread is held to be a sacred symbol of stability in the Socialist motherland? Well, at theminimum, distortions enter an economy that does not react satisfactorily to the laws of supplyand demand.

    At the congress, Gorbachev spoke about the importance of more closely relating prices to costs.This idea is so ingrained in Western thinking that it is difficult for outsiders to fathom exactlyhow radical the concept is within the Soviet framework.

    Moreover, Gorbachev wants Gosplan and other key ministries to stick to their spreadsheet-typeknitting. That would, by his lights, commendably increase the autonomy of individual Sovietenterprises--making their managers responsible for producing higher quality goods and servicesand achieving profitable results.

    Yet changes that allow prices to reflect the actual cost of production, that allow them to reflectlevels of demand, and that even allow them to respond to competitive imports could ultimatelyunleash vast internal pressures in the USSR, with profound economic and ideologicalconsequences. For the freedom to choose implies the freedom to fail. Over the years, many aSoviet enterprise would have gone belly up and many a Soviet citizen would have found himselfjobless had the Soviets attempted some sort of rational bookkeeping These enterprises havestayed open and their employees continue to be paid, as if they were truly earning a livinginstead of serving time. This has happened because of the widespread conviction, in Gorbachev'sown words, "that any change in the economic mechanism should be seen as almost a retreat fromthe principles of socialism.'

    Indeed, it is reasonable to speculate on how much would change were Gorbachev to attain theStalinoid powers he lacks. Keep in mind that although he is a generation younger than the

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    American President, the Soviet First Secretary esse