managing and forecasting cash flow

15
1 Managing and Forecasting Cash Flow The most important financial tool CEOs should use and understand.

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Page 1: Managing and Forecasting Cash Flow

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Managing and Forecasting Cash FlowThe most important financial tool CEOs should use and understand.

Page 2: Managing and Forecasting Cash Flow

What’s so great about a cash-flow forecast?

Cash is more important than your rev and monthly financials

Your BOD will spend WAY more time on your cash-flow forecast than financials

It’s a tool that helps you make faster and better decisions

The answer is surprisingly easy when you don’t have the money

Use for short-term and long-term planning

Most fundraising rounds are predicated on cash burn

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Page 3: Managing and Forecasting Cash Flow

Start with a short-term cash forecast13-week rolling forecast

Used for operations

KEEP IT SIMPLE

Start with where you are currently

Precise but not to the penny

Use logical categories

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Page 4: Managing and Forecasting Cash Flow

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Cash flow is about money in and money out

Page 5: Managing and Forecasting Cash Flow

Fundraising is predicated on long-term cash forecasts

12-18-month rolling forecast

Used for fundraising and strategic planning

Usually based on hiring plans and revenue projections

Start with where you are currently

Less detailed and precise

Use logical categories

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Page 6: Managing and Forecasting Cash Flow

Cash is hard to predict at every stage of growth

Early-stage companies: Why you’re forecasting cash; what investors need to know; numbers you need to have ready, and do you need a CFO now?

Early-revenue companies: MVP in market, non-predictable revenue, expenses easy to accumulate

Growth stage companies: Predictable revenue, but lots of other challenges to manage

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Page 7: Managing and Forecasting Cash Flow

Cash flow financing helps, especially when bootstrapping

Receivables financing: Smooth cash flow from lumpy payers

Purchase order financing: Help with those big orders

Inventory financing: Leverage your assets

Revenue-based financing: Lump sum based on trailing revenue

Merchant cash financing: Credit card payment advances

Asset-backed lines of credit: Working capital based on company assets

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Page 8: Managing and Forecasting Cash Flow

Different industries have unique cash flow challenges

Manufacturing/distribution: Managing inventory and cash flows tough balance; perishable inventory harder to manage

SaaS: Great MRR, but money comes in over time; how does that impact how you manage cash?

Subcontractors: How to predict cash in a longer supply chain

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Page 9: Managing and Forecasting Cash Flow

Case Study: SaaS company cash flowSteadily growing SaaS company with predictable revenue of $300K/month.

Trying to increase sales by offsetting a typical large up-front fee that makes it harder to onboard customers quickly.

Wanted to test a three-month offset of the fee. Took out a line of credit based on contractual monthly revenue to borrow against the next three months to continue to keep up expenses while testing the offset of the up front fee.

Sales are up.

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Page 10: Managing and Forecasting Cash Flow

Terms matterPricing strategy

When will you require customers to pay you?

Will you take up-front fees?

Will you make it easy for them to leave?

What is your return policy?

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Page 11: Managing and Forecasting Cash Flow

Getting Creative with Cash Flow• A/P management

• Personal / business card mangement

• Ask your investors / be transparent

• Talk to your staff openly and honestly

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Page 12: Managing and Forecasting Cash Flow

Good CEOs (not just CFOs) always know• The month, if not the day, you will run out of cash

• Current monthly burn rate

• Max cash burn before you become profitable

• Max cash burn for the next 18 months based on growth

• Current payroll

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Page 13: Managing and Forecasting Cash Flow

Tips for SuccessKeep it simple!

Avoid analysis paralysis

Regular maintenance is critical (helps when it’s linked to hiring)

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Page 15: Managing and Forecasting Cash Flow

We’d like to fund your brains out.

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