managing active etfs everything you need to know about guest speaker: darlene deremer (grail...
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Managing Active ETFsEverything You Need to Know About
Guest Speaker: Darlene DeRemer (Grail Partners)K&L Gates Hosts: Boston (3/26/08) Stacy Fuller (DC), Francine Rosenberger (DC) and George Zornada (BO)New York (4/10/08): Stacy Fuller (DC), Beth Kramer (NY) and Francine Rosenberger (DC)San Francisco (4/15/08): Stacy Fuller (DC), Mark Perlow (SF) and Richard Phillips (SF)
Everything You Need to Know About Managing Active ETFs
ETF Basics 2007 Growth: 42% increase to $580 billion Key Concepts
Arbitrage mechanism Exchange Listing Transparency
Development Index-based ETFs Actively managed ETFs
Quant techniques/Large-cap securities Transparency – changing requirements
Everything You Need to Know About Managing Active ETFs
Overview
Background: The ETF Business SEC’s Proposed ETF Rules Launch Basics ETF Distribution Looking Ahead Q&A
Everything You Need to Know About Managing Active ETFs
ETF Background: ETF Growth to Outpace that of Other Product Segments
FRC projects that US ETFs will grow faster than six other mainstream investment products including mutual funds, hedge funds and 529 Plans
US ETF assets will exceed $1.5 trillion as of 2011 WITHOUT significant ETF presence in the 401(k) market or actively managed ETFs
In 2007, flows to active Domestic Equity mutual funds were -$62B, whereas domestic equity ETFs saw $46B of inflows—evidence that investor demand is already migrating to ETFs
Financial Product Segment Growth Projections – 2007 to 2012E
($billions)Products 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 5-Yr CAGR529 Plans 114 142 174 213 257 308 22%Hedge Funds 1,622 1,921 2,276 2,696 3,206 3,782 18%Managed Accounts 1,056 1,230 1,432 1,668 1,943 2,262 16%Closed-End Funds 352 398 447 501 563 628 12%Mutual Funds 7,868 8,710 9,633 10,644 11,751 12,962 10%Variable Insurance 1,361 1,477 1,602 1,737 1,883 2,041 8%
ETFs 580 736 933 1,183 1,500 1,902 27%
1 Note: Mutual fund assets exclude money market fundsSource: FRC Monitor, Grail Partners Research
Everything You Need to Know About Managing Active ETFs
ETF Market Mechanics: Basic Operations
Secondary Market: NYSE Arca / NASDAQ
Broker/ Dealers
XYZ ETF Sponsor/ Manager
Market Maker
(Specialist or
Authorized Participant)
Basket of Securities(creation/
redemption units)
…in kind exchange for…
ETF Shares(50k or 100k ETF
shares)
Broker/ Dealers
Retail Investor
Hedge Fund/ Institutional
Investor
Index XYZ
Rule Set for ETF Portfolio
cash
ETF Shares
cash
ETF Shares
Primary Offering of Fund Shares
Fund Shareholders Secondary Market Participants ETF Share Creation/ Redemption
Investors can buy and sell ETF shares with the help of broker/ dealers throughout the day
Can be shorted and bought on margin Brokerages hold shares in Street name, like
individual stocks
Source: Grail Partners
Market Makers facilitate ETF trading:
Create initial ETF shares and hold in inventory to allow trading to commence
Maintain trading at NAV, by increasing or decreasing liquidity on the market in equilibrium with demand
Full transparency of index-based portfolio allows market participants to exploit arbitrage opportunities when shares trade away from NAV
ETF shares are created and redeemed through in-kind trading between the fund and market makers
The ETF portfolio itself rarely needs to trade securities directly because of this in-kind exchange mechanism
Financial Advisor
Everything You Need to Know About Managing Active ETFs
Active ETFs – Why are they more attractive than mutual funds?
ETFs have advantages vs. mutual funds:
Tax efficiency: in-kind trading of fund shares allows capital gains to be realized outside of the fund, at the participant level avoiding gains distribution from the fund
Low cost: an ETF trades like an individual stock, so transfer agency and other recordkeeping costs are minimal – somewhat offset by new costs in the dealer system, and commissions
Investor protection/ enhanced return:
Exchange trading eliminates the possibility of market timing
No cash held for redemption requests – better performance through full investment
Trading costs are absorbed by transacting investor, not the fund shareholders
Portfolio flexibility: ETFs are traded as individual equities, allowing investors to short and buy on margin as they build their portfolios
Source: Grail Partners
Everything You Need to Know About Managing Active ETFs
ETF Comparative Fee Analysis Given their passive nature and lower operating costs, ETFs generally have lower expenses as
compared to both active and indexed mutual funds However, newer ETF market entrants are pricing products above the historical market averages
ProShares funds, for example, are all priced at 95 bps for their enhanced bull and bear market index strategies
15 bps
60 bps66 bps 64 bps
106 bps
96 bps
128 bps
150 bps
58 bps
0 bps
20 bps
40 bps
60 bps
80 bps
100 bps
120 bps
140 bps
160 bps
Taxable Fixed Income Domestic Equity International Equity
ETFsIndexed Mutual FundsNon-Indexed Mutual Funds
1 Mutual Funds include share classes targeted to broker/ dealer intermediaries, i.e. A-sharesSome higher-fee funds are not yet included in the Simfund database, including new Rydex and ProFunds which are priced at 95 bps. Source: Simfund; Grail Partners
Everything You Need to Know About Managing Active ETFs
($billions)Sponsor Brand Name Funds ETF AUM Launch
1 Barclays iShares, iPath ETN 170 $306.2 20002 State Street SPDRs, streetTRACKS 67 158.0 19933 Vanguard VIPERs 37 44.3 20044 PowerShares PowerShares/ BLDRS 100 30.3 20025 ProFunds ProShares 58 15.6 20066 Merrill Lynch HOLDRS 17 7.4 19987 Rydex ExpressShares 31 6.1 20038 Deutsche Bank PowerShares (Commodity/ Currency) 13 5.9 20059 Van Eck Funds Market Vectors 12 5.0 2006
10 WisdomTree WisdomTree 40 4.3 200611 Claymore Various 29 1.8 200612 Victoria Bay Various 4 0.9 200613 First Trust First Trust 36 0.9 200514 ELEMENTS ELEMENTS ETNs 13 0.5 200715 XShares Various 31 0.2 200716 MacroMarkets MacroShares 2 0.2 200617 Goldman Sachs Goldman Sachs ETN 2 0.1 200718 Fidelity Tracking Stock 1 0.1 200319 Bear Stearns Bear Stearns ETN 1 0.1 200720 GreenHaven GreenHaven 1 0.0 200821 FocusShares FocusShares ISE 3 0.0 200722 Morgan Stanley Morgan Stanley 2 0.0 200823 SPA ETFs/ London & Capital SPA/ MarketGrader 6 0.0 200724 RevenueShares RevenueShares 3 0.0 200825 Ameristock Ameristock/ Ryan 5 0.0 200726 Lehman Brothers Lehman Brothers 2 0.0 200827 Ziegler NYSE ARCA 1 0.0 2007
687 $588.07Source: Bloomberg as of 3/24/08; Grail PartnersNote: This table includes non-ETF exchange traded products like HOLDRS, BLDRS and ETNs.1 ELEMENTS is a partnership between Nuveen Investments, Merrill Lynch, Swedish Export Credit Corporation and BNP Paribas2 MacroShares ETFs were launched through a JV with Claymore in 2006; MacroShares bought out Claymore’s 50% stake in 8/073 SPA ETFs is an affiliate of London & Capital
US ETF Assets by Sponsor
Everything You Need to Know About Managing Active ETFs
Industry Competitors DescribedFirm Product Pricing1 Distribution
Traditional IndexedTraditional indexing transitioned from mutual fund to ETF
BGI Wide range of traditional index offerings 170 ETFs; $306.2 B
36 bps BGI was first to aggressively target broad retail and institutional audiences
State Street Wide range of traditional index offerings 67 ETFs; $158.0 B
19 bps Mix of retail/ institutional
Vanguard Breadth of traditional, low-cost indexes 37 ETFs; $44.3 B
15 bps Vanguard targets its traditional no-load investors and other brokerage clients
Enhanced Indexed – Select FirmsUnique indexing, in both construction and strategies/ industries covered
Power-Shares2
US and international rules-based quant ETFs Leverage Rob Arnott fundamental indexes 100 ETFs; $30.3 B
39 bps Mix of retail/ institutional Leverages AIM wholesaler coverage given IVZ
ownership
ProFunds Unique exposure (shorting, double exposure) to range of US equity indexes
58 ETFs; $15.6 B
95 bps ProShares has launched ETFs with an established base of clients (RIAs) in its mutual fund offerings
Rydex Offering similar to that of ProShares 31 ETFs; $6.1 B
39 bps Rydex has launched ETFs with an established base of clients (RIAs) in its mutual fund offerings
Wisdom-Tree US and international equity ETFs weighted by fundamental metrics: div. income, rev.
40 ETFs; $4.3 B
51 bps Targets a mix of retail/ institutional investors
XShares Custom indexes focused on sector “verticals”; third party indexes
31 ETFs; $0.2 B
69 bps Sales force targets retail and institutional investors Proprietary and partnership ETFs
1 Reflects AUM-weighted average of all ETFs offered by the company2 Nasdaq transferred its QQQQ fund and 4 BLDRS to PowerShares 3/07, reducing PowerShares’ average pricingSource: Bloomberg, Grail Partners Research as of 3/24/08
Everything You Need to Know About Managing Active ETFs
Rule 6c-11
“exchange-traded fund” - a registered open-end fund
that either(1) discloses the identities
and weights of its portfolio securities; or,
(2) (a) seeks returns that correspond to an index, and (b) the index provider discloses the identities and weights of its securities
shares listed/traded on exchange
marketed as ETF with limited redeemability
transacts in creation unit aggregations (CUAs)
exchange regularly disseminates per share value of CUAs
has website with price info: NAV, market and any premium/discount
Everything You Need to Know About Managing Active ETFs
Disclosure Amendments
Section 24(d) Product Descriptions
Not used Summary prospectus
Rescission of Past Exemptions
Form N-1A: Tailor for retail investors Replace disclosure re how
to transact, and cost of transacting, in CUAs with same re transactions on exchange
Require disclosure of ETF’s total return based on NAV and market price
Require discount disclosure on web, in pro and annual report
Everything You Need to Know About Managing Active ETFs
Liberalization of Orders
Sampling Affiliated index-based ETFs Section 48(a) Asset basket requirements
Everything You Need to Know About Managing Active ETFs
Rule 12d1-4
Investments by registered and private funds 4 Conditions
Limitation on control of underlying fund by investing fund ETF is not a “fund of funds” Fees comply with NASD Conduct Rule 2830 No redemptions by investing fund with more than 3% of ETF
Compare traditional funds of funds Investments by registered funds only 12 Conditions
Everything You Need to Know About Managing Active ETFs
Conditions for Traditional Funds of Funds
Limitation on control of underlying fund by investing fund
Underlying fund is not a “fund of funds”
Fees comply with NASD Conduct Rule 2830
Waiver by investing fund of certain fees based on other fees received from underlying fund
Limitation on investing fund’s influence over underlying fund
Limitation on investments by underlying fund in underwritings involving affiliate of investing fund (“affiliated underwriting”)
Finding by underlying fund board re any investment by underlying fund in affiliated underwriting
Finding by underlying fund board that any payments to investing fund were reasonable for services received in return
Finding by investing fund board that consideration received by investing fund from underlying fund did not influence investment
Finding by investing fund board that no duplicative advisory fees
Requirement of Participation Agreement (to provide notice of conditions involving board findings)
Everything You Need to Know About Managing Active ETFs
Launch Basics
Choose Asset Class ETN / Grantor Trust – Corp Fin ETF – IM
Exemptive Application Rule 6c-11
Market Maker / Specialist Prepare Timeline: Precedented v. Novel Relief Register Product
ETN / Grantor Trust – S-1 and 8-A ETF – N-8A, N-1A and 8-A
Prospectus / PD v. Disclosure Amendments & Summary Prospectus Approach T&M / Exchange
No action relief Listing
Everything You Need to Know About Managing Active ETFs
Seed Capital: Tempering the Pace of Proliferation To support the secondary market, launching an ETF requires a minimum market inventory be established
to facilitate trading and market liquidity
Exchanges typically require at least two ETF “creation units” be issued (generally 200,000 shares) prior to fund launch. If a fund’s NAV starts at $25, this equals $5 million in AUM
This initial seed capital is typically provided by market specialists—often using borrowed securities in their effort to support a product that will yield secondary trading activity
But for those market makers, seeding ETFs is becoming a much less attractive proposition
The drag or costs of providing seed capital are real:
Cost of borrowing (up to 200 bps or more) to fund and hedge
ETF expense ratio (~50 bps and higher); ETF fees are increasing as more niche and quasi-active ETFs are launched
The proposition of acting as an ETF specialist itself has become less attractive:
Spreads in ETF trading have tightened
Given the merger of NYSE and AmEx, electronic trading will become the dominant method for ETF specialists, in turn diffusing the share of volume that the specialist can capture
Therefore, the lack of seed capital in the ETF market is expected to be a major industry “choke point” and inhibitor of product proliferation, particularly among smaller ETF sponsors
Source: Grail Partners
Everything You Need to Know About Managing Active ETFs
ETF Distribution
Distribution Specialists Other institutional investors Rule 12b-1 Plans IPOs Rule 12d1-4 Funds
Everything You Need to Know About Managing Active ETFs
Distribution: Mutual Funds vs. ETFs
Growth Areas
Mutual Funds - 2007
Fee-Based Intermediaries
30%
Proprietary Sales Force
5%Direct to Investor
10%
Fund Supermarkets
10%
Retirement Plans25%
Transaction Based Brokers
20%
ETFs - Anecdotal
Institutional investors (hedge funds, portfolio managers) play a larger proportional role in ETFs than is typical in mutual funds
ETFs’ offer of sector exposure and cash equitization are contributors
However, retail sources (RIAs, brokers, wealth advisors) have become a more significant force in ETF distribution in recent years
Fee-based programs help make advisors indifferent to product packages, and ETFs are benefiting from this phenomenon
Tracking sales by source in ETFs is more difficult than in mutual funds
Source: FRC, Grail Partners Research
Everything You Need to Know About Managing Active ETFs
Looking Ahead
Trends Next-generation ETFs
Semi-transparent ETFs Tracking Baskets Value Transparency Black Box
“‘Is it critical that arbitrage be tight and strong?’ We think that’s an important question that the Commission will need to consider going forward as we face applications for non-transparent ETFs.”
Timing