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Cleveland Justis Institute for Innovation & Entrepreneurship UC Davis Graduate School of Management Making the Leap

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Page 1: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

Prof. Andrew HargadonDirector, Center for EntrepreneurshipUC Davis Graduate School of

Cleveland JustisInstitute for Innovation & EntrepreneurshipUC Davis Graduate School of Management

Making the Leap

Page 2: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

Today

– Introductions & Overview

– Innovation: What is it and Why do we Care?

– What is the Leap?

– Marshmallows and the Leap

– Managing Risk During the Leap

– Success Stories

– Networking

Page 3: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

Some (brief) Introductions...

UsYou - Name- How people in this room

can help you

Page 4: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

what is innovation?

Page 5: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes
Page 6: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

"[In Wallace's shop] I saw for the first time everything in practical operation. It was all before me. I saw the thing had not gone so far but that I had a chance. I saw that what had been done had never been made practically useful. The intense light had not been subdivided so that it could be brought into private houses."

— Thomas Edison

Page 7: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

Innovation

Creativity EntrepreneurshipCommitment

+ +

Page 8: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

Innovation

Creativity

creating a novel, valuable idea...

Entrepreneurship

turning it into something real...

Commitment

+ +determining

whether and how to make it real

Page 9: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

three lessonsfor innovation

Page 10: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

Innovation is about connecting, not inventing.

Page 11: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

1,599

264,972

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“I invented nothing new. I simply assembled into a car the discoveries of other men behind whom were centuries of work. . . . Had I worked fifty or ten or even five years before, I would have failed. So it is with every new thing. Progress happens when all the factors that make for it are ready, and then it is inevitable. To teach that a comparatively few men are responsible for the greatest forward steps of mankind is the worst sort of nonsense.” — Henry Ford

Page 13: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

The network is the innovation.

Page 14: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

"build a better mousetrap, and the world will beat a path to your door."

— Ralph Waldo Emerson

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4,400402

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Telegraph Technology +

suppliers

JP Morgan& other venture

investors

FranchiseesLocal

Investors

Generator Companies

Competing Light Mfrs

Regulators

Page 17: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

ideas are nothing without action.

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368

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What is the leap?

Page 20: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

Lifecycle of a university spinout

Research GrantsDevelopment

Grants (eg SBIR)

Friends, Family, & Founders($5-$50k)

AngelInvestors

($50-$500k)

Funding

Early StageVenture Capital($500k-$2M+)

Venture Capital($2M-$50M)

Private Equity,Project Financing

($2M-$50M)

IPO, Merger, or Acquisition

($2M-$50M)

Stage of Venture Development

Basic Research Applied Research

Proof ofConcept

Working Prototypes

Founding Team

Target Market

BusinessPlan

EngineeringPrototypes

ProductionPrototypes

SupplierContracts

ProductIntroduction

RevenueGrowth

“Valley of Death”

DistributionContracts

# of New

Ventures

NetCash Flow

Page 21: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

Lifecycle of a university spinout

Research GrantsDevelopment

Grants (eg SBIR)

Friends, Family, & Founders($5-$50k)

AngelInvestors

($50-$500k)

Funding

Early StageVenture Capital($500k-$2M+)

Venture Capital($2M-$50M)

Private Equity,Project Financing

($2M-$50M)

IPO, Merger, or Acquisition

($2M-$50M)

Stage of Venture Development

Basic Research Applied Research

Proof ofConcept

Working Prototypes

Founding Team

Target Market

BusinessPlan

EngineeringPrototypes

ProductionPrototypes

SupplierContracts

ProductIntroduction

RevenueGrowth

DistributionContracts

# of New

Ventures

NetCash Flow

Gen1first 3-9 mos.

Gen2(startup)

Gen3(transition)

Gen4(business)

Page 22: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

Lifecycle of a new venture

Funding

Stage of Venture Development

# of New

Ventures

NetCash Flow

Gen1first 3+9

mos.

Gen2(startup)

Gen3(transition)

Gen4(business)

manage for uncertainty and commitment

manage for market, product, & process development

manage for growth

Page 23: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

Let’s Get Real!

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Page 25: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

In groups of 4-5 people, and using just the available materials:

Build the tallest freestanding structure you can with the available materials

The entire marshmallow must be on topUse as much or as little of the kit

Break up the spaghetti, string or tapeYou have 18 minutes to build (and test and

rebuild) your structure.

Innovation in Action

Materials:

Spaghetti1 yard of tape1 yard of string1 marshmallowyour witsluck

Page 26: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

Rules

1.The tallest freestanding structure when the judges measure is the winner; you may not hold or stabilize your structure after the time limit.

2.If the rest of the group will say it’s cheating, it probably is; If the rest of the class will wish they thought of it, you’re on the right track.

Page 27: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

Insert Countdown Clock Here

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Results:

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Innovation is risky

Page 54: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

Source: Stevens, G.A. and Burley, J., “3,000 Raw Ideas = 1 Commercial Success!”, (May/June 1997) Research Technology Management, Vol. 40, #3, pp. 16-27.

3,000 raw ideas

100 exploratory projects

10 well-developed projects2 product launches

1 successful product

Page 55: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

How do you know an idea is worth pursuing?

Page 56: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

Is the idea any good?

type I errors:Investing time and

energy in a bad idea that looked good at

first glance

everyone’s a genius

duh

type II errors:Rejecting a good idea because it

looked bad at first glance

idealooks good

idealooks bad

ideais bad

ideais good

the inventor’scurse

the MBA’scurse

Page 57: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

Innovation is risky, but...

Page 58: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

Not all risk is created equal.

Page 59: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

Moving forward means reducing your uncertainty

Page 60: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

An idea’s worth = f(uncertainty, outcome)

value

uncertainty

development of the idea (or time)

currentworth

Page 61: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

The Challenge

think

do

Page 62: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

Thinking about thinking and doing...

value

uncertainty

thinking doing thinking doing thinking

development of the idea (or time)

currentworth

Page 63: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

A new venture is a series of experiments

Page 64: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

Managing the Generative Cycle

$5, $50, $500, $5,000...

Identify and resolve the critical uncertainties

quickly and cheaply.

Page 65: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

The prime objective (@ the start)

The objective is to maximize, per resources committed(time, energy, and money),

the amount of uncertainty reduced.

Page 66: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

What are the uncertainties?

TECHNOLOGY MARKET

BUSINESS

YOURBUSINESS MODEL

Page 67: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

The slide deck is your first $5 experiment

Page 68: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

The Problem (& Solution)

The Business

The Market

The MarketAssumptions

The TechnologyAssumptions

The BusinessAssumptions

( )The Deliverables

The Team

The Milestones

The Investment

The Summary & Next Steps

The Idea (as pitch)

The major uncertainties that, if resolved, will make

the idea worth pursuing

What you need to deliver the

deliverables, and what you will do

next.

Page 69: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

Setting early stage deliverables

Hypothesis $5 $50 $500 $5,000

Gen1first 3+9 mos.

Page 70: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

Setting early stage deliverables

Hypothesis $5 $50 $500 $5,000

Gen2(startup)

Gen1first 3+9 mos.

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ideas into

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The pedagogical flow

thinking

doing

networking

Page 73: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

Innovation

+Creativity Entrepreneurship

creating a novel, valuable idea...

turning that idea into something real...

Page 74: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

Innovation

Creativity+ Entrepreneurship

Page 75: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

Case Study: Greenlight Apparel

Page 76: Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of Managementgsm.ucdavis.edu/sites/main/files/file-attachments/big_bang_nov_12_v.pdfBusiness Plan. Engineering Prototypes. Production Prototypes

Case Study: Revolution Foods

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[Entrepreneurship] does not essentially consist in either inventing anything or otherwise creating the conditions which

the enterprise exploits. It consists in getting things done. — Joseph Schumpeter”“