making connection between homebuilding, politics and migration
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PowerPoint Presentation
@davidErogers
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[email protected], Migration, Politics
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Me. What I want to be doing, What I usually end up doing these days as SLT but still firmly in the classroom and grappling with curriculum changes and budget constraints. Everything is personal and I chose to do this job because of where I came from the Valleys boy who was told that I couldnt do it.3
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http://daviderogers.blogspot.co.uk/2012/10/simple-but-effective-ideas-iceland-does.html4
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Trends v variation@davidErogers
Why does the UK need more houses?@davidErogers
http://bit.ly/housegeog@davidErogers
Why does the UK need new houses?Draw a line graph predicting what has happened to the UKs population over time. Describe your prediction in words: I predict that the UKs population has..Population (y)Time (x)Trends v Variation video@davidErogers
Data detectives!
Describe the TrendDescribe the variation@davidErogers
Source: http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/pop-estimate/population-estimates-for-uk--england-and-wales--scotland-and-northern-ireland/2013/sty-population-changes.html17
Look at this graphDescribe changes in the UKs annual population change since 1992.What may happen in the future?
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Source: http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/pop-estimate/population-estimates-for-uk--england-and-wales--scotland-and-northern-ireland/2013/sty-population-changes.html18
The drivers of household demand
2.4m28%3.6m8%1.7m19%The growth in people aged 65 and over living alone is partly due to the ageing population.Fewer 16 to 44-year-olds are living alone, which may be because it has become less affordable.The increase in people living alone aged 45 to 64 is possibly due to a rise in divorced people and a fall in married people.
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Source: http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/family-demography/families-and-households/2013/info-uk-households.html19
Look at this graphUsing the knowledge from this lesson so far, what problems does this graph represent?
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Source: http://www.parliament.uk/documents/commons/lib/research/key_issues/Key-Issues-Housing-supply-and-demand.pdf20
Why are more houses needed?Consider the main changes in the UKs population. Explain why new homes are needed.
UK population is increasingthis means thatThe UKs life expectancy is increasing...this means thatThe number of houses being built is decreasingthis means thatThe number one-person households is increasingthis means thatThe majority of homes in the UK are under occupiedthis means thatHouse prices are highthis means that
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How have populations changed across the UK?Do now:Using the shapes below, create a sketch map of the UK. You may have to rotate them and resize.Extension: Mark on the location of: London, Cardiff, Edinburgh, Belfast
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Look at this graphWrite a description of the long term changes in international net migration.
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Source: http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/migration1/long-term-international-migration/2013/index.html23
What is internal migration?Internal migration is the movement of people within a country or region, in this case within the UK.
What push and pull factors would cause people to migrate within the UK?ExampleInternal or International?Syria to LondonCardiff to SouthamptonAustralia to GlasgowSouth Africa to NewcastleRepublic of Ireland to ExeterBelfast to CardiffBrighton to WorthingBeijing to GlossopCarmarthen to PortsmouthNew York to Blackpool
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Look at this graphWhat are the push and pull factors that would cause people to decide to move within the UK?
Think about:Who might be moving?Why are they moving?Where are they moving to?@davidErogers
Source: http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/dcp171778_315652.pdf25
Look at these maps
The maps show how local populations have changed in the UK.
From looking at these maps, what does it tell us about housing demand across the UK? @davidErogers
Map 1: http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/dcp171778_292378.pdfMap 2: http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/dcp171778_368416.pdf
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Explore a map of your area
Does your local area have a positive or negative net migration figure?
Where has to largest negative net migration figure?
Where has the largest positive net migration figure?@davidErogers
Source: http://www.neighbourhood.statistics.gov.uk/HTMLDocs/dvc25/#sty=true&flow=flow0&period=2&fix=E06000043&view=362.5,118.75,325,317.5&tr=-39.6610107421875,-118.43222045898438&sc=127
Where is housing needed the most?
Key
RegionAverage annual increase in houses needed between 2008 and 2033 (thousands)Total increase of houses needed 2008-2033North East819%North West2218%Yorkshire & The Humber2731%East Midlands2229%West Midlands1820%East3234%London3628%South East3928%South West2730%England23227%
Using the Average annual increase column, create a key.
Create a choropleth map by shading each region. You should use the same shade, and use a darker shade to show where most new houses are needed.
In your exercise book, describe where the highest demand for new houses is. Compare this to the region which you live in.
Describe the trend for England as a whole. Does the country need more or fewer homes?@davidErogers
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[email protected], Migration, Politicshttp://bit.ly/housegeog