m-real today and...• market capitalization of approximately eur 1.4 billion abn amro 25.11. 2005...
TRANSCRIPT
M-real TodayHannu Anttila
President & CEO
ABN Amro 25.11.2005
General
Overview• M-real is a leading producer and
supplier of paper and paperboard in Europe
• Focus on selected high growth products where customers appreciate service, quality and innovation
• Headquartered in Espoo, Finland, with a presence in over 70 countries and approximately 15,500 employees
• For the financial year 2004, M-real generated EUR 5.5 billion in turnover
• Market capitalization of approximately EUR 1.4 billion
ABN Amro 25.11. 2005 Page 3
Focus on Core Businesses
ABN Amro 25.11. 2005 Page 4
57 % 17 %
26 %
17 %
32 %
12 %9 %
12 %
6 %9 % 3 %
1995 Sales€2.3 billion
8 Businesses
PaperboardCorrugatedboard
MerchantingSawn GoodsTissue
Chemicals
2004 Sales€5.5 billion
3 Businesses
PaperPulp
M-real is Well Positioned• Focused producer with leading European market positions*
• #2 in Folding Boxboard, Coated Fine Paper and Uncoated Fine Paper• #4 in Coated Magazine Paper and #4 in Paper Merchanting
• Competitive production facilities strategically located in Europe’s main markets• Successful execution of capitalisation plan through
• Rights offering and Refinancing of bank facility• Divestments
• Action plan to improve operating performance• Organisational structure with clear profit responsibilities- up and running• Focus on profitability and efficiency improvement
• Self-sufficient in pulp, new BCTMP capacity and Uruguay improving competitiveness • Significant operating leverage to cyclical recovery
*Based on Jaakko Pöyry Consulting
ABN Amro 25.11. 2005 Page 5
StrategicAction Plan
2004 ->
M-real’s Action Plan
Page 7ABN Amro 25.11. 2005
M-real as of 2005
Core business strategy clearly definedFocus on earnings improvement and financial returns
Strict investment criteriaBuild on leading market positions Operational leverage to recovery
Refined Strategic Focus
Roadmap for core businesses and non-core holdings
New management and organizational structure
Financial Strategy to Increase Flexibility
Financial targets and dividend policyCapital increase
Bank facility refinancingExtend debt maturity through DCM
Divestments
Cost & Efficiency Improvements
2001-2003 program completed2004 program to be completed
by 2007 - €230mNew savings potential to be identified
Core Portfolio Review• Core businesses are Consumer Packaging, Publishing, Commercial
Printing and Office Papers• Focus for strategic growth on segments where M-real’s competitive
advantage is strongest and financial returns are most attractive –Consumer Packaging, Publishing and Commercial Printing
Office Papers
Consumer Packaging
Publishing Commercial Printing
Page 8ABN Amro 25.11. 2005
Consumer Packaging • Fibre-based high value-added packaging solutions for global brand owners
in beautycare, healthcare, cigarette, food and consumer electronics industries as well as for graphical end-uses
• Relatively high earnings stability• High segment consolidation• Competitive folding boxboard mills with end use specified production
Company Share (%)
7 %
9 %
9 %
30 %
32 %
0 % 5 % 10 % 15 % 20 % 25 % 30 % 35 %
Mayr-Melnhof
Cascades
Holmen
M-real
Stora Enso
No. 2 Folding Boxboard Capacity in Europe
Page 9ABN Amro 25.11. 2005
Publishing • Innovative magazine papers for general interest and special magazines,
supplements, directories and direct mail• High growth segments (e.g. special interest magazines - computers, lifestyle
etc.)• Many successful product innovations based on close cooperation with
publishers and an in-depth understanding of their business• Sales mainly directly to publishers and printers
Company Share (%)
10 %
12 %
12 %
17 %
27 %
0 % 5 % 10 % 15 % 20 % 25 % 30 %
Myllykoski
M-real
Burgo-Marchi
Stora Enso
UPM
No. 4 Coated Magazine Paper Capacity in Europe
Page 10ABN Amro 25.11. 2005
Commercial Printing• High quality fine papers for sales promotion, corporate communication,
annual reports, art books, brochures and other demanding customer applications
• Highly geared to European economic recovery• Well established product brands like EuroArt and Galerie Art• Sales mainly through merchant partners and to printers
Company Share (%)
13 %
14 %
14 %
15 %
18 %
0 % 5 % 10 % 15 % 20 %
UPM
Lecta
Stora Enso
M-real
Sappi Europe
No. 2 Coated Fine Paper Capacity in Europe
Page 11ABN Amro 25.11. 2005
Office Papers
Company Share (%)
11 %
11 %
12 %
15 %
16 %
0 % 5 % 10 % 15 % 20 %
Portucel
Mondi
IP
M-real
Stora Enso
No. 2 Uncoated Fine Paper Capacity in Europe
• High quality uncoated fine papers for printing and photocopying as well as for forms, envelopes, manuals and communication purposes
• Diversified customer base, e.g. merchants, retail chains, office equipment manufacturers and corporations
• Leading European office paper brands like DataCopy
Page 12ABN Amro 25.11. 2005
Map Merchant Group• Fine and magazine paper and paperboard merchanting for typical end-uses of M-real
products
• Provides close relationships with key customers
• Active in 22 European countries. Operation following arms length -principle
• M-real’s goal is to retain a strategic interest in European paper merchanting and to improve the profitability of the business. Map’s development will be continued as a part of M-real
Company Share (%)
11 %
11 %
16 %
17 %
20 %
0 % 5 % 10 % 15 % 20 % 25 %
Igepa
Map
Antalis
SE/Papyrus
Paperlinx
No. 4 Paper Merchant in Europe
Page 13ABN Amro 25.11. 2005
Increased Financial Flexibility• Rights offering 450 m€• Limiting investments according to cash flow (n. 50 % of depr.)• Divestment
• 8% shareholding of Metsä-Botniasta ~164 m€ (March 2005)• Savon Sellu ~20 m€ (January 2005)• Forestia ~163 m€ (January 2005)• Metsä Tissue ~570 m€ (January 2004)
• Acquisition of Kemiart Liners 53 % shareholding ~35 m€ (August 2004) • Renewal of syndicate loand (700 m€-> 500m€)
Page 14ABN Amro 25.11. 2005
M-realEquity Ratio Gearing
31.437.5
31.531.4
27.8
38.6 38.4 37.4
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1.1.2004 I II III IV I II III
159
127 129
89
112
878581
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
1.1.2004 I II III IV I II III
%%
2004 2005
Page 15ABN Amro 25.11. 2005
Quarterly Gearing ratio-%
-50 %
0 %
50 %
100 %
150 %
200 %
Q1-00
Q2-00
Q3-00
Q4-00
Q1-01
Q2-01
Q3-01
Q4-01
Q1-02
Q2-02
Q3-02
Q4-02
Q1-03
Q2-03
Q3-03
Q4-03
Q1-04
Q2-04
Q3-04
Q4-04
Q1-05
Q2-05
Q3-05
M-real
UPM-Kymmene
StoraEnso
NorskeSkog
Holmen
Sappi
Portucel
Page 16ABN Amro 25.11. 2005
Source: Company reports
Liquidity Liquid funds
EUR, millionCommitted long term credit facilities
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
I/04 II/04 III/04 IV/04 I/05 II/05 III/05
Page 17ABN Amro 25.11. 2005
Capital Investments
440 500 500
-327
-1 000
-500
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Mill
ion
€
Disposals
Acquisitions
Capitalexpenditure onfixed assets
1996- 2004 total:3 053 MEUR
1996-2004 total:2 959 MEUR
1996-2004 total:-1 527 MEUR
Capital Investments, Indicative max. levels for 2006-2007
Page 18ABN Amro 25.11. 2005
Financial Targets• ROCE target set at a minimum of 10% on average over the business cycle• Gearing ratio not to exceed 100%
Minimum ROCE 10% Maximum Gearing 100%
Page 19ABN Amro 25.11. 2005
13.5%
5.8%
1.6%
-1.0%
0.2%
10.5%
6.9%
99 00 01 02 03 04 1-92005
Minimum target of 10% 184%
119%137%
87%82%83%
145%
99 00 01 02 03 04 1-92005
Maximum level of 100%
Make Real Profit Program 2004-2006Targets• Cost savings and efficiency improvements of 230 m€ by the end of 2006 vs.end
of 2003 • Further profitability improvement through business development projects to reach
peer group’s average level by 1Q 2007Follow-up• Detailed targets and project plans• Internal ”Project Office” to manage follow-upIncentives• Profitability focused target setting for all salaried employees: Group or Business
Area profits will decide 60 % of bonus• TIP for senior management with focus on reaching average profitability of peer
group’s average profitability• Share-based program for executive management based on EBIT and ROCE
Page 20ABN Amro 25.11. 2005
2004-2006 Savings Program
ACHIEVED TARGETS REMAININGEUR, million Q104-Q305 2004-2006
Consumer Packaging 20 30 10Publishing 20 30 10Commercial Printing 35 60 25Office Papers 15 30 15Map 3 10 7Corporate functions 7 40 33TOTAL 100 200 100
In addition, efficiency improvements will give savings of 30 m€ when operating rates >90%
Achieved cost savings are value of completed savings measures, not yet full cash flow impact
Achieved and targeted cost savings gross without deduction of one time costs
30 %
20 %
50 %
Savings Targets
Otherfixedcosts
Variablecosts
Personnelcosts
Savings program is being further expanded and specified
Page 21ABN Amro 25.11. 2005
Quarterly EBIT-%
-10 %
-5 %
0 %
5 %
10 %
15 %
20 %
25 %
30 %
Q1-00
Q2-00
Q3-00
Q4-00
Q1-01
Q2-01
Q3-01
Q4-01
Q1-02
Q2-02
Q3-02
Q4-02
Q1-03
Q2-03
Q3-03
Q4-03
Q1-04
Q2-04
Q3-04
Q4-04
Q1-05
Q2-05
Q3-05
M-real
UPM-Kymmene
Stora Enso
Sappi
NorskeSkog
Holmen
Portucel
Page 22ABN Amro 25.11. 2005
Source: Company reports
Significant Leverage Towards Cyclical Recovery• Earnings are highly geared towards changes in paper and paperboard
prices, volumes and exchange rates
Sensitivity of One Percent Change in:
Estimated Annual Effect on Profit Before Taxes (€m)
Paper pricesPaperboard prices
329
*Operating ratesDeliveries
1513
EUR/USD 5* One percentage point change in operating rates
Page 23ABN Amro 25.11. 2005 17
3Q 2005
3Q 2005 in ReviewPositive third quarter pre tax resultProfitability improved from the previous quarter mainly due to higher coated magazine paper price, increased coated fine paper deliveries and the end of the labour dispute in Finland Labour dispute in the Finnish mills affected negatively also the third quarter results. Revival in board deliveries has been slower than expectedOperating results of Consumer Packaging, Publishing and Commercial Printing improved from the previous quarterPaper and board demand was on a good levelPrices of coated magazine paper and lower grades of uncoated fine paper (cutsize) increased, coated fine paper and board prices were stable.EUR 230 million cost savings and efficiency improvement program announced in early 2004 proceeded as planned
ABN Amro 25.11. 2005 Page 25
3Q / 2005 in short3Q 2005 2Q 2005
Sales, M€ 1 269 1 259 Operating result, M€ 20 -72 Non-recurring items -15Operating result, excl. non-recurring items, M€ 20 -57
Profit before taxes, M€ 1 -143Profit before taxes, excl. non-recurring items, M€ 1 -124
Earnings per share, € 0.01 -0.37 Earnings per share, excl. non-recurring items, € 0.01 -0.32
ABN Amro 25.11. 2005 Page 26
3Q / 2005 in short (cont.)3Q 2005 2Q 2005
Roce, % 2.3 -5.7Roce, excl. non-recurring items, % 2.3 -0.3
Equity ratio at the end of the period, % 37.4 38.4Gearing at the end of the period, % 87 85
Deliveries, ktonsPaper 991 999Paperboard 226 231
ABN Amro 25.11. 2005 Page 27
Folding Boxboard Market Price in Europe2000 – October 2005
400
600
800
1000
1200
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
EUR / tn Three month moving average
Source: M-real
ABN Amro 25.11. 2005 Page 28
PaperEUR / tn,
Pulp USD/ tn
Paper and Pulp Market Price in Europe1998 – October 2005
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 20050.8
0.9
1
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
Coated fine paper
Uncoated fine paper
NBSK
LWCSource: M-real, Foex, ReutersEUR/USD
EUR/USD
ABN Amro 25.11. 2005 Page 29
Near-Term outlookEconomic growth in Western Europe to continue slow, printed advertising expenditure growing at same pace as the economy Demand for M-real’s main products expected to continue good in the fourth quarterAverage prices of uncoated fine paper and coated magazine paper expected to increase somewhat in the fourth quarter. Coated fine paper and folding boxboard prices stable EUR 230 million cost savings and efficiency improvement program proceeds as plannedEnergy prices rising, oil based raw material as well as transportation costs remain high M-real’s fourth quarter pre tax result, excl. non-recurring items estimated not to differ significantly from the third quarter. Whole year pre tax result negative
ABN Amro 25.11. 2005 Page 30
Thank you
ABN Amro 25.11. 2005 Page 31