m. levent kurnaz
TRANSCRIPT
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Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies
Simulations of Future Drought Conditions in Central
Asia CORDEX Region 8 by Using RegCM 4.3.5
Levent Kurnaz
Bogazici University
Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies
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Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies
Statistical Downscaling
Dynamical Downscaling
Regional Downscaling
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Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies The Issue
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Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies
Konya Basin (Turkey) 10 km Resolution Evaporation
The Problem
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Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies
CORDEX and Large Scale Regional
Climate Modelling
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Bogazici University
Climate Science Group CORDEX domains
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Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies
Our CORDEX Regions
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Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies
Region 8 (Central Asia) 50 km Resolution Temperature
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Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies
Region 8 (Central Asia) 50 km Resolution Temperature
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Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies
Region 8 (Central Asia) 50 km Resolution Temperature
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Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies
Region 8 (Central Asia) 50 km Resolution Temperature
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Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies
Region 8 (Central Asia) 50 km Resolution Temperature
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Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies
Region 8 (Central Asia) 50 km Resolution Precipitation
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Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies
Region 8 (Central Asia) 50 km Resolution Precipitation
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Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies
Region 8 (Central Asia) 50 km Resolution Precipitation
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Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies
Region 8 (Central Asia) 50 km Resolution Precipitation
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Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies
Region 8 (Central Asia) 50 km Resolution Precipitation
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Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies
Region 8 (Central Asia) 50 km Res. Prec. Variability
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Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies The Domain
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Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies 3 Month Standardized Precipitation
Index
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Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies 3 Month Standardized Precipitation
Index
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Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies 3 Month Standardized Precipitation
Index Summary
HADGEMRF HADGEM45 HADGEM85 MPIRF MPI45 MPI85
extremely wet 0.81% 0.56% 1.40% 1.08% 0.84% 0.56%
very wet 4.05% 4.47% 3.35% 4.86% 5.31% 6.70%
moderately wet
14.05% 13.97% 15.64% 11.62% 13.69% 10.06%
near normal 61.08% 60.61% 60.61% 65.14% 62.01% 62.57%
moderately dry
14.32% 13.97% 12.01% 10.00% 10.89% 14.25%
severely dry 3.78% 5.59% 5.31% 5.14% 6.42% 4.75%
extremely dry 1.89% 0.84% 1.68% 2.16% 0.84% 1.12%
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Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies 12 Month Standardized Precipitation
Index Summary
HADGEMRF HADGEM4
5 HADGEM8
5 MPIRF MPI45 MPI85
extremely wet 2.22% 0.86% 2.01% 2.49% 4.58% 1.72%
very wet 3.88% 3.44% 2.29% 4.16% 5.16% 3.72%
moderately wet 11.91% 9.74% 15.19% 8.31% 7.16% 11.75%
near normal 67.59% 69.05% 64.76% 70.36% 68.48% 65.04%
moderately dry 6.65% 8.88% 10.03% 8.59% 9.17% 10.03%
severely dry 4.99% 3.72% 3.44% 2.22% 4.87% 4.58%
extremely dry 2.77% 4.30% 2.29% 3.88% 0.57% 3.15%
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Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies
Thank you for your attention
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