lucent technologies – proprietary use pursuant to company instruction internet: act ii a vision...

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Lucent Technologies – Proprietary Use pursuant to company instruction Internet: Act II a vision from Bell Labs dr. Philippe Hervé Bell Labs Europe [email protected]

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Lucent Technologies – ProprietaryUse pursuant to company instruction

Internet: Act IIa vision from Bell Labs

dr. Philippe HervéBell Labs [email protected]

Lucent Technologies – ProprietaryUse pursuant to company instruction

In the future ?

WiMAXUDD

I

FTTx

(V)XML

HSDPA

RFID

IPv6

Nanotech

xDSL

GRID

Lucent Technologies – ProprietaryUse pursuant to company instruction

The future

Human beings are nomadic or mobile by essence

Lucent Technologies – ProprietaryUse pursuant to company instruction

In the future

2 major trends of evolution Ad-hoc networks (temporary and locally) Network centric view User centric view

This will result in or require: Richer services Need of services frameworks Good supervision and management of the networks New and more efficient protocols Old “new technologies” might get a business case after all: e.g.

FTTH

And quite a degree of convergence in the “network”…

Lucent Technologies – ProprietaryUse pursuant to company instruction

Key areas

Key technology areas:

Access Networks: FTTH, xDSL,

Access Networks: 3G+/4G wireless interfaces

Service frameworks: data management and service intelligence

Nanotechnologies

All of this on a common IP/MPLS core network

Lucent Technologies – ProprietaryUse pursuant to company instruction

Network convergence IPv6 MPLS

Lucent Technologies – ProprietaryUse pursuant to company instruction

The NGN view of telcos

Several degrees of convergence

1. Transport layer: voice & data on the same backbone: IP/MPLS

2. Nomadicity: seamless roaming across heterogeneous networks

3. Fixed/wireless: services or applications are access agnostic

4. User convergence: only relevant information is presented – the technology is hidden

Lucent Technologies – ProprietaryUse pursuant to company instruction

Fixed Access technologies (re)ADSL, 2, 2+ VDSL, 2 FTTx

Lucent Technologies – ProprietaryUse pursuant to company instruction

Access network technologies

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

0 0.3 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

Distance (km)

Ra

te (

Mb

ps

)

VDSL-asym.

VDSL-sym.

ADSL2+

ADSL2

ADSL

SHDSL

VDSL 2Optical access

Comfortable service ?

Lucent Technologies – ProprietaryUse pursuant to company instruction

Wireless Access technologies 3G, 3G+, 4G HSDPA MIMO Wi-Fi and beyond

Lucent Technologies – ProprietaryUse pursuant to company instruction

3G Standards Technology Evolutions

IS-2000 Rev A

IS-2000 Rev D (1xEV-DV)

IS-856 Rev 0 (1xEV-DO)

1994 1998 1999

2000 2004

IS-2000 Rev C (1xEV-DV)

2003

GSM

199819971989

Rel’97(GPRS)

Rel’98(AMR)

IS-95A IS-95B IS-2000(CDMA2000 1x)

IS-856 Rev A(1xEV-DO)

R’99(EDGE)

Rel 6 (SAIC)

Rel 5 (HSDPA)

Rel 6 (HSUPA)

R’99(UMTS)

1999 2002 2004 2005+

Standards Completion Dates (or expected completion dates) shown in RED

4G

2G 3G 3.G+

Lucent Technologies – ProprietaryUse pursuant to company instruction

Average Aggregate Data Throughput in 10 MHz (3G vs. 3G+)

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

GPRS/EDGE UMTS CDMA2000

TD

DCH

DSCH

HSDPA

1xEV-DO

Note: Capacities shown represent improvements as each feature is added to the features below it.

EDGE

1xEV-DO/DV Rev A/D

1x

Note: Average Aggregate Throughputs for CDMA2000 are for six 1.25 MHz carriers (a seventh carrier could be added if the 10 MHz of spectrum is contiguous)

= 3G

= 3G+

3G+ technologies provide significant data capacity/throughput improvements over initial 3G systems

MRxD

MRxD MRxD

Lucent Technologies – ProprietaryUse pursuant to company instruction

Nanotechnologies MEMS

Lucent Technologies – ProprietaryUse pursuant to company instruction

Nanotechnologies (the next step in food chain)

MEMS Vacuum Tubes

MEMS microphones

Why nanotechnologies ?

It will impact our relationship with machines and networks:

– Wearable microphones

– Compact batteries with low-discharge

– Distributed body sensors

– m navigational units (GPS, gyros)

Nanotech in the networks

Integrated systems on chip with MEMS design technologies (e.g optical systems)

– SOI flip-chip structures

– Monolithic structures (OADM, switches)

– Lens arrays

– MEMS SLMs

Lucent Technologies – ProprietaryUse pursuant to company instruction

Service intelligence Ambient networks Ambient intelligence

Lucent Technologies – ProprietaryUse pursuant to company instruction

In 2 years

Weather indicator:– Display weather

forecast as a lamp (pulses if rain is coming)

– Connects itself to the network using wireless technologies

Source MIT

Lucent Technologies – ProprietaryUse pursuant to company instruction

In 15 years

Human interaction with home area network (HAN) to present personal information.

HAN connects to the infrastructure network to retrieve specific information according to PAN profiles

Source Philips Research

Lucent Technologies – ProprietaryUse pursuant to company instruction

Conclusion

Lucent Technologies – ProprietaryUse pursuant to company instruction

User-centric networks Ambient Intelligence