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Lower for Longer Oil Prices: Top Plays for Income and Growth Elliott H. Gue [email protected] 1-877-302-0749

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Page 1: Lower for Longer Oil Prices: Top Plays for Income and Growthaaiirtp.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/2016Apr...INDONESIA: Jan. production: 815,000 b/d, capacity: 828,000 b/d, including

Lower for Longer Oil Prices: Top Plays for Income and Growth

Elliott H. Gue

[email protected]

1-877-302-0749

Page 2: Lower for Longer Oil Prices: Top Plays for Income and Growthaaiirtp.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/2016Apr...INDONESIA: Jan. production: 815,000 b/d, capacity: 828,000 b/d, including

Supply Cycles: 70’s and 80’s

Page 3: Lower for Longer Oil Prices: Top Plays for Income and Growthaaiirtp.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/2016Apr...INDONESIA: Jan. production: 815,000 b/d, capacity: 828,000 b/d, including

Saudi Arabia and OPEC: The 80’s Experience

Page 4: Lower for Longer Oil Prices: Top Plays for Income and Growthaaiirtp.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/2016Apr...INDONESIA: Jan. production: 815,000 b/d, capacity: 828,000 b/d, including

Very Different from “Demand” Cycles like 2009

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Demand Cycles are V-Shaped

Page 6: Lower for Longer Oil Prices: Top Plays for Income and Growthaaiirtp.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/2016Apr...INDONESIA: Jan. production: 815,000 b/d, capacity: 828,000 b/d, including

Supply Cycles Shaped More like a Bathtub

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Not Necessarily Bad for Energy Stocks

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Will Take Time to Drain Excess Inventories

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Inventory Seasonality

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What Drove the Recent Rally?

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Not Adding to Longs

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Short Covering Ahead of Doha on April 17th

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Freeze Limited Impact

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Why Saudi Arabia Can’t Afford HIGHER Oil Prices

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DUC Hunt

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US Oil Production

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EOG Resources (NYSE: EOG) Buy Under $63

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Concho Resources (NYSE: CXO) < $80

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Schlumberger (NYSE: SLB) < $63

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MLP Safety Ratings

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Dominion Midstream Partners (NYSE: DM) < $25

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Shell Midstream (SHLX) < $30

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Magellan Midstream Partners (MMP) < $52

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Thank [email protected]

1-877-302-0749