louis boulanger- gold rises against fiat abuse 111114
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The Gold Symposium Keynote Presentation 14 & 15 November 2011 Luna ParkTRANSCRIPT
Gold RISES
... against Fiat Abuse!
“Facts do not cease to exist because they are ignored.”
~ Aldous Huxley
“It's never too late to buy gold and silver, to be held
until the end of the fiat money era.”
~ James Dines
Louis Boulanger, CFA
Founder and Director, LB Now Ltd
BMG Bullion Bars Authorized Dealer
Presentation at The Gold Symposium 2011
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FACTS:
1. All Currencies Are Being Debased (to ZERO?)
2. Gold Ownership Offers Protection from this
Ongoing Insane Fiat Abuse and Delusion...
• Whether it‟s Deflation or Inflation or Both
• Until the End of our Unsound Money Era
• Until the End of Irredeemable Currencies
Fiat currencies
What makes a currency a „fiat‟ currency?
when it has value only because of government
regulation or law (i.e. legal tender laws)
What‟s „legal tender‟?
an offered payment that, by law, cannot
be refused in settlement of a debt
Example of fiat currency?
Federal Reserve Note (also known as US dollar or $)
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Money
What is „money‟?
anything that is generally accepted as payment
for goods and repayment of debts
Why was money once based on gold?
because of human action and human nature
(read Carl Menger‟s “On the Origins of Money”)
Why is gold now outside the monetary system?
because we have been misled and deceived!
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“Up until August 15, 1971, there has never in
history been an era when no paper currency
was linked to Gold.
In all other eras of history, people could always
escape to other currencies, whose Gold
backing remained intact.
But, since 1971, there is NO escape because
NO paper currency has any link to Gold.”
“The global paper currency system is very
young. It depends for its continued functioning
on the BELIEF that the debt upon which it is
based will, someday, be repaid.”
- William A. M. Buckler
Publisher of The Privateer
www.the-privateer.com
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Gold‟s essential role
Society needs to relearn that:
1. Gold is Money and Nothing Else a. It‟s what turns fiat money into sound money
b. Fiat only money has no discipline or measure
2. Gold offers a reliable standard of value a. Its characteristics make it ideal for such a role
b. Currencies‟ should be defined in gold terms
Armed with this knowledge…
You can protect wealth from fiat abuse!
Here‟s the problem
Without the ability to redeem any currency on
demand in gold at defined weights, as a result,
today‟s currencies are only as good as:
the ability of the issuing state to pay its debts
AND/OR
the belief that holders of financial assets have
that the value of currencies (in which all such
assets are denominated) will be maintained
It’s all a confidence game! (with central bankers as croupiers)
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How good is the magic trick?
A good magic trick consists of three stages :
The Pledge
The Turn, and...
The Prestige
We‟ve seen the Pledge (fiat paper promises)
The Turn (turning gold into fiat paper money)
Will there be a Prestige? (turn paper into gold)
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The ongoing mind game
There is an expectation that our leaders
will know what to do when the time comes
Our leaders encourage us to have this belief
We end up expecting miracles from them…
Soon, we find ourselves no longer able to
see our own folly/insanity/false beliefs/delusion
Is our confidence/delusion going to last?
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US debt (i.e. US$) is the key!
Since 1961 the US national debt has never gone down
It took the US government 191 years – from 1791 until
1982 – to run up its first US$1 trillion in debt
The national debt stood at US$10.6 trillion on the day
Barack Obama took office as President
Obama has already added more than US$4 trillion to
that debt (it now already stands at US$14.99 trillion!)
US debt „ceiling‟ increased in August 2011 (93rd time!)
by… US$2.4 trillion (0.4/0.5/1.5) to US$16.7 trillion
Will it be enough to last until 2012 Presidential elections?
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Make that $48,000 now… and STILL growing!
THAT‟S MORE THAN IN GREECE!! ($36,000)
The tragedy in human terms…
Are you (honestly) confident…
…that the US federal government will one day
start paying back (i.e. settle) its debt?
…that the US federal government will continue
to be able to service its debt forever?
…that the US won‟t default on its external debt?
Or… is it that you expect/‟hope‟ the Fed (central
bankers) will keep inflating the problem away…
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Source: Bud Conrad, Chief Economist, Casey Research, October 2010
Consider this:
How long do you expect „it‟ to last?
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There is a lot more of it now…
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No matter how it‟s „measured‟
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It‟s the banking system stupid!
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What the hell?!!...
“There must be some
kind of way out of here,”
said the joker to the thief.
(Bob Dylan)
There is too much confusion...
This is not a coincidence
This is what the monetary elite want
They wanted you to think it was a credit crisis
They now say it‟s a European debt crisis
The above are just symptoms/manifestations of…
The Global Monetary Crisis now unfolding
was it all planned? what‟s the „end game‟??
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The true nature of the problem
What passes for „money‟ today is just debt!
‘Money’ no longer has a reliable MEASURE
You can‟t solve a problem with more of the same the problem (debt) can‟t also be the solution!
A fiat only monetary system perpetuates debt it‟s a financial bubble making machine!
TO RESTORE CONFIDENCE: Currencies should again be redeemable in gold
AND
trade deficits should again be SETTLED in gold
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Source: Hugo Salinas Price presentation at GATA‟s Gold Rush 2011 conference in London
This is where
the bubble is!
So how do you protect yourself?
SIMPLE: Don‟t invest all your assets
DEFER investing some of your money…
SELL some investments (financial assets)
EXCHANGE the proceeds for some bullion!
Take some of your money ‘OFF THE TABLE’
instead of investing 100% invest only (100-X)%
„X‟ (bullion) depends on what you BELIEVE in:
central banking?… or settlement of debts?
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FACT: all currencies are dying…
Currency debasement is not new
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-100.00%
-80.00%
-60.00%
-40.00%
-20.00%
0.00%
20.00%
1833-49*
1867 1885 1903 1921 1939 1957 1975 1993 2011
US Dollar Purchasing Power Valued Against Gold
1833-Q3 2011
Source: NMA.org, PacificExchange. ©2011 Bullion Management Group Inc.
This is just the latest chapter…
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Gold 'Price' Annual Change 2001-2011
USD AUD CAD CNY EUR INR JPY NZD CHF GBP Average
2001 2.5% 11.3% 8.8% 2.5% 8.1% 5.8% 17.4% 8.6% 5.0% 5.4% 7.5%
2002 24.7% 13.5% 23.7% 24.8% 5.9% 24.0% 13.0% -1.1% 3.9% 12.7% 14.5%
2003 19.6% -10.5% -2.2% 19.5% -0.5% 13.5% 7.9% -4.5% 7.0% 7.9% 5.8%
2004 5.2% 1.4% -2.0% 5.2% -2.1% 0.0% 0.9% -4.0% -3.0% -2.0% 0.0%
2005 18.2% 25.6% 14.5% 15.2% 35.1% 22.8% 35.7% 25.0% 36.2% 31.8% 26.0%
2006 22.8% 14.4% 22.8% 18.8% 10.2% 20.5% 24.0% 19.2% 13.9% 7.8% 17.4%
2007 31.4% 18.6% 10.4% 23.0% 17.9% 17.5% 24.7% 20.5% 21.5% 29.2% 21.5%
2008 5.8% 32.5% 32.4% -1.1% 11.9% 30.4% -14.9% 39.0% 0.2% 44.3% 18.0%
2009 24.0% -3.6% 6.0% 24.0% 20.4% 18.4% 27.1% -0.7% 20.2% 12.0% 14.8%
2010 29.7% 13.3% 22.5% 25.2% 38.5% 24.4% 13.5% 20.1% 16.6% 33.3% 23.7%
Annual 18.0% 10.9% 13.2% 15.3% 13.8% 17.4% 14.0% 11.4% 11.6% 17.4% 14.3%
Compounded
1,000 Invested
5,216 2,826 3,443 4,158 3,652 4,975 3,720 2,934 2,997 4,971 3,889 On 1 January 2000
And 2011?
21.1% 17.0% 21.3% 16.9% 16.5% 32.2% 16.5% 16.2% 13.1% 17.3% 18.8% Year to Date (31/10)
In summary:
Fiat currencies (in which financial securities
are all denominated) are rapidly losing value
There is no exception; there are only timing
differences and currency volatility is increasing
This has happened before and, if history is
any guide, then there is still a long way to go
So… if fiat money is dying, what can you do?
DIVERSIFY AWAY from fiat currencies!
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It‟s a currency war!
“All warfare is based on
deception.”
(Sun Tzu)
The Race to Debase
0%
100%
200%
300%
400%
500%
600%
Australia Dollars SwitzerlandFrancs
Japan Yen Euro Canada Dollars British Pound United StatesDollars
Base Currency is Gold OuncesIncrease from March 2001 - September 2011
Source: Goldsilver.com
Perception management
1924: John Maynard Keynes famously says:
“In truth, the gold standard is already
a barbarous relic.”
1971: US President Nixon famously says:
“I’m temporarily closing the gold window.”
2011: Ben Shalom Bernanke famously says:
“Gold is not money.”
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The deception now relies on…
Keeping interest rates artificially low
and…
Making you believe this is a good thing
and…
Making you forget about real INFLATION
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WHY?
Servicing that huge debt!
Keeping interest rates low is crucial
Monetizing the debt (QE) if necessary
Hiding the true monetary inflation
In the meantime…
your financial wealth is surreptitiously eroded
to baby boomers looking to retire, the working
middle class, this means financial repression
UNLESS YOUR MONEY IS NOT ‘ALL IN’!
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What is Inflation?
“Inflation is an increase in the amount of currency in the circulation, resulting in a relative sharp and sudden fall in its value and
a rise in prices of goods and services.”
- Webster’s Dictionary, 1983
Gold and real interest rates
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Source: US Global Investors‟ Investor Alert dated 2 September 2011
Outlook is good for gold
Negative real interest rates have historically
been good for gold owners/hoarders
Ben Bernanke says zero rates are here to stay
until at least mid 2013
The Fed, BOE, ECB, basically all central banks
are expected to continue to debase currencies
This means real interest rates will likely remain
negative for quite some time to come (WEE)
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But remember… it‟s only money!
You‟ll need to sell your bullion eventually
Bullion ownership merely stores wealth
Bullion in itself is not an investment
It‟s money waiting to be redeployed (invested)
Only when you later sell your bullion to buy
stuff or invest that money again will your
wealth increase (assuming you invest wisely)
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Louis Boulanger, CFA
Founder & Director,
Louis Boulanger Now Ltd
tel: +64 9 528 3586
mob: +64 275 665 095
www.lbnow.co.nz
Thank You.
Any questions?