long-term ecological monitoring in glacier bay
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Long-Term Ecological Monitoring in Glacier Bay. Mission Statement. Ecological data… …for the parks… …over the long-term… …delivered publicly. OK, so, why are we here? Well, it’s complex…. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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Southeast Alaska NetworkInventory and Monitoring Program
Long-Term Ecological
Monitoring in Glacier Bay
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Mission Statement
Ecological data…
…for the parks…
…over the long-term…
…delivered publicly.
Southeast Alaska NetworkInventory and Monitoring Program
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OK, so, why are we here? Well, it’s complex…
• The world is not only more complex than we understand, it’s more complex than we can understand. –J. B. S. Haldane
• NPS mandate to “preserve unimpaired…”
• Decision-making, scale, and boundaries are complexSoutheast Alaska Network
Inventory and Monitoring Program
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Given that complexity…
• A reasonable approach? Vital Signs.
– Subset of park resources and processes – biological, physical, chemical
– Most significant indicators of health and condition of park resourcesSoutheast Alaska Network
Inventory and Monitoring Program
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What do Vital Sign Monitoring Data Provide?• Context and perspective; range of
variation
• Trend detection
• Covariate and response variables; not subject to crisis of the day
• Aid in updating conceptual modelsSoutheast Alaska NetworkInventory and Monitoring Program
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What SEAN is not built to do…
• Research: Investigate causal relationships– The “how” and “why” questions
• Assess value:– Management significance– Identify thresholds for management response– Define a desired condition or state
Southeast Alaska NetworkInventory and Monitoring Program
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What SEAN is built to do…• Answer questions:
– What? Where? When? How much change? What direction? What magnitude? What range?
• And answer them with scientific rigor– Embrace uncertainty– Refining understanding over the long term
• Work with park managers to understand context for change
• Provide data on select ecosystem elements that represent covariates and response variables
• Analyze, report, deliver dataSoutheast Alaska NetworkInventory and Monitoring Program
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Southeast Alaska NetworkInventory and Monitoring Program May 6, 2009
Key Principles
• Be relevant to the Parks
• Do a few things well• Focus. Design elegantly. Work efficiently.• Overlay the optimum with reality of funding and staff
• Build a program that is longer-lived than our careers, larger than ourselves
• More than philosophy – major implications for program structure
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Southeast Alaska NetworkInventory and Monitoring Program May 6, 2009
Vital Sign Identification Process
1. Scoping Workshops– Marine, Freshwater, Terrestrial– Build conceptual models
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Terrestrial plant succession following glacial recession…
Southeast Alaska NetworkInventory and Monitoring Program
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Influences on Marine Systems…
Southeast Alaska NetworkInventory and Monitoring Program
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Primary succession in streams…
Southeast Alaska NetworkInventory and Monitoring Program
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Marine-derived nutrients…
Southeast Alaska NetworkInventory and Monitoring Program
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Intertidal zone…
Southeast Alaska NetworkInventory and Monitoring Program
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Everything should be made
as simple as possible.
But not one bit simpler.-Einstein
Southeast Alaska NetworkInventory and Monitoring Program
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SEAN Holistic Model: Drivers of Change
Southeast Alaska NetworkInventory and Monitoring Program
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Southeast Alaska NetworkInventory and Monitoring Program May 6, 2009
Marine Environments Freshwater Environments
Terrestrial Environments
Ungulates
Breeding Landbird Populations
Streamflow
Macroinvertebrates and Algae
Freshwater Water QualitySalmonids
Humpback WhalesMarine Predators
Forage FishesHarbor SealsKiller Whales
Steller Sea Lions
Kittlitz’s MurreletsPhenology
Western Toads
Wetland Communities
Intertidal Communities
Landcover and Landform
Bald EaglesBears
BiodiversityPests and DiseasesPlant Communities
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Southeast Alaska NetworkInventory and Monitoring Program May 6, 2009
Vital Signs Relation to Conceptual Models
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Southeast Alaska NetworkInventory and Monitoring Program May 6, 2009
Marine Environments Freshwater Environments
Terrestrial Environments
Ungulates
Breeding Landbird Populations
Streamflow
Macroinvertebrates and Algae
Freshwater Water QualitySalmonids
Humpback WhalesMarine Predators
Forage FishesHarbor SealsKiller Whales
Steller Sea Lions
Kittlitz’s MurreletsPhenology
Western Toads
Wetland Communities
Intertidal Communities
Landcover and Landform
Bald EaglesBears
BiodiversityPests and DiseasesPlant Communities
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SEAN Core ProgramCore Program
1. Airborne Contaminants2. Marine Predators3. Weather and Climate4. Streamflow5. Freshwater Water Quality6. Oceanography7. Marine Contaminants8. Freshwater Contaminants9. Intertidal Communities10. Landform and Landcover11. Kittlitz’s Murrelets12. Glacial Dynamics (extent)
Secondary Program1. Freshwater Macroinverts, Algae2. Invasive and Exotic Plants3. Western Toads4. Humpback Whales5. Human Use and Mode of Access6. Underwater Sound
Southeast Alaska NetworkInventory and Monitoring Program
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Key Distinctions - How is this new?
• Direct funding from Washington, not thru Parks
• Protocol development process– Procedures, design, siting for long-term stability– Field testing and peer review
• Major commitment to data management and information delivery
• Reporting and Accountability
Southeast Alaska NetworkInventory and Monitoring Program
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Data Management Philosophy
• Single Authoritative Source Concept
• Web-based delivery
Southeast Alaska NetworkInventory and Monitoring Program
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Southeast Alaska NetworkInventory and Monitoring Program May 6, 2009
Design: 1-2-3-4Operation: 4-3-2-1
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SEAN Core ProgramCore Program
1. Airborne Contaminants2. Marine Predators3. Weather and Climate4. Streamflow5. Freshwater Water Quality6. Oceanography7. Marine Contaminants8. Freshwater Contaminants9. Intertidal Communities10. Landform and Landcover11. Kittlitz’s Murrelets12. Glacial Dynamics (extent)
Secondary Program1. Freshwater Macroinverts, Algae2. Invasive and Exotic Plants3. Western Toads4. Humpback Whales5. Human Use and Mode of Access6. Underwater Sound
Southeast Alaska NetworkInventory and Monitoring Program
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Southeast Alaska NetworkInventory and Monitoring Program