long-term care - · pdf filelong-term care talking points × smart long-term care...
TRANSCRIPT
?
Long-Term Care
Talking Points
× Smart long-term care planning has the ability to make or break a retirement plan.
× The long-term landscape is changing quickly.
× Long-term care is a subject that's overwhelming to many clients, who don't know where to begin.
× The "right" answer to the vexing long-term care question is individual-specific, and depends on the
individual's level of wealth, age, desire to leave a bequest, and need for peace of mind, among other
factors.
× Step one in helping clients is making them realize how common and costly care can be, and introducing
them to their options.
× Long-term care has its own unique vocabulary. Understanding that vocabulary is step two in helping
clients make the right decisions for themselves or loved ones.
Christine Benz’s Talking Points September 2017
Contents 1 Talking Points 3 75 Must-Know Statistics About Long- Term Care 9 The Language of Long-Term Care
Long-Term Care | September 2017
Page 3 of 14
75 Must-Know Statistics About Long-Term Care Sobering data on usage, cost, insurance products, and the toll on unpaid caregivers.
In my years of speaking to groups of retirees and pre-retirees, I've learned that there are a handful of
topics that will send an event completely out of my control.
One is the long-term viability of Social Security; I don't go there, but it sometimes comes up as a
question. The other hot-button topic—and one that I do touch on in my talks because it has the
potential to make or break a retirement plan—is long-term care.
People have lots of questions about long-term care: Is the insurance worth it, given how insurers have
been jacking up premiums? If you're going to raid your own coffers to pay for long-term when and if you
need it, how much money do you need to have saved? And people have plenty of experiences to share,
too—horror stories of insurers haggling over claims and foisting premium increases on seniors living on
fixed incomes, as well as more positive tales of parents' long-term care policies that paid for themselves
many times over.
The most frustrating part of long-term care decision-making is that the long-term landscape is changing
so quickly. Given their difficult claims experiences, many insurers are throwing in the towel on this
market altogether. Soaring premiums have also contributed to the confusion about whether the products
are worth it—even if you can find one that's affordable at the outset.
Unfortunately, the "right" answer to the vexing long-term care question is pretty individual-specific, and
depends on the individual's level of wealth, age, desire to leave a bequest, and need for peace of mind,
among other factors.
To help ensure that your decision-making is based on the numbers as much as it possibly can be, I've
compiled 75 statistics related to long-term care.
Usage of Long-Term Care
6.3 million: The number of Americans who have a high long-term care need because they need help with
two or more activities of daily living or are experiencing cognitive decline.
15 million: The number of Americans expected to have a high long-term care need by 2050.
52.3%: The expected percentage of people turning 65 who will have a long-term care need during their
lifetimes.
By Christine Benz Published August 31, 2017
Long-Term Care | September 2017
Page 4 of 14
47.7%: The expected percentage of people turning 65 who will have no long-term care need during their
lifetimes.
46.7%: The expected percentage of men turning 65 who will have a long-term care need during their
lifetimes.
57.5%: The expected percentage of women turning 65 who will have a long-term care need during their
lifetimes.
22%: Percentage of individuals over 65 in the highest income quintile who will have a long-term care
need of two years or longer.
31%: Percentage of individuals over 65 in the lowest income quintile who will have a long-term care
need of two years or longer.
10%: Percentage of Americans over age 65 who have Alzheimer's dementia.
38%: Percentage of Americans over age 85 who have Alzheimer's dementia.
35%: Projected increase in number of people with Alzheimer's dementia between 2017 and 2030.
110%: Projected increase in number of new Alzheimer's cases between 2010 and 2050, barring the
development of a new treatment to prevent or cure Alzheimer's disease.
2 years: Average number of years that individuals age 65 and older will have a high long-term care need
during their lifetimes.
0.88 years: Average duration of nursing-home stay for men.
1.44 years: Average duration of nursing-home stay for women.
22%: Probability of needing more than one year in a nursing home, men.
36%: Probability of needing more than one year in a nursing home, women.
2%: Probability of needing more than five years in a nursing home, men.
7%: Probability of needing more than five years in a nursing home, women.
Long-Term Care | September 2017
Page 5 of 14
Paying for Care
$30 billion: Long-term care expenditures in U.S., 1980.
$225 billion: Long-term care expenditures in U.S., 2015.
57.5%: Percentage of individuals turning 65 between 2015 and 2019 who will spend less than $25,000
on long-term care during their lifetimes.
15.2%: Percentage of individuals turning 65 between 2015 and 2019 who will spend more than $250,000
on long-term care during their lifetimes.
$217,820: Estimated end-of-life care costs in patient's final five years for individuals without dementia.
$341,651: Estimated end-of-life care costs in patient's final five years for individuals with dementia.
$17,680: Median annual cost for adult day care (five days/week), 2016.
$43,539: Median annual cost for assisted-living facility, 2016.
$82,125: Median annual nursing-home cost, semiprivate room, 2016.
$92,378: Median annual nursing-home cost, private room, 2016.
$164,250: Average annual nursing-home cost, private room, Manhattan, 2016.
$63,875: Average annual nursing-home cost, private room, Monroe, Louisiana, 2016.
$22,887: Median annual income from all sources for individuals who are 65 or older.
$38,515: Median annual income for households headed by people 65 or older.
3.5%: Five-year annual inflation rate in nursing-home costs, private room, 2016.
21.9%: Percentage of long-term care costs that are paid out of pocket, 2013.
13.2%: Percentage of people who receive professional home healthcare who have long-term care
insurance coverage, 2010.
$5,518: Median total household wealth for people who have lived in a nursing home for six months
or more.
$0: Median household wealth for people who have lived in a nursing home for six years or more.
Long-Term Care | September 2017
Page 6 of 14
Caregiving
37 billion hours: The annual amount of long-term care provided by unpaid caregivers, 2013.
$470 billion: The dollar value of long-term care provided by unpaid caregivers, 2013.
$3 trillion: Estimated lost lifetime wages due to unpaid caregiving responsibilities.
83%: Percentage of help provided to older adults that is delivered by friends or family members.
46%: Percentage of all caregivers who provide help to someone with Alzheimer's or dementia.
$230.1 billion: Value of assistance provided by unpaid caregivers to people with Alzheimer's or dementia,
2016.
65%: The percentage of older adults with long-term care needs who rely exclusively on friends and
family members to provide that assistance.
More than 75%: Percentage of caregivers who are women.
63: Average age of caregivers for people who are 65 and older.
70%: The percentage of caregivers who suffered work-related difficulties due to their caregiving duties.
$15,000: The average amount of income that caregivers will lose due to time demands of providing care
to those with Alzheimer's or other dementias.
State and Federal Funding
62.3%: Percentage of long-term care services and supports that are provided through Medicaid.
20%: Percentage of Medicaid funding that went to pay long-term care costs in 2016.
$120,900: Maximum amount of assets that a healthy spouse can retain for the other spouse to be
eligible for long-term care benefits provided by Medicaid, 2017. (Actual amounts vary by state.)
100: Days of care in a skilled nursing facility ("rehab") covered in full or in part by Medicare following a
qualifying hospital stay.
Long-Term Care | September 2017
Page 7 of 14
Long-Term Care Insurance
125: Number of insurers offering standalone long-term care policies, 2000.
Less than 15: Number of insurers offering standalone long-term care policies, 2014.
380,000: Number of individual long-term care insurance policies sold, 1990.
129,000: Number of individual long-term care insurance policies sold, 2014.
72,736: Number of hybrid life/long-term care policies sold to individuals, 2009.
305,068: Number of hybrid life/long-term care policies sold to individuals, 2013.
4.50 million: Number of individuals with long-term care insurance coverage, 2000.
7.25 million: Number of individuals with long-term care insurance coverage, 2014.
$1.98 trillion: Maximum potential benefit of all long-term care policies in force today.
$1.87 billion: Annual claims on long-term care insurance policies, 2000.
$8.73 billion: Annual claims on long-term care insurance policies, 2014.
99%: Percentage of new long-term care policies that cover nursing home and in-home care, 2014.
37%: Percentage of new long-term care policies that cover nursing home and in-home care, 2000.
$2,772: Average annual premium, long-term care policies being sold, 2014.
$1,677: Average annual premium, long-term care policies being sold, 2000.
0.5%: Percentage of all businesses offering long-term care insurance to their employees.
20%: Percentage of businesses with 10 or more employees offering long-term care insurance to their
employees.
$52,000: Amount that a person buying the average long-term care policy at age 60 would have paid in
premiums by age 82.
$547,000: Amount of total benefits available at age 82 for a person who purchased a typical policy at
age 60.
Long-Term Care | September 2017
Page 8 of 14
19.6%: Increase in short-term care insurance sales in 2015 relative to 2014. (Short-term care insurance
policies cover periods of one year or less.)
17%: Percentage of applicants ages 50-59 denied long-term care coverage due to health issues.
45%: Percentage of applicants ages 70-79 denied long-term care insurance due to health issues. K
Long-Term Care | September 2017
Page 9 of 14
The Language of Long-Term Care Navigating the care maze can be overwhelming; understanding the lingo can help.
As I reflect on my parents' final years, a period that included multiple hospital stays, trips to rehab, and
the hiring of in-home caregivers, I realize that my siblings and I were often a step behind with our
responses.
We initially hired in-home caregivers to help for 10 to 20 hours a week when, in hindsight, we should
have had them there every day. We made the difficult decision to move my dad to a long-term care
facility with memory care only after he had taken a few serious falls at home that caused him a lot of
physical discomfort. And so on.
There were a lot of reasons for our slow response times. There was no doubt a healthy amount of
denial—both on my parents' part as well as from me and my siblings—about their decline. My parents
had always expressed a strong preference to remain independent and in their home for as long as
possible. Another factor was that each ramp-up in care came with its own sometimes steep learning
curve. On the fly, we figured out which rebab facilities in our community were the best (and which to
avoid), and the pros and cons of hiring caregivers on our own versus using an agency. Each of those
learning experiences took a little bit of time and brought some angst, too.
Further complicating matters is that long-term and end-of-life care have languages of their own: To
figure out what you're doing, you need understand the difference between rehab and a nursing home,
and how palliative care is different from hospice.
Any long-term care journey, whether it's your own or that of someone you love, is arduous in its own
way. To aid a tiny bit in the process, I've compiled a list of some of the key terminology related to long-
term care.
Types of Care
"Rehab": A generic name for rehabilitation therapy to help patients recover from a serious illness, injury,
or surgery. Medicare covers, in full, the first 20 days of rehab care in a qualified facility following a
qualifying hospital stay (defined as three days in a row in the hospital as an inpatient). For days 21-100
(again, following release from a qualifying hospital stay), you must pay a copayment (often covered by a
supplemental health-insurance policy) while Medicare covers the remainder of the cost. For days 101
and beyond, Medicare does not cover the costs of rehab care. Patients receive rehab therapy in two
main settings: acute inpatient rehabilitation facilities or skilled nursing facilities.
By Christine Benz Published August 20, 2017
Long-Term Care | September 2017
Page 10 of 14
Acute Inpatient Rehabilitation Facilities: These facilities deliver the most intensive type of rehab, and
are usually only recommended for patients who need some type of specialized care that cannot be
adequately provided in a skilled nursing facility. Because care in an IRF is more costly than in a skilled
nursing facility, the requirements for admittance are more stringent.
Activities of Daily Living: Basic activities that are used to measure a disabled or elderly individual's level
of functioning. The key ADLs are bathing, dressing, eating, ambulating/transferring (moving from place
to place, or from standing position to chair), grooming, and toileting. Activities of daily living are metrics
used within the healthcare system, but families can also think about them when calibrating how much
care their loved ones need.
Instrumental Activities of Daily Living: More complex self-care tasks, including shopping and meal prep,
navigating transportation systems, and personal financial management. Slips in IADLs are usually the
first signals that an elderly parent or loved one needs more help.
Skilled Nursing Facility (sometimes called a SNF or "Sniff"): A type of facility that provides skilled
nursing care, usually medical care and/or rehabilitation services. Such rehab care is covered, in whole or
in part, by Medicare for up to 100 days. Some skilled nursing facilities do double-duty, providing short-
term rehab for patients who have had a qualifying hospital stay while also serving as long-term
residential facilities.
Nursing Home: A facility that helps individuals with the activities of daily living, including eating,
bathing, and getting dressed. Nursing homes are also likely to coordinate and/or provide medical care
for individuals who need it, but their central focus is to help residents with their daily lives. In contrast to
care provided in a skilled nursing facility to people who have had a qualifying hospital stay, nursing-
home care (sometimes called "custodial care") is not covered by Medicare. Instead, costs are covered
out of pocket, by long-term care insurance (for those who have such policies), or Medicaid for individuals
with limited assets.
Assisted Living Facility: A type of facility geared toward people who need assistance with ADLs and
IADLs but who do not need the type of extensive care provided in a nursing home. Most assisted living
facilities, like nursing homes, help patients coordinate medical care, but providing medical care to sick
individuals is not the central focus. Many ALFs now have locked "memory care" units geared toward
people with Alzheimer's disease or dementia. As with nursing homes, stays in ALFs are not covered by
Medicare; instead, such care is covered out of pocket, by long-term care insurance (for those who have
it), or Medicaid.
Independent Living Facility: A type of facility geared toward individuals who can live independently and
do not need assistance with activities of daily living, but want access to assistance to certain services
such as meals and transportation. As with assisted living facilities, stays in independent living facilities
are not covered by Medicare.
Long-Term Care | September 2017
Page 11 of 14
Continuous Care Retirement Community: A type of community geared toward providing a gradation of
care to older adults—from independent living to assisted living to nursing-home care. The goal of the
CCRC is to help older individuals reside in the same community for the remainder of their lives. Such
communities tend to be the most costly of all elder-care options, often requiring an upfront sum as well
as monthly charges that will vary depending on the level of care the individual is receiving. As with
nursing homes and assisted living facilities, most of the care provided within CCRCs is not covered by
Medicare, unless it's medical care or skilled nursing care that is normally covered by Medicare (see
"Skilled Nursing Facility," above).
Custodial Care: Nonmedical care provided to assist older adults with the activities of daily living. As a
rule, custodial care alone is not covered by Medicare; instead, such costs must be covered out of pocket
with long-term care insurance, or by Medicaid for eligible individuals.
Adult Day Services: Services, including social activities and assistance with activities of daily living,
provided during the day to individuals who otherwise reside at home. Approximately half of the
individuals who take part in adult day services have some form of dementia, according to the National
Adult Day Services Association; thus, adult day services frequently focus on cognitive stimulation and
memory training. Medicare may cover adult day services in certain limited instances, but generally does
not.
Palliative Care: Care geared toward providing pain relief and emotional support to individuals with
serious illnesses. In contrast to hospice care, which is for terminally ill patients, palliative care can be
provided to individuals undergoing curative treatment. Medicare Part B may cover some of the
prescriptions and treatments offered under the umbrella of palliative care.
Hospice Care: Care provided to individuals at the end of their lives; the focus is on keeping the patient
comfortable rather than extending life. Such care may be provided at home, in the hospital, or in a
skilled nursing facility. Hospice care is covered by Medicare if your doctor and the hospice director
certify that you're terminally ill and have less than six months to live. To be covered by Medicare,
hospice care cannot be delivered in conjunction with any curative treatment.
Insurance
Long-Term Care Insurance: Covers long-term care, including custodial/personal care not covered by
Medicare. Depending on the policy, the type of care covered may be delivered in a facility, at home, or
through adult day-care services. Owing to insurers' negative claims experiences (people who have
purchased the policies tend to use them and don't let them lapse), many insured individuals have
confronted huge premium spikes in recent years; other insurers have gotten out of the long-term care
business altogether.
Hybrid Life Long-Term Care Insurance: A life insurance product that includes a long-term care rider. If
the individual required long-term care during his or her lifetime, the cash value of the life insurance
Long-Term Care | September 2017
Page 12 of 14
policy would be reduced accordingly. In addition to the attraction of providing a death benefit, the
policies also may be subject to less-stringent health screening than pure long-term care policies. Yet the
policies can also be complex, make it difficult to comparison-shop; purchasers can also face
opportunity costs.
Hybrid Annuity Long-Term Care Insurance: An annuity that includes a rider to provide a higher level of
monthly income if long-term care is needed. When long-term care coverage is needed, the value of the
benefit is subtracted from the value of the annuity. This article takes a closer look at both hybrid annuity
and life insurance/long-term care hybrids.
Short-Term Care Insurance: Structured much like long-term care insurance but covering care for one
year or less.
Elimination Period: Similar to a deductible for other types of insurance, this is the amount of time during
which one must pay long-term care costs out of pocket before insurance kicks in. The longer the
elimination period, the lower the premiums will be.
Benefit Triggers: Triggers used by insurers to determine whether a long-term care policy will begin
paying benefits. These triggers typically depend on the individual's ability to complete a certain number
of activities of daily living.
Medicaid Eligibility
Institutionalized Spouse: A spouse who has moved into a nursing home or other long-term care setting.
Community Spouse: A healthy spouse who remains in the community even after the other spouse has
moved into a nursing home and requires Medicaid benefits.
Exempt (or Noncountable) Assets: Assets that can be owned by the institutionalized person without
affecting Medicaid eligibility. Specific parameters depend on the state where you live, but exempt assets
typically include $2,000 in cash, a vehicle, personal belongings, and household goods. In most states, a
primary residence is also considered an exempt asset, even if an individual ends up moving into a
nursing home, so long as a spouse or child lives there. The individual's equity in the home cannot exceed
certain limits; for 2017, it's $560,000 in most states. Moreover, the state can attempt to recover any
money paid out through Medicaid when the owner dies and the home is sold.
Countable Assets: Assets that are counted when determining Medicaid eligibility. The specific
parameters depend on the state in which you reside, but countable assets usually include checking and
savings accounts, retirement-plan assets, and additional vehicles (in addition to the one vehicle that is
considered exempt).
Long-Term Care | September 2017
Page 13 of 14
Community Spouse Resource Allowance: The amount of assets that the community (in other words,
healthy) spouse can retain, even as the institutionalized spouse qualifies for Medicaid. Those assets
typically include a house, a car, and financial assets equal to one half of the couple's assets, subject to
minimum and maximum thresholds. (The maximum allowable figure is $120,900 in 2017.)
Lookback Period: The five-year period prior to an individual's application for Medicaid benefits. If assets
were transferred to children or any other individuals during this five-year period, it will trigger a period of
ineligibility for Medicaid benefits. The length of the penalty period is calculated by dividing the amount
of the transfer by the average monthly nursing-home costs in the region or state where the individual
resides. The goal of this provision is to keep otherwise-wealthy individuals from transferring assets to
qualify for long-term care coverage under Medicaid. K
Long-Term Care | September 2017
Page 14 of 14
About Morningstar
Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe,
Australia, and Asia. The company offers an extensive line of products and services for individual
investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors.
www.morningstar.com
?
22 West Washington Street
Chicago, IL 60602 USA
©2017 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Christine Benz's Talking Points is produced and offered by Morningstar, Inc., which is not
registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission as a Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organization
(“NRSRO”). Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original
distributor is based. The information, data, analyses and opinions presented herein do not constitute investment advice; are
provided solely for informational purposes and therefore are not an offer to buy or sell a security; and are not warranted to be
correct, complete or accurate. The opinions expressed are as of the date written and are subject to change without notice. Except
as otherwise required by law, Morningstar shall not be responsible for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting
from, or related to, the information, data, analyses or opinions or their use. The information contained herein is the proprietary
property of Morningstar and may not be reproduced, in whole or in part, or used in any manner, without the prior written consent
of Morningstar. To order reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869.