long range visioning workshop november 13,14,15 th 2007 tim watkins envision u
TRANSCRIPT
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Long Range Visioning Long Range Visioning WorkshopWorkshop
November 13,14,15November 13,14,15thth 2007 2007
Tim WatkinsTim Watkins
Envision UEnvision U
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1.1. What is Envision MissoulaWhat is Envision Missoula
2.2. What happens tonightWhat happens tonight
3.3. A few things to considerA few things to consider
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Tomorrow’s roads, transit Tomorrow’s roads, transit lines, and trails are born here!lines, and trails are born here!
Hundreds of millions of dollars will be Hundreds of millions of dollars will be spent in the next few decades to keep spent in the next few decades to keep Missoula mobileMissoula mobile
These investments will follow a These investments will follow a transportation plan that has its kickoff transportation plan that has its kickoff tonight!tonight!
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R e g i o n’ sF u t u r e
L a n d
P l a n s Transportatio
n
Typical Transportation Typical Transportation Decisions…Decisions…
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““If you don’t know If you don’t know where you’re going, where you’re going,
you’ll probably end up you’ll probably end up somewhere else.”somewhere else.”
Alice in WonderlandAlice in Wonderland
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? ?
?
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Contrast Contrast today’s today’s potential potential choices by choices by projecting projecting long-term long-term consequenceconsequencess
200,000 200,000
Transportation and Land use VisionTransportation and Land use Vision
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DevelopmentIdeas
Transportation Ideas
Air Quality
Area Developed
Transit Use
Traffic
CO2
Miles of Driving
Open Space
Housing Variety
Scenarios contrast choices and Scenarios contrast choices and consequencesconsequences
What-If?What-If?ScenarioScenario
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About About HowHow we Grow, we Grow, not not How MuchHow Much we Grow we Grow
Envision Missoula looks at the Envision Missoula looks at the range of decisions we could range of decisions we could make todaymake today
Projects impacts to 200,000 Projects impacts to 200,000 population simply to help us population simply to help us see the potential very long-see the potential very long-term consequencesterm consequences
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Did you know…Did you know…
Bend, Oregon metro area doubled from 75,000 to 150,000 between 1990 and 2006.
Boise, Idaho metro area doubled from 295,000 to nearly 600,000 between 1990 and 2007.
St. George, Utah metro area nearly tripled from 48,000 to almost 135,000 between 1990 and 2007.
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Envision Missoula OverviewEnvision Missoula Overview
Workshops: November 13 to 15Workshops: November 13 to 15 Become…Become…
Alternative Scenarios: released Alternative Scenarios: released in Januaryin January
Envision Missoula Summit: Envision Missoula Summit: FebruaryFebruary Reaction to scenarios’ ideas Reaction to scenarios’ ideas
Vision Scenario and Vision Scenario and Transportation Planning Transportation Planning Principles: MarchPrinciples: March
Transportation Plan that Transportation Plan that responds to the visionresponds to the vision
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Scenarios OverviewScenarios Overview
What they have in commonWhat they have in common Same population and Same population and
employment totalsemployment totals
How they differHow they differ Transportation IdeasTransportation Ideas Development patternsDevelopment patterns
We can attribute the We can attribute the projected consequences to the projected consequences to the different strategiesdifferent strategies
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Scenarios compared against a Scenarios compared against a Baseline ScenarioBaseline Scenario
Control in the experimentControl in the experiment
Extrapolates past trendsExtrapolates past trends
Assumes existing plansAssumes existing plans
Value-neutral – no claim as to Value-neutral – no claim as to whether it is ‘good’ or ‘bad’whether it is ‘good’ or ‘bad’
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What might ‘Business as Usual What might ‘Business as Usual 200,000’ look like?200,000’ look like?
Driving distances increase about 30% per home
Time stuck in traffic per home increases by 14 times
Over 100 new square miles of development
1 to 11/2 acres per new home
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Tonight we start developing Tonight we start developing alternative Scenarios…alternative Scenarios…
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Tonight’s WorkshopTonight’s Workshop
Brainstorm your favorite ideas for the Brainstorm your favorite ideas for the future of the 5 valleys…future of the 5 valleys…
With 7 other strangers….With 7 other strangers….
Where is development not preferred?Where is development not preferred? Vision desired new places Vision desired new places
What would development for the next What would development for the next 100,000 look like?100,000 look like?
What transportation ideas will help What transportation ideas will help people get around?people get around?
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MaterialsMaterials BasemapBasemap MarkersMarkers Transportation TapeTransportation Tape
ChipsChips
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Open SpaceOpen Space
• Where would Where would you prefer to you prefer to not have not have growth?growth?
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0 1 20.5Inches
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IF Missoula were to double, IF Missoula were to double, how would you want it to how would you want it to
happen?happen?
100K more people100K more people 50K more homes50K more homes 60K more jobs60K more jobs
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Trade Your ChipsTrade Your Chips
500 HH500 HH
500 HH
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Rural Rural EstateEstate
DU per Acre: 1/5Employment per Acre: N/A
Rural Rural ClusterCluster
DU per Acre: 1/5Employment per Acre: N/A
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SuburbaSuburban Lown Low
DU per Acre: 2Employment per Acre: N/A
SuburbaSuburban Highn High
DU per Acre: 14Employment per Acre: N/A
SuburbaSuburban n
MediumMedium
DU per Acre: 4Employment per Acre: N/A
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Village Village ResidentiResidenti
alal
DU per Acre: 8Employment per Acre: N/A
NeighborhooNeighborhood Centerd Center
DU per Acre: 14Employment per Acre: 10
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Suburban Suburban CommerciCommerci
alal
DU per Acre: N/AEmployment per Acre: 20
Office Office ParkPark
DU per Acre: N/AEmployment per Acre: 40
Big Box Big Box CenterCenter
DU per Acre: N/A Employment per Acre: 30
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Town Town CenterCenter
DU per Acre: 24Employment per Acre: 20
Urban Urban CoreCore
DU per Acre: 60Employment per Acre: 120
City City CenterCenter
DU per Acre: 36 Employment per Acre: 80
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Transportation Tape typesTransportation Tape types
Walking/ BicyclingWalking/ Bicycling Bike dedicated lanes or routesBike dedicated lanes or routes Trails (walk and bike)Trails (walk and bike)
AutoAuto CollectorsCollectors ArterialsArterials HighwaysHighways
TransitTransit Frequent bus serviceFrequent bus service High capacity transit (e.g., BRT or streetcar)High capacity transit (e.g., BRT or streetcar)
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Consider street characteristics Consider street characteristics and place types together… do and place types together… do
they fit?they fit?
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Bike Bike FacilitiesFacilities
Cost per Mile: $ x.xx
Trails & Trails & Pedestrian Pedestrian
PathsPaths
Cost per Mile: $ x.xx
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Cost per Mile: $ x.xx
HighwayHighwayArterial Arterial RoadRoad
Cost per Mile: $ x.xx
Collector Collector RoadRoad
Cost per Mile: $ x.xx
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Cost per Mile: $ x.xx
High High Capacity Capacity TransitTransit(brt or (brt or rail)rail)
Frequent Frequent Bus Bus
ServiceService
Cost per Mile: $ x.xx
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Tonight’s WorkshopTonight’s Workshop
1.1. Cross hatch areas where growth is Cross hatch areas where growth is not preferred (open space, ag, or not preferred (open space, ag, or just ‘the last place to grow’)just ‘the last place to grow’)
2.2. Place chips to create desired Place chips to create desired communities for the next 100,000 communities for the next 100,000 peoplepeople
3.3. Contemplate key transportation Contemplate key transportation facilities to handle the growth facilities to handle the growth challengechallenge
4.4. Groups select a spokesperson and Groups select a spokesperson and present key ideas to all participantspresent key ideas to all participants
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Each table presents its Each table presents its ideasideas
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GuidelinesGuidelines
Not creating a plan Not creating a plan tonighttonight
Vision, avoid Vision, avoid predictingpredicting
Everyone’s opinions Everyone’s opinions count – seek rough count – seek rough consensusconsensus
Facilitators are Facilitators are there to help, but there to help, but you are in controlyou are in control
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A Few Things to Consider…A Few Things to Consider…
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Development tends to follow Development tends to follow new transportationnew transportation
Employers and Homeowners Employers and Homeowners simply want to minimize the simply want to minimize the time it takes to get aroundtime it takes to get around
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Places can grow on vacant Places can grow on vacant land…land…
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New places can also grow on New places can also grow on underutilized landunderutilized land
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People that can walk to transit are
5 times more likely to ride
Employment and housing near Employment and housing near transit stations tends to transit stations tends to
increase ridershipincrease ridership
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The closer we put homes to The closer we put homes to destinations, the shorter trips destinations, the shorter trips
will tend to bewill tend to be
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Connect the Streets?Connect the Streets?
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Same Total Lanes
More Capacity
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Case Study: Merced, CACase Study: Merced, CA
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Merced Alternative’s Merced Alternative’s advantages:advantages:
Fewer Vehicle Trips: Fewer Vehicle Trips: 20% lower20% lower
Shorter Driving Distances: Shorter Driving Distances: 30% lower30% lower
Fewer busy streets : Fewer busy streets : 30% fewer streets above 30,000 30% fewer streets above 30,000
average daily tripsaverage daily trips
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Digital comparison of Digital comparison of resultsresults
What transportation What transportation ideas did people ideas did people explore and where?explore and where?
What types of new What types of new places were the places were the most popular?most popular?
What unusual and What unusual and interesting ideas interesting ideas emerged?emerged?
After The Workshops After The Workshops ….….
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February SummitFebruary Summit
How did hundreds of How did hundreds of people’s ideas become people’s ideas become transportation and transportation and development scenarios?development scenarios?
How did the scenarios How did the scenarios perform? What would they perform? What would they mean for our quality of life?mean for our quality of life?
Use interactive keypad Use interactive keypad polling to anonymously polling to anonymously vote on which ideas in the vote on which ideas in the scenarios you likescenarios you like
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Envision Missoula OverviewEnvision Missoula Overview
Workshops: November 13 to 15Workshops: November 13 to 15 Become…Become…
Alternative Scenarios: released Alternative Scenarios: released in Januaryin January
Envision Missoula Summit: Envision Missoula Summit: FebruaryFebruary Reaction to scenarios’ ideas Reaction to scenarios’ ideas
Vision Scenario and Vision Scenario and Transportation Planning Transportation Planning Principles: MarchPrinciples: March
Transportation Plan that Transportation Plan that responds to the visionresponds to the vision
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Tonight’s WorkshopTonight’s Workshop
1.1. Cross hatch areas where growth is Cross hatch areas where growth is not preferred (open space, ag, or not preferred (open space, ag, or just ‘the last place to grow’)just ‘the last place to grow’)
2.2. Place chips to create desired Place chips to create desired communities for the next 100,000 communities for the next 100,000 peoplepeople
3.3. Contemplate key transportation Contemplate key transportation facilities to handle the growth facilities to handle the growth challengechallenge
4.4. Groups select a spokesperson and Groups select a spokesperson and present key ideas to all participantspresent key ideas to all participants
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Long Range Visioning Long Range Visioning WorkshopWorkshop
November 13,14,15November 13,14,15thth 2007 2007
Tim WatkinsTim Watkins
Envision UEnvision U