local value chain development in global supply network: technical learning and rent management
DESCRIPTION
Money and Economic Theory session at 12th International ConferenceTRANSCRIPT
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Local Value Chain Development in Global
Supply Network:
Technical Learning and Rent Management
Christine Ngo, Ph.D.
Department of Economics
University of Denver
12th International Post Keynesian Conference
“Where Do We Go From Here”
Kansas City, September 25-27, 2014
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Outline
1. Introduction
2. Case Studies: the Motorcycle Industry in
Vietnam
1. Developmental Rent Management Analysis (DRMS)
2. Local Value Chain Development
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Research Interest
How do developing countries upgrade their
technological capability and what is the role
of the state in this process?
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Problems of Development
1. Growth and development requires
technological upgrading and industrial
capability-building
2. Embedded within each developing economy is
a rent-seeking society, which operates both
formally and informally
• Identifying the constraints or bottlenecks
• What if politics matters
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Technology matters because…
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The
Vietnamese
Experience
…
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This is exciting and important!
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MOTORCYCLE INDUSTRY
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Vietnam 1975
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Ho Chi Minh City 1980
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Ho Chi Minh City
2009
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Ho Chi Minh City 2009
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2013
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Transformation of the Motorcycle
Industry
FDI Oligopolistic
Market (1995-2000)
The China Shock 2000-
2004
FDI Driven Market
(post 2014)
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Major Foreign Motorcycle Firms in Vietnam, 1992–2013
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Political Economy of Development
What Tools?
1. Rent
2. Rent Seeking
1. Rent Management
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Developmental Rent Management Analysis
(DRMA)
Four-step Approach
1. Identify the rent
1. Schumpeterian Rent
2. Learning Rent
3. Monopoly Rent
4. Redistributive Rent
5. Rent with Unintended Effects
2. Identify the incentive induced by the rent
3. *Analyze the configuration of rent management
4. Observe the transformation and outcomes
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Configuration of Rent Management
• Configuration of politics and institutions that describes the macro-political order of the rent
Political Context of Rent Creation and Management
• Policy and policy-making structures that generate and implement particular rents
Institutional Structure of Rent
Allocation
• Structure and boundaries of and between firms and the market
Industry
Structure
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Local Value Chain
1. Local assembling
2. Suppliers to local or foreign assemblers
3. Second-tier suppliers become first-tier suppliers
4. First-tier suppliers become lead firms
5. Domestic-branded motorcycle
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1. Locating learning rents
2. Incentive induced by the rent
3. Configuration of Rent management
4. Outcomes
Case Study 1 (1995-2000)Failure of Learning Rents
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1. Outcome
Case Study 1 (1995-2000)
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Yamaha
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Honda
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Assembling
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Case Study 2: The “China Shock”Accidental but Growth-Enhancing Rents
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Major Foreign Motorcycle Firms in
Vietnam
67.2
63.1
19.4
11.9
19.4
33.3
35.7 36.9
13.5
23.8
75.2
80.5
65.1
37.8
29.635.7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Per
cen
t
Honda
Yamaha
Suzuki
VMEP (SYM)
Chinese and
local
assemblers
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Wave Alpha in 2001
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Wave Model 2014
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OUTCOME: Technological Transformation of the
Value ChainsFrom Local Suppliers to Parts Suppliers
Fujita (2007); reproduced with the author’s permission
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Honda in Vietnam
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Observations
1. Role of FDI and GVC in development
2. Types of technology matters
3. Industrial policy with inadequate institution
extraction, and lost opportunity
2. Positive rent management mechanism emerged from
the China Shock
3. DRMS: focusing firms capability and institutions that
support them
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“Where Do We Go From Here?”
State vs. Market Debate
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Rent Management Factors from the
Vietnamese Experience
1. Initial capability
2. Market competition
3. Informal pressures
4. Time horizon
5. Loss of rents and future benefits
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Thank You!