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Channel 23 Local Issues Poll: Survey of Miami-Dade County Voters – May 2016

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Miami-Dade County local issues poll by Bendixen & Amandi International, Inc.

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Page 1: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

Channel 23 Local Issues Poll: Survey of Miami-Dade County Voters – May 2016

Page 2: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

SAMPLE MIAMI-DADE COUNTY REGISTERED VOTERS NUMBER OF INTERVIEWS 600 COMPLETED INTERVIEWS LANGUAGES ENGLISH, SPANISH DATES MAY 1-4, 2016 MARGIN OF ERROR +/- 3.99 PERCENTAGE POINTS

METHODOLOGY:

Page 3: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

IMAGE AND JOB RATINGS

Page 4: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 4

Kathy Fernandez Rundle

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

No answer

Do not recognize

Somewhat/Very unfavorable opinion

Very/Somewhat favorable opinion

7%

30%

8%

26%

9%

20%

17%

46%

Page 5: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 5

How would you rate the job that Kathy Fernandez Rundle is doing as Miami-Dade County State Attorney?

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Don't know/No answer

Mediocre/Poor

Excellent/Good

22%

15%

13%

9%

41%

24%

54%

Page 6: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 6

How would you rate the job that Kathy Fernandez Rundle is doing as Miami-Dade County State Attorney?

Republican Democrat Independent Favorable 49% 55% 57% Unfavorable 24% 22% 26% Don’t know/No answer 27% 23% 17%

BY PARTY

Page 7: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 7

Alberto Carvalho

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

No answer

Do not recognize

Somewhat/Very unfavorable opinion

Very/Somewhat favorable opinion

5%

26%

5%

37%

9%

18%

14%

55%

Page 8: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 8

Alberto Carvalho

Republican Democrat Independent Favorable 63% 52% 52% Unfavorable 10% 17% 14% Do not recognize 22% 26% 31% Don’t know/No answer 5% 5% 3%

BY PARTY

Page 9: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 9

How would you rate the job that Alberto Carvalho is doing as Superintendent of Miami-Dade County Public Schools?

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

No answer

Mediocre/Poor

Excellent/Good

8%

13%

38%

6%

35%

19%

73%

Page 10: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 10

How would you rate the job that Alberto Carvalho is doing as Superintendent of Miami-Dade County Public Schools?

Republican Democrat Independent Favorable 81% 70% 67% Unfavorable 13% 22% 24% Don’t know/No answer 6% 8% 9%

BY PARTY

Page 11: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 11

How would you rate the job that Alberto Carvalho is doing as Superintendent of Miami-Dade County Public Schools?

Hispanic Anglo African-American Favorable 76% 68% 67% Unfavorable 16% 21% 28% Don’t know/No answer 8% 11% 5%

BY ETHNICITY

Page 12: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

COUNTY ISSUES

Page 13: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 13

What do you think is the MOST important issue facing Miami-Dade County today?

0%2%4%6%8%

10%12%14%16%18%20%

19% 19%

14% 12% 12%

7% 5%

3% 2% 4% 3%

Page 14: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 14

What do you think is the MOST important issue facing Miami-Dade County today?

Hispanic Anglo African-American

Jobs & the economy 20% 18% 18%

Youth gun violence 18% 5% 34% Traffic congestion 14% 20% 7%

Cost of living 14% 11% 6%

Government corruption 14% 14% 4%

Quality of public schools 7% 5% 10%

Climate change/sea-level rise 5% 8% 3%

Income inequality 2% 6% 4%

Public safety 2% 2% 4%

Something else/Don’t know/No answer 4% 11% 10%

BY ETHNICITY

Page 15: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

It has been reported that soccer star David Beckham’s proposed professional soccer team, Miami Beckham United, is in talks with the Miami-Dade County to purchase county-owned land at market value for a 25,000 seat stadium in Overtown. The stadium construction costs would be funded privately without public dollars, but would not include a parking garage. Critics of the proposed soccer stadium are concerned about the lack of parking, while stadium proponents say that public transportation would provide sufficient access to the stadium.

Page 16: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 16

Do you support or oppose a privately funded Soccer stadium on county-owned land in Overtown?

57% 35% 8%

Support

Oppose

Undecided

Page 17: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

The Frost Museum of Science under development at Museum Park, was originally proposed as a $275 million public-private partnership with $165 million coming from Miami-Dade County and $110 million to be raised from the private sector. The project has experienced a funding shortfall due to a failure to meet the private fundraising goal. Miami-Dade County, which has already invested $165 Million in the project as promised, recently approved an additional $49 million county bailout to finish the project by the end of 2016.

Page 18: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 18

Do you support or oppose the decision by Miami-Dade County to provide an additional $49 million bailout in order to complete construction of the Frost Science Museum?

42% 51% 7%

Support

Oppose

Undecided

Page 19: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 19

Do you support or oppose the decision by Miami-Dade County to provide an additional $49 million bailout in order to complete construction of the Frost Science Museum?

29% 62%

9%

Support

Oppose

Undecided

CUBANS

Page 20: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 20

Do you support or oppose the decision by Miami-Dade County to provide an additional $49 million bailout in order to complete construction of the Frost Science Museum?

Republican Democrat Independent Support 38% 49% 36% Oppose 54% 43% 58% Don’t know/No answer 8% 8% 6%

BY PARTY

Page 21: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 21

Do you support or oppose the decision by Miami-Dade County to provide an additional $49 million bailout in order to complete construction of the Frost Science Museum?

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Support 41% 53% 44% 30% Oppose 48% 47% 49% 59% Don’t know/No answer 11% - 7% 11%

BY AGE

Page 22: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 22

Do you support or oppose the decision by Miami-Dade County to provide an additional $49 million bailout in order to complete construction of the Frost Science Museum?

Hispanic Anglo African-American Support 39% 44% 48% Oppose 56% 47% 41% Don’t know/No answer 5% 9% 11%

BY ETHNICITY

Page 23: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

A recent spike in youth gun violence in Miami-Dade County this past year, including the recent shooting death of 6-year old King Carter has caused a public outcry in the county.

Page 24: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 24

Do you think that Miami-Dade County leaders are doing enough to address gun violence among youth?

18%

76% 6%

YesNoUndecided

Page 25: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 25

Do you think that Miami-Dade County leaders are doing enough to address gun violence among youth?

Hispanic Anglo African-American Yes 25% 14% 7% No 71% 75% 89% Don’t know/No answer 4% 11% 4%

BY ETHNICITY

Page 26: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 26

Who in your opinion is most responsible for addressing the issue of youth gun violence: Parents, Schools, Police, City elected officials, County elected Officials or someone else?

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Parents Police City electedofficials

Countyelectedofficials

Schools Someoneelse

Don'tknow/Noanswer

55%

9% 6% 6% 4% 13%

7%

Page 27: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

Traffic congestion in Miami-Dade County has been a growing concern in recent years and residents are seeking solutions. Some possible traffic remedies include the expansion of mass transit systems like MetroRail, MetroMover, MetroBus and TriRail or increasing the capacity of major roadways, such as the Dolphin and Palmetto Expressways, I-95, and the Turnpike.

Page 28: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 28

Do you believe that enough is currently being done by Miami-Dade County leaders to address traffic congestion in Miami-Dade County?

28%

69% 3%

YesNoUndecided

Page 29: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 29

Do you believe that enough is currently being done by Miami-Dade County leaders to address traffic congestion in Miami-Dade County?

Republican Democrat Independent Yes 37% 26% 23% No 60% 71% 75% Don’t know/No answer 3% 3% 2%

BY PARTY

Page 30: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 30

Do you believe that enough is currently being done by Miami-Dade County leaders to address traffic congestion in Miami-Dade County?

Hispanic Anglo African-American Yes 31% 17% 34% No 66% 82% 62% Don’t know/No answer 3% 1% 4%

BY ETHNICITY

Page 31: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 31

Do you believe that enough is currently being done by Miami-Dade County leaders to address traffic congestion in Miami-Dade County?

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Yes 33% 22% 25% 34% No 66% 78% 73% 58% Don’t know/No answer 1% - 2% 8%

BY AGE

Page 32: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 32

To alleviate Miami-Dade County’s traffic problems in the future, would you prioritize the expansion of county mass transit systems or increasing roadway capacity?

56% 34% 10% Expansion of

mass transit

Increasingroadway capacity

Don't know/Noanswer

Page 33: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 33

To alleviate Miami-Dade County’s traffic problems in the future, would you prioritize the expansion of county mass transit systems or increasing roadway capacity?

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Expansion of mass transit 64% 55% 59% 46% Increasing roadway capacity 26% 41% 31% 39% Don’t know/No answer 10% 4% 10% 15%

BY AGE

Page 34: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 34

To alleviate Miami-Dade County’s traffic problems in the future, would you prioritize the expansion of county mass transit systems or increasing roadway capacity?

English Spanish Expansion of mass transit 61% 48% Increasing roadway capacity 31% 41% Don’t know/No answer 8% 11%

BY LANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW

Page 35: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

Miami-Dade County includes many coastal municipalities known to be on the frontlines in the battle against rising sea-levels. Most scientists say that the rate of sea-level rise is accelerating steadily and that the intrusion of salt water into fresh water aquifers threatens to contaminate South Florida’s drinking water supply. Elevated roadways, pumping systems, and nature-based infrastructure are among some of the proposed solutions to address sea-level rise related issues like flooding and coastal erosion.

Page 36: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 36

Do you believe that sea-level rise is an important issue in Miami-Dade County?

84% 11% 5%

Yes

No

Don't know/No answer

Page 37: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 37

Do you believe that sea-level rise is an important issue in Miami-Dade County?

Republican Democrat Independent Yes 76% 90% 86% No 18% 6% 11% Don’t know/No answer 6% 4% 3%

BY PARTY

Page 38: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 38

Do you believe that enough is currently being done by Miami-Dade County leaders to combat sea-level rise in Miami-Dade County?

15%

66% 19%

Yes

No

Don't know/No answer

Page 39: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 39

Do you believe that enough is currently being done by Miami-Dade County leaders to combat sea-level rise in Miami-Dade County?

Republican Democrat Independent Yes 24% 13% 10% No 52% 75% 69% Don’t know/No answer 24% 12% 21%

BY PARTY

Page 40: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

FLORIDA POWER & LIGHT (FPL)

Page 41: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 41

Florida Power and Light

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

No answer

Do not recognize

Somewhat/Very unfavorable opinion

Very/Somewhat favorable opinion

5%

3%

8%

31%

14%

39%

22%

70%

Page 42: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 42

Florida Power and Light

Hispanic Anglo African-American Favorable 67% 69% 77% Unfavorable 22% 26% 18% Do not recognize 6% - 2% Don’t know/No answer 5% 5% 3%

BY ETHNICITY

Page 43: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

Recently there has been increased media coverage over questions about Florida Power and Light’s (FPL) management of its Turkey Point Nuclear Power Plant in southern Miami-Dade County.

Page 44: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 44

How closely have you been following this issue?

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%

Don't know/No answer

Not following at all

Not closely

Very/Somewhat closely

2%

33%

22%

20% 23% 65% are following

the issue

Page 45: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 45

How closely have you been following this issue?

Republican Democrat Independent Following 67% 67% 58% Not following 28% 32% 41% Don’t know/No answer 5% 1% 1%

BY PARTY

Page 46: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 46

How closely have you been following this issue?

Hispanic Anglo African-American Following 64% 69% 61% Not following 32% 31% 39% Don’t know/No answer 4% - -

BY ETHNICITY

Page 47: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

Recently Miami-Dade County discovered above normal levels of tritium in Biscayne Bay, near Florida Power & Light's cooling canals at Turkey Point. Tritium is not considered a health risk and is being used by scientists to track the location of cooling canal water. The findings indicate other pollutants, including ammonia, phosphorus and super salty water, may be leaking into Biscayne Bay and could damage marine life. The State of Florida fears increased underground salt concentrations resulting from the leaking canals could threaten the Biscayne Aquifer, Miami-Dade County’s primary source of drinking water. FPL says it is working with the State and has plans to address the situation and that there is no current threat to public health.

Page 48: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 48

How satisfied are you with how FPL is handling this issue?

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Don't know/No answer

Not very/Not at all satisfied

Very/Somewhat satisfied

8%

20%

13%

36%

23%

56% 36%

ASKED ONLY OF THOSE FOLLOWING THE ISSUE

Page 49: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 49

How satisfied are you with how FPL is handling this issue?

English Spanish Satisfied 30% 46% Unsatisfied 64% 43%

Don’t know/No answer 6% 11%

BY LANGUAGE

ASKED ONLY OF THOSE FOLLOWING THE ISSUE

Page 50: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

DEMOGRAPHICS

Page 51: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 51

Age

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

20% 25%

30% 25%

Page 52: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 52

In what country were you born?

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

45%

24%

11% 5% 4% 3% 2%

6%

Page 53: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 53

In what country were most of your parents and grandparents born?

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

57%

14% 4% 4% 4% 1% 1%

15%

Asked only of those who were born in the United States

Page 54: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 54

Gender

44% 56% Male Female

Page 55: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 55

Language of Interview

65% 35% English Spanish

Page 56: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 56

Ethnicity

56% 22% 22%

Hispanic

White-Anglo

African American

Page 57: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL MAY 2016 57

Party

41% 31%

28% Democrat

Republican

Independent

Page 58: Local Issues Poll WAVE 2

5/9/2016 58

Miami-Dade County Local Issues Poll: Survey of Miami-Dade County Voters – May 2016

For more information, contact:

Fernand Amandi Principal

(305) 529-9916 [email protected]