local housing allowance presentation sept 2011

20
Local Housing Allowance Progress to date Dr Philip Agulnik Entitledto

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Page 1: Local Housing Allowance presentation Sept 2011

Local Housing Allowance Progress to date

Dr Philip AgulnikEntitledto

Page 2: Local Housing Allowance presentation Sept 2011

I am....• An economist specialising in social security • Before Entitledto I worked for DWP and

other central govt. departments• Entitledto supply a free public benefits

calculator performing over 2 million calculations a year

• We provide a range of products for local authorities

• We supply a LHA calculator for the Royal Borough of Kensington and Chelsea at www.rbkc.hbupdate.co.uk

Page 3: Local Housing Allowance presentation Sept 2011
Page 4: Local Housing Allowance presentation Sept 2011

Why reform Housing Benefit?

Page 5: Local Housing Allowance presentation Sept 2011

LHA reform timetable From April 2011• No excess payment where rent is less than LHA • Maximum of four bedrooms • Cap of £250 per week for 1 bedroom, £290 for 2

bedrooms, £340 for 3 bedrooms and £400 for 4 bedrooms

• Rates set at the 30% rent level for the local area rather than the median (50%) rent level.

From January 2012• Single people under 35 get shared accommodation

rate From April 2013• Rates will be increased in line with CPI inflation

Page 6: Local Housing Allowance presentation Sept 2011

Impact on LHA rates: London4 Bedroom LHA Rate:

Page 7: Local Housing Allowance presentation Sept 2011

Impact On LHA rates: national4 Bedroom LHA Rate:

Page 8: Local Housing Allowance presentation Sept 2011

Indicators of successCuts will take the form of

• Landlords reducing rents• Tenants moving house (downsizing and/or new

area)• Tenants having a reduced income after paying

rentPolicy success =

• Reducing rent on current property • Moving house to lower rent

Increased homelessness indicates failure: tenants did not receive message that cuts would affect them

Page 9: Local Housing Allowance presentation Sept 2011

Have rents come down?

January

Febru

aryMarc

hApril

MayJune

July

August

Septem

ber

October

November

December

January

Febru

aryMarc

hApril

May96.00

98.00

100.00

102.00

104.00

106.00

108.00

110.00

112.00

114.00

116.00

Avg HB award: LHA tenants Avg HB award: Non-LHA private tenants

Page 10: Local Housing Allowance presentation Sept 2011

Have rents come down? 4 Bedroom LHA Rate:

Page 11: Local Housing Allowance presentation Sept 2011

Have people moved? LHA stock

Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb March April May80,000

90,000

100,000

110,000

120,000

130,000

140,000

150,000

160,000

170,000

180,000

Inner London private sector HB Outer London private sector HB

Page 12: Local Housing Allowance presentation Sept 2011

Have people moved? HB inflows

Janu

ary

Febr

uary

March

April

MayJu

ne July

Augus

t

Sept

embe

r

Octob

er

Novem

ber

Decem

ber

Janu

ary

Febr

uary

March

April

May4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

11,000

12,000

13,000

14,000

Outer London Inner london

Page 13: Local Housing Allowance presentation Sept 2011

What does current data suggest?• Too early to tell much: some evidence of

people moving away from inner London?• But only new claims have been affected by

main changes – so not surprising that little change

• Only change affecting some existing claimants is withdrawal of £15 excess

Page 14: Local Housing Allowance presentation Sept 2011

When will changes affect current tenants? On anniversary date (April 2011 – March

2012)• Excess payment if rent under LHA

amount

On anniversary date + 9 months (Jan – Dec 2012)• Single person restriction on under 35s• Maximum of four bedrooms • Caps on inner London LHA rates• Rates set at the 30% rent level

Page 15: Local Housing Allowance presentation Sept 2011
Page 16: Local Housing Allowance presentation Sept 2011

Other changes

Increase in Discretionary Housing Payment funds - but increase of £40 million is only 2% of cuts to LHA

Extra bedroom allowed for a non-resident carer where overnight care needed

Increase in non-dependant deductions Room entitlement calculation for all for

working age HB claimants from 2013 HB cut by 10% after 12 months on JSA

Page 17: Local Housing Allowance presentation Sept 2011

Work Incentives: an asideUniversal Credit: small improvement in

incentives• Lower deduction rate: 65%/76% (if ignore Council

Tax)• Simpler administration (hopefully)• But same disregards and no boost at 16/30 hours

Council Tax Benefit reform: effect unknown

Cap on overall benefits: big stick but few affected

Housing Benefit reform: lower rents mean high benefit deduction rates taper out sooner

Page 18: Local Housing Allowance presentation Sept 2011

Rent levels in different sectors

Avg HB award: LA tenants

Avg HB award: HA tenants

Avg HB award: LHA tenants

Avg HB award: Non-LHA private

tenants

0.00

20.00

40.00

60.00

80.00

100.00

120.00

May-09May-10May-11

Page 19: Local Housing Allowance presentation Sept 2011

HB is working! 80% increase in employed claimants since 2009

Janu

ary

Febr

uary

March

April

MayJu

ne July

Augus

t

Sept

embe

r

Octob

er

Novem

ber

Decem

ber

Janu

ary

Febr

uary

March

April

MayJu

ne July

Augus

t

Sept

embe

r

Octob

er

Novem

ber

Decem

ber

Janu

ary

Febr

uary

March

April

May2,000,000

2,200,000

2,400,000

2,600,000

2,800,000

3,000,000

3,200,000

3,400,000

3,600,000

3,800,000

Workless HB claimants age <65 In work HB claimants

Page 20: Local Housing Allowance presentation Sept 2011

Contact

Email: [email protected]

Web: www.solutions.entitledto.co.uk