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Katie Zimmerman, P.E. Applied Pavement Technology, Inc. Local Calibration of the MEPDG Using Pavement Management FHWA Project DTFH61-07-R-00143 TRB 87th Annual Meeting January 13, 2008

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Page 1: Local Calibration of the MEPDG Using Pavement Managementsp.design.transportation.org/Documents/zimmerman... · Local Calibration of the MEPDG Using Pavement Management FHWA Project

Katie Zimmerman, P.E.Applied Pavement Technology, Inc.

Local Calibration of the MEPDGUsing Pavement Management

FHWA Project DTFH61-07-R-00143

TRB 87th Annual Meeting January 13, 2008

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Project Overview

1. Project Team1. Project Team

2. Project Objectives2. Project Objectives

3. Project Approach and Status3. Project Approach and Status

4. Preliminary Selection Criteria4. Preliminary Selection Criteria

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Project Team

Prime - Applied Pavement TechnologyKatie Zimmerman, Principal InvestigatorTom Freeman, APTech Team LeaderKurt Smith, Senior Engineer

Subcontractor – Stantec Consulting, Ltd.Khalad Galal, Stantec Team Leader

Subcontractor – Fugro Consultants, Inc.Mark Gardner, Fugro Team Leader

FHWA COTR – Nastaran Saadatmand

Page 4: Local Calibration of the MEPDG Using Pavement Managementsp.design.transportation.org/Documents/zimmerman... · Local Calibration of the MEPDG Using Pavement Management FHWA Project

Project Objectives

Establish a framework for collecting and storing data needed for calibrationDemonstrate the application of the framework in one state highway agencyDocument the frameworkDevelop outreach tools to disseminate research results

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Project Approach and Status

Phase 1Phase 1

Develop the Framework

Oct 2007 to Dec 2009

Phase 2Phase 2

Conduct Outreach Activities

Jan to Mar 2010

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Project Tasks – Phase I

A B C D

LiteratureReview

Completed

ThreeStateSelection

On-going

PreliminaryFrameworkDevelopment

Early 2008

Selectionof a SingleState

Summer 2008

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Project Tasks – Phase I (cont)

E F G H

FinalFrameworkDevelopment

Late 2008

Verification

Summer 2009

Final WorkPlanImplementation

Fall 2009

Draft andFinalReports

Late 2009

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Preliminary Selection Criteria

Level of CommitmentPlans to implement MEPDGDegree of commitment to implementationEvidence of calibration activity

Availability of DataDesign and performance data for all pavement typesMaterials, traffic, construction, climate, and environmental data at levels 1 and/or 2

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Preliminary Selection Criteria

Data QualityData formatState’s opinion of data quality

Required Level of EffortLevel of data collection intensityAnticipated IT work requiredExtent of effort to acquire additional data

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Conceptual Approach

Rating (1-10) Weight Individual

ScoreCategory

ScoreTotal Score

Category I 105 177Item 1 5 25

Item 1 10 40

5

Item 2 9 45Item 3 7 35

Category II 72

Item 2 8 32

4

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Concluding Comments

Opportunity for state participationResults should be beneficial to other agencies as they begin to calibrate their models

M-E Model

Traffic Variable

Agency DataD

istre

ss

Qua

ntity

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Katie Zimmerman, P.E.Applied Pavement Technology, Inc.

Making an Effective PMS for the MEPDG Implementation

TRB 87th Annual Meeting January 13, 2008

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Presentation Topics

IssuesDatabase issuesPerformance issuesOrganizational issues

RecommendationsConcluding Points

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Database Issue – Level of Detail

MEPDG requires detailed inputs:

TrafficMaterial characteristicsSubgrade propertiesConstruction considerationsClimatic conditions

Pavement management databases typically contain data used for network-level analysis

Inventory informationCondition dataLast treatment summaryTraffic data (or surrogates)

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Project Versus Network Issues

Unreliable

Infeasible

Detailed Project

InformationProject

Selection Information

Program Development

From Hudson et al. DTFH61-05-C-00011

Leve

l of D

etai

l

Mod

el C

ompl

exity

Number of Assets

MEPDG

PMS

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Database Issue – Availability

Data used in pavement design are not always stored electronicallyAs-built construction data are not typically stored in an electronic format that is easily accessibleMaintenance and rehabilitation histories are not always available and may not be linked to historical performance data

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Database Issue - Integration

Some agencies have difficulty linking data because multiple referencing systems are used Performance data can not always be matched to test results for layer thickness and material propertiesMaintenance data can not always be linked to pavement management sections because of the way it’s reported

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Database Issue - Frequency

Calibration efforts require data to be monitored over time

Pavement management surveys may not be conducted frequently enough

Fatigue

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Performance Issue - Definitions

Distress definitions and measurement units for the MEPDG models may not match pavement management condition survey definitions or approach

MEPDG calibrated using LTPP Distress definitionsPavement management data may use different definitionsMethod of collection may impact resultsSurvey approach may impact results

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Performance Issue - Relevance

MEPDG models predict performance that can not easily be collected as part of a network-level pavement condition survey

Rutting in individual layers versus total ruttingTop-down and bottom-up load-related cracking versus total load-related cracking

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Sample Comparison – Flexible

MEPDG Distress Types SDDOT Pavement Management Distress

TypesFatigue Cracking

(top-down and bottom-up)Fatigue Cracking

(assumed to be bottom-up)

Thermal Cracking Transverse Cracking

Permanent Deformation (rutting in AC layer and total)

Rutting (total rutting)

IRI IRI

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Performance Issue – Survey Type

There are other considerations that may limit the usefulness of network-level survey results for establishing links to design, construction, and material data

Surveys may be conducted in one lane onlyLocation of samples may not be linked to other data propertiesOnly aggregated data for a section may be stored in the pavement management systemDeflection measurements not available at a network level

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Performance Issue - Modeling

Pavement management typically uses family modeling approachesCalibration activities will require individual performance histories matched to specific inputs

Con

ditio

n

Age (years)

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Performance Issue - Preservation

Preservation treatments are not yet incorporated into the MEPDG modelsPredicted performance assumes preventive maintenance treatments are not applied

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Organizational Issues

Breaking down stovepipes (organizational barriers)Closer coordination between pavement management and other agency functionsAddressing referencing issues

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Establishing Links To Data

Maintenance

TrafficDesign

Materials

Construction

Pavement Management

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Recommendations

Establish a multi-disciplined implementation team

Stay abreast of new developmentsDefine responsibilities Define implementation approach & scheduleIdentify data needsMatch data needs to existing data sourcesDevelop a plan for acquiring missing data

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Recommendations

Evaluate data requirements carefullyConduct a sensitivity analysisDevelop recommended input levelsEvaluate strategies for acquiring missing dataStrive for using Level 1 and 2 data as much as possible

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Recommendations

Start slowlyCalibrate MEPDG models for the most common designs firstConsider regional calibration of models if designs are similar enough

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Recommendations

Develop a calibration databaseMonitor pavements designed with the new MEPDGInput design and as-built information immediatelyMonitor load-spectrum information over timeMust be linked to pavement managementShould NOT require duplicate entry of data

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Agencies Will Be Able to Better:

Understand performance characteristics influencing pavement performancePredict the effect of changes in traffic, material, design, or construction on pavement performanceRespond to anticipated changes in HPMS requirementsCoordinate pavement design and management activities