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6/11/2015 CAD Falls to 1.3% of GDP in FY15 The New Indian Express
http://www.newindianexpress.com/business/news/CADFallsto1.3ofGDPinFY15/2015/06/11/article2860453.ece 1/4
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By ENS Economic Bureau Published: 11th June 2015 06:00 AM Last Updated: 11th June 2015 03:32 AM
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CAD Falls to 1.3% of GDP in FY15
MUMBAI: India’s current account deficit (CAD) for the year ended March 2015 shrank to $27.5billion, or 1.3 per cent of the gross domestic product (GDP) compared with $32.4 billion or 1.7 percent of GDP a year ago with modest increase in invisibles supported by some improvement in netservices receipts, the Reserve Bank of India said on Wednesday.
The country’s trade deficit narrowed to $144.2 billion in year to March 2015 from $147.6 billion ayear earlier.
CAD is the measurement of a country’s trade, in which value of goods and services it importsexceeds the value of goods and services it exports.
Bankers say CAD of less than 2.5 per cent of GDP is easier to manage for a central bank. CADunder control also gives currency traders some comfort that the value of the local currency willhold.
“Going ahead, we could expect CAD to be range bound and under the current conditions of lowcrude oil prices in the range of $6070 per barrel, stagnant exports given the limited pick up inworld economy, and some pick up in software receipts, CAD would be in the range of 1.5% 2% ofGDP this year,’’ said Madan Sabnavis, chief economist at CARE Ratings.
“Capital flows would, however, be impacted due to the Fed move on interest rates and hencewhile the balance of payments would be positive, the accretion to reserves could be of a lowermagnitude,’’ he added.
In the quarter ended March 2015, India built up its highest ever accretion of $30.1 billion toforeign exchange reserves in a single quarter, RBI said.
“It was more than double the accretion in the preceding quarter and almost four times of thereserves accrued in fourth quarter of 201314, signifying record increase in capital inflows and dipin CAD,’’ RBI said.
On quarterly basis, the country’s CAD narrowed sharply to $1.3 billion or 0.2 per cent of GDP inthe fourth quarter ended March 2015, compared with $8.3 billion, or 1.6 per cent of GDP in thethird quarter and $1.2 billion or 0.2 per cent in the fourth quarter of the previous year endedMarch 2014.
“The reduction in CAD in fourth quarter of 201415 was primarily on account of lower trade deficitas net earnings through services and primary income such as profit, dividend & interest,witnessed a decline in quarteronquarter terms albeit secondary income recorded a marginalincrease of 0.4 per cent,’’ RBI said.
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6/11/2015 CAD Falls to 1.3% of GDP in FY15 The New Indian Express
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