lesson 6technical component
TRANSCRIPT
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Dr. Pham Huynh TramDepartment of ISE
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Review of basic probability & statistics- Probability- Types of data-
Describing dataStabilizing and improving a process with controlcharts
- Needs of control chart
- Structure of control chart- Rules of identifying out-of-control point- Possible mistakes un using control chart
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Example: a bin contains 4000 screws; 2000 are good and2000 are defective
What is the probability of drawing a defective screw?- Classical probability- Relative frequency probability- Difference?
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Sub-group
No. ofdefective
Fraction ofdefective
Cummulativeno. ofdefective
Cummulativeno. of screw
Cummulativeof fraction
1234567
Subgroup size :50
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Pupose of collecting data? Attribute data
- Classificaion of items into categories. Eg.: grade A, B, C- Counts of the number of items in a given category or a
proportion in a given category- Counts of the number of occurrences per unit . Eg.: no. ofdefects per batch, no. of sales per month Variables (measurment) data
- Measurement of a characteristic. Eg.: length of time toresolve customer complaint, weights of boxes of detergent
- Computation of Numerical Value from two or moremeasurements of variables data. Eg.: computation of arectangular containe, km per litre for each truck
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For frequency distributionTabular displaysGraphical displays
- Histogram (variable data)- Bar chart (attribute data)- Ogive- Run chart
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The number of intervalsinfluences the pattern, shape, or spreadof your Histogram.
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Run chart
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Mode = 16
The mode is the most frequently occurring value. It is the value with the highest frequency .
Given a data set:9, 10, 6, 12, 16, 14, 19, 20, 14, 15, 22, 24, 13, 16, 17, 5, 17, 18,19, 18, 16, 22
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The mean of a set of observations is theiraverage - the sum of the observed values dividedby the number of observations.
Population Mean Sample Mean
m = = x
N i
N
1 x
x
n i
n
= =
1
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Range Difference between maximum and minimum values
VarianceMean * squared deviation from the meanStandard Deviation
Square root of the variance
Definitions of population variance and sample variance differ slightly .
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Find the sample mean and sample variance forthe following series of data:
Value
21
12
34
22
17
18
43
28
56
34
12
Practice with Calculator !!
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Skewness Measure of asymmetry of a frequency distribution
Skewed to leftSymmetric or unskewedSkewed to right
KurtosisMeasure of flatness or peakedness of a frequencydistribution
Platykurtic (relatively flat)Mesokurtic (normal)Leptokurtic (relatively peaked)
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Skewed to left
6 0 0 5 0 0 4 0 0 3 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0
3 0
2 0
1 0
0
x
F r e
q u e n c y
Mean < median < mode
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Mean = median = mode
6 0 0 5 0 0 4 0 0 3 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0
x
3 0
2 0
1 0
0
F r e
q
u e n c y
Symmetric
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3 . 7 2 . 9 2 . 1 1 . 3 0 . 5 - 0 . 3 - 1 . 1 - 1 . 9 - 2 . 7 - 3 . 5
7 0 0
6 0 0
5 0 0
4 0 0
3 0 0
2 0 0
1 0 0
0
X
F r e
q u e n c y
Platykurtic - flat distribution
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4 3 2 1 0 - 1 - 2 - 3 - 4
5 0 0
4 0 0
3 0 0
2 0 0
1 0 0
0
X
F r e
q u e n c y
Mesokurtic - not too flat and not too peaked
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Leptokurtic - peaked distribution
1 0 0 - 1 0
2 0 0 0
1 0 0 0
0
Y
F r e
q u e n c y
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Normal distributionCalculate probabilitySkewed distribution
Unknown distribution
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1 1
21
14
34
75%
1 1
31
1
9
8
9 89%
1 1
41
116
1516
94%
2
2
2
= = =
= = =
= = =
At least of the elements of any distribution lie within k standard deviations of the mean
2
11
k
Atleast
Lie within
Standarddeviations
of the mean
2
3
4
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Control charts are constructed by drawing samples andtaking measurements of a process characteristics. Each setof measurements is called a subgroupControl charts help to
- identify and differentiate between common causes andspecial causes of variation- determine a processs capability
Process is stable if it only exhibits common cause variation
When a process is stable, continuous improvement helps tobring the centerline of the process closer to a desired level(nominal) by reducing the magnitude of common cause variations
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-Centerline: drawn at the average value of all the plotted data.
-Control Limits (UCL, LCL): set at a distance of 3 sigma above and 3sigma below the centerline. They indicate variation from the centerline
* Difference between control limits and specification limits ?27
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Rule 5: 8 or more successive values continually increase
or decrease
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Rule 6: unusual small number of runs above and below
center line are present ( a sawtooth pattern)
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Rule 7: 13 consecutive points fall in zone C
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Over adjustmentProcess should be adjusted not on the basis of time-to-
time observations, but on the basis of informationprovided by a statistical control chart
Funnel experimentUnder adjustment
Lack of attention when the process is out of control and
no effort is made to provide neccesary regulation
*Also, becareful on false out-of control signal
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Defect prevention: atribute chartP chart, mp chart, c chart, u chart
Continuous improvement: variable control chart
X bar chart, R chart, MR chart, s chart