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©Lehr, 2005 5CMI2 Telecommunications: Technologies and Policies in the Networked Digital World Cambridge University October 14, 2005 Lecture #3: Regulatory Frameworks and Backbone Interconnection William Lehr Massachusetts Institute of Technology [email protected]

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Page 1: ©Lehr, 2005 5CMI2 Telecommunications: Technologies and Policies in the Networked Digital World Cambridge University October 14, 2005 Lecture #3: Regulatory

©Lehr, 2005

5CMI2 Telecommunications:

Technologies and Policies in the Networked Digital WorldCambridge University

October 14, 2005

Lecture #3:

Regulatory Frameworks and Backbone Interconnection

William LehrMassachusetts Institute of Technology

[email protected]

Page 2: ©Lehr, 2005 5CMI2 Telecommunications: Technologies and Policies in the Networked Digital World Cambridge University October 14, 2005 Lecture #3: Regulatory

2 ©Lehr, 2005

Lecture 4: Regulatory Frameworks and Backbone Interconnection

Why regulate telecoms: the policy agenda How regulate telecoms: from utility regulation to competition Who regulates telecoms: the institutions Some key issues/themes:

Convergence and challenge for legacy regulation Jurisdiction: international v. national v. local Models of regulatory enforcement

• Agency v. standards v. courts (antitrust)

Interconnection regulation: benefits of “bill and keep”?

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Why Regulate Telecoms: Policy Agenda Telecom is “public utility,” basic infrastructure

Multiplier effects (affects whole economy), national security Natural Monopoly

Price regulation to protect consumers from paying too much Protect monopoly from cream-skimming entry (destructive competition)

Universal Service Affordable access (everyone should have phone service)

Competition Policy Incentives to cut costs, market guarantees prices as low as possible

Other Policy Concerns Spectrum management Content regulation (libel, pornography, program diversity, free speech) Privacy Intellectual property (copyright) Government as buyer Revenue policy (taxes, spectrum auctions)

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How are telecoms regulated? Traditional model: Public utility regulation of monopoly carrier

Government owned Post Telephone and Telegraph (PTT), or investor-owned PTT with National Regulatory Authority (NRA)• US: FCC regulates AT&T Bell System

• UK: Ofcom regulates British Telecom

• France: ART regulates France Telecom

• Japan: MPHPT regulates NTT

• etc.

(Before PTT privatized, no need for NRA) Rate of Return (RoR) regulation

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Rate of Return Regulation (RoR) Regulatory Compact

Carrier agrees to provide: Universal service • Carrier of Last Resort, Duty to Serve

Regulator agrees to allow: Cost recovery (+ fair return)• Prices = costs + allowed return = c+F/q + rK/q• Rate base (K), fair return (r) which risk-adjusted, depreciation

Retail rate regulation Prices set to achieve social goals

• Low for consumers (US), high for carriers/equipment makers (Japan)• Recover costs and support employment or generate govt. revenues

Prices include implicit subsidies: • Toll->Local, Urban->Rural, Bus->Res, Usage->Fixed

Entry restrictions (protection from competition) Telecom out of computers, everyone else out of telecom Structural separation or accounting separation (separate subsidiary)

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Transition to Competition Markets instead of “Soviet-style” central planning!

Regulatory capture/rent-seeking and overhead costs avoided Competition => “Survival of the Fittest” => Efficiency Prices driven to cost (no excess profits)

Privatization of PTTs and creation of NRAs (1980/1990s) Liberalization and Deregulation:

Equipment markets – 1960/1970s International/Long distance (US) – 1980s Mobile services (and auctions) – 1990s Local (Loop unbundling) – 1990s

From RoR to Price Cap: P(t+1) = P(t) – Productivity Adj. If transition to competition, then eventually markets set prices If no transition, then RoR with a regulatory lag.

Rules for Interconnection and Access With competitition, there will be multiple networks Entrants need access to legacy network (at least initially) Wholesale regulation (Interconnection, Resale)

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Transition to Competition In US…

1959 Above 890 FCC decision (private line competition) 1968 Carterfone FCC decision (CPE competition) 1984 Divestiture Bell System (long distance competition)

• Regulatory separation of local and long distance calling.• Structural separation of AT&T long distance (competitive) and Bell Operating Company local telephone monopolies

(Verizon, SBC). 1996 Telecommunications Act of 1996 (local competition)

• Local network unbundling and interconnection• LD entry by local companies

Similar abroad… Canada, UK, Japan, Korea, Mexico, etc., etc… European Commission

• Liberalization in EC mandatory in 1998

• New regulatory framework since July 2003

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See: ITU Review of Regulatory Frameworks (1998),WTD98 – Doc. 32

International trend during 1990s toprivatize/liberalizetelecommunications

Page 9: ©Lehr, 2005 5CMI2 Telecommunications: Technologies and Policies in the Networked Digital World Cambridge University October 14, 2005 Lecture #3: Regulatory

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European Regulatory Framework Goal: Transition from communications law to competition law.

Convergence => from silos to platform competition with symmetric obligations.

As competition emerges, roll-back regulation Mandatory access to “monopoly” facilities during transition

Three stage effort: Analyze state of competition: Is there market power?

• 18 Markets: 7 Retail (Universal Service), 11 Wholesale

• If no, then deregulate If yes, then craft remedies consistent with EC Framework

• National findings subject to EC rules

• Ex ante controls justified to support transition Impose remedies

• Unbundling, line of business restrictions (separate subsidiary)

Page 10: ©Lehr, 2005 5CMI2 Telecommunications: Technologies and Policies in the Networked Digital World Cambridge University October 14, 2005 Lecture #3: Regulatory

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European Regulatory Framework: Markets for Assessing Power Retail Level (universal service)

(1) Access to public telephone network at fixed location for residential customers (2) same as (1) for for non-residential customers (3) Publicly available local and/or natl telephone services provided at a fixed location for resid. customers (4) Publicly available international telephone services provided at a fixed location for resid. customers (5) same as (3) for non-residential customers (6) same as (4) for non-residential customers (7) Minimum set of leased lines (which comprises the specified types leased lines up to and incl 2Mb/sec)

Wholesale Level (interconnection) (8) Call origination on public telephone network provided at fixed location (9) Call termination on individual public telephone networks provided at a fixed location (10) Transit services in the fixed public telephone network (11) Wholesale unbundled access (including shared access) to metallic loops and sub-loops for purposes of

providing voice and broadband services (12) Wholesale broadband access (‘bit-stream’ access that permit 2-way transmission of broadband data) (13) Wholesale terminating segments of leased lines (14) Wholesale trunk segments of leased lines (15) Access and call origination on public mobile telephone networks (16) Voice call termination on individual mobile networks (17) Wholesale national market for international roaming on public mobile networks (18) Broadcasting transmission services, to deliver broadcast content to end-users

Source: European Commission Directive, 11 February 2003 (2003/311/EC)

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Convergence & Legacy Regulation

Traditional networks were single purpose. Tight integration of services and infrastructure.

New broadband platforms support multimedia apps. From silos to hourglass: what to regulate?

Layered regulation…

Network

Service

Network

Service

Network

Service

Network

Service

64 Kbbs channel

Vertical integration

Applications

Horizontal integration

Bitways

Networkservices

Applications do not share much with each other

Applications share network services with each other

Applications

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Convergence: Broadcasting v. Telecom Broadcasting: content regulation

Local content (national public broadcasting) Free speech/editorial responsibility (libel) Decency/censorship Is the “Internet” broadcasting?

Telecom: conduit regulation Common carriage: content not under control of carrier Cable TV a broadcast or telecom service? or, something else? Legacy incumbents v. Entrants: duty to serve? regulatory burden? Fixed v. Mobile?

Future need regulatory symmetry. Transition from legacy to future:

• if competitive? then deregulate (goal of European/US frameworks)• but, what if not adequately competive?

From physical unbundling to service level/functional unbundling• “Bit stream” unbundling?

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Convergence: Computers v. Telecom Legacy of separation: IBM v. AT&T Computers: regulation by standards and courts, but still regulation

Antitrust review (Microsoft, Worldcom/Sprint merger…) Which interfaces are open?

• Equipment v. Service providers?

• OS v. Applications (Browser wars)

• Hardware v. software (Software radio) Where’s the boundary? What’s a telecom service?

Is Voice-over-IP a “telephone service”? Should legacy regulation be imposed on emerging services? Where is the network edge?

• Unbundling customer premise equipment

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Who are the regulators? National Regulatory Authorities (NRAs): national telephone services

Post-privatization, so 1990s phenomenon in many countries. How independent are they? Whose interests do they protect?

International Treaties: international interconnection International Telecommunications Union (ITU) World Trade Organization (WTO) United Nations (UN)

Standards Bodies and NGOs: industry standards and interfaces Professional: IEEE (P802) National: ANSI (US), JISC (Japan), AFNOR (France) International: ISO, IEC, ITU-T, WIPO Regional: CEN/CENELEC (European), ETSI Trade Associations and NGOs: EIA, W3C, ATM Forum

Courts: common law v. civil law countries Property rights (intellectual property) Contracts (negotiated interconnection) Antitrust (mergers, anticompetitive behavior)

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Jurisdiction: who’s in charge? Problems are inherently multi-domain.

Ubiquitous connectivity and Death of distance Global networks, global traffic, global eCommerce Not just about communications anymore (Civil Society, International Trade) Complexity is endemic in converged world

Jurisdiction: Local Autonomy v. Coordination Regional (Lehr & Keissling, 1999)

• Europe: EC v. NRAs• US: FCC v. PUCs

International• International Settlements for Telecom: WTO(1997) v. FCC• UN, ICANN, and Internet governance

Ambiquity is costly Regulatory uncertainty raises investment/participation costs. Encourages venue shopping/rent-seeking But, political reality is that it is not going away.

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Standardization as form of regulation Standards define markets

Competitive advantage (whose technology is adopted?) Scale and scope economies (bigger markets, lower costs) Wholesale competition/unbundling opportunities at interfaces

Economics of standards setting: externalities & coordination failures Network externality: value to each subscriber increases with total

subscribership (e.g., PCs, telephone networks, language) Role for government to solve market failure:

• “Horses, Peguins, and Lemmings” (Farrell & Saloner, 1985)• “Narrow Windows, Blind Giants, and Angry Orphans” (David, 1986)

Mobile Standards: • 2G in Europe (GSM) v. US (GSM, CDMA, TDMA, etc.)• What about 3G? CDMA2000 v. W-CDMA. What about WiFi?

SDOs are political institutions Who gets to participate, public access to debate How is “consensus” measured (voting?) Rules that protect access/prevent capture slow progress

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Courts and Antitrust Enforcement US: Department of Justice v. FCC; Europe: DG Competition v. DG Information Society Antitrust: prevent abuse of monopoly power

Block mergers that create market power Penalize behavior that abuses (predatory pricing, illegal tying) Market power not illegal per se, only its misuse.

Measuring market power is contentious Define markets

• Horizontal markets: are goods substitutes?• Vertical markets: complements? Essential?

Ability to sustain price above cost for significant time• Potential entry can constrain (entry barriers?)

Predatory pricing/illegal tying or Efficient pricing? Ambiguous economics. Pricing below cost, but what is cost?

• Hard to measure when shared/common costs, rapid technical progress• Dynamic pricing with externalities, learning

Complementary bundling of products or illegal tying • e.g., Microsoft browser and OS)

Antitrust regulation is ex post Presumption that industry competitive No role (limited role) for industrial policy: encourage transition to competition, promote

infrastructure investment. (Varies by country) Enforcement via Courts presumes litigation is established business option

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Telephone Network: a network of networks

Local switchLocal switch

Local switchLocal switch

Distribution & FeederDistribution & Feeder

LocalLocalTransportTransport

LD POPLD POP

LD POPLD POP

LD AccessLD Access

Long DistanceLong DistanceNetworkNetwork

Local switchLocal switch

Local switchLocal switch

AA

BB

CC

A-B Local callA-C LD call

Single carrier network or multiple networks?Which party pays: Calling party or both?

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Source: "Communications Semiconductors," Prudential Bache Securities, September 19, 2000.

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Interconnection Models

Network C

Network D

retail

wholesale

Network A Network B

retailretail wholesale

e.g., International LD, Local/LD, Mobile/wireline

e.g., LD/LD, Local/Local, Mobile/mobile, Internet backbone

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Interconnection Models

Network A Network C

retailretail

Network B

wholesale wholesale

e.g., Multihop routing. B is transit network

Network B

Network CNetwork A

Network Dretail retail

e.g., Multilateral peering point

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Interconnection and Wholesale Regulation Telecom as a “network of networks”

Traffic passes between networks owned/operated by different carriers, or across regulatory boundaries.

Need physical point(s) of interconnection and business rules (pricing, QoS) to exchange traffic.

Two classic types of interconnection: Originating/terminating access monopoly: each user connected via

single access network• Unbundling, local access regulation• Legacy copper loops: incumbent has only legacy network.

Backbone interconnection/peering: interconnection of networks• Common Carriage: restriction against discrimination• “Bill and Keep” in Internet Peering

Interconnection is a “wholesale market” Between carriers, services are ingredient to a retail service Transition to competition implies transition to wholesale regulation

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Interconnection and Market Power Incentives to interconnect?

Network externalities: larger network more valuable No market power, providers interconnect to increase value of both networks Competition for subscribers (which network to join?)

If market power, then may seek to abuse interconnection Natural monopoly, scarce resource, or first-mover advantage Incumbent with larger network has market power relative to smaller (newer)

network providers Modes of abuse

Denial of access: foreclose competition Discriminatory access: inferior access to 3rd parties relative to affiliated subsidiary Monopoly pricing: price access significantly above cost

Regulatory response Mandatory unbundling and interconnection Price and terms of interconnection regulated Line of business restrictions (preclude retail entry)

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Regulating Carrier Interconnection Regulating both retail and wholesale rates problematic What price to set for interconnection?

Efficiency: P=Incremental cost of termination• Traditionally, interconnection prices include subsidies for non-traffic sensitive

costs of “access” networks.• Economic (forward-looking), not accounting costs.• Costs of network “access” recovered on originating end (unbundling)

Who sets rate? Regulators: Expensive proceedings to set cost-based rates

• Contribution to shared/common costs? Implicit subsidies? Markets: Arbitrage enforces “Law of One Price”

• International Bypass, Voice-over-IP Negotiated: mandate “reciprocal compensation”

• OK if costs symmetric, but what if not? Mobile v. Wired. Traffic asymmetric. Which party pays?

Calling (Sending) party pays: problem of mobile termination “Bill and Keep”

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Unified Carrier Compensation Scheme Convergence makes it increasingly difficult to set different rates for

interconnection based on type of network Solution: set one rate for all interconnection However, if costs are different may need different interconnection

rates “Bill and Keep” Rationale: each carrier recovers costs from own

subscribers If costs termination low, P~0 is not inefficient If costs (and traffic) symmetric net interconnection payments ~ 0

even if cost not Improved incentives to economize on interconnection costs Simple to implement

Problems? Asymmetric traffic (streaming media, Web browsing) Hot potato routing Free-riding (incentive to provide high-quality termination)

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Summing Up Why regulate telecoms: the policy agenda – not just telecom

More important & more complex relationship to economy. How regulate telecoms: from utility regulation to competition

Managing the transition difficult: how fast to liberalize? Facilities-based competition needed to enable deregulation Is competition viable everywhere? New “bottlenecks”?

Who regulates telecoms: the institutions Complex global array: NRAs, SDOs, Courts Jurisdiction: tension between global coordination and local autonomy

Interconnection is illustrative challenge Convergence compels need for unified approach Critical to transition from legacy to competition New problems call for new models (e.g., “Bill and Keep”)