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Gates to Google Gates to Google to Who Knows to Who Knows Where Else Where Else

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Page 1: Leed6820 Class1

Gates to Google Gates to Google to Who Knows to Who Knows

Where ElseWhere Else

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Need to Change Need to Change MindsetsMindsets

““What can be more palpably absurd than What can be more palpably absurd than the prospect held out of locomotives the prospect held out of locomotives traveling twice as fast as stagecoaches?”traveling twice as fast as stagecoaches?”

This “telephone” has too many This “telephone” has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication. The device as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value.”is inherently of no value.”

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Mindsets cont’d.Mindsets cont’d.

““The horse is here to stay but the The horse is here to stay but the automobile is only a novelty, a fad, a automobile is only a novelty, a fad, a passing fancy.”passing fancy.”

““While television may be theoretically While television may be theoretically feasible, commercially or financially I feasible, commercially or financially I consider it an impossibility, a consider it an impossibility, a development of which we need waste little development of which we need waste little time dreaming.”time dreaming.”

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Mindsets, cont’d.Mindsets, cont’d.

““There is not the slightest indication that There is not the slightest indication that nuclear energy will ever be obtainable. It nuclear energy will ever be obtainable. It would mean that the atom would have to would mean that the atom would have to be shattered at will.”be shattered at will.”

““No one will want to put a telephone in No one will want to put a telephone in their car!”their car!”

Paradigm ParalysisParadigm Paralysis Joel BarkerJoel Barker

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Exponential TrendsExponential Trends Trend 1: Moore’s LawTrend 1: Moore’s Law

Suggests that the processing power Suggests that the processing power and speed of any electronic calculating and speed of any electronic calculating device doubles every 12 months, while at device doubles every 12 months, while at the same time the price for the technology the same time the price for the technology declines by 50%.declines by 50%.

Exponential growth versus linear growth.Exponential growth versus linear growth. Doubling: 1-2-4-8-16-32….15 years/1,000Doubling: 1-2-4-8-16-32….15 years/1,000 Tripling: 1-3-9-27-81-243…15 Tripling: 1-3-9-27-81-243…15

years/20,000years/20,000

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Example of Moore’s LawExample of Moore’s Law

YEARYEAR 19791979 19841984 20052005 20162016

RAM 16k 128k 256m ?

Hard Drive 128k 400k 60g ?

Speed (mhz)

2 10 1600 ?

Cost $5,000 $3,900 $900 ?

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Moore’s Law cont’d.Moore’s Law cont’d. ““Twice the power for half the price”Twice the power for half the price”

20162016

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Moore’s Law 2016Moore’s Law 2016YEARYEAR 19791979 19841984 20012001 20162016

RAM 16k 128k 128m ?

Hard Drive 128k 400k 12g ?

Speed (mhz)

2 10 600 ?

Cost $5,000 $3,900 $1,000 ?

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Moore’s Law 2016Moore’s Law 2016YEARYEAR 19791979 19841984 20012001 20162016

RAM 16k 128k 128m 104,032mb

Hard Drive 128k 400k 12g 12,191g

Speed (mhz)

2 10 600 650,199

Cost $5,000 $3,900 $1,000 $9

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Trend 2: The Law of the Trend 2: The Law of the Photon Photon

What is fast? Dialup modems: 56K, What is fast? Dialup modems: 56K, T-1T-1

Cable Modems: 10 megabits per Cable Modems: 10 megabits per secondsecond

CD Rom capacityCD Rom capacity Fiber Optics: 10 gigabits per secondFiber Optics: 10 gigabits per second What’s next? 10 trillion bits per What’s next? 10 trillion bits per

secondsecond Continuing Bandwidth speed and Continuing Bandwidth speed and

capacitycapacity

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Trend 3: Internet Trend 3: Internet RevolutionRevolution

Richter Scale up to 10.0; revolution Richter Scale up to 10.0; revolution is a 10.5 is a 10.5

On-line education, anytime, On-line education, anytime, anywhereanywhere

Homes on-lineHomes on-line

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Trend 4: Age of Trend 4: Age of InfowhelmInfowhelm

3,000 Books published 3,000 Books published dailydaily Deterioration of current informationDeterioration of current information New knowledge generated every year:New knowledge generated every year:

1.5 Exabytes: 1.5 Exabytes:

1,000,000,000,000,000,0001,000,000,000,000,000,000

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Trend 5: BiotechnologyTrend 5: Biotechnology

Use of biological processes to develop Use of biological processes to develop products or create technological solutions products or create technological solutions to problemsto problems

Human Genome ProjectHuman Genome Project CloningCloning What’s next?What’s next?

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Trend 6: Trend 6: NanotechnologyNanotechnology

Component stereo systemsComponent stereo systems Boom boxesBoom boxes MiniaturizationMiniaturization Virtual RealityVirtual Reality BiofeedbackBiofeedback

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Time for a QuestionTime for a Question

What does all of this have to do with What does all of this have to do with me as a future school administrator?me as a future school administrator?

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http://www.thomaslfriedman.com

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FlatteneFlattenersrs Collapse of Berlin WallCollapse of Berlin Wall

NetscapeNetscape Workflow softwareWorkflow software

Open sourcingOpen sourcing OutsourcingOutsourcing

OffshoringOffshoring Supply chainingSupply chaining

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http://www.danpink.com

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http://flickr.com/photos/webbysworld/331123807/

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87% of all youth ages 12 through 17 or 21 million teens use the Internet

Of those, 78% (16 million) report using the Internet at school. Nineteen percent (4 million) keep a blog and 38% read blogs

49% of high school students have posted personal information on their Web pages such as name, age, or address – that could help a stranger identify or locate them

Did you know…

Source: NASSP Board Position Statement on Internet Safety

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50% of high school students “talk” in chat rooms or use instant messaging with Internet strangers

65% of high school students admit to unsafe, inappropriate, or illegal activities online

23% of students know someone who has been bullied online.

Did you know…

Source: NASSP Board Position Statement on Internet Safety

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http://nsba.org/

Weekly Activities of Online Teens and Tweens

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112 Million

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200 Million Accounts

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3 Billion Songs Downloaded

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68.5 Million Videos

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2 Billion Images

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Six Key Elements of 21st Century Learning

Core subjects: NCLB-identified core subjects.

21st century content: emerging content areas such as global awareness; financial, economic, business, and entrepreneurial literacy; civic literacy; health and wellness awareness.

Learning and thinking skills: critical thinking and problem-solving skills, communication, creativity and innovation, collaboration, contextual learning, information and media literacy.

ICT literacy: using technology in the context of learning so students know how to learn.

Life skills: leadership, ethics, accountability, personal responsibility, self-direction, and so on.

21st century assessments: Authentic assessments that measure all five areas of learning.

www.21stcenturyskills.org

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Every student must be:Every student must be: A critical thinkerA critical thinker A problem solverA problem solver An innovatorAn innovator An effective communicatorAn effective communicator An effective collaboratorAn effective collaborator A self-directed learnerA self-directed learner Information and media literateInformation and media literate Globally awareGlobally aware Civically engagedCivically engaged Financially and economically Financially and economically literateliterate

Source: Partnership for 21st Century Skills

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How Do We Seek Knowledge Now?

2 Billion

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http://flickr.com/photos/malias/160044163/

Portable Knowledge and

Skills

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http://flickr.com/photos/cheeseroc/2202100903/

Assessment will be different.

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http://flickr.com/photos/joeshlabotnik/2143212474/

Change

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http://flickr.com/photos/julipan/201373369/

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How might we How might we as leaders work as leaders work in these future in these future

schools?schools?

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http://flickr.com/photos/skistz/398429879/

What’s in Your Toolbox?

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http://flickr.com/photos/lxsocon/2104419152/

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http://flickr.com/photos/smith/13928463/

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http://www.ntigroup.com

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http://flickr.com/photos/thinkpublic/897135376/

RSS – Really Simple Syndication

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What will What will Leadership for Leadership for

the 21st the 21st Century Look Century Look

Like?Like?

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Its About Headware not Hardware (Jukes, 1996)

http://flickr.com/photos/linnybinnypix/448776281/

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http://flickr.com/photos/cpstorm/167418602/

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http://flickr.com/photos/spyndle/474122586/

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http://flickr.com/photos/photomonkey/12746989/

Data Driven

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http://flickr.com/photos/rudiriet/109718350/

Support

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http://flickr.com/photos/shuttercat7/332019996/

Risk

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http://flickr.com/photos/tetanus/304131171/

Infrastructure

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http://flickr.com/photos/nabeel/244009512/

Expectations

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http://flickr.com/photos/kk/23390123/

Security

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http://flickr.com/photos/piotrzurek/473448196/

Leadership will be at all levels of our schools and not based solely on position but rather on knowledge.

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http://flickr.com/photos/28481088@N00/2198193461/

Guides

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Impact for School Impact for School AdministratorsAdministrators

Quarterbacks Quarterbacks Crystal ballCrystal ball New Educational ParadigmNew Educational Paradigm

Thornburg: “What’s our job? ..to Thornburg: “What’s our job? ..to prepare kids for their future rather prepare kids for their future rather than our past or present.”than our past or present.”

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Summary QuotesSummary Quotes

““Change is a law of life….those who Change is a law of life….those who look to the past or present are certain look to the past or present are certain to miss the future.” to miss the future.” John KennedyJohn Kennedy

““Power can be contained in a boiler, Power can be contained in a boiler, but mastery exists only in the brain: in but mastery exists only in the brain: in other words, that it is ideas, not other words, that it is ideas, not locomotives that move the world. Let locomotives that move the world. Let us not mistake the horse for the rider.” us not mistake the horse for the rider.” Victor HugoVictor Hugo

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Technology Savvy Technology Savvy LeadersLeaders

Blue WhalesBlue Whales Committed SardinesCommitted Sardines