led luminaires - economical lifetime and service concepts, june 2011
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Presentation about led luminaire life timesTRANSCRIPT
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
LED luminaires – Economical Lifetimes
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
LED System
LED luminaires are part of an integrated system
thermal
electronic optical
mechanical
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
High Power LEDs
LED types used by Schréder LED lifetime extrapolation (TM-21) LED system lifetime LED driver lifetime LED exchange concepts
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
LED Concepts
CitizenCL-L 103-longitudinal
Cree XP-E1mm2-chip
Bridgelux RS4500 lm
Cree MC-E4x0.7mm2-multichip
Cree XM-L4mm2-chip
Difficult to use forasmmetric
street lighting pattern
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
LED Lifetime – Tests and Extrapolations
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
Among the findings of the TM-21 workgroup:
6000 hours of LM-80 testing is not adequate to allow accurate projection of L70
LED platforms from manufacturer to manufacturer each tend to have their own lumen depreciation characteristics
LED platforms within a given manufacturer each tend to have their own lumen depreciation characteristics
LED Lifetime Extrapolation – TM-21
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
2. Chip Degradation
1. Silicone Encapsulant Degradation
3. Phosphor Degradation
FACTORS AFFECTING LUMEN DEPRECIATION IN LEDs
Ceramic Substrate, Silicone Encapsulant, Phosphor Conversion
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
2. Chip Degradation
1. Silicone Encapsulant Degradatio
3. Phosphor Degradation
FACTORS AFFECTING LUMEN DEPRECIATION IN LEDs
Molded Plastic Package, Silicone Encapsulant, Phosphor Conversion, Silver Lead Frame
4. Lead Frame Degradation5. Plastic Degradation
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
1. Silicone Encapsulant Degradation
2. Chip Degradation
3. Phosphor Degradation
4. Reflector Degradation
5. Glass Degradation
FACTORS AFFECTING LUMEN DEPRECIATION IN LEDs
Ceramic Substrate, Silicone Encapsulant, Phosphor Conversion,Silver Reflector, Glass Lens
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
time
Lumen Depreciation of LED Components
chip degradation
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
time
Lumen Depreciation of LED Components
chip degradation
silicone degradation
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
time
Lumen Depreciation of LED Components
chip + silicone degradation
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
time
Lumen Depreciation of LED Components
chip + silicone degradation
plastic degradation
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
time
Lumen Depreciation of LED Components
chip + silicone + plastic degradation
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
Typical LM-80 Test Behavior and TM-21 Lumen Maintenance Projection (6k)
• First 1k hours is ignored for TM-21 projection purposes• Upper reporting bound set by 6x available data (6 x 6k = 36k hrs)• Exponential extrapolation to least squares mathematical fit between 1k and 6k
hours• Reported and projected L70 may or may not be the same number
100%
90%
80%
70%
Lum
en M
ainte
nanc
e (%
)
Time (hours)
10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000
Projected L70(6k) = 35,000 hoursReported L70(6k) = 35,000 hours
6 x 6,000 = 36,000 hours (max)
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
Typical LM-80 Test Behavior and TM-21 Lumen Maintenance Projection (10k)
100%
90%
80%
70%
Lum
en M
ainte
nanc
e (%
)
Time (hours)
10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000
6 x 10,000 = 60,000 hours (max)
Projected L70(10k) = 93,000 hoursReported L70(10k) = 60,000 hours
• Tmax/2 is used for TM-21 projection (10K/2 = last 5K hours)• Upper reporting bound set by 6x data (6 x 10k = 60k hrs)• Exponential Extrapolation to least squares mathematical fit between 5k and 10k
hours• Reported and projected L70 may or may not be the same number
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
Typical LM-80 Test Behavior and TM-21 Lumen Maintenance Projection (20k)
100%
90%
80%
70%
Lum
en M
ainte
nanc
e (%
)
Time (hours)
10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000
6 x 20,000 = 120,000 hours (max)
Projected L70(20k) = 114,000 hoursReported L70(20k) = 114,000 hours
• Tmax/2 is used for TM-21 projection (20K/2 = last 10K hours)• Upper reporting bound set by 6x data (6 x 20k = 120k hours)• Exponential Extrapolation to Least squares mathematical fit between 10k and 20k
hours• Reported and projected L70 may or may not be the same number
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
LED Lifetime – Tests and Extrapolations
Tj=68 °C, 0.35 A Tj=98 °C, 0.35 A
Tj=112 °C, 0.7 A
Low impact of thecurrent on lumen
maintenance
L70=148 Kh L70=67 Kh
L70=54 Kh
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
Lumen Maintenance and Catastrophic Failures
Tj: Impact on critical failuresIf: Impact on lumen maintenance (L70)
Lumen maintenanceEx. Cat. failures
Catastrophic failures65 °C
100 °C
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
Lumen Maintenance– From the LED to an LED Luminaire
B10, L70
B50, L70
L70, only regarding long-term lumen maintenance
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
Failure Rates – LED System Approach
LED tunnel luminaire (54 LEDs)
Requirement in the customer‘s specification:90 % lumen maintenance in 90 % of all luminairesafter 5 years of operation (24 h/day) 44000 h
What will be the maximum Tj in order to fulfil this requirement? At a given Tj, what is a realistic failure rate?
Long-TermLumen Maintenance
CatastrophicFailure Rate
System Life
Monte-Carlo-Simulation
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
Failure Rates – LED System Approach
62 LEDs110 °C
90 khrs vs. 60 khrs!!!
L70
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
Failure Rates – LED System Approach
350mA/54 LEDs/L80
Tj = 65°C
Tj = 75°C
Tj = 80°C
Tj = 85°C
90,00080,000
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
Failure Rates – LED System Approach
L70L75L80L90
350mA/54 LEDs/65°C
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
Critical Failures
LEDs fail !!!
Probability of the failure of an individual LED after 50000 h:0,05 % - 0,5 % (depending on the operating conditions)Luminaire with 32 LEDs Probability that at least one LED fails after 50000 h can be 15 %Failure modes and preventive actions: Open circuit: The LEDs in a series are off protection by a shunt (Zener)
Short circuit: Only the defective LED is offno additional protection
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
LED Drivers – Lifetime and Reliability
LEDs: Lifetime (Byy, Lxx)
Drivers: Failure rate as a function of lifetime
Failu
re ra
te/ti
me
unit
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
LED Drivers – Lifetime and Reliability
Typical lifetime curve of electronic driversUsable lifetime
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
LED Drivers – Lifetime and Reliability
Typical lifetime curve of electronic drivers
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
160000
180000
30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Life
time
Ambient temperature [ C]
Driver Lifetime vs. Temperature
Lifetime ~ eEa/RT
(Arrhenius Law)
Reference: Tc at the Tc point indicated on the driverTc ≠ Ta !!
Impact of temperature ifthe driver is not operated?
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
MTBF-MTTF
Calculation of the lifetime of electronic devices
MTBF: Mean Time Between FailuresPredicted elapsed time between inherent failures of a system during operation
MTBF Simulation taking into account: Components Current Temperature of the components Air humidity
No repair of a defective System MTTF: Mean Time To Failure
MTBF
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
MTBF-Lifetime
MTBF ≠ Lifetime
Failures at MTBF: 63 %!!!(assuming exponential failure model)
Lifetime of typical drivers: OSRAM OT42/350 5 % failures at 50000 hrs VS-O EDXe 350-40W 10 % failures at 50000 hrs ROAL 42 V 120 V 350 mA 8 % failures at 80000 hrs H&S 84 W+126 W 120 V 8 % failures at 80000 hrsOnly statistical failures, no catastrophic failure due tothe end of capacitor lifetime
5 % failures at 50000 hrs ≈ 1000000 hrs MTBF
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
Failure Modes in the LED System
Other failure causes in the LED luminaire
Thermal
Electronic
Optical Browning of the
lensed due to heatand UV Soiling
Mechanical Solder cracks due to
mismatch of expansioncoefficients
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
AR
ESA
LED
OR
IEN
TOLED Exchange Concepts
PCB accessible, exchange of the PCB
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
CALLA LEDFuture proof!
• Onsite replacement concept
• Electronic & LED optical block
• Adapted to the follow the LED evolution
LED Exchange Concepts
Exchange of the LED module
Schréder, Steffen Holtz, June 2011LEDs – Economical Lifetimes
PIANO
• LEDSafe®: performances over time- Completely IP 66 sealed LED Optical bloc - LEDs + lenses protected by a glass- Extra-clear glass
Optical bloc IP 66 independant and removable on site
• FutureProof:- onsite replacement concept- electronic & LED optical bloc- adapted to follow the LED evolution
LED Exchange Concepts
Exchange of the whole optical block