lecture_2_2011
TRANSCRIPT
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International Corporate Finance
March 22, 2011
Managing Operating Exposure
Chapter 12Suggested Exercises: 1, 4, 6
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Operating Exposure
Operating exposure measures any change in
the present value of a firm resulting from
changes in future operating cash flows caused
by an unexpected change in exchange rates.
Also called:
economic exposure,
competitive exposure,
strategic exposure.
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Operating & Financing Cash Flows
The cash flows of the MNE can be divided into: operating cash flows, and
financing cash flows.
Operating cash flows arise from intercompany (betweenunrelated companies) and intracompany (between unitsof the same company) receivables and payables, rent andlease payments, royalty and license fees and assortedmanagement fees.
Financing cash flows are payments for loans (principaland interest), equity injections and dividends.
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Expected Versus Unexpected Changes in Cash
Flows
An expected change in exchange rates is not included
in the definition of operating exposure
Management and investors should have factored this into
their analysis of anticipated market value
Management should use forward exchange rates when
preparing the operating budgets, rather than assuming
that the spot exchange rates will not change.
Rem
em
ber: Forward rate is an unbiased estim
ator offuture spot rates
Therefore, only unexpected changes in exchange rates
should cause market value to change.
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CASE STUDY: Trident Corporation and Its European Subsidiary:
Operating Exposure of the Parent and Its Subsidiary
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Trident Corporation and Its European Subsidiary:
Operating Exposure of the Parent and Its Subsidiary
Base Case:
Trident Europe manufactures in Germany using European
material and labor.
Half of its production is sold within Europe for euros and halfis exported to non-European countries.
All sales are invoiced in euros.
Accounts receivable are one-fourth of annual sales
i.e. average collection period is 90 days. Inventory is equal to 25% of annual direct costs
Depreciation on plant and equipment is Euro600,000 per year
Corporate income tax is 34%
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Trident Corporation and Its European Subsidiary:
Operating Exposure of the Parent and Its Subsidiary
On January 1, 2011, the Euro unexpectedly drops by
16.67% in value, from $1.2/ to $1.0/ .
We need to predict: What will happen to the sales
volume, sales price, and operating costs? The answer will depend on Trident Europes, its customers
and suppliers reaction to the devaluation.
Case 1: No change in any variable
Case 2: Sales volum
e in Europe and export volum
e doublebecause German-made telecom components are nowmore
competitive with imports (lower prices). Other variables remain
constant
Case 3: The Euro sales price increase from 12.80 to 15.36 tomaintain the same U.S. dollar-equivalent price (exchange rate pass
through). Other variables remain constant.
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BALANCE SHEETEnd of Fiscal 2010
Assets Liabilities and net worth
Cash 1,600,000 Accounts payable 800,000
Accounts receivable 3,200,000 Short-term bank loan 1,600,000
Inventory 2,400,000 Long-term debt 1,600,000
Net plant and equipment 4,800,000 Common stock 1,800,000
Retained earnings 6,200,000
Sum 12,000,000 Sum 12,000,000
Important Ratios to be Maintained and Other Data
Accounts receivable, as percent of sales 25.00%
Inventory, as percent of annual direct costs 25.00%
Cost of capital (annual discount rate) 20.00%
Income tax rate 34.00%
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Base Case Case 1 Case 2 Case 3
Assumptions
Exchange rate, $/ 1.2000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000
Sales volume (units) 1,000,000 1,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000
Sales price per unit 12.80 12.80 12.80 15.36
Direct cost per unit 9.60 9.60 9.60 9.60
Annual Cash Flows before Adjustments
Sales revenue 12,800,000 12,800,000 25,600,000 15,360,000
Direct cost of goods sold 9,600,000 9,600,000 19,200,000 9,600,000
Cash operating expenses (fixed) 890,000 890,000 890,000 890,000
Depreciation 600,000 600,000 600,000 600,000
Pretax profit 1,710,000 1,710,000 4,910,000 4,270,000
Income tax expense 581,400 581,400 1,669,400 1,451,800
Profit after tax 1,128,600 1,128,600 3,240,600 2,818,200
Add back depreciation 600,000 600,000 600,000 600,000
Cash flow from operations, in euros 1,728,600 1,728,600 3,840,600 3,418,200
Cash flow from operations, in dollars $ 2,074,320 $ 1,728,600 $ 3,840,600 $ 3,418,200
Adjustments to Working Capital for 2011 and 2015 Caused by Changes in Conditions
Accounts receivable 3,200,000 3,200,000 6,400,000 3,840,000
Inventory 2,400,000 2,400,000 4,800,000 2,400,000
Sum 5,600,000 5,600,000 11,200,000 6,240,000
Change from base conditions in 2011 - - 5,600,000 640,000
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Year Year-End Cash Flows
1 (2011) $ 2,074,320 $ 1,728,600 $ (1,759,400) $ 2,778,200
2 (2012) $ 2,074,320 $ 1,728,600 $ 3,840,600 $ 3,418,200
3 (2013) $ 2,074,320 $ 1,728,600 $ 3,840,600 $ 3,418,200
4 (2014) $ 2,074,320 $ 1,728,600 $ 3,840,600 $ 3,418,200
5 (2015) $ 2,074,320 $ 1,728,600 $ 9,440,600 $ 4,058,200
Year Change in Year-End Cash Flows from Base Conditions
1 (2011) na $ (345,720) $ (3,833,720) $ 703,880
2 (2012) na $ (345,720) $ 1,766,280 $ 1,343,880
3 (2013) na $ (345,720) $ 1,766,280 $ 1,343,880
4 (2014) na $ (345,720) $ 1,766,280 $ 1,343,8805 (2015) na $ (345,720) $ 7,366,280 $ 1,983,880
Present Value of Incremental Year-End Cash Flows
na $ (1,033,914) $ 2,866,106 $ 3,742,892
Base Case Case 1 Case 2 Case 3
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Measuring the Impact of Operating Exposure
Short-run: One year operating budget.
The prices and costs are rigid for the existing obligations,
they cannot be changed according to the market
conditions.
Medium-run: 2-5 year budgets.
If the parity conditions among foreign exchange rates,
nominal interest rates and inflation rates hold, there would
be no operating exposure (estimated cash flows = actual
cash flows)
If the markets are in disequilibrium, the firm is exposed to
the operating risk.
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Strategic Management of Operating
Exposure
Objective
To anticipate and influence the effect of
unexpected changes in exchange rates on a firms
future cash flows How to meet this objective?
Recognize a disequilibrium in foreign exchange
markets (e.g. Divergence from international parity
conditions)
Diversify internationally firms operating base
Diversify internationally firms financing base
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Diversifying Operations
Diversify
Location of sales
Location of production facilities
Location of raw material sources Benefits
If a firm is diversified, management can recognize
disequilibrium when it occurs and react competitively.
Recognizing a temporary change in worldwidecompetitive conditions permits management to make
changes in operating and financial strategies
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Diversifying Financing
Diversify by
Raising funds in more than one capital market
Raising funds in more than one currency
Establishing banking relationships in more than
one country
Benefits
Reduce the variability of future cash flows dueto domestic business cycles
Increase the availability of capital, and reduce
cost of capital
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Proactive Management of Operating Exposure
The six most commonly employed proactive policies are
1. Matching currency cash flows2. Risk-sharing agreements
3. Back-to-back or parallel loans
4. Currency swaps
5. Leads and lags
6. Reinvoicing center
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1. Matching Currency Cash Flows
Use when cash flows in foreign currency arerelatively constant and predictable over time.
One way to offset an anticipated continuous long
exposure to a particular currency is to acquire
debt denominated in that currency. This policy results in a continuous receipt of
payment and a continuous outflow in the same
currency.
This can sometimes occur through the conduct of
regular operations (eg. buy rawmaterials in a
country from where the company expects
revenues) and is referred to as a natural hedge.
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Matching Currency Cash Flows
U.S.
Corporation
Canadian
Corporation(buyer of goods)
Exports
goods toCanada
Payment for goods
in Canadian dollars
Principal and interest
payments on debt
in Canadian dollars
Canadian
Bank(loans funds)
US Corp borrows
Canadian dollar debtfrom Canadian Bank
Exposure: The sale of goods to Canada creates a foreign currency
exposure from the inflow of Canadian dollars
Hedge: The Canadian dollar debt payments act as a financial hedge by
requiring debt service, an outflow of Canadian dollars
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2. Risk-sharing
Risk-sharing is a contractual arrangement in whichthe buyer and seller agree to share or split currency
movement impacts on payments
This agreement is intended to smooth the impact onboth parties of volatile and unpredictable exchange
rate movements
Example Ford purchases from Mazda in Japanese yen at the current
spot rate as long as the spot rate is between 115/$ and
125/$.
If the spot rate falls outside of this range, Ford and Mazda
will share the difference equally
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If on the date of invoice, the spot rate is 110/$,
(i.e. yen appreciated), Fords costs of purchasingrises.
Fords payment to Mazda would be:
22.222,222$112.50/$
025,000,00
2
5.00/$-115.00/$
025,000,00!!
Note that this movement is in Fords favor, however
if the yen depreciated to 130/$, Mazda would be
the beneficiary of the risk-sharing agreement
What is Japanese yen is continuously appreciating?
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3. Back-to-Back Loan
(Parallel Loan; Credit Swap)
Two firms in different countries arrange to borrow each
others currency for a specific period of time
The operation is conducted outside the FOREX markets, although
spot quotes may be used
The two loans would be for equal values at the current spot rate
for a specified maturity. But there may be additional clauses for
extreme unexpected changes in the future spot rates.
This swap creates a covered hedge against exchange loss, since
each company, on its own books, borrows the same currency it
repays
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Back-to-Back Loans
The back-to-back loan provides a method for parent-subsidiary cross border
financing without incurring direct currency exposure.
Impediments: (i) Finding a counterparty. (ii) counterparty risk
Indirect
Financing
British parent
firm
1. British firm wishes to invest fundsin its Dutch subsidiary
Dutch firms
British subsidiary
3. British firm loans British pounds
directly to the Dutch firms British
subsidiary
Direct loan
in pounds
Dutch parent
firm
2. British firm identifies a Dutch firm wishingto invest funds in its British subsidiary
British firms
Dutch subsidiary
4. British firms Dutch subsidiary loans
euros to the Dutch parent
Direct loan
in euros
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4. Currency Swaps
In a currency swap, a firm and a swap dealer or swap
bank agree to exchange an equivalent amount of two
different currencies for a specified amount of time.
Currency swaps can be negotiated for a wide range of
maturities
A typical currency swap requires two firms to borrow funds
in the markets and currencies in which they are best known
or get the best rates
The swap dealer, or the swap bank acts as the middleman in
setting up the swap agreement
Do not appear on a firms balance sheet
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Currency Swaps
Wishes to enter into a swap to
pay dollars and receive yen
Japanese
Corporation
Assets Liabilities & Equity
Debt in yenSales to US
Swap Dealer
Receivedollars
Pay
dollars
Pay
yen
Receive
yen
Wishes to enter into a swap to
pay yen and receive dollars
United States
Corporation
Debt in US$
Assets Liabilities & Equity
Sales to Japan
Inflow
of yen
Inflow
of US$
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5. Leads and Lags
Retiming the transfer of funds Firms can reduce both operating and transaction exposure
by accelerating or decelerating the timing of payments
that must be made or received in foreign currencies.
To lead is to pay early. A firm holding soft currency and having debts denominated in
hard currency will pay the hard currency debt as soon as possible.
The objective is to pay currency debts before the currency drops in
value.
To lag is to pay late.
A firm holding a hard currency and having debts denominated in
soft currency will lag by paying the debt late. (less currency will be
needed if soft currency depreciates)
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6. Reinvoicing Centers
A subsidiary or department of a multinational
corporation where all intrafirm transactions are
centralized and foreign currency related receivables
and liabilities are netted. There are three basic benefits arising from the
creation of a reinvoicing center:
Managing foreign exchange exposure
Guaranteeing the exchange rate for future orders
Managing intrasubsidiary cash flows
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Use of a Reinvoicing Center
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Managing Translation Exposure
Chapter 13
Suggested Exercises:1, 2, 3, 4
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Translation (Accounting) Exposure
Translation exposure is the risk of adverse effects on a firm`s
financial statements that may arise from changes in exchange
rates.
Translation exposure results from translating foreign currency
denominated financial statements into the parents consolidated
reporting currency.
Translation exposure is the potential for an increase or decrease in the
parents net worth or reported net income caused by a change in
exchange rates since the last translation.
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Overview ofTranslation
Main cause: Different exchange rates are usedin translating different line items in accounting
statements.
Historical exchange rates are used for certainequity accounts, fixed assets, and inventory items,
Current exchange rates are used for current
assets, current liabilities, income, and expense
items.
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Translation Methods
Translationmethods differ by country along two
dimensions:
Degree of independence from the parent
company
Integrated foreign entity
Self-sustaining foreign entity
Functional Currency
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Categorizing the Foreign Subsidiaries
Most countries today specify the translationmethod used by a foreign subsidiary based on thesubsidiarys business operations (subsidiarycharacterization).
A foreign subsidiarys business can be categorized aseither an integrated foreign entityor a self-sustaining
foreign entity.
An integrated foreign entity is one that operates as anextension of the parent, with cash flows and businesslines that are highly interrelated.
A self-sustaining foreign entity is one that operates inthe local economic environment independent of theparent company.
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Functional Currency
A foreign affiliates functional currency is the
currency of the primary economic environment in
which the subsidiary operates
The geographic location of a subsidiary and itsfunctional currency can be different
Example: US subsidiary located in Singapore may find that
its functional currency could be
U.S. dollars (integrated subsidiary)
Singapore dollars (self-sustaining subsidiary)
British pounds (self-sustaining subsidiary)
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Economic Indicators
forDetermining the
Functional Currency
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Translation Methods
There are two basic methods for the translation of
foreign subsidiary financial statements:
The current rate method
The temporal method
Either method designates:
(1) The exchange rate at which individual balance sheet and
income statement items are remeasured
(2) Where any imbalances are to be recorded
balance sheet ?
income statement ?
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Current Rate Method
The current rate methodis the most prevalent in the world
today.
Assets and liabilities are translated at the current rate of exchange on
the day of the statement.
Income statement items are translated at the exchange rate on the
dates they were recorded, or at an appropriately weighted average
rate for the period.
Dividends (distributions) are translated at the rate in effect on the date
of paym
ent. Common stock and paid-in capital accounts are translated at historical
rates.
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Current Rate Method
Gains or losses caused by translation adjustments are not included in the
calculation of consolidated net income.
Rather, translation gains or losses are reported separately and
accumulated in a separate equity reserve account (on the B/S) with a title
such as cumulative translation adjustment(CTA).
The biggest advantage of the current rate method is that the gain or loss
on translation does not pass through the income statement but goes
directly to a reserve account (reducing variability of reported earnings).
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Current Rate Method: Summary
Item Translation Rate
Assets and Liabilities Balance Sheet Date
Income StatementItems
Either the actual exchange rate on the datesthe various revenues, expenses, gains and
losses were incurred or at a weightedaverage exchange rate for the period
Dividends Date of payment
Common Stock Historical Rate
Paid-in Capital Historical Rate
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Temporal Method
Under this method, specific assets and liabilities are
translated at exchange rates consistent with the timing of the
items creation.
The temporal method assumes that items such as inventories
and net plant and equipment are restated to reflect market
value.
Gains or losses resulting from remeasurement are carried
directly to current consolidated income, and not to equity
reserves (increased variability of consolidated earnings).
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Temporal Method: Summary
Item Translation RateMonetary Assets Current Exchange Rates
Monetary Liabilities Current Exchange Rates
Nonmonetary Assets Historical Exchange Rates
Income Statement Items Average Exchange Rate
Depreciation Historical Exchange Rates
Cost of Goods Sold Historical Exchange Rates
Dividends Exchange Rate on Payment Date
Common Stock, Paid-inCapital
Historical Exchange Rates
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Temporal Method
Any gains or losses from remeasurement are
carried directly to current consolidated
income and not to equity reserves.Foreign exchange gains and losses arising from
the translation process creates earnings
volatility.
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U.S.Translation Procedures
Governed by Financial Accounting Standards Number 52 (FAS52)
The US differentiates foreign subsidiaries on the basis of
functional currency, not subsidiary characterization
If the statem
ents arem
aintained in the local currency, and the localcurrency is the functional currency, they are translated by the current
rate method
If the statements are maintained in local currency, and the US dollar is
the functional currency, they are remeasured by the temporal method
If the statements are in local currency and neither the local currencyor the US dollar is the functional currency, the statements must first
be remeasured into the functional currency by the temporal method,
and then translated into US dollars by the current rate method
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Yes
Translatedtodollars
(currentrate method)
Remeasuretodollars
(temporal method)
YesRemeasure from foreign
currencyto functional
(temporal method)
andtranslatetodollars
(currentrate method)
No
Ifthe financialstatementsofthe foreignsubsidiaryareexpressed
ina foreigncurrency, the followingdeterminationsneedtobe
made:Isthelocalcurrencythe
functionalcurrency?No
Isthedollarthe
functionalcurrency?
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Hyperinflation Countries
Hyperinflation: Cumulative inflation has been 100% or more for over a
three-year period
Financial statements of the subsidiaries must be translated
using the temporal method
The rationale is to correct the problem of the disappearing
asset
If the current rate method were used, depreciation would be
overstated in real terms and the book value of the physical
assets would disappear from the balance sheet
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Translation Example
The functional currency of the subsidiary is the euro
The currency of the parent is US dollars
Euro
December 2002: $1.200/
January 2003: $1.000/16.67% depreciation
PP&E, common stock, and long-term debt were acquired at a past rate of
$1.2760/
Inventory on hand was purchased orm
anufactured when the averageexchange rate was $1.2180/
The example will also look at the consequences had the euro appreciated
to $1.3200/
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Managerial Implications
The translation loss or gain is larger under thecurrent rate method because inventory and
PP&E as well as monetary assets are deemed
exposed
The managerial implications are
Ifmanagement expects a currency to depreciate, it
couldminimize translation exposure by reducing net
exposed assets
Ifmanagement expects appreciation, it should
increase net exposed assets to benefit from the gain
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Should Firms Hedge Translation Exposure?
No
The value of the firm is the
PV of cash flows
Translation exposuredoesnt effect cash flows, so
ignore it
Yes
Investors dont have enough
information to estimate
cash flows and instead must
rely on reported earnings.
If reported earnings are
distorted by translation
issues, investors will
misvalue the firm.
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Managing Translation Exposure
Balance Sheet Hedge Requires an equal amount ofexposedforeign
currency assets and liabilities on a firms
consolidated balance sheet
A change in exchange rates will change the value
of exposed assets but offset that with an opposite
change in liabilities
T
his is term
edm
onetary balance The cost of this method depends on relative
borrowing costs in the varying currencies
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Trident Europe, Balance Sheet Exposure
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Balance Sheet Hedge
To achieve a balance sheet hedge:
Reduce exposed euro assets
Increase exposed euro liabilities
Exchange existing euro cash for dollars
Borrow euros, and exchange the borrowed
euros for dollars
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When is a balance sheet hedge justified?
The foreign subsidiary is about to be liquidated so
that the value of its cumulative translationadjustment would be realized
The firm has debt covenants or bank agreements that
state the firms debt/equity ratios will be maintained
within specific limits
Management is evaluated on the basis of certain
income statement and balance sheet measures that
are affected by translation losses or gains The foreign subsidiary is operating in a
hyperinflationary environment
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Which Exposure to Minimize?
Firms seeking to reduce transaction and
translation exposures typically reduce
transaction exposure first.
They then recalculate translation exposure
and then decide if any residual translation
exposure can be reduced without creating
more transaction exposure.