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Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 1 Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

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Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM. What is in This Note ?. Overview of Modigliani-Miller Proposition I and II (No Tax) Overview of Modigliani-Miller Proposition I and II (with Corporate Tax) Overview of Modigliani-Miller Proposition I and II (with Corporate and Personal Tax) - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 1

Lecture Note 1

Valuation under MM

Page 2: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 2

What is in This Note?

• Overview of Modigliani-Miller Proposition I and II (No Tax)

• Overview of Modigliani-Miller Proposition I and II (with Corporate Tax)

• Overview of Modigliani-Miller Proposition I and II (with Corporate and Personal Tax)

• Overview of Modigliani-Miller Proposition I and II (with Asymmetric Information) Reference: Chapters 14, 15, and 16 of RWJJ, Chapters 17, and 18 of BMA

• Overview of Modigliani-Miller Proposition I and II (No Tax)

• Overview of Modigliani-Miller Proposition I and II (with Corporate Tax)

• Overview of Modigliani-Miller Proposition I and II (with Corporate and Personal Tax)

• Overview of Modigliani-Miller Proposition I and II (with Asymmetric Information) Reference: Chapters 14, 15, and 16 of RWJJ, Chapters 17, and 18 of BMA

Page 3: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 3

Roadmap

Overview of Modigliani-Miller Propositions I and II (No Taxes)

Overview of Modigliani-Miller Propositions I and II (with corporate Taxes)

Overview of Modigliani-Miller Propositions I and II (with both corporate and personal Taxes)

Overview of Modigliani-Miller Propositions I and II (with asymmetric information)

Page 4: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 4

MM Proposition I (No Taxes)

Page 5: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 5

Roadmap

Overview of Modigliani-Miller Propositions I Homemade Leverage and Leveraged Equity

Assumption of Modigliani-Miller Propositions I Modigliani-Miller Propositions I

Page 6: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 6

Capital Structure and the Pie

• The value of a firm is defined to be the sum of the value of the firm’s debt and the firm’s equity.

V = D + E

• If the goal of the firm’s management is to make the firm as valuable as possible, then could the firm pick the debt-equity ratio that makes the pie as big as possible?

Value of the Firm

S DE

Page 7: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 7

MM Proposition I (No Taxes) Debt Policy is Irrelevant

• MM Proposition I (No Taxes)– Assumption– Intuition– capital structure is irrelevant

SE DS

BE

B D=

Page 8: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 8

Modigliani-Miller Proposition I (No Taxes)

• The total value of the securities issued by a firm is independent of the firm’s choice of capital structure.

• The firm’s value is determined by its real assets and growth opportunities, not by the types of securities it issues.

*This is the very step Modigliani-Miller results, and it holds in an idealized world.

Page 9: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 9

Assumptions under Modigliani-Miller Proposition I

• 1. Capital structure does not affect investment policy

• 2. No taxes (corporate taxes, personal taxes, etc)• 3 Bankruptcy is costless• 4. Managers maximized shareholders’ (E) value,

not total firm value (the Pie, E+D).

• 5. Perfect and complete capital markets• 6. Symmetric information (No black box)

Page 10: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 10

Intuition

• We can create a levered or (un)levered position by adjusting the trading in our own account.

• This homemade leverage suggests that capital structure is irrelevant in determining the value of the firm:VL = VU

Page 11: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 11

Homemade Leverage: An ExampleRecessionExpected Expansion

EPS of Unlevered Firm$2.50 $5.00 $7.50

Earnings for 40 shares $100 $200 $300

Less interest on $800 (8%)$64 $64 $64

Net Profits $36 $136 $236

ROE (Net Profits / $1,200)3.0% 11.3% 19.7%We are buying 40 shares of a $50 stock, using $800 in margin. We get the same ROE as if we bought into a levered firm.

Our personal debt-equity ratio is: 32

200,1$

800$

E

D

Page 12: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

•公司的資產負債表 /損益表 ,

•股東的資產負債表 /損益表

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 12

Page 13: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 13

Homemade (Un)Leverage: An Example

RecessionExpected ExpansionEPS of Levered Firm $1.50 $5.67 $9.83Earnings for 24 shares $36 $136 $236Plus interest on $800 (8%)$64 $64 $64Net Profits $100 $200 $300ROE (Net Profits / $2,000) 5% 10% 15%Buying 24 shares of an otherwise identical levered firm along with some of the firm’s debt gets us to the ROE of the unlevered firm.This is the fundamental insight of M&M

Page 14: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

•公司的資產負債表 /損益表 ,

•股東的資產負債表 /損益表

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 14

Page 15: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 15

In-Class Exercise

• Ross, Westerfield, and Jaffe Question 1 (pp. 449)

• Firm has a total market value of $150,000 under no debt. EBIT (Earnings before interest and taxes) is $14,000 under normal case and is 40% higher if in expansion and is 70% lower when it is recession. There are currently 2,500 shares outstanding.

• 1. Calculate EPS (Earnings per share)• 2.Repeat 1 when the firms issues $60,000 to

buyback the shares in the open market.

Page 16: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 16

In-Class Exercise

Shares repurchased = 1,000 shares ?

Page 17: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 17

Summary: MM Proposition I (No Taxes) We can create a levered or unlevered

position by adjusting the trading in our own account.

This homemade leverage suggests that capital structure is irrelevant in determining the value of the firm:

VL = VU

Page 18: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 18

MM Proposition II (No Taxes)

Page 19: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 19

Roadmap

MM Proposition I (No Taxes) Equity risk increases wit the level of debt Proof Economic Intuition

Page 20: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 20

Modigliani-Miller Proposition II (No Taxes)

• We denote the expected returns on assets, debt and equity by RA, RD , and RE , respectively. Then

Where D and E are the market values of debt and equity and

E A A DR = R + (R R )D

E

A

EBIT EBITR =

Market value of total assets Market value of debt+equity

Page 21: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 21

Modigliani-Miller Proposition II (No Taxes)

• Proof:• Let total market value of the assets, debt, and

equity as A, D, and E, respectively

A D E

A D E D E

A D E

CF CF CF

A A Aby MMI, A=D+E, so

CF CF CF CF CFD E( ) ( ),

A D+E D+E D+ED E

Thus, R = R ( )+R ( )D+E D+E

Algebraic rearrangement gives the result

EBIT

D E

Page 22: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 22

MM Proposition II (No Taxes)

Debt-to-equity Ratio

Cos

t of

capi

tal:

R (

%)

( )E A A D

DR R R R

E

D

E

RA

RD

RA

RD

Page 23: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 23

MM Proposition II (No Taxes)

• 1. Increasing the debt level does not affect the riskiness of the assets, but it does increase the riskiness of the equity

• In the same firm, RD is always less than RE,

This is because the debt has a higher priority and this is less risky. But the weighted sum of the returns of debt and equity is always a constant, and is equal to the return on assets, RA

Page 24: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 24

In-Class Exercise

• Please evaluate the following argument:

“ Equity is cheap because the firm does not have to pay investors any dividends if it does not want to.”

Page 25: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 25

In-Class Exercise: P/E ratio

• Firm X has expected revenues (or EBIT) of $5 million per year. It has a capital structure with $10 million in risk-free debt paying 4% and 4 million shares which sell at $10/share. This implies that firm value is $50 million.

• 1. What are the RA, RD , and RE, and EPS

• 2. What is the P/E ratio?

Page 26: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 26

In-Class Exercise: P/E ratio

• RA= $5 /(40+10)=10%

E A A DR = R + (R R ) 10% 10 / 40*(10% 4%) 11.5%D

E

EPS=(5-10*0.04)/4=$1.15/shareP/E=10/1.15=8.7

Page 27: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 27

Continued

• The CEO decides to boost the P/E ratio in order to “increase shareholder value”. The firm issues 1 million new shares at $10/share and uses the proceeds to buy back all its debt.

• What are the EPS and P/E ratio?

• Can you evaluate the firms based on the P/E ratio and EPS?

Page 28: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 28

In-Class Exercise: P/E ratio

• EPS=(5-)/5=$1/shareP/E=10/1=10

• In evaluating firms, we must focus on expected cash flows and risk, not P-E ratios and earnings per share

Page 29: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 29

In-Class Exercise: Share repurchase

• The firm now repurchases 20 shares.

Profit Shares EPS P/E ratio Share price (per share)

500 100 5 8 40

Profit Shares EPS P/E ratio Share price (per share)

500 80 6.25 6.4 40

•Can you evaluate the firms based on the P/E ratio and EPS?

Page 30: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 30

Corporate Taxes and Firm Value

MM Propositions I and II (with Corporate Taxes)

Page 31: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 31

Roadmap

Corporate Tax Shield MM Propositions I and II (with Taxes) The implication of optimal debt level under

MM Propositions I and II (with Taxes)

Page 32: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 32

Capital Structure & Corporate Taxes

Income Statement of

Firm U

Income Statement of

Firm L

Earnings before interest and taxes $1,000 $1,000Interest paid to bondholders - 80 Pretax income 1,000 920 Tax at 35% 350 322 Net income to stockholders 650 598

Total income to both bondholders and stockholders $0+650=$650 $80+598=$678

Interest tax shield (.35 x interest) $0 $28

The tax deductibility of interest increases the total distributed income to both bondholders and shareholders.

Page 33: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 33

Corporate Taxes and Value Interest Tax Shield

• Corporate Taxes Shied: Tax savings resulting from deductibility of interest payments.

• More interest payments, more tax savings.

What is the optimal level of debt?

Page 34: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 34

MM Proposition I (With Taxes)

L U CV V T D

The total cash flow to debt holders, and equity holders

( ) (1 )D C DEBIT R D T R D

The present value of this stream of cash flows is VL

Clearly ( ) (1 )D C DEBIT R D T R D

The present value of the first term is VU

The present value of the second term is TCD

(1 ) (1 )C D C DEBIT T R D T R D

(1 )C D D C DEBIT T R D R DT R D

Page 35: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 35

MM Proposition I (With Taxes)The present value of this stream of cash flows is

Assuming that: (1) the the positive tax bracket is perpetual and

(2) assume that the it has the same risk as the interest on the debt

D c c

D c

D

R DT DT

R DT

R cDT

The present value of this stream of cash flows (1 ) is

Assuming that: (1) the the EBIT is perpetual and

(2) : The cost of capital to an all-equity firm.

(1 )

C U

A

CU

A

EBIT T V

R

EBIT TV

R

Page 36: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

All equity-firm and levered firm

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 36

EquityTAXES Equity

Taxes

Debt

Page 37: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 37

MM Proposition II (With Taxes)

• We denote the expected returns on assets, debt and equity by RA, RD , and RE, respectively. Then

Where D and E are the market values of debt and equity and

E A A DR = R + (1 )(R R )C

DT

E

A

EBIT EBITR =

Market value of total assets Market value of debt+equity

Page 38: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 38

MM Proposition II (With Taxes)• Proof:• Let total market value of the assets, debt, and equity as A, D, and

E, respectively

L U U

D D D

U U U

D E

U U

A D EU U

by MMI with taxes, V =D+E=V + D, soV +(1- )D

EBIT(1 ) CF (EBIT-CF )(1 ) CFD+E D+E( ) ( )

V V D+E V D+E

CF (1 ) CFD+E D D+E E( ) ( ),

V D D+E V E D+E

D EThus, R = (1 )R +R ( )

V V

Algebraic rearrangement g

C C

C C C

C

C

T E T

T T T

T

T

UE A D E A D

U U

U E A A D

ives the result

VE D DR ( ) R (1 )R ,R R (1 )R

V V E E

DPlug in V +(1- )D, R R (1 )(R -R )

E

C C

C C

T T

E T T

Page 39: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 39

MM Proposition II (with Taxes)

• 1. Increasing the debt level does not affect the riskiness of the assets, but it does increase the riskiness of the equity

• In the same firm, RD is always less than RE,

This is because the debt has a higher priority and this is less risky. But the weighted sum of the returns of debt and equity is always a constant, and is equal to the return on assets, RA

Page 40: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 40

MM Proposition I and II (With Taxes)

Firm Value =

Value of All Equity Firm + PV Tax Shield

E A A D

Cost of equity capital

R = R + (1 )(R R )C

DT

E

Page 41: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 41

Tax Shield Effect

Debt (D)

Value of firm (V)

0

Present value of taxshield on debt

Value of firm underMM with corporatetaxes and debt

VL = VU + TCD

VU = Value of firm with no debt

D*

Maximumfirm value

Optimal amount of debt

Page 42: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 42

In-Class Exercise• Ross, Westerfield, and Jaffe Question 2 (pp.

449)• Firm has a total market value of $150,000 under

no debt. EBIT (Earnings before interest and taxes) is $14,000 under normal case and is 40% higher if in expansion and is 70% lower when it is recession. The corporate tax rate is 40%. There are currently 2,500 shares outstanding.

• 1. Calculate EPS (Earnings per share)• 2.Repeat 1 when the firms issues $60,000 to

buyback the shares in the open market. Debt pays 5% interest.

Page 43: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 43

Recession Normal Expansion

EBIT $4,200 $14,000 $19,600

Interest 0 0 0

Taxes 1,680 5,600 7,840

NI $2,520 $8,400 $11,760

EPS $1.01 $3.36 $4.70

%EPS –70 ––– +40

Recession Normal Expansion

EBIT $4,200 $14,000 $19,600

Interest 3,000 3,000 3,000

Taxes 480 4,400 6,640

NI $720 $6,600 $9,960

EPS $.48 $4.40 $6.64

%EPS –89.09 ––– +50.91

Page 44: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 44

Corporate Taxes and Firm Value under the Presence of

Financial Distress Costs

Page 45: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 45

Roadmap

What are the costs of financial distress? What are the direct and indirect costs of

financial distress The implication of optimal debt level under

MM Propositions I and II with significant costs of financial distress

Page 46: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 46

Corporate Taxes and Firm Value

Interest Tax Shield

Financial Distress Ccosts

Costs of Financial Distress - Costs arising from bankruptcy or distorted business decisions before bankruptcy.•Direct Costs: Legal and administrative costs

•Indirect Costs: Impaired ability to conduct business (e.g., lost sales)

Page 47: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 47

Page 48: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 48

Page 49: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 49

Page 50: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 50

Financial Distress

Costs of Financial Distress - Costs arising from bankruptcy or distorted business decisions before bankruptcy.

Market Value = Value if all Equity Financed

+ PV Tax Shield

- PV Costs of Financial Distress

Page 51: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 51

Tax Savings and Financial Distress Costs

Debt (D)

Value of firm (V)

0

Present value of taxshield on debt

Present value offinancial distress costs

Value of firm underMM with corporatetaxes and debt

VL = VU + TCD

V = Actual value of firm

VU = Value of firm with no debt

D*

Maximumfirm value

Optimal amount of debt

Page 52: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 52

Capital Structure and the Pie Model Revisited

• Taxes and bankruptcy costs can be viewed as just another claim on the cash flows of the firm.

• Let G and L stand for payments to the government and bankruptcy lawyers, respectively.

• VT = E + D + G + L

• The essence of the M&M intuition is that VT depends on the cash flow of the firm; capital structure just slices the pie.

E

G

D

L

Page 53: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 53

Taxes and Firm Value MM Proposition I (with

Corporate Taxes and Personal Taxes)

Page 54: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 54

Personal Taxes and Firm Value

• Interest payments are only taxed at the individual level since they are tax deductible by the corporation, so the bondholder receives: (1-TB)

• Dividends face double taxation (firm and shareholder), which suggests a stockholder receives the net amount: (1-TC) x (1-TS)

Page 55: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 55

Personal Taxes

• If TS= TB then the firm should be financed primarily by debt (avoiding double tax).

• The firm is indifferent between debt and equity when:

(1-TC) x (1-TS) = (1-TB)

Page 56: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 56

Asymmetric Information and Firm Value

Stock-for-debtexchange offers

Stock price falls

Page 57: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 57

New Equity Issues

• Background information:

1. There are two equally probable states of nature. The true state is revealed to management at t=0 and to investors at t=1.

2. The firm has no cash and the firms want to issue stock to raise $100.

Page 58: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 58

New Equity Issues

No New EquityNo New Equity Issue Issue New EquityNew Equity

GoodGood $250$250 $350$350

Bad Bad $130$130 $230$230

Page 59: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 59

New Equity IssuesQuestions:

What is the firm’s expected value, with or without new equity issue?

With new equity issue, what is the firm’s expected value that the old shareholders get, if the state is Good and if the state is Bad?

If the managers have superior information about the firm’s prospect, should they issue new equity when the state is Good?

Page 60: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 60

New Equity Issues

Firm Value (Issue no new equity) Firm Value (Issue no new equity) = =

(0.5)(250 + 130) = $190(0.5)(250 + 130) = $190

Firm Value (New equity) Firm Value (New equity) = =

(0.5)(350 + 230) = $290(0.5)(350 + 230) = $290

Note that old shareholders have a claim Note that old shareholders have a claim to the portion (190/290), or 65.5% of the to the portion (190/290), or 65.5% of the value of the firm if it issues new equity.value of the firm if it issues new equity.

Page 61: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

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New Equity Issues

Thus, if the firm issues equity and the state is good, old shareholders are worth:

(190/290)(350) = $229.31

And, if the firm issues equity and the state is bad, old shareholders are worth:

(190/290)(230) = $150.69

Page 62: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 62

New Equity IssuesLet’s pull these numbers together, and see what happens if the management knows that the state is likely to be good or bad, and they are acting on behalf of the old shareholders::

Old shareholder payoffs:Old shareholder payoffs:

Do NothingDo Nothing Issue Issue EquityEquity

Good newsGood news $250.00$250.00 $229.31$229.31

Bad newsBad news $130.00$130.00 $150.69$150.69

Page 63: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 63

New Equity Issues

• The equilibrium payoffs:

Do Nothing Issue Equity

• Good news $250.00

• Bad news $230 $230

Page 64: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 64

New Equity Issues

The optimal strategy for old equity is to not issue equity if they know state will be good, and issue equity if the state will be bad!

But, markets can figure this out too: As a result, they will knock down the value of the firm when a new equity is announced!

Page 65: Lecture Note 1 Valuation under MM

Corporate Finance Lecture Note 1 65

Conclusion

• What are the Modigliani-Miller Propositions I and II under perfect world?

• What are the implications of optimal debt level under Modigliani-Miller Propositions I and II?

• What are the Modigliani-Miller Propositions I and II with corporate taxes?

• What are the implications of optimal debt level under Modigliani-Miller Propositions I and II with corporate taxes?

• Why the stock price drops when there is an Stock-for-debt exchange offer?