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7/21/2019 Lecture 21 http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/lecture-21-56da578c46c40 1/24  Weather Forecasting Assignment For more information please see the links under today’s date on our class webpage

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Page 1: Lecture 21

7/21/2019 Lecture 21

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/lecture-21-56da578c46c40 1/24

 

• Weather Forecasting Assignment

• For more information please see the links under

today’s date on our class webpage

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7/21/2019 Lecture 21

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 Astrology and Horoscopes

•  Astrology is the study of

how the planets and

stars affect human

affairs.

•  A horoscope consists of

a geocentric map of the

solar system at a given

moment in time basedon a person’s date, time,

and place of birth.

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 Astrology and Horoscopes

• he calculations involved in constructing a horoscope

are based on geocentric models of the solar system

!i.e., earth is at the center".

• he interpretation of horoscopes is based on oral and

written wisdom passed down across generations by

respected astrologers.

• #any of the modern horoscopes that we are familiar

with are highly simplified versions based on a

person’s $odiac sign !e.g., A%uarius, &eo, 'apricorn".

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How do these methods fare(

• How do astrological methods compare with those

discussed in this course(

• What would it take to establish the validity of an

astrological theory(

•  Are these methods !or the evidence derived from

them" part of what is advertised(

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esting Astrology

• What would it take to test astrological principles(

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esting Astrology

• What would it take to test astrological principles(

 ) *ifferent astrologers drawing upon the sameframework should make similar predictions.

 ) he person types based on the +odiac should be

accurate !Aries high e-traversion /emini high

e-traversion, high agreeableness 0isces highopenness".

 ) Horoscope should be correct, within reason.

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How accurate are horoscopes(

• Horoscope class e-ercise

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True

AQUARIUS (Jan. 20-Feb. 18): 

ension creeps into the workday, but youcan turn it around by spending %uality

time in the open air !which brings fresh

ideas your way that will make money

later in the year". onight, tell a loved

one what he or she wants to hear.

PIS!S (Feb. 1"-#arch 20): 

here are two ways to get energy

moving forward in your career now. 1o.

2 Forget about who did what to whom,

and start new. 1o. 3 'all around before

you make any costly decisions. 4ou

make allies by asking for help. 

Fa$se

AQUARIUS (Jan. 20-Feb. 18): 

here are two ways to get energymoving forward in your career now. 1o.

2 Forget about who did what to whom,

and start new. 1o. 3 'all around before

you make any costly decisions. 4ou

make allies by asking for help. 

PIS!S (Feb. 1"-#arch 20): 

ension creeps into the workday, but you

can turn it around by spending %uality

time in the open air !which brings fresh

ideas your way that will make money

later in the year". onight, tell a loved

one what he or she wants to hear.

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25 26

27 22

Valid Not Valid

True

False   T  y  p  e  o   f   h  o  r  o  s  c  o  p  e

Validity of Horoscope

40%

44%

 These two “it felt valid” rates

are fairly similar

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• For the purposes of discussion, we’ll focus today on

the personality and health information you provided

as part of your homework for today’s class.

• We’ll e-amine whether

 ) !a" certain characteristics !e.g., e-traversion,

sub8ective well9being, physical health" vary as a

function of sign and

 ) !b" whether these characteristics vary in some of

the ways that have been hypothesi$ed by certain

astrologers.

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:ust a reminder;

• A%uar&us 9 :anuary 32 9 February 2<

P&sces 9 February 369 #arch 36

Ar&es 9 #arch 32 9 April 36

Taurus 9 April 32 9 #ay 32

'e&n& 9 #ay 33 9 :une 32ancer  9 :une 33 9 :uly 33

eo 9 :uly 3= 9August 32

*&r+o 9 August 33 9 >eptember 3=

&bra 9 >eptember 37 9 ?ctober 3=

Scorp&o 9 ?ctober 37 9 1ovember 33

Sa+&,,ar&us 9 1ovember 3= 9 *ecember 33

apr&corn 9 *ecember 3= 9 :anuary 36• he data are based on the personality ratings provided by 2=6 students who

have participated in this e-ercise over the past few years.

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 9  3

 9  2

  6

  2

  3

  @ -  t r a v e r s  i o n

 A%uariusAries 'ancer 'apricorn/emini &eo &ibra 0isces>agittarius>corpioaurus irgo

>ign

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 9 3

 9 2

 6

 2

 3

 1 e u r o t i c i s m

 A%uariusAries 'ancer 'apricorn/emini &eo &ibra 0isces>agittarius>corpioaurus irgo

>ign

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 9  3

 9  2

  6

  2

  3

  '  o  n  s  c  i  e  n  t  i  o  u  s  n  e  s  s

 A%uariusAries 'ancer 'apricorn/emini &eo &ibra 0isces>agittarius>corpioaurus irgo

>ign

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 9  3

 9  2

  6

  2

  3

  ? p e n n e s s

 A%uariusAries 'ancer 'apricorn/emini &eo &ibra 0isces>agittarius>corpioaurus irgo

>ign

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 9  =

 9  3

 9  2

  6

  2

  3

  A g r e e a  b  l e n e s s

 A%uariusAries 'ancer 'apricorn/emini &eo &ibra 0isces>agittarius>corpioaurus irgo

>ign

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 9  =

 9  3

 9  2

  6

  2

  &  i  f e  > a  t  i s  f a c  t  i o n

 A%uariusAries 'ancer 'apricorn/emini &eo &ibra 0isces>agittarius>corpioaurus irgo

>ign

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 9 3

 6

 3

 7

 0 h y s i c a l  H e a l t h 2

 A%uariusAries 'ancer 'apricorn/emini &eo &ibra 0isces>agittarius>corpioaurus irgo

>ign

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 9 3

 9 2

 6

 2

 3

 =

 0 h y s i c a l  H e a l t h 3

 A%uariusAries 'ancer 'apricorn/emini &eo &ibra 0isces>agittarius>corpioaurus irgo

>ign

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>pecific 0redictions

•  Aries @-traverted

• aurus Agreeable

• /emini Bind of ?pen

• 'ancer Agreeable, ?pen

• &eo ?pen, *isagreeable• irgo ?pen and *isagreeable !critical thinkers"

• &ibra Cntroverted

• >corpio *isagreeable

• >agittarius ?pen and Agreeable

• 'apricorn 'onscientious

•  A%uarius ?pen and Cntroverted

• 0isces Agreeable, not conscientious

• from httpDDwww.bu$$le.comDarticlesDpersonality9characteristics9of9signs9of9$odiac.html

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Aries: Extraverted

Libra: !troverted

   9      3

   9      2

      6

      2

      3

      @     -      t     r     a     v     e     r     s      i     o     n

 A%uarius Aries 'ancer 'apricorn/emini &eo &ibra 0isces>agittarius>corpioaurus irgo

>ign

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 9  3

 9  2

  6

  2

  3

  '  o  n  s  c  i  e  n  t  i  o

  u  s  n  e  s  s

 A%uariusAries 'ancer 'apricorn/emini &eo &ibra 0isces>agittarius>corpioaurus irgo

>ign

"#apricor!: #o!scie!tious 

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 9  3

 9  2

  6

  2

  3

  ? p e n n e s s

 A%uariusAries 'ancer 'apricorn/emini &eo &ibra 0isces>agittarius>corpioaurus irgo

>ign$ei!i: &i!d of 'pe!

Leo: 'pe!( )isa*reeable

Vir*o: 'pe! a!d )isa*reeable +critical thi!,ers-

.a*ittarius: 'pe! a!d A*reeable

A/uarius: 'pe! a!d !troverted

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 9  =

 9  3

 9  2

  6

  2

  3

  A g r e e a  b  l e n e s s

 A%uariusAries 'ancer 'apricorn/emini &eo &ibra 0isces>agittarius>corpioaurus irgo

>ignTaurus: A*reeable

#a!cer: A*reeable( 'pe!

.corpio: )isa*reeable

isces: A*reeable( !ot co!scie!tious