lecture 2 banking and the management of financial institutions
TRANSCRIPT
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Lecture 2: Banking and the
management of financial institutions
References
From the custom text:Deposit-taking institutions (Valentine et al)Banking and the management of financialinstitutions (Mishkin)
Other reference:Suanders, A. and M. Cornett (2012), FinancialMarkets and Institutions, 5th edition, McGraw-Hill Irwin, pp. 391-400.
A links to the above reference will be madeavailable on MyUni.
The 3 Rs of Bank Management
Maximise RETURNS to shareholders
subject to:an acceptable level of RISK
whilst meeting REGULATORYREQUIREMENTS
In general, higher returns are associatedwith higher risks
conflicts of interest for stakeholders
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The business of banking
To fund activities banks:
take deposits and issue debt securities(issue liabilities);
and banks use these funds to:
make loans and invest in debt securities(purchase assets)
The bank balance sheet
Assets = Liabilities + Capital (Equity)
i.e. A = L + E
Capital risk is risk of bank failure(insolvency) => L > A i.e. E < 0
banks & regulators place emphasison maintaining strong capital positions
Copyright 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. Allrights reser ved. 9-6
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The bank balance sheet (continued)
Banks must list A & L in order of liquidity frommost liquid to least liquid.
Liquid A make it easier for banks to respond tounanticipated deposit outflows.
A high proportion of liquid L risk of failure(especially through deposit outflows).
Basic BankingMaking a Profit
Asset transformation - selling liabilities withone set of characteristics (liquidity, risk, size &return) and using the proceeds to buy assetswith a different set of characteristics.
Liquidity and maturity transformation: Banksborrow short (liquid deposits) and lend long(illiquid loans) liquidity risk.
Size: Typically, funds from small deposits fundlarger loans
Basic BankingMaking a Profit(continued)
Return
= Net interest incomeDerived from Interest spread (loan rate less
deposit rate)
+ fees
+ income earned from securities portfolio
+ money earned from off-balance sheetactivities
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Banks need to manage:
Liquidity
Assets
Liabilities
Capital Adequacy
Credit Risk
Interest-rate Risk
Liquidity Risk
The risk that a bank will have insufficientliquid funds to pay depositors or meetother payment commitments as they falldue.
Liquidity Management:Ample Reserves
Australian banks must have positive balances
(Reserves) in exchange settlement accounts(ESAs) at RBA.
If a bank has ample reserves, a depositoutflow
L = A no in E
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Liquidity Management (Short-term): Shortfall in Reserves
Reserves are a legal requirement (in thesense that balances in ESAs are not allowed
to be negative; there is no reserve ratio inAustralia) and a potential shortfall must beeliminated.
Liquidity management (continued)
In order to obtain same-day funds, bankscan:
Borrow from other banks which havepositive balances in ESAs in overnightmarket at cash rate
Enter into repurchase agreements(repos) with RBA
Liquidity Management (continued)
Banks can also obtain additional liquidity over
the longer-term by:
Direct borrowing from other participants infinancial markets (next-day funds can beobtained this way)
Issuing short-term & long-term debt securities
Calling-in loans
Securitisation
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Liquidity Management (continued)
Selling debt securities from thesecurities portfolio
Attracting new deposit liabilities
Issuing new shares
Asset Management: Three Goals
Recall that the 2 principal assets on acommercial banks balance sheet are loans
and securities held in the securities portfolio.
Asset management: 3 goals
Generate high returns on loans and securities,subject to:
Controlling risk; and
Ensuring adequate liquidity
Asset Management: Four Tools
Assess borrowers for credit risk (defaultrisk) & impose higher i/r on riskierborrowers (or ration credit)
Purchase securities with appropriaterisk-return tradeoffs
Reduce risk by diversifying assets
Balance need for liquidity against higherreturns from less liquid assets
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Liability Management
Liability management is about acquiringfunds at low cost whilst managing
liquidity risk.
Recall the principal liabilities on acommercial banks balance sheet aredeposits and other borrowed money(interbank borrowings, debt securities orbonds etc).
Liability Management (continued)
Until the global financial crisis (GFC),non-deposit L had increased - inter-bankborrowings, repos, bank-accepted bills,bonds, long-term borrowings; depositsare now increasing.
Deposit L tend to be lower-cost than
non-deposit L but higher liquidity risk
Liability Management (continued)
Deposits account for around 70% of
Australian bank liabilities (higher than inrecent years because of the globalfinancial crisis (GFC)).
Hence, L management requires banks toconsider liquidity risk versus cost offunds.
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Capital Adequacy Management
Bank capital helps prevent bank failure byabsorbing losses.
For a given level of L: If A, then E.Banks holding more capital as a proportion ofassets tend to have lower returns but are atlower risk of failure.
Regulatory requirement (capital adequacyratio): Banks must hold capital equal to orgreater than 8% of risk-weighted A.
Copyright 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. Allrights reser ved. 9-23
Measuring Bank Performance
Return on Assets: net profit after taxes per dollar of assets
ROA =net profit after taxes
assets
Return on Equity: net profit after taxes per dollar of equity capital
ROE =net profit after taxes
equity capital
Relationship between ROA and ROE is expressed by the
Equity Multiplier: the amount of assets per dollar of equity capital
EM =Assets
Equity Capital
net profit after taxes
equity capital
net profit after taxes
assets
assets
equity capital
ROE = ROA EM
Measuring bank performance usinga ROE framework (continued)
ROE is a measure of profitability & is the bestmeasure of overall bank performance.
ROA is a measure of efficiency.
Equity (or leverage) multiplier is inverse ofcapital ratio & thus a measure of risk.
A high equity multiplier indicates a more highlyleveraged bank, lower capital adequacy &higher capital risk.
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Measuring bank performance(continued)
ROE = ROA x EM
=> ROE can because:
Bank becomes more efficient; or
Bank becomes more highly leveraged(orboth).
Measuring bank performance using aROE framework (continued)
Profit Margin (PM) =
measures the ability to pay expenses andgenerate net income from interest andnoninterest income
Asset Utilization (AU)=
measures the amount of interest and
noninterest income generated per dollar oftotal assets
incomeoperatingTotal
incomeNet
assetsTotal
incomeoperatingTotal
Measuring bank performance(continued)
ROA = PM x AU
=> ROA can because:
PM ; or
AU (or both)
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Other Ratios
The net interest margin (NIM) measures the net return on abanks earning assets
The (interest rate) spread measures the differencebetween the average yield on earning assets and averagecost on interest-bearing liabilities
leasesandloansnetsecuritiesinvestment
expenseinterestincomeinterest
assetsearning
incomeinterestnetNIM
sliabilitiebearing-interest
expenseinterest
assetsearning
incomeinterestSpread
Application of ROE Analysis
Comparison of WBS and BOAWBS = Webster Financial Bancorp
BOA = Bank of America
Interest Expense WBS = 18.53%
BOA = 37.16%Operating Income
Profit MarginNet Income
Operating Income PLL WBS = 16.68%
WBS = 4.94% Operating Income BOA = 34.23%
ROA BOA = 9.85%Net Income Noninterest expense WBS = 60.41%
Total Assets Operating Income BOA = 41.36%
WBS = 0.23%
ROE BOA = 0.56% Income Taxes WBS = -0.05%
Net Income Operating Income BOA = 4.37%
Total Equity CapitalWBS = 2.03% Asset Utilization Interest Income WBS = 4.02%
BOA = 4.53% Operating Income Total Assets BOA = 3.83%
Total Assets
Equity Multiplier WBS = 5.08% Noninterest income WBS = 1.07%
Total Assets BOA = 5.67% Total Assets BOA = 1.84%
Total Equity Capital
WBS = 8.99BOA = 8.10
Credit risk
The risk that borrowers or issuers of debtsecurities will default on repayments.
Banks set higher interest rates for higher-riskborrowers but this can adverse incentiveand adverse selection effects probabilityof default.
In this case, rather than further raisinginterest rates, banks engage in creditrationing.
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Managing Credit Risk
Screen loan applicants
Specialise in lending
Monitor and enforce restrictive covenantsDevelop long-term customer relationships
Make loans using loan commitments that requireborrowers to provide continuous information
Require borrowers to have collateral and holdcompensating balances
Ration credit
Interest rate risk
I/r risk is the risk that changes in interestrates will have an adverse impact onthe banks financial performance or networth.
I/r risk has 2 components:
1. Effect on earnings (interest revenueless interest expense) and profits
2. Effect on prices (PV) of A & L (E)
Copyright 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. Allrights reser ved. 9-33
Interest-Rate Risk: Impact onEarnings
If a bank has more rate-sensitive liabilities than assets, a rise ininterest rates will reduce bank profits and a decline in interestrates will raise bank profits
First National Bank
Assets Liabilities
Rate-sensitive assets $20M Rate-sensitive liabilities $50M
Variable-rate and short-term loans Variable-rate CDs
Short-term securities Money market deposit accounts
Fixed-rate assets $80M Fixed-rate liabilities $50M
Reserves Checkable deposits
Long-term loans Savings deposits
Long-term securities Long-term CDs
Equity capital
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Managing i/r risk using gap tables
Divide A & L into those where cash flows if i/r (rate-sensitive A or RSA) &
those where cash flows dont (fixed-rate A & L).
If interest rates change: cash flowsassociated with RSA & RSL also change
Managing i/r risk (continued)
Gap report divides A & L into maturity
buckets
e.g. < 3 months
3-6 months
6-12 months etc
A $ gap (or maturity gap) is calculated for eachtime-bucket.
$ gap = value of interest-sensitive A
lessvalue of interest-sensitive L
Gap tables
Note that several different terms are oftenused to refer to the gap: interest rategap, interest rate repricing gap, maturitygap, interest sensitivity gap.
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Aggressive gap management
If $ gap is positive then:
interest revenues change on RSA morethan interest costs on RSL
Naive rule of (aggressive) gapmanagement:
Naive rule of (aggressive) gapmanagement
If i/r are expected to:
, then structure B/S with +ve gap
, then structure B/S withve gap
Above will lead to net interest income
Defensive gap management
Structure B/S with zero $ gap
=> no in net interest income if i/r or
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I/r risk: Impact on EquityDuration analysis
Duration = weighted average time to
receipt of cash flows.
For a zero coupon bond, there are nocash flows prior to maturity date so:
Duration = Term to maturity
Duration (continued)
For a coupon bond, some cash flows(interest payments) are received beforematurity date so:
Duration < Term to maturity
(We wont worry about calculation of
Duration in this topic. Any examples willgive you duration.)
Copyright 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. Allrights reser ved.
Duration (continued)
Duration Analysis:
% market value of security
percentage point interest rate duration in years
Uses the weighted average duration of
a financial institution's assets and of its liabilities
to see how net worth responds to a change in
interest rates
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Example
A = 100
L = 80
E = 20
Weighted DA = 4 yearsWeighted DL = 1 year
Suppose i/r are expected to increase by 1 percentagepoint (100 basis points)
% in PV of A = -1 x 4 = -4 => PV of A = .96 x 100 = 96
% in PV of L = -1 x 1 = -1 => PV of L = .99 x 80 = 79.2
As E = A L, E = 96 -79.2 = 16.8
Summary: the increase in i/r by 1 percentage point afall in E from 20 to 16.8
Managing i/r risk using duration
The bank can reduce the above i/r riskby shortening DA or lengthening DL.
e.g shorten DA by investing in shorter-term securities or by investing insecurities with a higher coupon i/r.
Managing i/r risk using duration(continued)
Both of the above measures ensure
that a higher proportion of the cashflows is received sooner rather thanlater so duration is shorter.
Shorter DA => PV of A wont fall asmuch for a 100 basis point in i/r.
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Off-Balance-Sheet Activities
Loan sales (securitisation)
Generation of fee income
Trading activities and risk managementtechniques (using derivatives)
Next week
Assessing the competitiveness of theAustralian banking sector