lecture 2 banking and the management of financial institutions

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  • 7/31/2019 Lecture 2 Banking and the Management of Financial Institutions

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    Lecture 2: Banking and the

    management of financial institutions

    References

    From the custom text:Deposit-taking institutions (Valentine et al)Banking and the management of financialinstitutions (Mishkin)

    Other reference:Suanders, A. and M. Cornett (2012), FinancialMarkets and Institutions, 5th edition, McGraw-Hill Irwin, pp. 391-400.

    A links to the above reference will be madeavailable on MyUni.

    The 3 Rs of Bank Management

    Maximise RETURNS to shareholders

    subject to:an acceptable level of RISK

    whilst meeting REGULATORYREQUIREMENTS

    In general, higher returns are associatedwith higher risks

    conflicts of interest for stakeholders

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    The business of banking

    To fund activities banks:

    take deposits and issue debt securities(issue liabilities);

    and banks use these funds to:

    make loans and invest in debt securities(purchase assets)

    The bank balance sheet

    Assets = Liabilities + Capital (Equity)

    i.e. A = L + E

    Capital risk is risk of bank failure(insolvency) => L > A i.e. E < 0

    banks & regulators place emphasison maintaining strong capital positions

    Copyright 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. Allrights reser ved. 9-6

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    The bank balance sheet (continued)

    Banks must list A & L in order of liquidity frommost liquid to least liquid.

    Liquid A make it easier for banks to respond tounanticipated deposit outflows.

    A high proportion of liquid L risk of failure(especially through deposit outflows).

    Basic BankingMaking a Profit

    Asset transformation - selling liabilities withone set of characteristics (liquidity, risk, size &return) and using the proceeds to buy assetswith a different set of characteristics.

    Liquidity and maturity transformation: Banksborrow short (liquid deposits) and lend long(illiquid loans) liquidity risk.

    Size: Typically, funds from small deposits fundlarger loans

    Basic BankingMaking a Profit(continued)

    Return

    = Net interest incomeDerived from Interest spread (loan rate less

    deposit rate)

    + fees

    + income earned from securities portfolio

    + money earned from off-balance sheetactivities

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    Banks need to manage:

    Liquidity

    Assets

    Liabilities

    Capital Adequacy

    Credit Risk

    Interest-rate Risk

    Liquidity Risk

    The risk that a bank will have insufficientliquid funds to pay depositors or meetother payment commitments as they falldue.

    Liquidity Management:Ample Reserves

    Australian banks must have positive balances

    (Reserves) in exchange settlement accounts(ESAs) at RBA.

    If a bank has ample reserves, a depositoutflow

    L = A no in E

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    Liquidity Management (Short-term): Shortfall in Reserves

    Reserves are a legal requirement (in thesense that balances in ESAs are not allowed

    to be negative; there is no reserve ratio inAustralia) and a potential shortfall must beeliminated.

    Liquidity management (continued)

    In order to obtain same-day funds, bankscan:

    Borrow from other banks which havepositive balances in ESAs in overnightmarket at cash rate

    Enter into repurchase agreements(repos) with RBA

    Liquidity Management (continued)

    Banks can also obtain additional liquidity over

    the longer-term by:

    Direct borrowing from other participants infinancial markets (next-day funds can beobtained this way)

    Issuing short-term & long-term debt securities

    Calling-in loans

    Securitisation

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    Liquidity Management (continued)

    Selling debt securities from thesecurities portfolio

    Attracting new deposit liabilities

    Issuing new shares

    Asset Management: Three Goals

    Recall that the 2 principal assets on acommercial banks balance sheet are loans

    and securities held in the securities portfolio.

    Asset management: 3 goals

    Generate high returns on loans and securities,subject to:

    Controlling risk; and

    Ensuring adequate liquidity

    Asset Management: Four Tools

    Assess borrowers for credit risk (defaultrisk) & impose higher i/r on riskierborrowers (or ration credit)

    Purchase securities with appropriaterisk-return tradeoffs

    Reduce risk by diversifying assets

    Balance need for liquidity against higherreturns from less liquid assets

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    Liability Management

    Liability management is about acquiringfunds at low cost whilst managing

    liquidity risk.

    Recall the principal liabilities on acommercial banks balance sheet aredeposits and other borrowed money(interbank borrowings, debt securities orbonds etc).

    Liability Management (continued)

    Until the global financial crisis (GFC),non-deposit L had increased - inter-bankborrowings, repos, bank-accepted bills,bonds, long-term borrowings; depositsare now increasing.

    Deposit L tend to be lower-cost than

    non-deposit L but higher liquidity risk

    Liability Management (continued)

    Deposits account for around 70% of

    Australian bank liabilities (higher than inrecent years because of the globalfinancial crisis (GFC)).

    Hence, L management requires banks toconsider liquidity risk versus cost offunds.

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    Capital Adequacy Management

    Bank capital helps prevent bank failure byabsorbing losses.

    For a given level of L: If A, then E.Banks holding more capital as a proportion ofassets tend to have lower returns but are atlower risk of failure.

    Regulatory requirement (capital adequacyratio): Banks must hold capital equal to orgreater than 8% of risk-weighted A.

    Copyright 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. Allrights reser ved. 9-23

    Measuring Bank Performance

    Return on Assets: net profit after taxes per dollar of assets

    ROA =net profit after taxes

    assets

    Return on Equity: net profit after taxes per dollar of equity capital

    ROE =net profit after taxes

    equity capital

    Relationship between ROA and ROE is expressed by the

    Equity Multiplier: the amount of assets per dollar of equity capital

    EM =Assets

    Equity Capital

    net profit after taxes

    equity capital

    net profit after taxes

    assets

    assets

    equity capital

    ROE = ROA EM

    Measuring bank performance usinga ROE framework (continued)

    ROE is a measure of profitability & is the bestmeasure of overall bank performance.

    ROA is a measure of efficiency.

    Equity (or leverage) multiplier is inverse ofcapital ratio & thus a measure of risk.

    A high equity multiplier indicates a more highlyleveraged bank, lower capital adequacy &higher capital risk.

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    Measuring bank performance(continued)

    ROE = ROA x EM

    => ROE can because:

    Bank becomes more efficient; or

    Bank becomes more highly leveraged(orboth).

    Measuring bank performance using aROE framework (continued)

    Profit Margin (PM) =

    measures the ability to pay expenses andgenerate net income from interest andnoninterest income

    Asset Utilization (AU)=

    measures the amount of interest and

    noninterest income generated per dollar oftotal assets

    incomeoperatingTotal

    incomeNet

    assetsTotal

    incomeoperatingTotal

    Measuring bank performance(continued)

    ROA = PM x AU

    => ROA can because:

    PM ; or

    AU (or both)

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    Other Ratios

    The net interest margin (NIM) measures the net return on abanks earning assets

    The (interest rate) spread measures the differencebetween the average yield on earning assets and averagecost on interest-bearing liabilities

    leasesandloansnetsecuritiesinvestment

    expenseinterestincomeinterest

    assetsearning

    incomeinterestnetNIM

    sliabilitiebearing-interest

    expenseinterest

    assetsearning

    incomeinterestSpread

    Application of ROE Analysis

    Comparison of WBS and BOAWBS = Webster Financial Bancorp

    BOA = Bank of America

    Interest Expense WBS = 18.53%

    BOA = 37.16%Operating Income

    Profit MarginNet Income

    Operating Income PLL WBS = 16.68%

    WBS = 4.94% Operating Income BOA = 34.23%

    ROA BOA = 9.85%Net Income Noninterest expense WBS = 60.41%

    Total Assets Operating Income BOA = 41.36%

    WBS = 0.23%

    ROE BOA = 0.56% Income Taxes WBS = -0.05%

    Net Income Operating Income BOA = 4.37%

    Total Equity CapitalWBS = 2.03% Asset Utilization Interest Income WBS = 4.02%

    BOA = 4.53% Operating Income Total Assets BOA = 3.83%

    Total Assets

    Equity Multiplier WBS = 5.08% Noninterest income WBS = 1.07%

    Total Assets BOA = 5.67% Total Assets BOA = 1.84%

    Total Equity Capital

    WBS = 8.99BOA = 8.10

    Credit risk

    The risk that borrowers or issuers of debtsecurities will default on repayments.

    Banks set higher interest rates for higher-riskborrowers but this can adverse incentiveand adverse selection effects probabilityof default.

    In this case, rather than further raisinginterest rates, banks engage in creditrationing.

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    Managing Credit Risk

    Screen loan applicants

    Specialise in lending

    Monitor and enforce restrictive covenantsDevelop long-term customer relationships

    Make loans using loan commitments that requireborrowers to provide continuous information

    Require borrowers to have collateral and holdcompensating balances

    Ration credit

    Interest rate risk

    I/r risk is the risk that changes in interestrates will have an adverse impact onthe banks financial performance or networth.

    I/r risk has 2 components:

    1. Effect on earnings (interest revenueless interest expense) and profits

    2. Effect on prices (PV) of A & L (E)

    Copyright 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. Allrights reser ved. 9-33

    Interest-Rate Risk: Impact onEarnings

    If a bank has more rate-sensitive liabilities than assets, a rise ininterest rates will reduce bank profits and a decline in interestrates will raise bank profits

    First National Bank

    Assets Liabilities

    Rate-sensitive assets $20M Rate-sensitive liabilities $50M

    Variable-rate and short-term loans Variable-rate CDs

    Short-term securities Money market deposit accounts

    Fixed-rate assets $80M Fixed-rate liabilities $50M

    Reserves Checkable deposits

    Long-term loans Savings deposits

    Long-term securities Long-term CDs

    Equity capital

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    Managing i/r risk using gap tables

    Divide A & L into those where cash flows if i/r (rate-sensitive A or RSA) &

    those where cash flows dont (fixed-rate A & L).

    If interest rates change: cash flowsassociated with RSA & RSL also change

    Managing i/r risk (continued)

    Gap report divides A & L into maturity

    buckets

    e.g. < 3 months

    3-6 months

    6-12 months etc

    A $ gap (or maturity gap) is calculated for eachtime-bucket.

    $ gap = value of interest-sensitive A

    lessvalue of interest-sensitive L

    Gap tables

    Note that several different terms are oftenused to refer to the gap: interest rategap, interest rate repricing gap, maturitygap, interest sensitivity gap.

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    Aggressive gap management

    If $ gap is positive then:

    interest revenues change on RSA morethan interest costs on RSL

    Naive rule of (aggressive) gapmanagement:

    Naive rule of (aggressive) gapmanagement

    If i/r are expected to:

    , then structure B/S with +ve gap

    , then structure B/S withve gap

    Above will lead to net interest income

    Defensive gap management

    Structure B/S with zero $ gap

    => no in net interest income if i/r or

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    I/r risk: Impact on EquityDuration analysis

    Duration = weighted average time to

    receipt of cash flows.

    For a zero coupon bond, there are nocash flows prior to maturity date so:

    Duration = Term to maturity

    Duration (continued)

    For a coupon bond, some cash flows(interest payments) are received beforematurity date so:

    Duration < Term to maturity

    (We wont worry about calculation of

    Duration in this topic. Any examples willgive you duration.)

    Copyright 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. Allrights reser ved.

    Duration (continued)

    Duration Analysis:

    % market value of security

    percentage point interest rate duration in years

    Uses the weighted average duration of

    a financial institution's assets and of its liabilities

    to see how net worth responds to a change in

    interest rates

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    Example

    A = 100

    L = 80

    E = 20

    Weighted DA = 4 yearsWeighted DL = 1 year

    Suppose i/r are expected to increase by 1 percentagepoint (100 basis points)

    % in PV of A = -1 x 4 = -4 => PV of A = .96 x 100 = 96

    % in PV of L = -1 x 1 = -1 => PV of L = .99 x 80 = 79.2

    As E = A L, E = 96 -79.2 = 16.8

    Summary: the increase in i/r by 1 percentage point afall in E from 20 to 16.8

    Managing i/r risk using duration

    The bank can reduce the above i/r riskby shortening DA or lengthening DL.

    e.g shorten DA by investing in shorter-term securities or by investing insecurities with a higher coupon i/r.

    Managing i/r risk using duration(continued)

    Both of the above measures ensure

    that a higher proportion of the cashflows is received sooner rather thanlater so duration is shorter.

    Shorter DA => PV of A wont fall asmuch for a 100 basis point in i/r.

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    Off-Balance-Sheet Activities

    Loan sales (securitisation)

    Generation of fee income

    Trading activities and risk managementtechniques (using derivatives)

    Next week

    Assessing the competitiveness of theAustralian banking sector