lb 2015 investor presentation
TRANSCRIPT
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
1/44
2013 INVESTOR HANDOUT
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
2/44
2
KEY MESSAGES
We have global, category-leading brands with high emotional content thatgenerate substantial income and cash flow
Our overriding focus is on the substantial growth opportunity in North America
We believe there is substantial opportunity for international growth and expect itto be accretive to the total company operating margin
We are targeting 10% annual operating income $ growth (or better) and anoperating income rate in the high-teens
We will continue to manage inventory, expenses and capital with discipline
We remain committed to returning excess cash and generating superior returnsfor shareholders
We continue to emphasize maintaining a strong cash and liquidity position while
optimizing our cost of capital with a balanced interest for both bond and equityholders
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
3/44
3
SUPERIOR RETURNS TO SHAREHOLDERS
As of September 4, 2015
1 Fast Retailing 38.2% 1 Foot Locker 43.4% 1 L Brands 23.0%2 Walgreen Co. 37.7% 2 L Brands 38.6% 2 Inditex 23.0%3 Nike 32.7% 3 Starbucks 36.0% 3 TJX 22.6%4 Starbucks 31.7% 4 Home Depot 33.9% 4 Nike 20.8%5 L Brands 31.0% 5 Fast Retailing 33.7% 5 Fast Retailing 19.7%6 Best Buy 30.7% 6 TJX 29.1% 6 Starbucks 17.2%7 Home Depot 29.0% 7 Walgreen Co. 28.1% 7 Buckle 16.9%
8 Foot Locker 28.4% 8 Nike 25.8% 8 Foot Locker 16.2%9 Inditex 19.1% 9 Inditex 23.5% 9 Home Depot 13.9%10 TJX 16.6% 10 Buckle 17.1% 10 H&M 13.2%11 H&M 13.7% 11 Tiffany & Co. 15.4% 11 LVMH 11.8%12 Tiffany & Co. 11.8% 12 Gap 15.2% 12 Tiffany & Co. 9.9%13 Staples 11.6% 13 LVMH 12.8% 13 Ralph Lauren 9.4%14 LVMH 10.6% 14 Chico's 12.5% 14 Walgreen Co. 8.7%15 Target 9.1% 15 Target 10.4% 15 Gap 7.8%16 Buckle 4.0% 16 Bed Bath & Beyond 9.7% 16 Ascena Retail Group 6.9%17 Children's Place 1.0% 17 American Eagle 9.4% 17 Wal-Mart Stores 6.0%18 Gap (1.4)% 18 H&M 9.2% 18 Target 5.6%19 Wal-Mart Stores (2.2)% 19 Ralph Lauren 7.1% 19 Bed Bath & Beyond 4.5%20 Bed Bath & Beyond (2.5)% 20 Wal-Mart Stores 6.8% 20 Children's Place 4.4%21 American Eagle (4.0)% 21 Children's Place 4.5% 21 Giordano 3.7%22 Chico's (5.6)% 22 Best Buy 4.2% 22 American Eagle 3.6%23 Giordano (5.9)% 23 Giordano 4.1% 23 Li & Fung 1.2%24 Ralph Lauren (10.5)% 24 Ascena Retail Group 1.1% 24 Coach 0.5%25 Abercrombie & Fitch (14.3)% 25 Coach (3.4)% 25 Best Buy (0.3)%26 Ascena Retail Group (15.7)% 26 Staples (3.7)% 26 Staples (2.4)%
27 Li & Fung (17.3)% 27 Abercrombie & Fitch (8.7)% 27 Chico's (6.9)%28 Esprit Holdings (17.4)% 28 Li & Fung (18.3)% 28 Abercrombie & Fitch (7.6)%29 Coach (17.6)% 29 bebe (27.2)% 29 Esprit Holdings (16.9)%30 bebe (38.3)% 30 Esprit Holdings (28.9)% 30 Aeropostale (21.0)%31 Aeropostale (58.4)% 31 Aeropostale (46.1)% 31 bebe (21.4)%
S&P 500 13.4% S&P 500 14.1% S&P 500 6.9%S&P 500 Retail Index 23.1% S&P 500 Retail Index 23.8% S&P 500 Retail Index 11.5%
3-year Total Return 5-year Total Return 10-year Total Return
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
4/44
4
DRIVEN BY EARNINGS IMPROVEMENT
12012 represents 53-week view (52-week estimate is $2.84)22015 represents the high-end of our 2015 EPS guidance
1 2
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
5/44
5
OPERATING INCOME - “PATH TO HIGH TEENS”
“ High Teens” Goal
Note: Q4 2012 adjusted to 13 week view
17.3%
12%
13%
14%
15%
16%
17%
18%
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
O p e r a
t i n g
I n c o m e
% o
f S a
l e s
T r a
i l i n g
T w e l v e
M o n
t h s
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
6/44
6
IMPROVEMENTS DRIVEN BY:
1. Strength of the Victoria’s Secret and Bath & Body Worksbrands and the attractiveness of the intimate appareland personal care/beauty categories
2. A focus on fundamentals:
Customers
Core (“Best At” ) merchandise categoriesInventory management, flow, turn and in-stock
Speed / read and react / chase
Store selling and operations
3. Experienced, aligned and focused management team
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
7/44
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
8/44
8
12009 adjusted for third party sourcing business2Sales on likes businesses
(in millions) 20091 2014 $ CHANGE % CHANGE
Sales2 $7,848 $11,454 $3,606 46%
Operating Income $811 $1,953 $1,142 141%
Inventory $1,037 $1,036 ($1) 0%
GROW INVENTORY SLOWER THAN SALES
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
9/44
-12%
-8%
-4%
0%
4%
8%
12%
16%
Sales Exp ense
9
GROW EXPENSES SLOWER THAN SALES
Approximately $580M in savings since Q3 2009
*
* Expense increase due to incentive compensation and store selling initiatives
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
10/44
HEALTHY REAL ESTATE
10
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
11/44
11
THE BUSINESS GENERATES SIGNIFICANTCASH FLOW
($ in Millions) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015F (1)
Operating Cash Flow 1,284 1,266 1,351 1,248 1,786 1,550 - 1,650
Capital Expenditures (274) (426) (588) (691) (715) (850)
Free Cash Flow 1,010 840 763 557 1,071 700 - 800
Regular Dividend (197) (248) (296) (349) (399) (590)
Retained Cash Flow 813 592 467 208 672 110 - 210
(1) Based on the high-end of our 2015 EPS guidance of $3.73 per share
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
12/44
Pro formain billions 2005 2010 2011 2011 (1) 2012 2013 2014 2015F (4)
Balance Sheet Debt $1.7 $2.5 $3.5 $4.5 $4.5 $5.0 $4.8 $4.8
Capitalized LeaseObligations (2)
$4.6 $4.1 $4.4 $4.4 $4.6 $4.9 $5.2 $5.5
Total Adjusted Debt $6.3 $6.7 $7.9 $8.9 $9.1 $9.9 $9.9 $10.3
EBITDAR(3) $1.9 $2.2 $2.5 $2.5 $2.6 $2.7 $3.0 $3.2
Adjusted Debt / EBITDAR 3.3x 3.0x 3.2x 3.6x 3.4x 3.6x 3.3x 3.2x
End of Year Cash $1.2 $1.1 $0.9 $0.9 $0.8 $1.5 $1.7 $1.2
Debt Rating at End of Year(S&P/Moody's/Fitch)
BBB/Baa2/NR
BB+/Ba2/BB+
BB+/Ba1/BB+
BB+/Ba1/BB+
BB+/Ba1/BB+
BB+/Ba1/BB+
BB+/Ba1/BB+
BB+/Ba1/BB+
CONSISTENT LEVERAGE
121212
(1) Pro forma the $1 billion bond issuance from February 2, 2012
(2) Calculated as 8 times total rent expense, including all brands owned at the time(3) Adjusted operating income, excluding depreciation & amortization and total rent expense(4) Based on the high-end of our 2015 EPS guidance of $3.73 per share
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
13/44
1313
NO MATURITIES UNTIL 2017
Debt Maturity Profile
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
14/44
14Note: Reflects cash distributions from 2010 through August 1, 2015
$8.5 BILLION RETURNED TO SHAREHOLDERS
CASH DISTRIBUTIONS SINCE 2010
Regular Dividends $1.8 billion
Special Dividends $4.2 billion
Share Repurchases* $2.5 billion
Total $8.5 billion
*At an average price of $41.28 per share
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
15/44
15
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
16/44
OPERATING INCOME POTENTIAL
16
17.3%18.0%
16.5%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
22%
24%
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
O p e r a t
i n g
I n c o m e
% o
f S a l e s
T r a i
l i n g
T w e l v e
M o n
t h s
L Brands
Inditex
H&M
(1) L Brands results actualized for the quarter needed 8/1/15(2) Inditex results actualized for the quarter needed 7/31/15(3) H&M results actualized for the quarter needed 5/31/15
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
17/44
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
18/44
18
FOCUS ON SPEED AND AGILITY
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
19/44
3.1
3.6
3.7 3.6
3.9
4.0
19
FOCUS ON SPEED AND AGILITY
Trailing Twelve Month Dollar TurnTotal L Brands
YE 2013
YE 2014
YE 2012
YE 2011
YE 2010
Q2 2015
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
20/44
20
FOCUS ON STORE SELLING AND EXECUTION
Driving increased conversion rates through abetter store experience
A focus on store selling
― High-quality talent
― Increasing the ratio of full-time to part-timeassociates
― Increased training hours
― Productivity
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
21/44
21
SQUARE FOOTAGE GROWTH – VICTORIA’S SECRET
Right size Lingerie
– More than800stores do not
carry the full Lingerie assortment
Right size PINK
– More than650stores do notcarry the full PINK assortment
Adjacent categories
– Victoria’s Secret Sport – Loungewear/Sleepwear
– Swim
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
22/44
22
SQUARE FOOTAGE GROWTH – VICTORIA’S SECRET
Woodfield MallChicago, IL
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
23/44
23
SQUARE FOOTAGE GROWTH – VICTORIA’S SECRET
289 EXPANSIONS2007 – Q2 2015
Selling Square Footage Up about 50%
Average Store Size 8,000 ssf
Sales Up about 40%
Productivity About $850 per ssf
Profits Up about 25%
IRR About 25%
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
24/44
24
SQUARE FOOTAGE GROWTH – VICTORIA’S SECRET
Buckland HillsManchester, CT
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
25/44
25
SQUARE FOOTAGE GROWTH – VICTORIA’S SECRET
122 U.S. PINK FREE-STANDING STORESOPENED THROUGH SECOND QUARTER 2015
PINK free-standing store productivityis more than $1,000 per foot
Average store size is approximately3,400 ssf
Lingerie store sustains pre-remodelvolume
Expected total center IRR about 25+%
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
26/44
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
27/44
27
WE ARE INCREASING OUR INVESTMENTTO DRIVE GROWTH
70% invested in stores; consistent improvement in ROIC
74160
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
28/44
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
29/44
29
WE ARE INCREASING OUR INVESTMENTTO DRIVE GROWTH
Note: Company owned stores including La Senza Canada closures
(100)
0
100
200
300
400
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015F
S
e l l i n g
S q u a r e
F e e t ( 0 0
0 s
)
Selling Square Footage Growth vs. LY
0% (0%) (1%)
3%
3%3%
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
30/44
1. Very substantial sales and profit opportunity
2. At a rate equal to or accretive to the total
3. Outstanding returns on investment
4. Building for long-term, sustainable growthand profitability – operating income dollarcontribution not significant in the short-term
INTERNATIONAL GROWTH OPPORTUNITY
30
Victoria’s SecretNew Bond Street, London
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
31/44
31
FOUNDATIONAL PRINCIPLES
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
32/44
32
INTERNATIONAL OPERATING MODEL
1. A partnership-based (franchise) business model
2. Small number of world-class partners
3. High control model: we own assortment,pricing, promotions, store design and realestate approval
4. Partners make capital investments, have realestate skills and build retail sellingorganizations
5. We get paid on retail royalty basis
6. We have our people living in country: training,coaching, expediting and escalating
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
33/44
33
INTERNATIONAL - WHERE WE ARE TODAY
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
34/44
34
INTERNATIONAL PRIORITIES
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
35/44
Year End 2014 2015 New Stores 2015 Closures Year End 2015 Forecast
Victoria's Secret Beauty & Accessories (VSBA) 290 108-128 (8) 390-410
Victoria's Secret UK 10 4 - 14
Victoria's Secret International 14 4-6 - 18-20
BBW International 80 45-55 (2) 123-133
Total VS & BBW International 394 161-193 (10) 545-577
La Senza Canada 145 1 (16) 130
La Senza International 266 3-6 (28)-(40) 229-244
Total Other 411 4-7 (44)-(56) 359-374
Total International 805 165-200 (54)-(66) 904-951
L BRANDS, INC.INTERNATIONAL STORE COUNT
2015 FORECAST
35
INTERNATIONAL - 2015 OUTLOOK
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
36/44
We have global, category-leading brands with high emotional content thatgenerate substantial income and cash flow
Our overriding focus is on the substantial growth opportunity in North America
We believe there is substantial opportunity for international growth and expect itto be accretive to the total company operating margin
We are targeting 10% annual operating income $ growth (or better) and anoperating income rate in the high-teens
We will continue to manage inventory, expenses and capital with discipline
We remain committed to returning excess cash and generating superior returnsfor shareholders
We continue to emphasize maintaining a strong cash and liquidity position whileoptimizing our cost of capital with a balanced interest for both bond and equityholders 36
SUMMARY
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
37/44
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
38/44
38
Reconciliation of Reported Results to Adjusted Results
This presentation contains certain unaudited "Adjusted" financial information which representsnon-GAAP financial measures. This unaudited "Adjusted" information should not be construed
as an alternative to the reported results determined in accordance with GAAP. Further, theCompany's definition of "Adjusted" information may differ from similarly titled measures usedby other companies. While it is not possible to predict future results, management believesthe unaudited "Adjusted" information is useful for the assessment of the ongoing operations of the Company. The unaudited "Adjusted" information should be read in conjunction with theCompany's historical financial statements and notes thereto contained in the Company's
quarterly reports on Form 10-Q and annual reports on Form 10-K. The following pagescontain reconciliations of certain reported results to the adjusted results used in thispresentation.
APPENDIX
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
39/44
APPENDIX
39
Reported Adjustments Adjusted
Net Sales 2,512$ -$ 2,512$
Gross Profit 1,056 - 1,056
General, Administrative and Store Operating Expenses 684 - 684
Operating Income 372 - 372
Earnings Per Share 0.84 (0.23) 0.61
The Reconciliation of Reported Results to Adjusted Results reflects the following:
The "Adjustments" column includes the following:
˙
Reconcil iati on of Reported Results to Adjusted Results
Q1 2015(in mil lions except per share amounts)
A $78.1 million pre-tax gain ($69.0 million net of tax) included in other income, related to the sale of our remaininginterest in the third-party apparel sourcing business.
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
40/44
Reported Adjustments Adjusted
Net Sales 10,459$ -$ 10,459$
Gross Profit 4,386 40 4,426
General, Administrative and Store Operating Expenses 2,720 (1) 2,719
Operating Income 1,573 134 1,707
Earnings Per Share 2.54 0.38 2.92
The Reconciliation of Reported Results to Adjusted Results reflects the following:
The "Adjustments" column includes the following:
˙˙˙˙ A $12.7 million pre-tax gain ($8.2 million net of tax), included in other income and expense, from $13.4 million ofcash distributions related to the company’s Easton investments.
Reconcili ation of Reported Results to Adjusted Results
2012(in mi lli ons)
A $93.2 million pre-tax charge ($91.2 million net of tax) related to the impairment of La Senza goodwill and otherintangible assets;
A $26.9 million pre-tax charge ($16.6 million net of tax), included in buying and occupancy expenses, related to theimpairment of Henri Bendel store fixed assets;$14.0 million ($14.0 million net of tax) of store closure costs at La Senza; and
APPENDIX
40
APPENDIX
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
41/44
41
APPENDIX
Reported Adjustments Adjusted
Net Sales 10,364$ -$ 10,364$
Gross Profit 4,057 17 4,074
General, Administrative and Store Operating Expenses 2,698 (171) 2,527
Operating Income 1,238 308 1,546
Earnings Per Share 2.70 (0.10) 2.60
The Reconciliation of Reported Results to Adjusted Results reflects the following:
The "Adjustments" column includes the following:
˙˙˙˙̇˙
A $86 million pre-tax gain ($56M net of tax) related to the sale of shares on Express, Inc. common stock;
$24 million ($24M net of tax) of restructuring expenses at La Senza.
Reconci li atio n of Reported Results to Adj usted Results
2011(in m il lio ns ex cept per share amoun ts)
A $232 million pre-tax charge ($203M net of tax) related to the impairment of La Senza goodwill and other intangibleassets;
A $147 million non-taxable gain and associated pre-tax expense of $163 million ($112M net of tax) associated withour charitable contribution of Express, Inc. common stock to The Limited Brands Foundation;
A $111 million pre-tax gain ($99M net of tax) related to the sale of 51% of our third-party sourcing business toSycamore Partners;
A $56 million tax benefit related to certain discrete income tax matters; and
APPENDIX
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
42/44
42
APPENDIX
Reported Adjustments Adjusted
Net Sales 9,613$ -$ 9,613$
Gross Profit 3,631 - 3,631
General, Administrative and Store Operating Expenses 2,347 - 2,347
Operating Income 1,284 - 1,284
Earnings Per Share 2.42 (0.36) 2.06
The Reconciliation of Reported Results to Adjusted Results reflects the following:
The "Adjustments" column includes the following:
˙̇˙̇
˙
˙ A $7 million pre-tax gain related to the Express dividend payment ($4M net of tax).
A $25 million pre-tax loss ($16M net of tax) associated with the early retirement of portions of our 2012 and 2014maturity bonds;A $20 million pre-tax gain and a related net tax benefit of $22 million associated with the sale of our remaining25% interest in Limited Stores; and
Reconcil iati on of Reported Results to Adjusted Results
2010(in millions except per share amounts)
A $52 million pre-tax gain ($32M net of tax) related to the initial public offering of Express including the sale of aportion of the company’s shares;A $49 million pre-tax gain ($30M net of tax) related to a $57 million cash distribution from Express;A $45 million pre-tax gain related to the sale of Express stock ($28M net of tax);
APPENDIX
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
43/44
43
APPENDIX
Reported Adjustments Adjusted
Net Sales 8,632$ -$ 8,632$
Gross Profit 3,028 - 3,028
General, Administrative and Store Operating Expenses 2,169 - 2,169
Operating Income 868 (9) 859
Earnings Per Share 1.37 (0.14) 1.23
The Reconciliation of Reported Results to Adjusted Results reflects the following:
The "Adjustments" column includes the following:
˙̇˙
Reconci li ation of Reported Results to Adjusted Results
A pre-tax gain of $9 million and a related net tax benefit of $5 million related to the disposal of a non-core joint venture$23 million of favorable income tax benefits primarily related to the reorganization of certain foreign subsidiaries; and$9 million of favorable income tax benefits primarily due to the resolution of certain tax matters.
2009(in millions)
APPENDIX
-
8/20/2019 LB 2015 Investor Presentation
44/44
44
APPENDIX
Reported Adjustments Adjusted
Net Sales 9,043$ -$ 9,043$
Gross Profit 3,006 - 3,006
General, Administrative and Store Operating Expenses 2,311 (23) 2,288
Operating Income 589 129 718
Earnings Per Share 0.65 0.40 1.05
The Reconciliation of Reported Results to Adjusted Results reflects the following:
The "Adjustments" column includes the following:
˙̇˙̇
˙˙
$15 million of favorable income tax benefits primarily related to certain discrete foreign and state income taxitems.
Reconcil iati on of Reported Resul ts to Adju sted Results
A pre-tax gain of $13 mill ion ($8M net of tax) related to a cash distribution from Express; and
A pre-tax charge of $19 million ($20M net of tax) related to the impairment of the investment carrying value ofanother non-core joint venture;
A pre-tax gain of $128 million ($81M net of tax) related to the sale of a non-core joint venture;
A pre-tax non-cash impairment charge of $215 million ($204M net of tax) to reduce the carrying value of La Senzagoodwill and other intangible assets;
2008(in millions)
A pre-tax charge of $23 million ($14M net of tax) for severance related to the reduction of roughly 10% of homeoffice headcount, or approximately 400 associates ;