last cape town tour (iv). today: cryptocurrencies › 2017 › 12 › el… · blockchain is the...
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Eleonora Escalante MBA-MEng, Strategic Corporate Advisory Services
© 2017 Eleonora Escalante-all rights reserved 1
Last Cape Town Tour (IV). Today: Cryptocurrencies
6Dec2017
Cryptocurrencies,
A new money model for the future?
Or just an experiment?
Eleonora Escalante MBA-MEng, Strategic Corporate Advisory Services
© 2017 Eleonora Escalante-all rights reserved 2
Cape Town Picnic (IV): Cryptocurrencies
9Dec2017
New Industry model
Version 4.0Manufacturing:
Basic goods /
advanced
Chemicals and
Pharma
Mining and
Extractive
Industries
Transportation
and Logistics
Warehousing
Real Estate and
Infrastructure
Construction
Agriculture and
Food Security
Oil & Gas ICT Media
Entertainment
and Recreation
Hospitality Trade-Retail and
Wholesale
Financial
Services
Utilities
Healthcare Education Government Professional
Services
Personal & Local
Services
• Again, as the machines and
petroleum revolutionized the
world almost a century ago, the
new digital emergent
technologies are transforming the
society through a new
industrial version 4.0• At least 20 grand economic
sectors or industries will be
affected
• We are building a new prototype
version of our humanity.
• It is natural to think to change
the actual currency system.
Eleonora Escalante MBA-MEng, Strategic Corporate Advisory Services
© 2017 Eleonora Escalante-all rights reserved 3
Cape Town Picnic (IV): Cryptocurrencies
9Dec2017
New Industry model
Version 4.0
• The transformation of the
industries is happening
because we have understood
the importance of data
analysis.
• Digital technologies and
other innovative emerging
technologies give us DATA.
Plenty of DATA.
• Data to be gathered,
segmented, analyzed.
• Decision making based on
data, is faster, is more flexible
and more efficient.
• Produce higher quality goods
and reduced costs
Cape Town Picnic (IV) : Cryptocurrencies
Eleonora Escalante MBA-MEng, Strategic Corporate Advisory Services
© 2017 Eleonora Escalante-all rights reserved 4
Cryptocurrencies
9Dec2017
New Industrial Version 4.0 of our Society
New
Technology
Innovations
New Currency
Innovations
New Mindset
• Cryptocurrencies
• E-commerce Transactions
• Wallet
• Payments
• Exchanges
• Mining-Securing ledgers
• New Digital Skills
• Enabling digital education
• Enabling digital workers
• Digital Capital deepening
• Digital Employment
• Big Data
• Artificial Intelligence (AI)
• Automation and Robots
• Simulation
• IoT and IIoT
• Cybersecurity
• Fintech
• Augmented Reality
• Digital Analytics
• Etc, etc., etc…
• For more technologies
visit Gartner.com
The context of emerging cryptocurrencies
Cryptocurrencies
Eleonora Escalante MBA-MEng, Strategic Corporate Advisory Services
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Cape Town Picnic (IV) : Cryptocurrencies
9Dec2017
• Cryptocurrencies are the result of a combination of multiple
achievements in various disciplines that include, but are not
limited to computer science (P2P networking), cryptography
(cryptographic hash functions, digital signatures) and economics
(game theory).
• There is no central authority that governs the system; instead the
rules governing the system (e.g., defining what constitutes a valid
transaction, specifying the total supply of the digital token and its
issuance scheme, etc.) are enforced by all network participants
(also called ‘nodes’).
• Anybody is free to join and leave the system at any time, and there
are no identities attached to users.
• There are more than 1337 cryptocurrencies, being Bitcoin the
most important oneBitcoin remains the dominant cryptocurrency in terms of market capitalization, Source:
2017 Global Cryptocurrency Benchmarking Study.
Why do cryptocurrencies have emerged?
Cryptocurrencies
Eleonora Escalante MBA-MEng, Strategic Corporate Advisory Services
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Cape Town Picnic (IV) : Cryptocurrencies
9Dec2017
• The entire transaction history
can be independently verified
by each node as everyone has
a copy of the shared ledger.
• This shared ledger, generally
taking the form of a chain of
blocks comprised of
transactions (‘block chain’), is
constantly updated via a
process called ‘mining’,
through which new units of
the native token (i.e., the
cryptocurrency) are created. Source: Aswath Damodaran, Finance Professor NYU. The Crypto Currency Debate: Future of Money or
Speculative Hype?. August 2017
Blockchain is the base for Cryptocurrencies
Cryptocurrencies
Eleonora Escalante MBA-MEng, Strategic Corporate Advisory Services
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Cape Town Picnic (IV) : Cryptocurrencies
9Dec2017
As of Dec 8, 2017
Price: $15123.60
Bitcoin value (December 8th, 2017)
Cryptocurrencies
Eleonora Escalante MBA-MEng, Strategic Corporate Advisory Services
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Cape Town Picnic (IV) : Cryptocurrencies
9Dec2017
Aswath Damodaran, Professor of Finance at the Stern School of
Business at NYU.
• “Crypto currencies, with bitcoin and ether leading the pack, have succeeded in
financial markets by attracting investors, and in the public discourse by garnering
attention, but they have not succeeded (yet) as currencies.
• I believe that there will be one or more digital currencies competing with fiat
currencies for transactions, sooner rather than later, but I am hard pressed to find a
winner on the current list, right now, but that could change if the proponents and
designers of one of the currencies starts thinking less about it as a speculative asset
and more as a transaction medium, and acting accordingly.
• If that does not happen, we will have to wait for a fresh entrant and the most
enduring part of this phase in markets may be the block chain and not the
currencies themselves”.
What the experts say about cryptocurrencies?
Cryptocurrencies
Eleonora Escalante MBA-MEng, Strategic Corporate Advisory Services
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Cape Town Picnic (IV) : Cryptocurrencies
9Dec2017
Joseph Stiglitz, Columbia University, Nobel Laureate.
• Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz said
“bitcoin is successful only because of its potential for
circumvention, lack of oversight.”
• “So it seems to me it ought to be outlawed.”
• “It doesn’t serve any socially useful function.”
• “It’s a bubble that’s going to give a lot of people a lot of
exciting times as it rides up and then goes down.”
What the experts say about cryptocurrencies?
Cryptocurrencies
Eleonora Escalante MBA-MEng, Strategic Corporate Advisory Services
© 2017 Eleonora Escalante-all rights reserved 10
Cape Town Picnic (IV) : Cryptocurrencies
9Dec2017
Robert Shiller, Sterling Professor of Economics, Yale University and
Nobel Laureate 2013.
• “Bitcoin is the best example today of a speculative bubble, at least as I
define a bubble. But the Bitcoin events clearly fit this definition, in
2013 in the original flush of excitement for Bitcoin, and then, after a
temporary collapse in Bitcoin value, again now in 2017.
• The 2013 rise in value of Bitcoin was driven by some basic stories that
have great resonance: a new currency that lives in cyberspace without
government interference or control. It appeals to independent-
minded young people who find government regulations boring and
intrusive…. In 2017, the second rise in Bitcoin appears to have
something to do with the appearance of ICOs, initial coin offerings,
which give Bitcoin an investment banking patina too”.
What the experts say about cryptocurrencies?
Cryptocurrencies
Eleonora Escalante MBA-MEng, Strategic Corporate Advisory Services
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Cape Town Picnic (IV) : Cryptocurrencies
9Dec2017
What the experts say about cryptocurrencies?
Professor Shiller defined a Bubble in his
book Irrational Exuberance in 2005, as “a
situation in which news of price increases spurs
investor enthusiasm, which spreads by
psychological contagion from person to person,
in the process amplifying stories that might
justify the price increases, and bringing in a
larger and larger class of investors who, despite
doubts about the real value of an investment,
are drawn to it partly by envy of others'
successes and partly through a gamblers'
excitement.”
Cryptocurrencies
Eleonora Escalante MBA-MEng, Strategic Corporate Advisory Services
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Cape Town Picnic (IV) : Cryptocurrencies
9Dec2017
My personal opinion about Cryptocurrencies.
• It is a nice try. I see bitcoin as the first currency prototype after Satoshi Nakamoto's
discovery in the year 2008. Bitcoin is one in between 1337 other initiatives.
• Money is about “trust and faith”: If there is no trust in Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies, we
are still in the stage of testing and building a digital currency prototype.
• I see it as an innovative experiment. There is a curious motivation to find a new currency
based in the new technological platforms and advancements.
• If we have not invested in bitcoin or other cryptocurrency, I don´t see the point to worry
about something which is not going to affect us directly.
• In addition, the cryptocurrencies have not been tested by any government, neither
accepted by the global financial sector yet.
• There is a lot to learn in the process to create a digital currency. If one cryptocurrency will
be accepted by the financial services sector, there is a lot to learn more. “New analytical
tools and surgical automation can be used to take the fight to fraudsters and be more
efficient with anti money laundry measures”.
• Personally I will be cautious to accept a new currency that is not a diamond yet. It needs to
be polished. And it is not regulated. I do not want the Grinch to steal our Christmas.
“Cryptocurrencies are a nice try. Personally I will be cautious to accept a new currency
that is not a diamond yet. It is still a work in progress and needs to be polished. It is not
regulated neither accepted by the global financial industry. I do not want the Grinch to
steal our Christmas”. Eleonora Escalante
Eleonora Escalante MBA-MEng, Strategic Corporate Advisory Services
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Cape Town Picnic (IV) : Cryptocurrencies
9Dec2017
Thank you!