land data assimilation tristan quaife, emily lines, philip lewis, jon styles

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Land Data Assimilation Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles.

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Page 1: Land Data Assimilation Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles

Land Data Assimilation

Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles.

Page 2: Land Data Assimilation Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles

Last 6 month highlights

• Implemented vertical heterogeneity in vegetation structure for land surface model RT schemes and observation operators

• Implemented a particle filter for JULES

Page 3: Land Data Assimilation Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles

CANOPY STRUCTURE

Task 2.2: Vegetation StructureTask 2.3: Optical RT modelling

Page 4: Land Data Assimilation Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles

Soil

H

zCanopy

Typical observation operator

1D-RT model of the canopy Very simple canopy structure: Vertical homogeneity in leaf size, arrangement and reflective properties

Page 5: Land Data Assimilation Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles

Calculates the reflectance and transmittance of a single leaf using a plate model dependent on:• Internal leaf mesophyll structure• Chlorphyll a+b and carotenoid

content (μg/cm2)• Dry matter content (g/cm2)• Equivalent water thickness (cm)• Brown pigment

PROSAILCombines 4-stream canopy model SAIL

(Jac

quem

oud

& U

stin

2008

)

with leaf optics model PROSPECT

(Ver

hoef

et a

l. 20

07)

Calculates the diffuse and direct reflectance and transmittance of the whole canopy using:• Solar/viewing angle• Leaf area index (m2/m2)• Leaf angle distribution• Soil reflectance• Leaf reflectance/transmittance

Page 6: Land Data Assimilation Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles

Factors affecting reflectance

Leaf area index (LAI) Leaf angle Leaf chlorophyll concentration

Photosynthetically active radiation (PAR) 400-700 nm

Simulations using PROSAIL

Page 7: Land Data Assimilation Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles

Observed vertical structureAssuming vertical homogeneity is often not valid for real canopies:

Within-crown measurements from a temperate evergreen broadleaf speciesCoomes et al. 2012

Leaves are often more upright at the top of the canopy and flatter at the bottom

Higher proportion of LAI found higher in the canopy, and leaves have higher mass/unit leaf area (LMA)

Whole-stand measurements from a temperate evergreen broadleaf forest Holdaway et al. 2008

Whole-stand measurements from an temperate broadleaf forest Wang & Li 2013

Leaf chlorophyll and water concentrations highest at the top of the canopy

Page 8: Land Data Assimilation Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles

SOIL

Multi-layered PROSAIL

Canopy structural properties and leaf optical properties are constant within a layer

Properties vary between layers to represent vertical heterogeneity

Page 9: Land Data Assimilation Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles

Multi-layered PROSAIL

z=0

z=-1

Tu,1 Tu,1Td,1

Td,2Td,2

Rt,2 Rt,2

Rb,1 Rb,1

Rt,1

layer 1

layer 2

Reflectance/transmittance of two layers combined:

Page 10: Land Data Assimilation Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles

Vertical variation in leaf angle homogeneous canopy structure

decline in leaf angle with height

Top of canopy

Bottom of canopy

Page 11: Land Data Assimilation Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles

Variation in leaf chlorophyll

Top of canopy

Bottom of canopy Small decrease in reflectance in PAR region

homogeneous canopy structure

decline in leaf chlorophyll with height

Page 12: Land Data Assimilation Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles

Does this matter for LS models?

• fAPAR is key biophysical variable for calculating primary productivity

• Vertical structural heterogeneity affects light levels through the canopy

• Land surface schemes (e.g. JULES) typically account for variable nitrogen, but not leaf angle or pigment properties

Page 13: Land Data Assimilation Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles

DA ASSIMILATION WITH JULESTask 2.1: Process model development

Page 14: Land Data Assimilation Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles

JULES

Page 15: Land Data Assimilation Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles

JULES: Carbon Budget

Page 16: Land Data Assimilation Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles

Fluxnet

Page 17: Land Data Assimilation Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles

Flux tower observations

Page 18: Land Data Assimilation Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles

Resampling Particle Filter

• We have implemented a resampling particle filter for JULES

• Uses the Metropolis-Hasting’s algorithm to perform the resampling

• Implementation is very flexible– Requires no modification to the JULES code– Easy to adapt for different observations and

different model configurations

Page 19: Land Data Assimilation Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles

Stochastic forcing

• Add noise into desired state vector elements• In following examples:– Daily stochastic forcing (JULES time step = 30min)– Truncated normal distribution– Soil carbon– Soil moisture (4 vertical levels)

• Easy to change all of the above characteristics

Page 20: Land Data Assimilation Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles

Resampling step

α = min 1,L(y|x*)

L(y|x)

Draw z from U(0,1)

x = x* if z≤αx if z> α

Loop over all particles, xx* = random particley = observations

Page 21: Land Data Assimilation Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles

Particle Filter

Page 22: Land Data Assimilation Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles

Non-assimilated variables

Page 23: Land Data Assimilation Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles

Pros/Cons

Pros:• Fully non linear• Robust to changes in JULES• Easy to switch to other analysis schemes– e.g. Ensemble Kalman Filter

Cons:• Slow: approx 5 mins/particle/year– but algorithm is inherently parallelisable

Page 24: Land Data Assimilation Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles

NEXT 6 MONTHS

Page 25: Land Data Assimilation Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles

Immediate

• Finish experiments on vertical structure and implement in JULES

• Write up JULES Particle Filter experiments with Fluxnet data

• Initial experiments against EO data

Page 26: Land Data Assimilation Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles

Next 6 months

• Further modify JULES Sellers scheme to predict viewed crown and ground (for assimilation of long wavelength data)

• Build 2-stage Data Assimilation algorithm:– EOLDAS for Leaf Area temporal trajectory and

other slow processes (optical data)– Particle Filter for assimilating observations related

to diurnal cycle (thermal, passive microwave)

Page 27: Land Data Assimilation Tristan Quaife, Emily Lines, Philip Lewis, Jon Styles

EOLDAS & JULES phenology

• JULES phenology routine is effectively separate from the rest of the model– Used to prescribe LAI profile, but not influenced

by other parts of the model state– Consequently can be optimised stand-alone– Ideal application for EOLDAS– Use modified Sellers scheme as observation

operator