lancaster county building a model of prosperity for the 21 st century sponsored by: the lancaster...

Lancaster County Building a Model of Prosperity for the 21st Century

Sponsored by:

The Lancaster Chamber of Commerce & Industry

The Lancaster County Community Foundation

United Way of Lancaster County

County of Lancaster

- To build Lancaster County into a model of prosperity

for 21st century America.

- To create extraordinary community through inspired giving for sustainable, meaningful impact.

- To build a stronger Lancaster County by mobilizing the caring power of our community.

- To create a County government operation that is effective, cost efficient and customer friendly.

Building A Prosperous Community

• Indicators program

• Benchmark of current state of prosperity• Snapshot at this point in time • Comparison to previous years and Pennsylvania

• Monitoring future progress• Annual report on state of Lancaster County using

indicators



'Cheshire Puss,' she began, rather timidly, as she did not at all know whether it would like the name: however, it only grinned a little wider. 'Come, it's pleased so far,’ thought Alice, and she went on.

'Would you tell me, please, which way I ought to go from here?'

'That depends a good deal on where you want to get to,' said the Cat.

'I don't much care where - ' said Alice.

'Then it doesn't matter which way you go,' said the Cat.

' - so long as I get somewhere,' Alice added as an explanation.

'Oh, you're sure to do that,' said the Cat, 'if you only walk long enough.'

• Key Question

• What indicators to use?

• Researched indicator projects throughout the United States

• Wanting to recognize multi-dimensional aspect of prosperity


• Criteria Used To Select Indicators

• Content validity - broad definition

• Trend analysis - ability to track over time

• Understandability - encourage community-wide involvement

• Actionable - subject to policies or programs

• Best practices - used by many other communities while recognizing uniqueness of Lancaster County

• Six Dimensions of Prosperity

• 37 indicators


• Sources for indicators

• Use of existing indicators

• Future survey of residents possible

• Local, state, and federal sources• Lancaster County Planning Commission• Lancaster County Solid Waste Management

Authority• Pennsylvania Department of Education• Pennsylvania Department of Public Welfare• Pennsylvania Department of Health• Pennsylvania State Police• United States Bureau of Labor• United States Department of Health & Human

Services• United States Census Bureau• United State Environmental Protection Agency• United States Patent and Trademark Office• Center for Disease Control and Prevention


• Prosperity Indicators

• Well Being of People

• Education

• Economic Engine

• Health & Safety

• Community & Culture

• Physical Environment


• Well Being of People

• Basic quality of life depends upon..• Adequate financial resources to meet basic needs• Ability to afford housing• Assisting our youth be prepared for school

• Indicators

• Median household income• Real income• Equality of pay• Percentage below poverty• Affordable housing • Quality pre-school programs• Residential integration


• Education

• Importance of an educated workforce to remain competitive

• Best means of upward mobility• Lack of education equals lack of opportunity

• Indicators

• Academic achievement – PSSA scores• Educational attainment

• High school graduates• Plans for post-secondary education• Bachelor’s degree or higher• Graduate and professional degrees


• Economic Engine

• Core to prosperity is how the economy is doing• Impact on how appealing the community is as a place to

live and work• Access to employment opportunities affects current and

future residents• Plays a role in attracting new businesses and retaining

existing ones

• Indicators

• Unemployment• Occupation mix• Industry mix• Minority owned businesses• Building permits for residential units• Patents• Tourism


• Health & Safety

• Physical and mental well-being should be part of living in a prosperous community

• Maximizing one’s potential is dependent on making life choices that increase the likelihood of success

• Living in a safe environment should be a goal for all communities

• Indicators

• Health insurance coverage • Self-rated health status• Low weight births• Teen pregnancy• No physical activity• Obesity• Child abuse reports• Crime – violent and property


• Community & Culture

• Civic engagement is critical to the health of a community

• A component of civic engagement is giving back to the community with both time and financial resources

• Culture and the arts enrich a community • Opportunities for leisure time activities are important

for individual and family enjoyment

• Indicators

• Voter registration• Voter turnout• Volunteering• Public charity and private foundation giving• Arts and cultural venues • Arts and cultural employment


• Physical Environment

• Sustainability has become a central focus in communities

• Quality of life is intimately connected to the physical environment

• Preserving the environment for future generations is a responsibility for all of us

• Indicators

• Land preservation • Air quality • Recycling• Time spent commuting • Transportation


• Work in Progress

• Report will be prepared for the community

• Community input on indicators used to measure prosperity

• Using the Indicators

• Benchmark for future comparisons

• Discussions on interpretation of indicators

• Dashboard indicators for each dimension of prosperity• Lancaster County Prosperity Index – Nov. 2012

report

• Collaboration on actions to take to continue to build a prosperous community


Well Being of People

Building A Prosperous Community Well Being of People

2010 Census (n=519,445); 2008-2010 American Community Survey 3 yr. est.

% Population Change 2000 - 2010

Lancaster County Movers into county Pennsylvania

% 0.104 0.043 0.034

1.0%

3.0%

5.0%

7.0%

9.0%

11.0%


Bureau of Labor Statistics; American Community Survey 1 yr. est.

Real Income

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 PA 2010

Change in median HH income

-0.018 0.056 0.013 0.058 -0.003 -0.071 -0.047

Change in CPI

0.034 0.032 0.028 0.038 -0.004 0.016 0.016-9.0%-7.0%-5.0%-3.0%-1.0%1.0%3.0%5.0%7.0%9.0%

Median HH income $49,282 $52,064 $52,764 $55,850 $55,673 $51,740 $49,288


2000 Census; 2010 American Community Survey 1 yr. est.

% Population Below Poverty Level

Lancaster Co. 2000 Lancaster Co. 2010 PA 2010

Below 0.078 0.105 0.134

1.0%

3.0%

5.0%

7.0%

9.0%

11.0%

13.0%

15.0%

n=52,918


2000 and 2010 Census

Residential Integration

City County

2000 White 0.616 0.915

2010 White 0.552 0.886

2000 Black 0.141 0.028

2010 Black 0.163 0.037

2000 Hispanic 0.308 0.057

2010 Hispanic 0.393 0.086

5.0%15.0%25.0%35.0%45.0%55.0%65.0%75.0%85.0%95.0%


Building A Prosperous Community Education

Education

Pennsylvania Department of Education: Percentages of students scoring advanced and proficient on statewide standardized test

Achievement Levels (67% Proficient/Advanced in Math)

2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011

# of school districts out of 16 14 14 14

1

3

5

7

9

11

13

15


Pennsylvania Department of Education: Percentages of students scoring advanced and proficient on statewide standardized test

Achievement Levels (72% Proficient/Advanced in Reading)

2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011


1

3

5

7

9

11

13

15


Pennsylvania Department of Education: % high school graduates total postsec bound - Graduates Public by School 2009-2010

Postsecondary Education Plans (75+%)

2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011


1

3

5

7

9

11

13

15


% of population with bachelor degrees or higher 25+ (ACS, 2010) % of population with graduate and professional degrees 25+ (ACS 2010)

(12,226 masters, professional, doctorate out of 326,234 25+ with Bachelor’s)

Pennsylvania Department of Education

% of Population with Bachelor Degrees or Higher

Bachelor degree or higher Graduate & professional degrees

Lancaster Co. 2000 0.205 0.067

Lancaster Co. 2010 0.241 0.086

PA 2010 0.271 0.104

2.5%

7.5%

12.5%

17.5%

22.5%

27.5%


Building A Prosperous Community Economy

Economy

Bureau of Labor Statistics: Local area unemployment statistics civilian labor force & unemployment by metropolitan area, seasonally adjusted – September (18,608 out of 264,372)

Unemployment

Lancaster Co. 2006

Lancaster Co. 2007

Lancaster Co. 2008

Lancaster Co. 2009

Lancaster Co. 2010

Lancaster Co. 2011

PA 2011

Unemploy-ment

0.035 0.035 0.046 0.077 0.074 0.07 0.083

0.5%1.5%2.5%3.5%4.5%5.5%6.5%7.5%8.5%

n=18,608


Census, American Community Survey: 2010 civilian employed pop. 16+ (ACS 1 yr.) 2010 (n=249,828; 2000 n=235,686; PA n=3,944,042)

Occupation Mix

Management, business, science

& arts occ's

Computer, eng'ing, & science

occ's

Service occupa-tions

Sales & office oc-cupations

Construction, ex-traction, & mainte-

nance occ's

Farming, fishing, & forestry

Production, trans-portation, & mat'l

moving

2000 0.28117919604898

NaN 0.138943339867451

0.249077161986711

0.10035810357849

0.0106921921539676

0.2197500063644

2010 0.319 0.034 0.151 0.242 0.095 0.011 0.18

PA 2010 0.408668822492256

0.0611126859196733

0.124896742986003

0.235924718854414

0.085985392650484

0.00418859636890277

0.140335726647941

2.5%

7.5%

12.5%

17.5%

22.5%

27.5%

32.5%

37.5%

42.5%

Included in Man-agement total


Economic Census, 2002 and 2007

2002 All businesses n=40,413

2007 All businesses n=46,957

2002 Employer firms n=9,667

2007 Employer firms n=9,816

Black 0.005 0.016 0.003 0.007

Hispanic 0.013 0.019 0.004 0.009

Women 0.274 0.254 0.109 0.123

Asian 0.015 0.021 0.011 0.028

2.5%

7.5%

12.5%

17.5%

22.5%

27.5%

Minority Owned Businesses


Census, Business & Industry: Building permits, New Privately Owned Residential Housing Units Authorized by Building Permits, Reported Only, Number of Buildings,

Residential Housing Building Permits

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Permits 1711 1703 1252 1198 1045 1184

100

300

500

700

900

1,100

1,300

1,500

1,700


U.S. Patents and Trademark Office: Utility patent grants (location determined by first person’s residence)

Patents

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Patents 116 95 77 101 120

10

30

50

70

90

110

130


Building A Prosperous Community Health & Safety

Health & Safety

Census, Small Area Health Insurance Estimates; 2010 American Community Survey

No Health Insurance Coverage (under 65)

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 PA 2010

% 0.136 0.127 0.131 0.132 0.139 0.133 0.102

1.0%

3.0%

5.0%

7.0%

9.0%

11.0%

13.0%

15.0% n=68,547


County Health Profiles, PA Dept. of Health ; under 2500 grams

Low Birth Weight

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 PA 2010

% of all births 0.063 0.062 0.069 0.069 0.068 0.064 0.083

0.5%

1.5%

2.5%

3.5%

4.5%

5.5%

6.5%

7.5%

8.5%


CDC, Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System: BMI 30+

Obesity in Adults

2005 2006 2007 2008 PA 2010 US 2010

% adults 0.249 0.262 0.274 0.285 0.286 0.338

2.5%

7.5%

12.5%

17.5%

22.5%

27.5%

32.5%

37.5%


Pa State Police , Uniform Crime Reporting System: Index 1 Offenses

Violent Crime (rate per 100,000)

2006 2007 2008 2009

Lancaster Co. 199.2 197 185.4 167.9

Pennsylvania 421.5 408.1 405.3 385.8

50.0

150.0

250.0

350.0

450.0


Pa State Police , Uniform Crime Reporting System: Index 1 Offenses

Property Crime (Rate per 100,000)

2006 2007 2008 2009

Lancaster Co. 2200.8 2106 2069.3 1993.8

Pennsylvania 2350.4 2307.1 2386.4 2231.1

250.0

750.0

1250.0

1750.0

2250.0


Child Abuse Annual Reports, PA Dept. of Public Welfare

Child Abuse

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 PA 2010

Substantiated Reports 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.3

Total Reports 4.8 5.1 5.1 7 6.4 6.9 9

0.51.52.53.54.55.56.57.58.59.5

(per 1000 children)


Building A Prosperous Community Community & Culture

Community & Culture

Registered voters/total population (PA Manual, Census)

Voting

Lancaster Co. Regis-tered Voters

PA Registered Voters Lancaster Co. Voted Pres. Election

PA Voted Pres. Election

2004 0.643 0.674 0.707 0.689

2008 0.65 0.703 0.699 0.684

5.0%15.0%25.0%35.0%45.0%55.0%65.0%75.0%85.0%95.0%


United Way of Lancaster County, Volunteer Center

% Population Volunteering

Lancaster Co. PA United States

Below 0.32 0.274 0.265

2.5%7.5%

12.5%17.5%22.5%27.5%32.5%37.5%42.5%47.5%


County Business Patterns (NAICS), American Community Survey, 2010 Census - 7111 Performing Arts Companies – theater companies, dinner theaters, dance companies, musical groups & artists, other performing arts companies

Performing Arts Companies (per 100,000 population)

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Est's/100,000 pop.

3.78028163098151

3.43791330796019

3.61108603412476

3.18490355713916

3.1510577707054

0.5

1.5

2.5

3.5

4.5


Building A Prosperous Community Physical Environment

Physical Environment

2005 2006 2007 2008

Good 0.686 0.762 0.696 0.781

Moderate 0.249 0.203 0.244 0.183

Unhealthy/sensitive gps 0.06 0.035 0.06 0.036

Unhealthy 0.005 0 0 0

5.0%

15.0%

25.0%

35.0%

45.0%

55.0%

65.0%

75.0%

85.0%

95.0%

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency - Air Quality Index Report (% of days of different qualities)

Air Quality


Mean travel time to work, 16+ (2000 Census; 2010 American Community Survey 1 yr. est.)

Time Spent Commuting

2000 2010 PA 2010

Minutes 21.7 22.2 25.9

19.5

20.5

21.5

22.5

23.5

24.5

25.5

26.5


Lancaster County Agriculture Preserve Board; American Community Survey

Farmland Preservation (acres per 1,000 population)

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Acres/1000 pop.

104.97601274795

108.839468357041

117.230604656295

123.104690467186

126.419577817341

128.900871795859

105.0

115.0

125.0

135.0

145.0


lancaster county building a model of prosperity for the 21 st century sponsored by: the lancaster...

Documents

state of lancaster county

prosperous community

uniqueness of lancaster

stronger lancaster county

prosperity indicators

extraordinary community

county government operation

model of prosperity