labour market outlook for mid-sized british columbia communities with christian saint cyr publisher...
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Labour Market Outlook forMid-Sized British Columbia
Communities with Christian Saint Cyr
Publisher | BC Labour Market Report
Meeting of the Union of British Columbia Municipalities
Tuesday September 23, 2014
Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities
British Columbia is about to embark on a period of nearly unprecedented growth.
CONSTRUCTION AND OPERATIONS JOBS
Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities
Excluding LNG, we’re still factoring
in $60 billion in major projects .
Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities
Demographic Challenges
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
BC’s population:
20-29
Slow growth of new labour force entrants expected
Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities
Demographic Challenges
BC’s population:
55-64
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200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
Retirement-aged population to experience significant growth
Expected to peak in 2021
Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities
Demographic Challenges
BC’s aging population
In 2016, number of retirement-aged British Columbians (55-64 years) will surpass those aged 20-29 (potential new labour force entrants)
19901993
19961999
20022005
20082011
20142017
20202023
20262029
20322035
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000Population aged 20-29 Population aged 55-64
Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities
Demographic Challenges
How many job openings are expected?
• 1,027,400 job openings are expected for B.C. over the next ten-year period
• Close to two-thirds of job openings (676,400) will be due to replacement demand as a result of retiring workers and deaths
• The other one-third of job openings (351,000) will be due to the new jobs that result from economic growth
• Demand for workers in B.C. is expected to grow by an annual average rate of 1.4% over the ten-year period
Future Job Growth
Retirements Econ Growth
Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities
Which sectors will create the greatest numbers of new jobs by 2020?
Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities
With the pressure of growing business with fewer workers, what actions will many employers utilize?
• Contracting out low-skill or specialized activities internationally or to independent contractors
• Introduce new types of technology
• Seek out organizational efficiencies
• Increase wages and other employment benefits
• Develop recruiting strategies for under-represented members of the labour market
Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities
Groups which can be better utilized in the labour market include:
•Aboriginals
•Those with Disabilities
•Youth
•Older Workers
•Immigrants
•Individuals with Multiple Barriers to Employment
Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities
The challenge of our labour market is not a labour shortage but a skills
shortage
Over 77% of All JobsWill Require
Post-Secondary Education
Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities
Occupations experiencing or expected to experience shortages:• Managers in Health, Education, Social and Community Services, Construction and
Transportation
• Auditors, Accountants and Investment Professionals
• Human Resources and Business Service Professionals
• Professional Occupations in Natural and Applied Sciences
• Physical Science Professionals / Life Science Professionals
• Civil, Mechanical, Electrical and Chemical Engineers
• Pharmacists, Dietitians, Nutritionists, Nurse Supervisors and Registered Nurses
• Medical Technologists and Technicians
• Psychologists, Social Workers, Counsellors, Clergy and Probation Officers
• Underground Miners, Oil and Gas Drillers and Related Workers
Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities
Occupations experiencing an over-supply of labour:• Clerical Supervisors and clerical Occupations
• Office Equipment Operators
• Finance and Insurance Clerks
• Mail and Message Distribution Occupations
• Sales and Service Supervisors / Cashiers
• Secondary & Elementary Teachers and Counsellors
• Sales and Service Supervisors, Cashiers
• Butchers & Bakers
• Upholsterers, Tailors, Shoe Repairers, Jewellers and Related Occupations
• Fishing Vessel Masters and Skippers and Fishermen/Fisherwomen
Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities
BC Skills for Growth
Labour Market Strategy
Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities
• Aboriginal Business Entrepreneurship Skills Training (BEST)
• Aboriginal Training and Employment Program (ATEP)
• BladeRunners
• Employment Skills Access Initiative
• Immigrants in Trades Training
• Job Options BC
• Job Options BC - Urban Older Workers
• Labour Market Sector Solutions
• Skilled Trades Employment Program (STEP)
• Skilled Trades Employment Program (STEP) – Job Match Services
• Skills Connect for Immigrants
• Targeted Initiative for Older Workers (TIOW)
• Targeted Skills Shortage Pilot Program
• Trades Training for Aboriginal People
• Women in Trades Training
• Women’s Mentorship Program
• Youth Skills BC - Workplace Program
Employment Programs such as the Employment Program of B.C. and ASETS-funded Employment Programming for Aboriginals
Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities
Employment Program of B.C.
Launched April 2, 2012 after over 2 years of consultations
85 WorkBC Employment Services Centres (ESCs) throughout BC
100+ satellite offices with outreach and itinerant services
ESCs provide a range of services to any unemployed British Columbian
Assist clients to become employment ready and find & sustain a job
Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities
Employment Program of B.C.
The EPBC has served 160,449 people, with over 80% receiving case management
38,776 employment outcomes achieved
Program has achieved an overall employment rate of about 42%
Employment outcome rate is nearly 80% for clients who have completed case management
EI clients account for 36% and BCEA clients account for nearly a third of all clients
91,076 self identified as being from one or more specialized populations
Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities
Employment Program of B.C. | Specialized Populations
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4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
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20,000
Persons with adisability
Youth Multi-barriered Rural andremote
populations
Aboriginalpeople
Immigrants Survivors ofviolence and/or
abuse
Francophone
Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities
Planning for a Skills Shortage: Critical Next Steps
• Work with secondary school educators and public and private post-secondary instructions to ensure training programs reflect labour market demand.
• Encourage local employers to recruit individuals from under-represented populations such as Aboriginals, immigrants and those with disabilities.
• Adopt inclusive community policies to encourage immigrants to settle in the area.
• Support local employers with informing job seekers and youth about the employment opportunities in their own community.
• Encourage local businesses to adopt ‘employer of choice’ policies.
• Foster mentorship and co-op educational opportunities.
Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities
Planning for a Skills Shortage: Critical Next Steps
• Develop economic development policies that take into consideration factors such as:
• Economic Shifts to a Knowledge and Service-based Economy
• Globalization
• Health and the Environment
• Technology and Education
• Self Employment
• Changing Age Demographics