kube et-al-os hv-1-genetic-variation-shellfish-futures-aug-2012-2
TRANSCRIPT
Gene$c varia$on in resistance to Pacific oyster mortality
syndrome Peter Kube (CSIRO)
Ma?hew Cunningham (ASI) Mike Dove (NSW DPI)
Wayne O’Connor (NSW DPI) Paul Hick (NSW DPI)
Presenta$on to Shellfish Futures 2012 17-‐19 August 2012 Port Arthur Tasmania
Tray 1
Tray 9
Woolooware Bay, Georges River (24 May 2012)
ASI gene$cs trial University of Sydney trial
Large varia$on in survival along rack 34
%
32%
33%
20%
17%
14%
33%
32%
20%
43%
43%
43%
71%
37%
54%
69%
58%
53%
49%
62%
74%
58%
82%
78%
51%
56%
61%
Replicate 1 Replicate 2 Replicate 3Tray 1 Tray 2 Tray 3 Tray 4 Tray 5 Tray 6 Tray 7 Tray 8 Tray 9
AVERAGE SURVIVAL = 47% Survival aZer 14 days (26 April 2012)
Tray 1
Tray 9
Some varia$on in survival across rack
AVERAGE SURVIVAL = 47% Survival aZer 14 days (26 April 2012)
Replicate 1 Replicate 2 Replicate 3Tray 1 Tray 2 Tray 3 Tray 4 Tray 5 Tray 6 Tray 7 Tray 8 Tray 9
4 4 %
4 4 %
4 6 % 4 6 %
4 6 %
4 4 %
4 2 % 4 2 %
4 2 %
4 2 % 42% 4 2 %
5 3 % 5 3 %
5 3 %
4 9 % 4 9 %
4 9 %
4 4 % 44% 4 4 %
4 6 % 46% 4 6 %
5 3 % 53% 5 3 %
4 9 % 49% 4 9 %
5 3 %
4 9 %
4 4 %
4 6 %
4 2 %
5 3 %
4 9 %
4 4 %
4 6 %
4 2 %
4 4 %
5 3 %
4 9 %
4 6 %
4 2 %
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
34 28 42 2 10 21 45 8 15 32 51 29 25 12 47 13 43 26 18 3 19 16 30 20 23 24 36 7 9 5 11 17 35 49 50 41 48 1 4 22 6 27 33
SURVIVAL EBV
FAMILY NUMBER
Estimated Breeding Value for Survival: 2011 Year Class Families
Heritability = 0.38 þ
A group of cousins þ
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%34 28 42 2 10 21 45 8 15 32 51 29 25 12 47 13 43 26 18 3 19 16 30 20 23 24 36 7 9 5 11 17 35 49 50 41 48 1 4 22 6 27 33
SURV
IVAL
EBV
FAMILY NUMBER
Estimated Breeding Value for Survival: 2011 Year Class Families
A group of cousins ý
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
34 28 42 2 10 21 45 8 15 32 51 29 25 12 47 13 43 26 18 3 19 16 30 20 23 24 36 7 9 5 11 17 35 49 50 41 48 1 4 22 6 27 33
SURVIVAL EBV
FAMILY NUMBER
Estimated Breeding Value for Survival: 2011 Year Class Families
FAMILY 2009003 FAMILY 2009025 FAMILY 2009027
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
INDIVIDUAL SURVIVAL EBV
Within Family Variation (3 selected families only)
Survival: present popula$on 34
%
32%
33%
20%
17%
14%
33%
32%
20%
43%
43%
43%
71%
37%
54%
69%
58%
53%
49%
62%
74%
58%
82%
78%
51%
56%
61%
Replicate 1 Replicate 2 Replicate 3Tray 1 Tray 2 Tray 3 Tray 4 Tray 5 Tray 6 Tray 7 Tray 8 Tray 9
AVERAGE SURVIVAL = 47% Survival in 2012
Survival: best families
SURVIVAL IMPROVEMENT = 47% to ~70% Predicted survival in 2014
60%
59%
60%
52%
50%
48%
60%
59%
52%
66%
66%
66%
83%
62%
72%
81%
75%
72%
69%
77%
84%
75%
89%
87%
71%
73%
77%
Replicate 1 Replicate 2 Replicate 3Tray 1 Tray 2 Tray 3 Tray 4 Tray 5 Tray 6 Tray 7 Tray 8 Tray 9
Survival: best individuals and best families
SURVIVAL IMPROVEMENT = 47% to ~80% Predicted survival in 2014
73%
73%
73%
68%
67%
65%
73%
73%
68%
77%
77%
77%
88%
75%
82%
88%
83%
81%
79%
85%
90%
83%
93%
91%
81%
82%
84%
Replicate 1 Replicate 2 Replicate 3Tray 1 Tray 2 Tray 3 Tray 4 Tray 5 Tray 6 Tray 7 Tray 8 Tray 9
Survival: higher disease severity
ASSUMED AVERAGE SURVIVAL = 25%
18%
17%
17%
11%
9% 7% 17%
17%
10%
23%
23%
23%
38%
19%
29%
37%
31%
28%
26%
33%
39%
31%
43%
42%
27%
30%
32%
Replicate 1 Replicate 2 Replicate 3Tray 1 Tray 2 Tray 3 Tray 4 Tray 5 Tray 6 Tray 7 Tray 8 Tray 9
Survival: best families and higher disease severity
SURVIVAL IMPROVEMENT = 25% to 40% Predicted survival in 2014
28%
27%
28%
17%
14%
12%
28%
27%
17%
36%
36%
37%
60%
31%
46%
58%
49%
45%
41%
53%
63%
50%
69%
67%
44%
47%
52%
Replicate 1 Replicate 2 Replicate 3Tray 1 Tray 2 Tray 3 Tray 4 Tray 5 Tray 6 Tray 7 Tray 8 Tray 9
Survival: best individuals from best families and higher disease severity
SURVIVAL IMPROVEMENT = 25% to 50% Predicted survival in 2014
42%
40%
41%
33%
31%
29%
41%
41%
33%
48%
48%
48%
66%
44%
55%
65%
57%
54%
52%
60%
68%
58%
73%
71%
53%
56%
59%
Replicate 1 Replicate 2 Replicate 3Tray 1 Tray 2 Tray 3 Tray 4 Tray 5 Tray 6 Tray 7 Tray 8 Tray 9
The main messages
• Gene$c selec$on will improve resistance
• But it is most likely a medium term solu$on
• S$ll lots to learn about the gene$c inheritance of this disease
Acknowledgements • The trial site was provided by Drakes Oysters and this work
would not have been possible without the assistance of Bob Drake, Ted Drake and Len Drake
• This study was done as part of the Seafood CRC and was made possible with funding assistance by the Seafood CRC
• Richard Whiengton and Ika Paul-‐Pont (University of Sydney) have helped out by generously sharing their knowledge and experience