KHARIF REVIEW AND RABI

PROSPECTS

Department of Agriculture & CooperationMinistry of Agriculture

24-25 SEPTEMBER,2012

BROAD CONTOURS OF S-W MONSOON

Delayed onset, subdued activity, gradual revival, Congenial September

Actual 788.3 mm, Normal 833.9 mm, -5%

CropsSeason

al Normal

Normal up to 21-09-2012

2012 2011 2010 2009+/-

over normal

Rice 39.10 35.87 36.38 38.08 34.76 32.19 0.50

Total CC 21.56 20.85 17.59 20.11 21.22 20.75 -3.26

Tur 3.54 3.78 3.66 3.82 4.36 3.23 -0.09

Mung 2.56 2.37 1.95 2.28 2.58 2.24 -0.42

Urd 2.24 2.16 2.38 2.20 2.26 2.01 0.23

Moth 2.31 1.97 1.95 2.46 1.85 1.59 -0.02

Total pulses

10.65 10.31 9.98 10.83 11.04 9.07 -0.33

Total food grains

71.31 67.03 63.95 69.02 67.02 62.01 -3.09

Area in million ha

Crops

Seasonal

Normal

Normal up

to 21-09-2012

20122011

20102009

+/- over

normal

Oilseeds 17.58 17.44 17.44 17.82 17.24 16.74 0.00

Groundnut

5.00 4.83 3.88 4.32 4.93 4.35 -0.95

Soybean 9.21 9.50 10.71 10.32 9.33 9.52 1.21

Others 3.37 3.11 2.85 3.17 2.97 2.87 -0.26

Cotton 11.18 10.86 11.49 12.02 10.66 9.91 +0.63

Sugarcane

4.71 4.72 5.29 5.09 4.79 4.17 +0.57

Jute & Mesta

0.92 0.90 0.88 0.92 0.87 0.91 -0.02

Area in million ha

CROP DISTRIBUTION IN IMD SUBDIVISIONS : RICE

Met SD

% ofS-W

MonsoonStatus

Area coverage (m ha)

A P 2012 Normal of

week

+/- over norm

al

East & North East

30.5 27 A: 1195.0 mm N: 1342.8 mm

11.62 11.29

0.33

North West

26 34 A: 567.2 mm N: 588.0 mm

10.47 10.03 0.44

Central India

29.5 20 A: 905.7 mm N: 925.2 mm.

11.06 10.87 0.19

South Peninsula

14 19 A: 603.1 mm, N : 649.5 mm .

3.22 3.69 -0.47

ALL INDIA

100(39.1)

100(87.5)

A: 788.3 mmN: 833.9 mm

36.38 35.87 0.50

Met SD % contribution

Major Ecologies

Crop Coverage (m ha)

A P 2012 Normal of week

+/-

East & North East

3.6 4 Rainfed > 95%Low yield

0.98 0.88 0.10

North West 50.7 41 Rainfed 90-95%High yield

8.25 10.24 -1.99

Central India 28.6 27 Rainfed > 95%High productivity in MaharashtraLow in Raj/MP

5.32 6.24 -0.92

South Peninsula 17.1 28 Rainfed > 95%High productivity (AP), Low in Kar

3.04 3.48 -0.44

ALL INDIA (m ha/m tons)

21.7 32.4 >90% Rainfed 17.59 20.85 -3.26

CROP AREA DISTRIBUTION IN IMD SUBDIVISIONS : COARSE CEREALS

Met SD % contribut

ion

Major Ecologies

S-W MonsoonStatus

Crop Coverage(m ha)

2012 Normal of

week*

+/-

A P

East & North East

3.7 4.8 Rainfed > 95%

A: 1195.0 mm N: 1342.8 mm

0.50 0.34 0.16

North West 32.7 34 Rainfed 88-95%, Higher yield

A: 567.2 mm N: 588.0 mm

3.13 3.00 0.13

Central India

40.5 42 Rainfed > 95%Low/

medium productivity

A: 905.7 mm N: 925.2 mm.

4.56 4.85 -0.29

South Peninsula

23.1 19 Rainfed > 95%

High / Low yield

A: 603.1 mm, N : 649.5 mm .

1.80 2.13 -0.33

ALL INDIA (m ha/m tons)

12.4 7.7 Largely Rainfed

A: 788.3 mm N: 833.9 mm

9.99 10.32 -0.33

CROP AREA DISTRIBUTION IN IMD SUBDIVISIONS : PULSES

Met Sub

divisions

% contribut

ion

Major Ecologies

S-W Monsoon

Status

Crop Coverage(m ha)

2012 Normal of

week

+/-

A P

East & North East

1.8 1 Rainfed > 95%

Least coverage

A: 1195.0 mm N: 1342.8 mm

0.04 0.03 0.01

North West 12.5

12 Rainfed 90-95%, Groundnut and Sesame

A: 567.2 mm N: 588.0 mm

2.39 2.01 0.38

Central India

67.3

74 Rainfed > 95%

Major domain of Soybean & Groundnut

A: 905.7 mm N: 925.2 mm.

12.46 12.09 0.37

South Peninsula

18.4

13 Rainfed > 95%

Major domain of Groundnut, Castor, Sesame

A: 603.1 mm, N : 649.5 mm .

2.52 3.28 -0.76

ALL INDIA (m ha/m tons)

18.2

20.9 >90% Rainfed

A: 788.3 mm N: 833.9 mm

17.44 17.44 0.00

CROP AREA DISTRIBUTION IN IMD SUBDIVISIONS : OILSEEDS

Met Sub

divisions

% contribu

tion

Major Ecologies

S-W Monsoon

Status

Crop Coverage(m ha)2012 Norma

l of week

+/-

A P

East & North East

0.1 0.1 Rainfed > 98% in most of the states

A: 1195.0 mm N: 1342.8 mm

0.00 0.0 0.0

North West 12.4 14 Irrigated >95-100% High productivity

A: 567.2 mm N: 588.0 mm

1.60 1.50 0.10

Central India

65.5 65 Rainfed > 95%

Low productivity

A: 905.7 mm N: 925.2 mm.

7.28 7.34 -0.06

South Peninsula

22.0 21 Rainfed > 90%

Medium productivity

A: 603.1 mm, N : 649.5 mm .

2.62 2.02 0.60

ALL INDIA (m ha/m bales )

11.1

33.4

About 35% irrigated, 65% rainfed

A: 788.3 mmN: 833.9 mm

11.49 10.86 0.63

CROP DISTRIBUTION IN IMD SUBDIVISIONS : COTTON

Stresses Crops States/ Regions

Crop Stages Likely Impact on crops

Moisture Stress

Rice NW and SP

Transplanting/ tillering

Mostly irrigated-little impact

Coarse Cereals

NW and SP

Sowing and vegetative

Considerable impact except Maize

Oilseeds

NW and SP

Vegetative and pegging

Impact on productivity

Pulses-Mung/urd

NW, CI and SP

Vegetative and flowering

Karnataka and Rajasthan -impact on productivity

Flood Rice Assam Vegetative Re-transplanted

Soybean

M.P. Vegetative Negligible area

Diseases/pests

Sporadic incidence, remained below ETL, focus in rabi for Helicoverpa

SEPTEMBER RAINS- CRUCIAL IMPETUS FOR RABI

Delayed withdrawal-widespread rains in deficient areas

Adequate recharge of soil profile

Better area prospects- early sowing in rainfed regions- Bundelkhand (U.P. & M.P.) Raj, MH, Kar, Guj, Haryana

August, 2012 September 1-15 2012

Basins CCA (000 HA)

Predominant Crops likely to be irrigated

Ganga 6561 Wheat

Indus 1024 Wheat

Narmada

4955 Wheat/Maize,Oilseeds

Tapi 472 Wheat

Mahi 327 Wheat, Jowar, Oilseeds

Godavari 1494 Rice, GN, Maize

Krishna 2815 Rice, Maize, Pulses

Mahanadi

895 Rice, Maize, GN

Cauvery 877 Rice, Maize

19420

5 KEY STRATEGIES

Technique

Crop Target States

Seed Treatment

Wheat All wheat growing States

Gram Raj, Maha, A.P., Kar, Guj, U.P. , M.P.

Lentils Bihar, U.P., Jharkhand

Oilseeds Raj, U.P., Maha, A.P., Kar, Guj

Seed priming

Pulses Rainfed areas

Dense Planting

Wheat East U.P, Bihar, WB, Har, Punj

Crop Requirement Availability

Surplus

Wheat 108.2 0 112.23 4.03

Rice 19.56 21.54 1.98

Maize 2.49 2.81 0.32

Jowar 1.16 1.45 0.29

Barley 1.93 2.35 0.42

Total Cereals 133.50 140.57 7.07

Gram 16.32 15.14 -1.18

Lentil 1.04 0.74 -0.30

Mung 0.55 0.61 0.06

Urd 0.83 0.84 0.01

Total Pulses 2.07 1.92 -0.15

R&M+ 2.21 2.42 0.21

GN 6.25 6.12 -0.13

Total Oilseeds

9.43 9.48 0.05

(Lakh Qtl)

Site Specific Nutrient Management : Soil testing labs and soil health cards and fertilizer use based on fertility maps

Focus on increasing nutrient use efficiency

Nutrient Efficiency (%)

Measures to enhance efficiency

N 30-50 Placement of fertilizers, target rainfed areas

2% spray of urea in pulses

P 10-20 Furrow placement increase the efficiency by 20-30% over broadcastPreferential application of phosphorus to wheat in rice-wheat sequence

K <80 Furrow placement –enhances disease resistance

S 8-12 Foliar spray vs. basal placement in pulses and oilseeds

Irrigation

- Protective Irrigation in pulses & oilseeds with sprinklers

Operations

Crop Target States

Early sowing Wheat M.P., H.P., U.P.

Pulses Bundelkhand, Har., Raj, Guj, Maha, Kar, A.P.

Oilseeds Raj, Guj, M.P., U.P., Har.

Early sowing on an area of about 10 million ha

WheatPulses Oilseeds

5 m ha3 m ha2 m ha

Prepositioning of seeds & fertilizers is required by the States

Dense sowing in North-West

Seed and soil treatment-yellow rust and Karnal bunt

Yellow rust resistance, heat stress tolerance

Sprinkler irrigation-heat stress management

Pre-positioning of seed of improved varieties

Focus in Central/Eastern India

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Cultivation of PBW 550, DBW 17 and DBW 16 in yellow rust prone areas

Terminal heat resistant varieties

Haryana : WH 1021, PBW 590, PBW 373, DBW 16, Raj 3765

Punjab : PDW 291, PDW 274, PDW 233

• Diversified varietal profile

Timely sowing of Boro Rice nursery (November 15 – December 15)

Protecting nursery from cold wave/ low temperature (using plastic covers)

Protecting transplanted crop from low temperatures during January by application of irrigation

Covering maximum area under hybrid rice varieties : PHB 71, KRH 2, CNRH 3, JKRH 401, DRRH 2

Adoption of best management practices : INM, IPM, IWM

Ensuring adequate water availability for irrigation

PRODUCTIVITY ENHANCEMENT : BORO RICE

24

Rabi Sorghum Target States: Maharastra

and Karnataka Use of recommended

varieties/hybrids for specific ecology

Seed Treatment through fungicides as per recommendation

Protective irrigation at flag leaf and grain filling stages  

Foliar application of zinc sulphate @ 0.2 % and ferrous sulphate @ 0.15 % alternatively at 7-10 days interval from 15-20 DAS up to 45 DAS

Maintain optimum plant population for Rabi (13-15 plants/m2)

PRODUCTIVITY ENHANCEMENT: PRODUCTIVITY ENHANCEMENT: Rabi sorghum/maize Rabi sorghum/maize

Rabi Maize Target States: Bihar, A.P.,

Maharashtra, Karnataka Use of recommended

varieties/hybrids for specific ecology

Protective irrigation at flag leaf and grain filling stages  

Maintain optimum plant population Rabi (10-12 plants/m2)

Uttar Pradesh

Hybrids Seed Tech 2324 Shaktiman1

Composites

Gaurav Shakti-1

Bihar/ Orissa, Jharkhand /West Bengal

Hybrids Seed Tech 2324Shaktiman-1Shaktiman-2

Punjab/Haryana

Hybrids Seed Tech 2324 Buland, Sheetal

Early sowing• Bundelkhand, Rajasthan, Maharashtra,

Karnataka, Gujarat, A. P-about 10 lakh ha

Seed Treatment- Massive campaign for farm saved seed- M.P., U.P., Rajasthan, Maharashtra, Karnataka, Gujarat

Area expansion during rabi (20 lakh ha)• Intercropping with R&M, Linseed, barley,sugarcane

(3 lakh ha)• Additional area in Raj, Maha, Guj under gram (10

lakh ha) • Lentil and Low ODAP Lathyrus in rice fallows • Summer mung after wheat in IGP- 5 lakh ha

IPM - Helicoverpa, dry root rot and wilt (Surveillance and control)

Yield boosters - 2% urea and DAP sprayWeed Management

• Pre-emergence application–Pendimethalin (within 5-6 hrs of sowing)

• Post emergence-Imazethapyr (50-100 g/ha at 20-25 DAS with flat pan nozzle.

26

Rabi SeasonChickpea+ Mustard/Linseed

6:2

Lentil+ Linseed 2:1

Potato+ Rajmash 3:2

Summer Season Sugarcane + Urd/Mung 1:2Sunflower+ Urd/Mung 2:6

EFFICIENT RABI/SUMMER INTERCROPS

• Pre-emergence application of pendimethalin @1.5 kg/ha within 5-6 hrs of sowing

• Planting on ridge & furrows

• Seed treatment with Trichoderma @4 g/kg of seed

• Intercropping of chickpea and mustard (6:2 row ratio)

• Protective irrigations at branching and pod initiation stage

• 2% urea/DAP spray at 50% flowering and 10 days thereafter

28

HIGH YIELDING VARIETIES OF CHICKPEA

Short duration (100-110 days): JG 11, JG 16, JG 14, Pant G 186, Pusa 547

Wilt resistant: DCP 92-3, GNG 1581, Vijay, Vishal, KWR 108, Digvijay, JAKI 9218, Pusa 391, JG 130, Pusa 372, Udai, SCS 3, Ankur, Abhilasha, GJG 3

For irrigated areas: DCP 92-3, GNG 469, KWR 108 Kabuli Varieties: BGD 128, ICPK-2004-29, PKV Kabuli 4

(extra bold)

28

1139

1333

1000

1050

1100

1150

1200

1250

1300

1350

Local varieties Improved varieties

(Kg/ha)Yield gain: 15- 27%

29

• Promotion of lentil in rice fallows-eastern States -Tal/diera area of Bihar, eastern UP

• Improved varieties -seed availability and distribution to the farmers (DPL 62, DPL 15, JL 3, Pant L 63, Subrata, Narendra M 1 )

• Seed treatment with fungicides/ Trichoderma 4 g/kg of

• 2% urea or DAP at flowering and 10 days thereafter

• Intercropping with linseed in bundelkhand

Productivity Enhancement: LentilProductivity Enhancement: Lentil

30

State Wheat Area(lakh ha)

Additional Area (lakh ha) for summer mung

Punjab 35.1 1.0

Haryana 25.2 1.0

West U.P. 45.0 2.0

Bihar after potato 0.50

Others (WB/Assam

after R&M/ potato

0.50

Improved varieties for summer mung

Summer mung

SML 668, Meha, Uttara, Samrat

Punjab, Haryana, U.P., Bihar, Orissa, WB

OPPORTUNITIES FOR SUMMER MOONG

Samrat

Meha

Early sowing - Taramira & R&M in Rajasthan and Aligarh and Agra Divisions of U.P, South Haryana, Safflower & Sunflower in Maharashtra, Sunflower in Karnataka, Groundnut in Saurashtra and Rayalseema

Seed Treatment- Massive campaign for farm saved seed of groundnut and other oilseeds

Diseases/Pest Management –bud necrosis/ Alternaria, sucking pests

Yield boosters – Micronutrients (Zinc sulphate) and sulphur (20 kg/ha)

31

32

Rapeseed - Mustard

• Use quality seeds of suitable varieties

• Seed treatment with fungicides

• Timely sowing taking advantage of extended monsoon

• Maintain optimum plant population (33-40 plants/m2)

• Apply irrigation at critical stages of the crop

• Use recommended dose of fertilizers & micro-nutrients and adopt need based plant protection measures

PRODUCTIVITY ENHANCEMENT: PRODUCTIVITY ENHANCEMENT: OILSEEDSOILSEEDS

Sunflower

• Intercropping of sunflower with pulses

• Seed treatment with imidacloprid @ 5g/kg seed to protect against sunflower necrosis disease

• Timely sowing to utilize the available moisture

• Maintain optimum plant population 22 plants/m2

• Balanced and adequate fertilization- N, P, K, S and Zn

• Spray borax @ 0.2% spray or 2kg borax as dust at ray floret opening stage

Delayed onset-subdued activity-gradual recovery of SW monsoon- major grainery got adequate rains

Marginally less area coverage in Kharif than normal Maximum affected - Coarse cereals (bajra,

sorghum and Ragi) followed by pulses Extended rains -adequate moisture in soil

capillaries and in reservoirs-brightened prospects of early sowing of pulses/oilseeds

Higher area & productivity targeted under pulses -likely to compensate the loss of kharif.