key macroeconomics issues of china
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ISSUES & PROSPECTS
B Y : S A N T O S H V E R M A ,
R O H I T V A I S H ,
D I L J O T S I N G H .
KEY MACROECONOMICS
ISSUES OF CHINA
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INTRODUCTION
Macroeconomics (from Greek prefix "macr(o)-"meaning "large" + "economics") is a branch ofeconomics dealing with the performance, structure,
behavior, and decision-making of the entire
economy. This includes a national, regional, orglobal economy. With microeconomics,macroeconomics is one of the two most general fieldsin economics. '''Uses of Macroeconomics''' 1
National Income: -:- Macroeconomics helps us tojudge the national income and modification therein.It enables us to judge the absolute and relativeprogress of our economy.
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INTRODUCTION
Snapshot of Chinas Growth and Inflation Since 1990
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INTRODUCTION
Snapshot of Chinas Fixed Asset Investment AndGDP Growth 1990-2005
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CHINAS MONETARY POLICY
Chinas Monetary Policy Objectives :-
Maintain the Growth
Price Stability
Exchange Rate Stability
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CHINAS TRADE POLICY
Chinas Trade Policy.
Growth Rate of Net Export for better GDP.
Price Index
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CHINAS FOREIGN RESRERVES
Chinas FDI Policy.
Chinas Interest Rate for the Reserves.
Roles of PBOC in the foreign reserves.
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CHINAS FOREIGN RESRERVES(contd.)
Chinas Interest Rate Snapshot Since 1995
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CHINAS FISCAL POLICY
Chinas fiscal policy results in accumulation of largedebts since 2005.
Higher ratio of Debt Balance/GDP.
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RECENT ANAMOLY ON CHINASMACROECONOMIC ISSUES
GDP growth rate10.2%higher than in the same period of 2010.
Growth rate of fixed assets investment27.7%4.9 percentage points higherthan in the same period of 2010.
Growth rate of Social 12.8%the real growth is 12.2%0.3 percentage
points higher than in the same period of 2010.
Trade surplus:23.3 billion US dollar growth rate of 41.4 percent; the growthrate of exports is 197.3 billion US dollar growth rate of 26.6 percent thecorresponding figures for imports are 174 billion US dollar and 24.8 percent.
Increase in the number of projects of construction (for the first two months in2010) In- process construction projects: 39.8 percent New start of construction projects: 33.4 percent Growth rate of profits of
large-scale industrial enterprises: 21.3%, higher than in 2010.
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CONCLUSION
In 2006-09, Chinas economic situation will be good. There shouldbe not doubt that the growth rate of Chinese economy can maintaina growth rate higher than 9 percent without causing seriousproblem in price stability. However, China needs to slowdownthe growth rate of fixed assets investment initiated by localgovernment and supported by loose monetary policy. On the other
hand, China should also be on guard against the possibility ofsignificant slowdown of the growth rate. The right combinationshould be a relatively tight monetary policy and arelatively expansionary fiscal policy. However, the multi-objectivesofChinas monetary policy have deprived the ability of the PBOC toimplement a relatively tight monetary policy. To raise the
effectiveness of macroeconomic control so as to provide conduciveenvironment for Chinas structural adjustment while maintain themacroeconomic stability, reform must be carried out withChinas macroeconomic management regime.
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BIBLOGRAPHY
Allsopp, C.J. and Vines, D: The Assessment:Macroeconomic Policy, Oxford Review of Economic
Policy,VOL.16.NO.4, Winter 2000.
Pierce and Tysome: Monetary Economics, 1985.
Dai Genyou: Chinas Monetary Policy: Retrospect and
Prospect, World Economy and China, No.3, 2001, p15.
Wikipedia & Google,Inc
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