key components of mobile device -...
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Key Components of Mobile Device -A whole new Era for eMMC-
Sean YangJune 5th , 2014
Memory and Storage Division
June, 2014 |Page 2ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED WITHOUT WRITTEN PERMISSION.
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E
Unit: 2GB M equiv.Demand Bit Volume
Handset
Tablet
Demand by Application
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E
� NAND demand momentum continued with strong mobile and enterprise applications. � Smartphone and tablet consumption has been dominated over past 4 years.
NAND Demand Outlook: Majority from Mobile Device
Source: DRAMeXchange,June2014
June, 2014 |Page 3ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED WITHOUT WRITTEN PERMISSION.
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Smartphone
Unit: Million
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
2011 2012 2013 2014E
-Total NAND Demand --eMMC Demand-
Unit: 2GB M equiv.
10%16%
23%
25%
eMMC Consumption(%)
� eMMC market grows along with solid mobile devices.
eMMC Market Overview-1
280460
680
930
1,200
WW Handset
0
100
200
300
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E
Tablet_non iPad
Unit: MillionWW Tablet
1 1640
120150
Source: DRAMeXchange,June2014
June, 2014 |Page 4ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED WITHOUT WRITTEN PERMISSION.
Consumption by Application eMMC Shipment by Density
eMMC Market Overview-2
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Smartphone Media TabletE-Reader Other Applications
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
64GB
32GB
16GB
8GB
4GB
2GB
� Smartphone and tablet are dominating eMMC market. � Raising middle/low-end models drives up 8GB portion.
Source: DRAMeXchange,June2014
June, 2014 |Page 5ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED WITHOUT WRITTEN PERMISSION.
eMMC & eMCP Pricing Trend
$-
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14E 3Q14F 4Q14F
32GB eMMC 16GB eMMC
8GB eMMC 4GB eMMC
$-
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14E 3Q14F 4Q14F
eMCP(4+4) eMCP(4+8) eMCP(16+8)
eMMC Price Forecast eMCP Price Forecast
� High density eMMC/eMCP price drops more than low density ones.� eMCP margin is higher than eMMC due to solid mDRAM pricing.
Source: DRAMeXchange,June2014
June, 2014 |Page 6ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED WITHOUT WRITTEN PERMISSION.
2014 2015
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
Roadmap for 2014 and 2015New-Generation eMMC
A-19nm eMMC/eMCP(5.0V)
19nm eMMC/eMCP(5.0V)
16nm eMMC(5.0V)
20nm eMMC/eMCP(4.5V) 20nm eMMC/eMCP(5.0V)
� eMMC(5.0V) will replace eMMC(4.5V) from 2Q14 for 2014 new AP platform. � 1ynm-class eMMC is the mainstream product for 2H14 and early 1H15.
16nm eMMC/eMCP(5.0V)
1ynm eMMC/eMCP(4.5V)
1znm eMMC/eMCP(5.0V)
19nm eMMC/eMCP(4.5V)
1ynm eMMC/eMCP(5.0V)
1znm eMMC/eMCP(5.0V)
16nm eMMC/eMCP(5.0V)
Source: Company data, complied by DRAMeXchange,June2014
June, 2014 |Page 7ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED WITHOUT WRITTEN PERMISSION.
2013 2014 2015
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
Roadmap for TLC-base eMMC Schedule
3-Bits-Cell eMMC/eMCP
3-Bits-Cell eMMC/eMCP
3-Bits –Cell eMMC/eMCP
3-Bits –Client SSD
3-Bits –Cell Enterprise SSD
3-Bits-Cell Clint SSD
3-Bits –Cell eMMC/EMCP
3-Bits –Cell Client SSD
3-Bits-Cell eMMC/eMCP
3-Bits-Cell Clint SSD
3-Bits -Cell Client SSD
� Samsung has strongly promoted TLC-Basis eMMC from 2013.� Other NAND makers TLC-Basis eMMC will be unveiled from 3Q14, aimed for low price
devices. Source: Company data, complied by DRAMeXchange,June2014
June, 2014 |Page 8ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED WITHOUT WRITTEN PERMISSION.
BasebandApplication Processor
eMMC
eMMC w POP
Mobile DRAM
Storage Design in Mobile Device: eMMC or eMCP
BasebandApplication Processor
eMMC
eMCP
Mobile DRAM
BasebandApplication Processor
SLC-NAND
SLC-MCP
Mobile DRAM
Feature Phone
Middle/LowSmartphone
PremiumSmartphone
June, 2014 |Page 9ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED WITHOUT WRITTEN PERMISSION.
eMMC in Mobile Device: A Common Standard
MSM8974LPDDR3+eMMC4.5
High-End
Middle-End
Low-End
MSM8926, MSM8928LPDDR3+eMMC4.5
MSM 8X12(QRD)LPDDR2+eMMC4.5
MSM8994LPDDR4+eMMC5.0
MSM8936, MSM8939LPDDR3+eMMC5.0
MSM8916(QRD)LPDDR3+eMMC5.0
MT6592LPDDR3+eMMC4.5
MT6588, MT6582LPDDR3+eMMC4.5
MT6572LPDDR2+eMMC4.5
MT6595LPDDR3+eMMC5.0
MT6591, MT6732LPDDR3+eMMC5.0
MT6571LPDDR2+eMMC4.5
Exynos 5422LPDDR3+eMMC5.0
Exynos 5433LPDDR3+eMMC5.0
RK3188LPDDR2+eMMC4.5
RK3026DDR3+eMMC4.5
RK2926DDR3+eMMC4.5
RK3288LPDDR3+eMMC5.0
RK3028ADDR3+eMMC4.5
RK2928DDR3+eMMC4.5
Moorefield Z35XXLPDDR3+eMMC5.0
Bay Trail-Z37XXLPDDR3+eMMC4.5
Bay Trail-CRZ37XXLPDDR3+eMMC4.5
Cherry Trail-Type4LPDDR3+eMMC5.0
Cherry Trail-Type3LPDDR3+eMMC4.5
Cherry Trail-Type3DDR3+eMMC4.5
� eMMC is the standard storage design among major AP platforms. � LPDDR3+eMMC5.0 is replacing LPDDR2+eMMC4.5 in 2014 cross different AP segments.
Exynos 5260LPDDR3+eMMC5.0
Source: Company data, complied by DRAMeXchange,June2014
June, 2014 |Page 10ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED WITHOUT WRITTEN PERMISSION.
0
20
40
60
80
100
1Q12 3Q12 1Q13 3Q13 1Q14 3Q14F
Unit: Million
0
100
200
300
400
1Q12 3Q12 1Q13 3Q13 1Q14 3Q14F
Unit: Million
36%
43%
51%
63%
64%
65%
70%
71%
74%
76%
80%
81%
eMMC % in Smartphone
24%
20%
46%
48%
46%
53%
59%
52%
58%
58%
59%
60%
eMMC % in Tablet
eMMC in Mobile Device: A Common Standard
� eMMC is widely applied for better performance and advanced O.S.
Source: DRAMeXchange,June2014
June, 2014 |Page 11ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED WITHOUT WRITTEN PERMISSION.
0
100
200
300
400
1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14E 3Q14F 4Q14F
High-end Smartphone Middle-end Smartphone Low-end Smartphone
Unit: Million
Smartphone: Weak 1Q14 and Low-End Drives 2Q14
� 1Q14 smartphone drops 6%qoq for seasonality. 2Q14 pick-up from low-end models. � Middle/Low-end models are carrying the catalyst in 2014. (60% in 2013-80% in 2014)
Source: DRAMeXchange,June2014
June, 2014 |Page 12ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED WITHOUT WRITTEN PERMISSION.
0
100
200
300
400
1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14E 3Q14F 4Q14F
Smartphone in eMMC Smartphone in MCP Smartphone in Discrete NAND
Unit: Million
� Slowing eMMC content growth is attributed by middle-low end devices.� Traditional MCP is replaced by eMMC or eMCP for new Android O.S and apps.
eMMC is Penetrating from Top to Bottom
10.29.710.7 11.0 11.4
11.612.5 13.0 12.1 12.3 12.3
12.7
Avg. eMMC Content (GB)
Source: DRAMeXchange,June2014
June, 2014 |Page 13ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED WITHOUT WRITTEN PERMISSION.
0
25
50
75
100
1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14E 3Q14F 4Q14F
Tablet in eMMC Tablet in Discrete NAND-White Box Tablet in Discrete NAND
Unit: Million
17.7 17.6 17.4
17.1
16.8 16.716.2
16.1
Avg. eMMC Content (GB)
� 1H14 tablet demand is muted, only 2%HoH compared with 1H13. � Overall demand picks up from 3Q14 for new models unveiled. � Tablet eMMC content declined in 2014 due to ultra-low price tablet raise. � Raw NAND is still popular among Chinese white-box for cost concern.
Tablet: Market Continues to Raise with Limited Content Growth.
Source: DRAMeXchange,June2014
June, 2014 |Page 14ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED WITHOUT WRITTEN PERMISSION.
2013
Samsung
SanDisk
SK Hynix
Toshiba
Micron
Kingston
Others
770mn eMMC units
Vendor Controller House
Samsung(19nm) In-House
SanDisk(19nm) In-House
SK Hynix(20nm) SMI
Toshiba(19nm) In-House
Micron(20nm) Phison
Kingston(19nm) Phison
Others SMI, Skymedi, Phison, etc…
� Samsung is leading with strong position in eMMC and eMCP, leveraged Samsung smartphone.� SanDisk has most diversified customer portfolios than any other eMMC vendors. � 3rd-party controller houses will find it difficult to compete with in-house solution.
WW eMMC+eMCPMarket Share in 2013
Source: DRAMeXchange,June2014
June, 2014 |Page 15ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED WITHOUT WRITTEN PERMISSION.
1,100mn eMMC units
Vendor Controller House
Samsung(19nm) In-House
SanDisk(1ynm) In-House
SK Hynix(16nm) In-House, SMI
Toshiba(A19nm) In-House
Micron(16nm) In-House
Kingston(A19nm) Phison
Others SMI, Skymedi, Phison, etc…
2014
Samsung
SanDisk
SK Hynix
Toshiba
Micron
Kingston
Others
� eMMC Market share pattern remains stable.� In-House Solutions are dominating. � TWN vendors are narrowing to supplementary role.
WW eMMC+eMCPMarket Share in 2014
Source: DRAMeXchange,June2014
June, 2014 |Page 16ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED WITHOUT WRITTEN PERMISSION.
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
1Q12 3Q12 1Q13 3Q13 1Q14 3Q14F
Unit: 1GB M equiv.
eMMC is Expanding to More Applications
$1.06
$0.99
$0.81
$0.74
$0.69
$0.66 $0.66
$0.60
$0.53
$0.51
$0.48
$0.46
eMMC Price per GB
Chromebook and low-price laptop
1. 2014 Chromebook is up to 6mn from 2.5mn in 2013. Strong demand accelerated by Google. 90% of Chromebook will adopt 16GB/32GB eMMC.
2. Low-Price laptop with touch function is supported by Microsoft and Intel. eMMC is designed for Bay Trail-T platform.
Smart TV
1. Smart TV required eMMC (2GB-8GB) for pre-loaded apps and contents. HQ content (i.e. 4K2K can enhance density) will help to boost content per box).
2. iTV may trigger high density content for next generation smart TV.
Wearable Device
1. eMMC is recommended for middle to premium segment for data and O.S. storage.
2. With limited space at PCB board, eMCP is a must and Packaged-On-Packaged with AP.
� eMMC gradually penetrates into consumer and emerging devices with affordable price by migration.
Source: DRAMeXchange,June2014
June, 2014 |Page 17ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED WITHOUT WRITTEN PERMISSION.
� eMMC market continues to grow along with solid upward momentum from smartphone and tablet.
� Most vendors will come up with TLC-Basis eMMC/eMCP from 2H14 to cope with solid demand from middle/low end mobile devices.
� eMMC content-per-box growth could be challenging given raising middle/low end smartphone and ultra-low-price tablets.
� Been widely adopted in smartphone and tablet, eMMC begins penetrating into emerging applications such as notebook, smart TV and wearable device from 2014.
Key Takeaways
Market
June, 2014 |Page 18ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED WITHOUT WRITTEN PERMISSION.
Thanks