kcs crude oil discussion breakout/0… · © 2017 kansas city southern auto production styles &...
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Automotive Overview
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U.S. Vehicle Sales to Remain Flat
2Source: Autocast Jan 2019 version
17.517.2 17.2
16.917.3 17.5 17.6 17.7
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2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
U.S. Light Vehicle Sales in Millions of Vehicles(2016-2018 Actuals, Forecast Thereafter)
-1.6% projected drop in sales from
2018 to 2019
0.8% increase is expected from
2016 to 2023
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U.S. Truck Sales Maintain Lead Over Car Sales
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10.6911.14
11.78 11.9212.35 12.64 12.81 12.90
6.846.08
5.27 5.11 4.98 4.86 4.79 4.75
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2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
U.S. Light Vehicle Sales in Millions of Vehicles(2016 & 2017 Actuals, Forecast Thereafter)
Trucks Cars Linear (Trucks) Linear (Cars)
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Global Rank in Auto Manufacturing
Source: OICA
21China
Japan
Germany
S Korea
Brazil
India
Spain
France
Mexico
Canada
Thailand
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015(MM units)
12.1
8.5
5.7
3.9
3.39
3.37
2.7
2.4
2.3 4
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2.0
2.0
2.1
1.5
2.32.6
2.92.9
3.2
3.4
3.9
3.9
4.2
4.4
4.5
0.1
0.3
0.4
0.7
0.8
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
MILLIONS OF VEHICLES
ORGANIC (EXISTING PLANTS) INORGANIC (NEW PLANTS)
4.0
4.2
4.65.1
5.3
Mexico’s Auto Production Growth
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Demand for Finished Vehicles from MexicoExports to US and Canada
20% Move via the ports of Veracruz, Lazaro and Altamira to US/CAN
Source: 2017 Estimated from Autocast, AMIA & SCT Data
Mexico Auto Production100%
Mexico Export Market
79%
Mexico Domestic Market
21%
US/Canada Bound84%
Rest of the World16%
80% Move viacross-Border to US & Canada
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KCS is Well-Positioned for Mexico Automotive Growth
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Auto Production Styles & End-Destinations Are Shifting
8*Source: Autocast**Source: Bloomberg Article, dated January 4, 2017
Passenger Car65%
Light Truck/SUV
35%
2011
Passenger Car57%
Light Truck/SUV
43%
2016
U.S.82%
Non-U.S.18%
2015
U.S.72%
Non-U.S.28%
2018 Projection
+8% Light Truck/SUV
+10% Non-U.S. Exports
Mexico’s manufacturing has shifted to better align with sales trends*
Exports to non-U.S. countries growing**
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Future Auto Plant Openings
Source: (1) Autocast(2) Manufacturer’s Press Releases
BMWSan Luis Potosi, MX
Opens 2019(2)
ToyotaGuanajuato, MX
Estimated Opening: 2020
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Automotive Equipment Today
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Auto-Max: 24+ Vehicles
Tri-Level: 12-15 Vehicles
Bi-Level: 8-10 Vehicles Asset
Utilization
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Railcar Loading Process
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Ramp In/Out
Tie Down – Chocks
Automotive Operations
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X-ray scanning system running in Lázaro, Nuevo Laredo and Laredo- X-ray pictures of the cargo.- Radiation scanning.
The National Dispatch Center in Monterrey, NL. allows a real
tracking of trains along the line.
CCTV
High-speed digital images system on the B-line in Saltillo and San Luis Potosi
DUOS System
Scanning of High Security SealsMCS System
Data Base Integration
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