jump processes - generalizing stochastic integrals...

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J P G S I J Tyer Hofmeister University of Calgary Mathematical and Computational Finance Laboratory

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Page 1: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

JUMP PROCESSESGENERALIZING STOCHASTIC INTEGRALS WITH JUMPS

Tyler Hofmeister

University of CalgaryMathematical and Computational Finance Laboratory

Page 2: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

Overview

1. General Method

2. Poisson Processes

3. Diffusion and Single Jumps

4. Compound Poisson Process

5. Jump-Diffusion

2016/05/18

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Page 3: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

GENERAL METHOD

Page 4: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

General Method

Define aStochasticProcess

Adjust theProcess to aMartingale

Define aStochasticIntegral

Ito’s Formulaand Generator

2016/05/18

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Page 5: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

POISSON PROCESSES

Page 6: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

Definition

Definition: Poisson Process

A Poisson process N � {Nt}0≤t≤T ∈ Z+, with intensity λ, is a

stochastic process with the following properties

(i) N0 � 0 almost surely,(ii) Nt − N0 has a Poisson distribution with parameter λt.(iii) N has independent increments, so (s , t)∩ (v , u) � ∅ implies

Nt − Ns is independent of Nv − Nu .(iv) N has stationary increments, so Ns+t − Ns follows the same

distribution as Nt for all s , t > 0.

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Page 7: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

Poisson Process Example

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Page 8: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

Poisson Process: Properties

Properties

(i) E [Nt] � λt

(ii) Var [Nt] � λt

(iii) The time between jumps of N are independent and followan exponential distribution.

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Page 9: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

Compensated Poisson Process

Proposition: Compensated Poisson Process

The compensated Poisson process N �

{Nt

}0≤t≤T

whereNt � Nt − λt is a martingale with respect to it’s generated fil-tration F .

Proof.

E [Nt+s − λ(t + s)|Ft] � E [Nt+s − Ns + Ns − λ(t + s)|Ft]� E [Nt − λt + Ns − λs |Ft]� Nt − λt

�2016/05/18

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Page 10: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

Compensated Poisson Process Example

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Page 11: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

Stochastic Integral

Definition: Stochastic Integral with respect to aCompensated Poisson Process

Let g be an Ft-adapted process, where Ft is the natural filtra-tion generated by Poisson process N . Define stochastic integralY � {Yt}0≤t≤T of g with respect to N as

Yt �

∫ t

0gs−dNs �

Nt∑k�1

gτ−k −∫ t

0gsλds

where {τ1 , τ2 , . . .} is the collection of times when N jumps.

2016/05/18

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Page 12: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

Ito’s Formula for Poisson Processes

Theorem: Ito’s Formula for Poisson Processes

Suppose Y is the stochastic integral given previously. LetZ � {Zt}0≤t≤T with Zt � f (t ,Yt) for some function f , oncedifferentiable in t. Then

dZt � (∂t f (t ,Yt) − λgt∂y f (t ,Yt))dt

+�

f (t ,Yt− + gt−) − f (t ,Yt−)� dNt

� {∂t f (t ,Yt) + λ([ f (t ,Yt− + gt−) − f (t ,Yt−)]− gt∂y f (t ,Yt))}dt

+ [ f (t ,Yt− + gt−) − f (t ,Yt−)]dNt

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Page 13: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

Infinitesimal Generator

Recall that the generator Lt of a process Xt acts on twicedifferentiable functions f as

Lt f (x) � limh↓0

E[ f (Xt+h |Xt � x)] − f (x)h

which is a generalization of a derivative of a function which canbe applied to stochastic processes.

The generator of stochastic integral Y from a Poisson processacts as

L Yt f (y) � λ �[ f (y + gt) − f (y)] − gt∂y f (y)�

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Page 14: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

DIFFUSION AND SINGLE JUMPS

Page 15: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

Sum of Stochastic Integrals

Using the framework developed previously for StochasticIntegrals with respect to diffusion and jumps, we sum thesetwo as follows.

Yt �

∫ t

0fs ds +

∫ t

0gs dWs +

∫ t

0hs−dNs ,

where f , g , h are Ft adapted processes, and filtration F is thenatural one generated by both the Brownian motion W andPoisson process N , which are mutually independent.

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Page 16: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

Ito’s Formula for Single Jumps and Diffusion

Theorem: Ito’s Formula for Single Jumps and Diffusion

Suppose Y is the stochastic integral given previously. LetZ � {Zt}0≤t≤T with Zt � l(t ,Yt) for some function l, oncedifferentiable in t and twice differentiable in y. Then

dZt � (∂t + ft∂y +12 g2

t ∂y y − λht∂y)l(t ,Yt))dt

+ gt∂y l(t ,Yt)dWt + [l(t ,Yt− + ht−) − l(t ,Yt−)] dNt

���∂t + ft∂y +

12 g2

t ∂y y�

l(t ,Yt)+λ([l(t ,Yt− + ht−) − l(t ,Yt−)] − ht∂y l(t ,Yt)) dt

+ gt∂y l(t ,Yt)dWt + [l(t ,Yt− + ht−) − l(t ,Yt−)]dNt

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Page 17: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

Generator

The generator of Y acts as

L Yt l(y) � ft∂y l(y)+ 1

2 g2t ∂y y l(y)+λ �[l(y + ht) − l(y)] − ht∂y l(y)�

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Page 18: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

COMPOUND POISSON PROCESS

Page 19: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

Definition

Definition: Compound Poisson Processes

Let N be a Poisson process with intensity λ and {ε1 , ε2 , . . .} bea set of independent identically distributed random variableswith distribution function F and E[ε] < +∞. A compoundPoisson process J � { Jt}0≤t≤T is given by

Jt �

Nt∑k�1

εk , t ≥ 0

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Page 20: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

Compound Poisson Process Example

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Page 21: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

Compound Poisson Process: Properties

Properties

(i) E [Jt] � λtE[ε](ii) Var [Jt] � λtE

�ε2�

(iii) As with the standard Poisson process, the inter-arrivaltimes are independent and exponentially distributed.

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Page 22: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

Compensated Compound Poisson Process

Proposition:

The compensated compound Poisson process J �

{Jt

}0≤t≤T

where Jt � Jt − E[ε]λt is a martingale.

Proof.

E[Jt+s |Ft

]� E

Nt+sk�1 εk − λ(t + s)E[ε]|Ft

]

� E[Σ

Ntk�1εk + Σ

Nt+sk�Nt+1 − λ(t + s)E[ε]|Ft

]

� ΣNtk�1 − λtE[ε]

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Page 23: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

Compensated Compound Poisson Process

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Page 24: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

Corresponding Stochastic Integral

Let F be the natural filtration generated by J. We define thestochastic integral Y � {Yt}0≤t≤T of an F -adapted process gwith respect to the compensated compound Poisson process Jas

Yt �

∫ t

0gs−d Js �

∑s≤t

gs−∆Js −

∫ t

0gsλE[ε]ds

where ∆Js � Js − Js−

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Page 25: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

JUMP-DIFFUSION

Page 26: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

Sum of Stochastic Integral

Let f , g , and h be F -adapted stochastic processes where F isthe natural filtration generated by an independent Brownianmotion W and J. We define the stochastic integral Y as

Yt �

∫ t

0fs ds +

∫ t

0gs dWs +

∫ t

0hs−d Js

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Page 27: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

Ito’s Formula for Jump-Diffusion

Theorem: Ito’s Formula for Jump-Diffusion

Suppose Y is the stochastic integral given previously. LetZ � {Zt}0≤t≤T with Zt � l(t ,Yt) for some function l, oncedifferentiable in t and twice differentiable in y. ThendZt � (∂t + ft∂y +

12 g2

t ∂y y − λE[ε]ht∂y)l(t ,Yt))dt

+ gt∂y l(t ,Yt)dWt +�l(t ,Yt− + εNt ht−) − l(t ,Yt−)� dNt

���∂t + ft∂y +

12 g2

t ∂y y�

l(t ,Yt)+λ(E[l(t ,Yt− + ht−) − l(t ,Yt−)] − E[εt]ht∂y l(t ,Yt)) dt

+ gt∂y l(t ,Yt)dWt + [l(t ,Yt− + εNt ht−) − l(t ,Yt−)]dNt

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Page 28: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

Generator

The generator of Y acts as

L Yt l(y) � ft∂y l(y) + 1

2 g2t ∂y y l(y)

+ λ�E[l(t , y + εht) − l(t , y)] − E[ε]ht∂y l(t ,Yt)�

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Page 29: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

References

Alvaro Cartea, Sebastian Jaimungal, and Jose PenalvaAlgorithmic and High-Frequency TradingCambridge University Press, 2015

Nicolas PrivaultNotes on Stochastic FinanceNanyang Technological University

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Page 30: Jump Processes - Generalizing Stochastic Integrals …people.ucalgary.ca/~aswish/JumpProcesses.pdfCompensated Poisson Process Letg beanFt-adaptedprocess,whereFt isthenaturalfiltra-tiongeneratedbyPoissonprocessN.Definestochasticintegral

Thank you!