july 2017, issue 64 - paul, weiss · acquisition of whole foods market, inc. for $13.43 billion)....
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July 2017, Issue 64
1
A T A G L A N C E
M&A activity in June 2017 struggled to build upon any recent favorable indicators. Globally, total deal volume by dollar value decreased from May 2017 volume by 3.5% to $263.00 billion, and the number of deals decreased by 5.8% to 3,116. The market’s downward trend was more pronounced in the U.S., where total deal volume by dollar value decreased over the same period by 8.1% to $94.44 billion, and the number of deals decreased by 21.7% to 662.
Strategic vs. Sponsor ActivitySponsor-related activity, both globally and in the U.S., slipped from its strong performance in May, decreasing in total dollar value by 3.5% to $78.32 billion and 26.8% to $40.31 billion, respectively, and in number of deals by 27.3% to 269 and 42.3% to 94, respectively. Global strategic activity experienced similar declines, with deal volume as measured by dollar value decreasing by 3.5% to $184.68 billion and number of deals decreasing by 3.1% to 2,847. Although the number of U.S. strategic deals decreased by 16.7% to 568, total dollar value increased by 13.5% to $54.13 billion. Figure 1 and Annex Figures 1A-4A.
Crossborder ActivityGlobal crossborder activity decreased both in total dollar value (by 20.0% to $75.29 billion) and in number of deals (by 3.2% to 757). In the U.S., although inbound activity decreased both in total dollar value (by 44.8% to $12.32 billion) and in number of deals (by 6.8% to 123), outbound activity increased in total dollar value by 95.8% to $13.16 billion and number of deals by 34.0% to 138. Figure 1 and Annex Figures 5A-7A.
In U.S. outbound activity, Germany led by total dollar value in June 2017 ($6.79 billion), while Canada held onto its lead in number of deals (27). Germany overtook the U.K.’s briefly-held position as the 12-month leader in outbound deal volume ($58.08 billion), although the U.K. maintained its 12-month lead in number of deals (312). As for U.S. inbound activity, Canada was the leading country of origin by total dollar value for June ($3.00 billion), while the U.K. maintained its 12-month lead ($105.26 billion). Canada was the leading country for inbound number of deals, both in June (31) and over the last 12 months (409). Figure 3.
U.S. Deals by IndustryRetail was the most active target industry in the U.S. by dollar value ($19.51 billion, driven primarily by Amazon.com, Inc.’s pending acquisition of Whole Foods Market, Inc. for $13.43 billion). Computers & Electronics remained the most active target industry in the U.S. by number of deals in June (169), and maintained its position as the most active target industry for the last 12 months, as measured by both dollar value ($216.24 billion) and number of deals (2,550). Figures 2 and 5.
U.S. Public MergersTurning to U.S. public merger terms, average target break fees and reverse break fees neared their 12-month averages, and were 3.4% and 5.7%, respectively, for the month of June 2017. Figures 6 and 7. The use of cash consideration in June (75.0%) was above the 12-month average (62.9%). Figure 9. The incidence of tender offers as a percentage of U.S. public mergers (18.8%) was below the 12-month average (21.5%). Figure 11. Finally, hostile offers were reported in 5.6% of U.S. public mergers in May 2017 (as compared to the 12-month average of 9.4%). Figure 12.
P A U L , W E I S S , R I F K I N D , W H A R T O N & G A R R I S O N L L P
Figures 1-3 were compiled using data from Dealogic, and are for the broader M&A market, including mergers of any value involving public and/or private entities. Figures 4 and 5 were compiled using data from FactSet MergerMetrics, and are limited to mergers involving public U.S. targets announced during the period indicated and valued at $100 million or higher regardless of whether a definitive merger agreement was reached and filed or withdrawn. All data is as of July 10, 2017 unless otherwise specified. “Last 12 Months” data is for the period from July 2016 to June 2017 inclusive. Data obtained from Dealogic and FactSet MergerMetrics has not been reviewed for accuracy by Paul, Weiss.
By Volume (US$B)
June 2017
Last 12 Months
By Number of Deals
June 2017
Last 12 Months
$0 $100 $200 $300 $400
Consumer Products
Healthcare
Oil & Gas
Real Estate/Property
Retail
$14.32
$10.98
$9.28
$19.51
$14.75
$0 $100 $200 $300 $400
Leisure & Recreation
Utility & Energy
Healthcare
Oil & Gas
Computers & Electronics
$201.97
$216.24
$176.73
$141.10
$118.98
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000
Insurance
Finance
Healthcare
Professional Services
Computers & Electronics 169
68
65
39
30
June 2017 Global +/- From Prior
Month
U.S. +/- From Prior
Month
Total
Volume (US$B) 263.00 (9.52) 94.44 (8.36)
No. of deals 3,116 (192) 662 (183)
Avg. value of deals (US$mil) 163.9 (9.6) 379.3 29.6
Avg. deal multiple1 11.1x (0.3) 13.9x 1.3
Strategic Transactions
Volume (US$B) 184.68 (6.71) 54.13 6.43
No. of deals 2,847 (91) 568 (114)
Avg. value of deals (US$mil) 122.5 (9.5) 251.8 60.2
Avg. deal multiple1 10.5x (0.4) 12.9x 2.0
Sponsor-Related Transactions
Volume (US$B) 78.32 (2.81) 40.31 (14.79)
No. of deals 269 (101) 94 (69)
Avg. value of deals (US$mil) 807.5 136.9 1,185.7 (38.8)
Avg. deal multiple1 13.7x 1.0 15.6x 1.1
Crossborder Transactions2
Volume (US$B) 75.29 (18.88) Inbound
12.32Outbound
13.16
Inbound
(10.00)Outbound
6.44
No. of deals 757 (25) Inbound
123Outbound
138
Inbound
(9)Outbound
35
Avg. value of deals (US$mil) 204.1 (52.6) Inbound
198.8Outbound
258.0
Inbound
(129.5)Outbound
9.1
Avg. deal multiple1 9.8x (1.0) Inbound
16.9xOutbound
8.6x
Inbound
6.3Outbound
(2.1)
Figure 1 Figure 2 - Most Active U.S. Target Industries3
M&A Activity
2
1 Ratio of enterprise value to EBITDA, trailing 12 months. This statistic is calculated using a smaller subset of deals for which this data is available.2 Global crossborder transactions are those where the acquirer and the target have different nationalities. Nationality is based on where a company has either its headquarters or a majority of its operations. U.S. crossborder transactions are those transactions where the acquirer and the target have different nationalities and either the acquirer (“Outbound”) or the target (“Inbound”) has a U.S. nationality.3 Industries categories are determined and named by Dealogic.
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000
Oil & Gas
Finance
Healthcare
Professional Services
Computers & Electronics
1,136
988
2,550
437
551
A T A G L A N C E
Return to Summary
P A U L , W E I S S , R I F K I N D , W H A R T O N & G A R R I S O N L L P
3
A T A G L A N C E
Figure 3 - Top 5 Countries of Origin or Destination for U.S. Crossborder Transactions
Inbound U.S. Crossborder Transactions for June 2017 Inbound U.S. Crossborder Transactions for the Last 12 Months
By Volume (US$B) By Volume (US$B)
By Number of Deals By Number of Deals
Outbound U.S. Crossborder Transactions for June 2017 Outbound U.S. Crossborder Transactions for the Last 12 Months
By Volume (US$B) By Volume (US$B)
By Number of Deals By Number of Deals
$0 $30 $60 $90 $120 $150
Netherlands
United Kingdom
Canada
Switzerland
Germany $6.79
$3.44
$1.33
$0.34
$0.28
$0 $30 $60 $90 $120 $150
France
Japan
China
Canada
United Kingdom
$89.98
$46.88
$45.83
$22.43
$105.26
0 100 200 300 400 500
Germany
China
United Kingdom
Japan
Canada 409
195
185
98
146
$0 $30 $60 $90 $120 $150
Israel
Switzerland
Netherlands
United Kingdom
Germany
$53.54
$58.08
$52.13
$16.78
$39.57
0 100 200 300 400 500
Brazil & France
Australia
Germany
Canada
United Kingdom 312
291
119
97
614
0 100 200 300 400 500
France
China
United Kingdom
Japan
Canada 31
15
12
14
9
0 100 200 300 400 500
Netherlands
Australia
Germany
United Kingdom
Canada
24
27
18
8
7
4 Each of Brazil and France was the country of destination for 61 transactions in the last 12 months.
$0 $30 $60 $90 $120 $150
China
Singapore
Netherlands
United Kingdom
Canada $3.00
$2.42
$2.10
$1.72
$1.00
M&A Activity (Continued)Return to Summary
P A U L , W E I S S , R I F K I N D , W H A R T O N & G A R R I S O N L L P
June 2017
Equity Value (US$B)
Last 12 Months
Equity Value (US$B)
Average Value of Five Largest U.S. Public Mergers Average Value of All U.S. Public Mergers
Aug 20
16
Jul 2
016
Jun 2
017
May 20
17
Apr 20
17
Mar
201
7
Feb
2017
Jan 2
017
Dec 20
16
Nov 20
16
Oct 20
16
Sep 20
16$0
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
$30,000
$35,000
$40,000
$45,000
$2,927.7
$1,585.0
$2,134.1
$2,405.7$2,736.7 $1,041.0
$13,404.5
$3,168.1$2,829.2
$1,673.2$1,014.3
$2,305.7
$7,570.1
$4,338.2$5,526.2
$6,674.4$8,095.5
$1,427.0
$39,975.8
$8,104.8$8,655.8
$3,933.5$2,085.5
$7,031.7
$0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100
Level 3 Communications, Inc. ~ CenturyLink, Inc.(October 31, 2016)
Spectra Energy Corp ~ Enbridge, Inc.(September 6, 2016)
Baker Hughes, Inc. ~ General Electric Co.(October 31, 2016)
Reynolds American Inc. ~ British American Tobacco Plc(October 21, 2016)
Time Warner Inc. ~ AT&T Inc.(October 22, 2016)
$25.27
$83.37
$49.22
$35.90
$28.33
$0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100
PAREXEL International Corp. ~ Pamplona Capital Management LLP(June 19, 2017)
DuPont Fabros Technology, Inc. ~ Digital Realty Trust, Inc.(June 9, 2017)
Rice Energy, Inc. ~ EQT Corp.(June 19, 2017)
Staples, Inc. ~ Sycamore Partners Management LP(June 28, 2017)
Whole Foods Market, Inc. ~ Amazon.com, Inc.(June 16, 2017)
$13.43
$4.95
$4.50
$6.70
$5.58
Figure 4 - Average Value of Announced U.S. Public Mergers (in US$mil)
Figure 5 - Five Largest U.S. Public Mergers
4
A T A G L A N C E
M&A Activity (Continued)Return to Summary
P A U L , W E I S S , R I F K I N D , W H A R T O N & G A R R I S O N L L P
5 Based on the highest target break fees and reverse break fees payable in a particular deal.6 Three transactions in June 2017 involving a strategic buyer had a reverse break fee.7 Zero transactions in June 2017 had a go-shop provision.
8 Zero transactions in June 2017 involving a financial buyer had a go-shop provision.9 Zero transactions in June 2017 involving a strategic buyer had a go-shop provision.
M&A Terms
Avg. Reverse Break Fee as % of Equity ValueAvg. Target Break Fee as % of Equity Value
Average Value of All U.S. Public Mergers with Definitive Agreements
Jun 2
017
Jul 2
016
Apr 20
17
Mar 20
17
Feb
2017
Jan 2
017
Dec 20
16
Nov 20
16
Oct 20
16
Sep 20
16
Aug 20
16
May 20
17
(US$mil)
6%
12%
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
3.3
4.9
3.6
9.0
3.6
5.2
3.6
4.4
3.5
5.8
3.6
4.7
3.3
4.1
3.3
5.1
3.6
6.2
3.3
4.9
3.6
5.5
3.4
5.7
$3,029.1
$1,819.8$2,250.3 $2,488.3
$2,888.2
$1,184.3
$13,404.5
$3,168.1$3,248.5
$1,803.2
$1,039.1
$2,555.6
Figure 6 - Average Break Fees as % of Equity Value5
Figure 7 - Average Break Fees as % of Equity Value
June 2017
Last 12 Months
Target Break Fee for All Mergers 3.4 3.5
June 2017
Last 12 Months
Reverse Break Fee for All Mergers 5.7 5.4
Reverse Break Fee for Mergers Involving Financial Buyers
6.2 6.4
Reverse Break Fee for Mergers Involving Strategic Buyers6
4.8 5.1
June 2017 Last 12 Months
% of Mergers with Go-Shops 0.0 9.1
% of Mergers Involving Financial Buyers with Go-Shops
0.0 38.7
% of Mergers Involving Strategic Buyers with Go-Shops
0.0 3.2
Avg. Go-Shop Window (in Days) for All Mergers with Go-Shops7
N/A 35.1
Avg. Go-Shop Window (in Days) for Mergers Involving Financial Buyers with Go-Shops8
N/A 35.9
Avg. Go-Shop Window (in Days) for Mergers Involving Strategic Buyers with Go-Shops9
N/A 33.0
Figure 8 - U.S. Public Merger Go-Shop Provisions
Figures 6-12 were compiled using data from FactSet MergerMetrics, and are limited to select mergers involving public U.S. targets announced during the period indicated, valued at $100 million or higher and for which a definitive merger agreement was reached and filed (unless otherwise indicated). Data obtained from FactSet MergerMetrics has not been reviewed for accuracy by Paul, Weiss.
5
A T A G L A N C E
M&A Activity (Continued)Return to Summary
P A U L , W E I S S , R I F K I N D , W H A R T O N & G A R R I S O N L L P
10 Due to rounding, percentages may not add up to 100%.11 This data includes both announced transactions for which a definitive merger agreement was reached
and filed and those for which a definitive merger agreement was never reached and filed (including withdrawn transactions).
Cash Only
Stock Only
Cash & Stock Only
Choice (Cash Election)
Other
Last 12 Months
June 2017
5.9%
62.9%18.8%
12.4%
75.0%
12.5%
12.5%
June 2017 100.0
Last 12 Months 91.4
June 2017 18.8
Last 12 Months 21.5
Figure 11 - Tender Offers as % of U.S. Public Mergers
Figure 12 - Hostile/Unsolicited Offers as % of U.S. Public Mergers11
June 2017 5.6
Last 12 Months 9.4
Figure 9 - Form of Consideration as % of U.S. Public Mergers10 Figure 10 - % of Partial and All Stock Deals That Have a Fixed Exchange Ratio
Our Mergers & Acquisitions PracticeThe Paul, Weiss M&A Group consists of more than 30 partners and over 100 counsel and associates based in New York, Washington, Wilmington, London, Toronto, Tokyo, Hong Kong and Beijing. The firm’s Corporate Department consists of more than 60 partners and over 200 counsel and associates.
Our M&A Group is among the most experienced and active in the world. We represent publicly traded and privately held companies, leading private equity firms, financial advisors, and other financial institutions and investors in their most important mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and other strategic transactions.
Our expertise advising corporations and private investors in a broad range of sophisticated transactions enables us to identify new opportunities for our clients to realize value. We have particular experience in guiding clients as they engage in proxy battles, company-altering and market consolidating transactions or capital markets transactions.
Recent highlights include advising: Time Warner Cable in its $79 billion merger with Charter Communications; Qualcomm in its approximately $47 billion pending acquisition of NXP Semiconductors; Agrium in its $36 billion pending merger of equals with Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan; funds affiliated with Apollo Global Management and Protection 1 in their $15 billion acquisition of ADT Corporation; Alere in its $8 billion pending acquisition by Abbott Laboratories; ARIAD Pharmaceuticals in its approximately $5.2 billion acquisition by Takeda Pharmaceutical Company; Air Methods Corporation in its $2.5 billion acquisition by affiliates of American Securities; Kate Spade & Company in its $2.4 billion acquisition by Coach; and the Board of Directors of Xerox in its separation of the company into two public companies.
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6
A T A G L A N C E
M&A Activity (Continued)Return to Summary
P A U L , W E I S S , R I F K I N D , W H A R T O N & G A R R I S O N L L P
Matthew W. Abbott
Edward T. Ackerman
Scott A. Barshay
Angelo Bonvino
Jeanette K. Chan
Ellen N. Ching
Ariel J. Deckelbaum
Ross A. Fieldston
Brian P. Finnegan
Adam M. Givertz
Neil Goldman
Bruce A. Gutenplan
Justin G. Hamill
David M. Klein
David K. Lakhdhir
Stephen P. Lamb
John E. Lange
Xiaoyu Greg Liu
Brian C. Lavin
Jeffrey D. Marell
Alvaro Membrillera
Judie Ng Shortell
Kelley D. Parker
Carl L. Reisner
Kenneth M. Schneider
Robert B. Schumer
John M. Scott
Tarun M. Stewart
Steven J. Williams
Betty Yap
Kaye N. Yoshino
Tong Yu
Taurie M. Zeitzer
This publication is not intended to provide legal advice, and no legal or business decisions should be based on its content. Questions concerning issues addressed in this memorandum should be directed to:
Our M&A Partners
Ariel J. Deckelbaum Partner New York +1-212-373-3546 Email
Scott A. Barshay Partner New York +1-212-373-3040 Email
Matthew W. Abbott Partner New York +1-212-373-3402 Email
Angelo Bonvino Partner New York +1-212-373-3570 Email
Jeffrey D. Marell Partner New York +1-212-373-3105 Email
7© 2017 Paul, Weiss, Rifkind, Wharton & Garrison LLP. In some jurisdictions, this publication may be considered attorney advertising. Past representations are no guarantee of future outcomes.
P A U L , W E I S S , R I F K I N D , W H A R T O N & G A R R I S O N L L P P A U L W E I S S . C O M
NEW YORK BEIJING HONG KONG LONDON TOKYO TORONTO WASHINGTON, D.C. WILMINGTON
Counsel Frances F. Mi, associates Ryan D. Blicher, Edy Glozman, Yae Na Woo and Michael N. Wysolmerski and law clerk David Okada contributed to this publication.
A T A G L A N C E
Figure 1A - U.S. Deal Volume (US$B)
Figure 2A - Global Deal Volume (US$B)
M&A Activity – 12-Month Trends
A - 8
Jul 2
016
Jun 2
017
May 20
17
Apr 20
17
Mar 20
17
Feb
2017
Jan 2
017
Dec 20
16
Nov 20
16
Oct 20
16
Sep 20
16
Aug 20
16
Strategic TotalSponsor
$0
$80
$160
$240
$320
$400
$114.25 $110.87$127.86
$354.94
$154.54
$88.14$112.53
$98.77
$69.65
$108.06 $102.80 $94.44$72.45 $73.16 $109.26
$315.89
$116.46
$56.43 $80.19$73.97
$46.11
$87.02
$47.70
$54.13
$41.80 $37.72$18.60
$39.05 $38.08 $31.71 $32.34 $24.81 $23.54 $21.03
$55.10
$40.31
Aug 20
16
Jul 2
016
Jun 2
017
May 20
17
Apr 20
17
Mar
201
7
Feb
2017
Jan 2
017
Dec 20
16
Nov 20
16
Oct 20
16
Sep 20
16
Strategic TotalSponsor
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$311.29
$223.30
$324.21
$565.87
$315.99
$383.68
$284.94
$179.14
$281.98$257.97 $272.52 $263.00
$241.33$170.75
$273.79
$486.35
$243.92
$303.33
$237.74
$136.13
$219.42 $205.08 $191.39 $184.68
$69.97 $52.55 $50.42$79.52 $72.07 $80.35
$47.20 $43.02 $62.56 $52.88$81.14 $78.32
A T A G L A N C E
A N N E XReturn to Summary
P A U L , W E I S S , R I F K I N D , W H A R T O N & G A R R I S O N L L P
Figure 3A - U.S. Number of Deals
Figure 4A - Global Number of Deals
A - 9
A T A G L A N C E
Jul 2
016
Jun 2
017
May 20
17
Apr 20
17
Mar 20
17
Feb
2017
Jan 2
017
Dec 20
16
Nov 20
16
Oct 20
16
Sep 20
16
Aug 20
16
Strategic TotalSponsor
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
656
741 762 734
860 819984 876
939
750
845
662
516582
612583
699 719 834 709
782
610
682
568
140 159 150 151 161
100150 167 157 140
163
94
Jul 2
016
Jun 2
017
May 20
17
Apr 20
17
Mar 20
17
Feb
2017
Jan 2
017
Dec 20
16
Nov 20
16
Oct 20
16
Sep 20
16
Aug 20
16
Strategic TotalSponsor
0
800
1,600
2,400
3,200
4,000
3,069 3,035 3,0552,892
3,3883,208 3,275
3,057
3,710
2,961
3,3083,116
2,722 2,720 2,7252,548
3,037 2,935 2,9392,711
3,359
2,646
2,938 2,847
347 315 330 344 351 273 336 346 351 315 370269
A N N E XReturn to Summary
P A U L , W E I S S , R I F K I N D , W H A R T O N & G A R R I S O N L L P
P A U L , W E I S S , R I F K I N D , W H A R T O N & G A R R I S O N L L P A - 1 0
A T A G L A N C E
Figure 5A - Inbound U.S. Crossborder Transactions
Jul 2
016
Jun 2
017
May 20
17
Apr 20
17
Mar
201
7
Feb
2017
Jan 2
017
Dec 20
16
Nov 20
16
Oct 20
16
Sep 20
16
Aug 2
016
By Volume (US$B) By Number of Deals
$0
$20
$60
$40
$80
$100
$120
100
150
200
$27.06 $26.83 $66.20 $107.42 $28.55 $24.47 $23.15 $38.11 $22.24 $27.19 $22.32 $12.32
109118
139
122
160
136
151
166 161
126 132123
Figure 6A - Outbound U.S. Crossborder Transactions
Jul 2
016
Jun 2
017
May 20
17
Apr 20
17
Mar 20
17
Feb
2017
Jan 2
017
Dec 20
16
Nov 20
16
Oct 20
16
Sep 20
16
Aug 2
016
By Volume (US$B) By Number of Deals
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
0
100
200
$10.70 $10.38 $20.58 $60.64 $5.36 $81.05 $37.87 $11.96 $23.94 $7.79 $6.72 $13.16
117
140
115128
170
123
166150
142
117103
138
Figure 7A - Global Crossborder Transactions
Jul 2
016
Jun 2
017
May 20
17
Apr 20
17
Mar 20
17
Feb
2017
Jan 2
017
Dec 20
16
Nov 20
16
Oct 20
16
Sep 20
16
Aug 2
016
By Volume (US$B) By Number of Deals
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
100
500
1000
$124.40 $62.82 $133.83 $215.28 $75.67 $201.87 $115.23 $73.62 $97.91 $79.69 $94.18 $75.29
733 741 743688
897815 853 815
894
704782 757
A N N E XReturn to Summary