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July 15, 2014. Auction Industry Leaders, Class III, Spokane, WA. Your Homework. The wholesale market was strong and active and climbing in April when we last met. Has it turned, when did it turn and by how much? Relate this to values, consignment and conversion. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: July 15, 2014

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July 15, 2014

Page 2: July 15, 2014

Auction Industry Leaders, Class III, Spokane, WA

Page 3: July 15, 2014

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Your HomeworkThe wholesale market was strong and active and

climbing in April when we last met. Has it turned, when did it turn and by how much? Relate this to values, consignment and conversion.

Do you think the wholesale market is better or worse today than one year ago in 2013: values and volumes of offerings?

Gas prices are getting the headlines. What do you feel they will peak at? What effects/reactions do you expect?

Page 4: July 15, 2014

The Broad View

A solid spring: Strong tax season activity

Later beginning of strength: Winter delayed

Lasted longer on the calendar: Solid through 2nd week of May

Is the market better or worse?

Page 5: July 15, 2014

Most recent market changes

Page 6: July 15, 2014

Previous month market changes

Page 7: July 15, 2014

Previous year ago period market changes

Page 8: July 15, 2014

Better than previous 3 month period

Page 9: July 15, 2014

Year ago 3 month period

Page 10: July 15, 2014

Better than annual forecast

Page 11: July 15, 2014

Year ago 12 month market changes

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Is the Market Better or Worse?

This Month, Quarter or Year over Year?

In each comparable periodThe answer is lower depreciation

today:Except May to June 2014

Page 13: July 15, 2014

NAAA physical auction volume:

2013 marked the second consecutive year of increase in unit volume since 2007.

The number of units entered increased 4.3 percent to 15.2 million.

The number sold grew 4.2 percent to 8.2 million for a conversion rate of 54.2 percent.

Dealer-consigned vehicles represented the largest number of units sold at 58.8 percent.

Financial/fleet accounted for 34.3 percent.

Supply Levels Growing

Page 14: July 15, 2014

NAAA physical auction volume: Increased consignment and sales volume 2013 over 2012

Expect the same increase in 2014

Total new sales levels 15.6M in 2013 16.1M in 2014 projected 16.5M in 2015 projected

Off lease increasing Part of trade-ins: just know when and sometimes where

Supply Levels Growing

Page 15: July 15, 2014

High penetration of lease in New England

Creates a tough remarketing area

Online and Upstream to distribute the volume

Transportation services

Extra Reconditioning: Front Line Ready

EOT Oversupply?

Page 16: July 15, 2014

2011: -7.7%

2012: -12.4%

2013: -12.8%

2014: -13.5% projected

2015: 15.5%

Annual Depreciation Trends

Page 17: July 15, 2014

3 segments increased during June

MPT, MVC & FPT show strength

Greater than traditional depreciation:All Cars, mostly small

14 increased in last month of 1st Qtr

Page 18: July 15, 2014

Solid Annual Market Changes

Only the Prestige Luxury Cars over pre-recession annualdepreciation

7 under 10% depreciation: All truck related

Page 19: July 15, 2014

End of 1st Qtr Results

If history repeats, second qtr could be better. Must overcome strong March.

1st Qtr Results

Page 20: July 15, 2014

End of 2nd Qtr Results

History did repeat, second qtr was better as spring market extended into May.

-5.2% -3.3%

2nd Qtr Results

Page 21: July 15, 2014

Truck Market Continues Better Depreciation2nd Qtr market changes

Page 22: July 15, 2014

1st Qtr market changes

Cars and Trucks almost identical change for quarter

Page 23: July 15, 2014

Mazda activity

Spring market seasonality is prevalent in the compact cars

Page 24: July 15, 2014

Mazda activity

Mazda5 also affected by the spring market strength

Page 25: July 15, 2014

Mazda activity

As the volumes have increased the seasonality spikes have leveled out somewhat

Page 26: July 15, 2014

Mazda activity

CX-7 closing gap to segment in 2014

Page 27: July 15, 2014

Mazda activity

Smoother movement in this segment in 2013 & 2014

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Land Rover activity

Model fairing better than segment in 2014

Page 29: July 15, 2014

BMW activity

Increased supply of 2010 EOT in current wholesale market?

Mix in segment varied

Page 30: July 15, 2014

Toyota Activity

Spring market seasonality is prevalent in the compact cars

Every March there is a climb

Page 31: July 15, 2014

Toyota Activity

Combination of Hybrid, Electric and Plug-in reached 3.7%: Wards

Page 32: July 15, 2014

Toyota Activity

2014 brings better retention in relation to segment average

Page 33: July 15, 2014

Seasonality variations

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec0.9500

0.9600

0.9700

0.9800

0.9900

1.0000

1.0100

1.0200

Prestige Luxury Cars

Page 34: July 15, 2014

Seasonality variations

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec0.9400

0.9600

0.9800

1.0000

1.0200

1.0400

1.0600

Compact Cars

Page 35: July 15, 2014

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec0.9600

0.9800

1.0000

1.0200

1.0400

1.0600

1.0800

Compact Crossovers

Seasonality variations

Page 36: July 15, 2014

Seasonality variations

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec0.9700

0.9800

0.9900

1.0000

1.0100

1.0200

1.0300

1.0400

1.0500

1.0600

Full-size Pickups

Page 37: July 15, 2014

Gas prices

Heading up!

Page 38: July 15, 2014

Gas prices

$.21 over year ago

Less volatility in 2014, but lower overall points

Will the current price trend continue?

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Gas prices

Notice the level pricing of diesel throughout the year:Does this encourage more diesel products, car and truck?

Page 40: July 15, 2014

What do you expect?

Are there certain concerns?

Any additional questions or comments?

Heading to the 3rd quarter

Is your mobile app setup?

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Set Up Academy Members w/Mobile App?Complementary mobile app for each of you throughout the

Auction Academy program.Auto and specialty markets: iPhone or Android

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Set Up Academy Members w/Mobile App?

Values

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Just call or emailRicky Beggs VP, Managing Editor770.533.5221 w, 404.915.4215 c

[email protected] West, VP, North American Auction Director

770.533.5230 w, 404.915.2428 [email protected]

Questions?