jreed - erina.or.jp · “american university commencement address” june 10,1963 and second, let...

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䠎䠌䠍䠐ᖺ䠍䠌᭶䠏䠌᪥ እ┬Ḣᕞᒁཧᐁ Ṋ⸨ Ⴘഏ Ϩ Ϩ ᪥㟢ᕳᅜ㝿ໃ 㸲㡫 Ᏻಖ㞀ほ 㸴㡫 ᑐ㟢ᥐ⨨ 㸵㡫 ᑐヰ㛵 㸯㸮㡫 ϩ ᅜ㛫㛵ಀ ᪥㟢ᨻᑐヰ 㸯㸲㡫 ㈠㢠 㸯㸳㡫 ㍺ࢫ㸯㸵㡫 ᑐ᪥ᑐ୰㈠㢠᥎⛣ 㸯㸶㡫 The Seventh Japan–Russia Energy and Environment Dialogue in Niigata K-MUTO ©ERINA

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Page 1: JREED - erina.or.jp · “AMERICAN UNIVERSITY COMMENCEMENT ADDRESS” June 10,1963 And second, let us reexamine our attitude towards the Soviet Union. It is discouraging to think

The Seventh Japan–Russia Energy and Environment Dialogue in Niigata K-MUTO

©ERINA

Page 2: JREED - erina.or.jp · “AMERICAN UNIVERSITY COMMENCEMENT ADDRESS” June 10,1963 And second, let us reexamine our attitude towards the Soviet Union. It is discouraging to think

2013 11 21 EU

→2014 2 22-27

EU

EU

2 25

3 16

→3 18

4 6

7 17

3 63 17→7 299 12

8 7

EU

EU

4

The Seventh Japan–Russia Energy and Environment Dialogue in Niigata K-MUTO

©ERINA

Page 3: JREED - erina.or.jp · “AMERICAN UNIVERSITY COMMENCEMENT ADDRESS” June 10,1963 And second, let us reexamine our attitude towards the Soviet Union. It is discouraging to think

10 279 5 12 OSCE

9 19

,

10 26 32

15

11 2

9 5 10 26

5

NATO

EU NATO

NATO

3 18

6

1991

1992

The Seventh Japan–Russia Energy and Environment Dialogue in Niigata K-MUTO

©ERINA

Page 4: JREED - erina.or.jp · “AMERICAN UNIVERSITY COMMENCEMENT ADDRESS” June 10,1963 And second, let us reexamine our attitude towards the Soviet Union. It is discouraging to think

57 45 214

141 25 922

630 4 90

5

5 33 30

EIB EBRD

9

EU

EU

7

8

The Seventh Japan–Russia Energy and Environment Dialogue in Niigata K-MUTO

©ERINA

Page 5: JREED - erina.or.jp · “AMERICAN UNIVERSITY COMMENCEMENT ADDRESS” June 10,1963 And second, let us reexamine our attitude towards the Soviet Union. It is discouraging to think

8 22 EU 2140250

9 1.5 10002015

9 182015 5000

10 13

2004 12008 2

4.028

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1.886 2.860

3.545

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2.901

3.277

6.612

4.600

3.471 3.606

4.576

5.760

6.822

0.0

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4.0

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8.0

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

9

The Seventh Japan–Russia Energy and Environment Dialogue in Niigata K-MUTO

©ERINA

Page 6: JREED - erina.or.jp · “AMERICAN UNIVERSITY COMMENCEMENT ADDRESS” June 10,1963 And second, let us reexamine our attitude towards the Soviet Union. It is discouraging to think

John F. Kennedy:“AMERICAN UNIVERSITY COMMENCEMENT ADDRESS”

June 10,1963

And second, let us reexamine our attitude towards the Soviet Union. It is discouraging to think that their leaders may actually believe what their propagandists write. It is discouraging to read a recent, authoritative Soviet text on military strategy and find, on page after page, wholly baseless and incredible claims, such as the allegation that American imperialist circles are preparing to unleash different types of war, that there is a very real threat of a preventive war being unleashed by American imperialists against the Soviet Union, and that the political aims – and I quote—“of the American imperialists are to enslave economically and politically the European and other capitalist countries and to achieve world domination by means of aggressive war."

Truly, as it was written long ago: "The wicked flee when no man pursueth."Yet it is sad to read these Soviet statements, to realize the extent of the gulf between us. But it

is also a warning, a warning to the American people not to fall into the same trap as the Soviets, not to see only a distorted and desperate view of the other side, not to see conflict as inevitable, accommodation as impossible, and communication as nothing more than an exchange of threats.

No government or social system is so evil that its people must be considered as lacking in virtue. As Americans, we find communism profoundly repugnant as a negation of personal freedom and dignity. But we can still hail the Russian people for their many achievements in science and space, in economic and industrial growth, in culture, in acts of courage.

So let us not be blind to our differences, but let us also direct attention to our common interests and the means by which those differences can be resolved. And if we cannot end now our differences, at least we can help make the world safe for diversity. For in the final analysis, our most basic common link is that we all inhabit this small planet. We all breathe the same air. We all cherish our children's futures. And we are all mortal.

Thomas L. Friedman:Who Had It Easier, Reagan or Obama?

The New York Times, Sept. 27,2014

Most important, Reagan s chief rival, Gorbachev, won the Nobel Peace Prize in 1990 for doing something he never wanted to do: peacefully letting go of Eastern Europe. Obama s foes, like the Islamic State, will never win the Nobel Peace Prize. Reagan could comfortably challenge Gorbachev in Berlin to tear down this wall because on the other side of that wall was a bad system — Communism — that was suppressing a civilization in Eastern and Central Europe, and part of Russia, that was naturally and historically inclined toward democratic capitalism. And there were leaders there — like Lech Walesa, another Nobel Peace Prize winner — to lead the transition. We just needed to help remove the bad system and step aside.

In the Middle East, which has consumed so much of Obama s energy, the people tore down their walls — their systems — but underneath was not a civilization with the suppressed experience, habits and aspirations of democracy and free markets. Instead it was a toxic mix of Islamism, tribalism, sectarianism and an inchoate aspiration for democracy.

Reagan s leadership challenge was to bring down a wall and then reap the peace dividends by just letting nature take its course. Obama s challenge is that on the other side of the wall that the Arabs took down lies the world s biggest nation-building project, with a civilization that is traumatized, divided and often culturally hostile to Western values and institutions. It s an enormous job that only the locals can lead.

The Seventh Japan–Russia Energy and Environment Dialogue in Niigata K-MUTO

©ERINA

Page 7: JREED - erina.or.jp · “AMERICAN UNIVERSITY COMMENCEMENT ADDRESS” June 10,1963 And second, let us reexamine our attitude towards the Soviet Union. It is discouraging to think

The Seventh Japan–Russia Energy and Environment Dialogue in Niigata K-MUTO

©ERINA

Page 8: JREED - erina.or.jp · “AMERICAN UNIVERSITY COMMENCEMENT ADDRESS” June 10,1963 And second, let us reexamine our attitude towards the Soviet Union. It is discouraging to think

2013 UNTRADE0.3 7.5

17.4

17.4 2013 GDP IMF

888

332237

4175

3104

5687

5525

1467

20659.216.8

2.1

4.9

2012

From Russia / Total

Natural Gas Imported from Russia to Europe

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012200 (first half-year )

Sources: JOGMEC etc.Amount of Natural Gas Production

and Import Volume of Europe

import

production

16

The Seventh Japan–Russia Energy and Environment Dialogue in Niigata K-MUTO

©ERINA

Page 9: JREED - erina.or.jp · “AMERICAN UNIVERSITY COMMENCEMENT ADDRESS” June 10,1963 And second, let us reexamine our attitude towards the Soviet Union. It is discouraging to think

, 34%

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1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

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The Seventh Japan–Russia Energy and Environment Dialogue in Niigata K-MUTO

©ERINA