jonathan simons policy exchange. policy exchange is an independent, non-partisan educational charity...
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: JONATHAN SIMONS POLICY EXCHANGE. Policy Exchange is an independent, non-partisan educational charity seeking free market and localist solutions to public](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/551bc39a550346b4588b4c50/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
JONATHAN SIMONS
POLICY EXCHANGE
![Page 2: JONATHAN SIMONS POLICY EXCHANGE. Policy Exchange is an independent, non-partisan educational charity seeking free market and localist solutions to public](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/551bc39a550346b4588b4c50/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Policy Exchange is an independent, non-partisan educational charity seeking free market and localist solutions to public policy questions. Charity Registration Number 1096300.
HE reform 2010-2015– problems solved or problems delayed?
Jonathan SimonsHead of Education, Policy Exchange
@PXEducation
![Page 3: JONATHAN SIMONS POLICY EXCHANGE. Policy Exchange is an independent, non-partisan educational charity seeking free market and localist solutions to public](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/551bc39a550346b4588b4c50/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Browne and associated reforms in English HE system
• Fees capped at £9k; any fee over £6k should be partially invested in fair
access
• Repayments start at £21k with write off after 30 years
• Return of means tested grants
• New duty on schools to provide independent, impartial careers guidance.
All universities to provide Key Information Sets
• Core and margin with reallocation of place to high quality institutions
charging below £7,500
• No student number controls on AAB students (since changed to ABB, and
student number controls to be abolished entirely from 2015-16)
![Page 4: JONATHAN SIMONS POLICY EXCHANGE. Policy Exchange is an independent, non-partisan educational charity seeking free market and localist solutions to public](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/551bc39a550346b4588b4c50/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Scottish HE system
• 4 year courses rather than 3 (some RUK students can enter in Y2)
• Differential tuition fees for students from Scotland and EU as opposed to
England, Wales, N Ireland (RUK) – who are charged up to the same £9k as
in England
• “Rocks will melt in the sun” before Scottish students charged tuition fees
under SNP Government
![Page 5: JONATHAN SIMONS POLICY EXCHANGE. Policy Exchange is an independent, non-partisan educational charity seeking free market and localist solutions to public](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/551bc39a550346b4588b4c50/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Welsh HE system
• Welsh Government have protected the cuts to teaching grant to 12% to
universities in Wales (against 80% in England) but also raised tuition fee cap
to £9k
• Welsh students studying in Wales or England were eligible for subsidy to
deal with higher fees – tuition fees capped at £3,575 wherever they study,
which costs the Welsh Government around £4,500 per student annually.
Figures show a move of Welsh students to English universities
• Sir Ian Diamond undertaking consultation into higher education funding in
Wales, but not due to report back until 2016
![Page 6: JONATHAN SIMONS POLICY EXCHANGE. Policy Exchange is an independent, non-partisan educational charity seeking free market and localist solutions to public](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/551bc39a550346b4588b4c50/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Problems solved?
![Page 7: JONATHAN SIMONS POLICY EXCHANGE. Policy Exchange is an independent, non-partisan educational charity seeking free market and localist solutions to public](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/551bc39a550346b4588b4c50/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
HE funding (England)
![Page 8: JONATHAN SIMONS POLICY EXCHANGE. Policy Exchange is an independent, non-partisan educational charity seeking free market and localist solutions to public](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/551bc39a550346b4588b4c50/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Student numbers across UK
![Page 9: JONATHAN SIMONS POLICY EXCHANGE. Policy Exchange is an independent, non-partisan educational charity seeking free market and localist solutions to public](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/551bc39a550346b4588b4c50/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Student numbers across UK
![Page 10: JONATHAN SIMONS POLICY EXCHANGE. Policy Exchange is an independent, non-partisan educational charity seeking free market and localist solutions to public](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/551bc39a550346b4588b4c50/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Student satisfaction
![Page 11: JONATHAN SIMONS POLICY EXCHANGE. Policy Exchange is an independent, non-partisan educational charity seeking free market and localist solutions to public](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/551bc39a550346b4588b4c50/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Problems delayed?
![Page 12: JONATHAN SIMONS POLICY EXCHANGE. Policy Exchange is an independent, non-partisan educational charity seeking free market and localist solutions to public](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/551bc39a550346b4588b4c50/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Already calls for more funding increases
![Page 13: JONATHAN SIMONS POLICY EXCHANGE. Policy Exchange is an independent, non-partisan educational charity seeking free market and localist solutions to public](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/551bc39a550346b4588b4c50/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
...at the same time as some political desire to cut them again
![Page 14: JONATHAN SIMONS POLICY EXCHANGE. Policy Exchange is an independent, non-partisan educational charity seeking free market and localist solutions to public](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/551bc39a550346b4588b4c50/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
What about non first time full time undergraduates?
![Page 15: JONATHAN SIMONS POLICY EXCHANGE. Policy Exchange is an independent, non-partisan educational charity seeking free market and localist solutions to public](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/551bc39a550346b4588b4c50/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
Is the current system in the UK sustainable? England
Total value of outstanding loans (including interest) is currently £46 billion. It is projected to top out at £200bn by 2042 in 2013 prices)
![Page 16: JONATHAN SIMONS POLICY EXCHANGE. Policy Exchange is an independent, non-partisan educational charity seeking free market and localist solutions to public](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/551bc39a550346b4588b4c50/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Is the current system in the UK sustainable? England
NAO found that of the current loan book, BIS estimate 35% will never be repaid, and up to 50% of post 2012 loans will not. However, worth remembering that this is the point (and consequence) of a deliberate policy decision
![Page 17: JONATHAN SIMONS POLICY EXCHANGE. Policy Exchange is an independent, non-partisan educational charity seeking free market and localist solutions to public](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/551bc39a550346b4588b4c50/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Is the current system in the UK sustainable? Scotland
• So much hangs on what might happen post independence referendum
• If yes:
• Most pertinently, the future of the differential tuition fee policy – would it be
legal?
• What about research council income
• Future student flows and staff flows
• Potential £9.8bn shortfall in USS pension scheme (analogy of Academy status in
schools in pertinent here)
• If no:
• Is the differential tuition fee policy affordable – and is it value for money? Look at
student increases in different nations of the UK
![Page 18: JONATHAN SIMONS POLICY EXCHANGE. Policy Exchange is an independent, non-partisan educational charity seeking free market and localist solutions to public](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/551bc39a550346b4588b4c50/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Is the current system in the UK sustainable? Wales
• Will Diamond review mean the end of the tuition fee subsidy for Welsh students?
£35m annually going outside of Wales (mostly to England)
• Will we see more M+A activity amongst institutions to strengthen overall quality
(Cardiff ranked 29th in UK, highest in Wales, and only three Welsh institutions in top
100)
![Page 19: JONATHAN SIMONS POLICY EXCHANGE. Policy Exchange is an independent, non-partisan educational charity seeking free market and localist solutions to public](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/551bc39a550346b4588b4c50/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
Conclusions
• Lots of change, particularly in England and Wales, since 2010
• On surface, system looks positive in England and Scotland
• But overall lots of issues remain to be resolved
• Is the English system affordable to the Exchequer, and specifically to BIS. Will a
graduate tax come in and if so how on earth will it be managed. Will fees rise
along with new students?
• Will the Scottish system survive in its current form post any yes vote in
independence? And if a no vote, will a non SNP government look at introducing
fees for Scottish students?
• How can Wales ensure better value for money? And should they focus on Welsh
students, or the Welsh system?
![Page 20: JONATHAN SIMONS POLICY EXCHANGE. Policy Exchange is an independent, non-partisan educational charity seeking free market and localist solutions to public](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/551bc39a550346b4588b4c50/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Conclusions
• There will be a ‘conspiracy of silence’ amongst parties in UK General Election in 2015
• In Independence referendum in 2014 and Welsh Assembly elections in 2016 it will be
debated more intently but in absence of many proven facts....
• We may well have to have – reluctantly – another major review in all three nations,
especially England, midway through next Parliament
![Page 21: JONATHAN SIMONS POLICY EXCHANGE. Policy Exchange is an independent, non-partisan educational charity seeking free market and localist solutions to public](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062511/551bc39a550346b4588b4c50/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
JONATHAN SIMONS
POLICY EXCHANGE